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Wednesday, 01/02/08
Posted 01/02/08, 11:36
pm |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Wednesday, 01/02/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
13,043 |
-220 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,609 |
- 42 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,447 |
- 21 |
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Final Segment 1
Title: |
'Last Year's
Models' |
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. . . .
. |
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Featured Stock(s): |
Goldman Sachs (GS*)
Altria (MO*)
Apple Inc. (AAPL)
NYSE Euronext, Inc. (NYX*)
BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.
(BMRN)
Level 3 Communications Inc.
(LVLT)
2nd segment picks
below...
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We spent most of this show
talking about what we
learned from my 2007
stocks of the year...
What went right and what
went wrong, and the big
picture takeaways from
what happened with these
stocks...
But I haven't told you
what to do with them...
what's in store for my
2007 stocks of the year in
2008?...
. . . .
.
What should you do?...
What should you sell?...
What should you hold
onto?... What should
you buy?...
. . . .
.
All right, let's start with the value
stocks...
Goldman Sachs (GS*),
Altria (MO*),
and
Halliburton (HAL)...
Goldman Sachs (GS*)
is still the best stock, but it's a
crummy neighborhood. It's not
going to get better. Although I
will tell you that the Federal Reserve
will cut over time. So, by the end
of the year, the environment for
financials will probably look better...
But, I've got to tell you... 2008 is the
year that even our clueless Fed will
bail us out... But, not quick
enough for most.
Stick with GS*... Don't expect a lot of
appreciation... I do believe it deserves
to trade at $300 but, as we know from
the movie Unforgiven, deserves has
nothing to do with it...
. . . .
.
Now,
Altria (MO*)
is probably my absolute favorite of all
these stocks for 2008... I expect
it to go much higher. It's going
to split up into international,
domestic, and then start the mother of
all buybacks... after being pent up for
multiple years... It wasn't
allowed to buy. They had a lot of
cash... it was in reserve, waiting for
the buyback. The buyback's going
to kick in next year. You've got
to be there...
. . . .
.
Halliburton (HAL)
should work again... but it's more of a
natural gas play, and I'd rather play
the theme of natural gas with a stock
that I'm going to be naming tomorrow...
on tomorrow's show...
. . . .
.
Then we've got the three growth names...
Cisco
(CSCO),
Apple Inc. (AAPL)
and the
NYSE (NYX*)...
CSCO?... I'm worn out by it. You
can only fight the tape for so long.
I think CSCO is just going to be a
marginal performer. I like John
Chambers but, look, what's the point,
okay?...
I prefer
The Four Horsemen of Tech, Apple Inc. (AAPL), Research
In Motion (RIMM), Google Inc. (GOOG),
and
Amazon.com (AMZN)...
Although, at this price, AMZN is a
sell... It got recommended today...
We've been on it for so long...
Beyond The Four Horsemen - and I've got
to tell you, as long as they grow 30%,
I'm going to be with them - I like
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ*)...
It's not near growing as fast as the
others, but it's inexpensive. I
own it for
my trust...
. . . .
.
Now Apple Inc. (AAPL)
just happens to be the one of those four
horsemen that I want you to think of as
the New England Patriots... Now,
would you want to own them next year?...
It's going to be very difficult to top a
16-0 season... That's what AAPL
had... But I still don't think you would
bet against the Pats, and I wouldn't bet
against AAPL either...
. . . .
.
As for the
NYSE (NYX*)...
the bane of Cramer in 2007... I think
it's having a great quarter... I think
it's going to have a great year... but
maybe... maybe people will recognize
that it's more of a play on Europe this
year...
This stock did everything right, and it
still didn't do well but, if you look at
from the point of view from someone who
saw it in the $60s go into the $80s, it
no longer seems stuck in the mud...
And when a stock is suddenly sprung from
the mud like the NYX*, you hang on for
the ride up... I would buy this
stock and I believe that Duncan
Niedermeyer, the new CEO, will cut
overhead much more aggressively than
[John] Thane (the previous CEO) could,
in part, because of French laws are now
kind of saying it's all right... but
also because Duncan Niedermeyer is a
tech guy... and he understands... I
don't think he's heartless, but he
understands what needs to be done for
the shareholders, in terms of cutting
costs there...
I think the estimates are way too low
for NYX*...
. . . .
.
As for the speculative names,
BioMarin (BMRN)
should still work, thanks to the
strength of Kuvan, which is the first
and only FDA-approved drug for PKU.
By the way, I think there's going to be
far more use than any of the numbers
indicate.
I like the pipeline too for BMRN...
It has a drug in Phase II tests for
peripheral arterial diseases and sickle
cell diseases... Remember,
BMRN is the stock that dreams are made
of...
. . . .
.
As for the two big losers, let's own
them again...
Rite Aid (RAD)
and
Level 3 Communications
(LVLT)...
I need to see a good quarter from RAD,
as much as I think that Mary Sammons had
the guts to come on this show. It
took real guts for her to come on the
show after the beating that everybody
who listened to me, and her, have
taken...
But you know what?... Even after that, I
cannot bless the stock until I see a
couple of good quarters...
. . . .
.
LVLT... I like it here. Call me a
glutton for punishment...
But video on the web, which is what it's
levered to - and it had execution
problems - and Jim Crow... the terrific
CEO... is back to work after a
life-threatening illness. I'm
sticking with Crow and I'm sticking with
LVLT.
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
Cramer says
Goldman Sachs (GS*),
Altria Group Inc. (MO*),
Apple Inc. (AAPL),
NYSE Euronext, Inc. (NYX*)
and
Level 3 Communications Inc.
(LVLT)
are my 2007 plays that
should do well in 2008...
and are still worth
owning.
. . . .
. |
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See all of tonight's stocks'
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|
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GS* |
207.60 |
208.92 |
Goldman Sachs (GS*)
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MO* |
74.93 |
75.08 |
Altria Group Inc. (MO*)
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AAPL |
194.84 |
195.49 |
Apple Inc. (AAPL)
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NYX* |
84.65 |
85.10 |
NYSE Euronext, Inc. (NYX*)
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BMRN |
36.64 |
36.79 |
BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.
(BMRN)
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LVLT |
3.07 |
3.08 |
Level 3 Communications Inc.
(LVLT)
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Final Segment
2 Title: |
'Mad Mail' |
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. . . .
. |
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Featured
Stock(s): |
See specific stocks
below... |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
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na |
na |
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'Mad Mail'
General comments
about how to
know when to buy
on pullbacks...
Q:
You've talked
about buying on
pullbacks and
I've read about
this dozens of
times while
reading your
books, but what
actually
constitutes a
nice pullback?
What percent?
Boeing (BA)
has had a nice
pullback...J.
C. Penney (JCP),
Sears
(SHLD*),
and most of the
banks. Is
there a certain
percentage
pullback you
suggest?
Jim:
Yes. 8-10%
is my preferred
range to start
doing some
buying but,
remember, I buy
on scales on the
way down, as you
know from
reading
Real Money,
or from reading,
Stay Mad For Life.
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[
end of final segment ]
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Go to the next segment from
tonight's show
here >>
See current quotes on Yahoo!
Finance from
tonight's show stocks
here >> |
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Symbol keys: |
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A Charitable Trust stock.
- An asterisk next to a
stock symbol indicates that
Jim mentioned it is a stock
that he manages within
his
charitable trust portfolio.
You can see the complete
portfolio
of stocks
here >> |
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Thumbs up - indicates
he would buy the stock or,
at the very least, not sell
the stock. We do our
best to interpret Jim's
opinion on stocks, as we
think it is indicated by his
comments during the show.
Please read his comments to
decide for yourself. |
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Thumbs down -
indicates he has said not to
buy or to sell the stock,
based on his comments
We do our best to interpret
Jim's opinion on stocks, as
we think it is indicated by
his comments during the
show. Please read his
comments to decide for
yourself. |
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Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
that he would do a
'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
back... " as he is "backing
up the truck" to load up on
his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point. |
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Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about. |
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Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms": |
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Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back... |
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Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you. |
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Definition: 'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock). |
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Definition: 'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point. |
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See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
here >> |
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Helpful Websites: |
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See the stocks currently
known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:
jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com |
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See the stocks currently
known to be in Warren
Buffett's portfolio
of
stocks at:
warren-buffett-portfolio.com |
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Stock Homework 101:
This is an excellent
upcoming site that provides
resources and links to help
you do that homework that
Jim Cramer recommends after
hearing his suggestions...
StockHomework101.com
This site is coming soon.
Thank you. |
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Fast Money Recap - Trades
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