Friday, 01/11/08
Posted 01/13/08,  11:33 pm

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Friday, 01/11/08

  Dow Jones: 12,606   - 246
  NASDAQ:   2,439     - 48
  S&P 500:   1,401     - 19
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
Final Segment 1 Title: 'Industrial Strength'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Terex Corp. (TEX)

See TEX's website here.

Yahoo! Finance profile for TEX here.
Google News search for TEX news here.


2nd segment picks below...



I'm urging you to do something here... I'm urging you to not be so overwhelmed by the absolute horror of this market, and it is horrible...

So, how do you make money when the Fed cuts rates?... Well, we obviously think the banks will go up... we know that... and maybe some retailers, but those are a little dicey...

Now here's an idea... some of the incredibly beat up industrials... the dirty smokestack stocks... they can come back... and the one I like right here...

I like Terex Corp. (TEX).

TEX is the #3 construction and mining equipment maker in the world.  But it's a very small market cap...  TEX is benefiting from the global construction boom, but it's being taken down, thanks to the weakness in America... at its 52-week low January 8th...

You know, I have to tell you... I think that hitting the 52-week low... I think the pummeling it's gotten... is wrong.  And that's because two-thirds of its business comes from ROW... the rest of the world...

Only one-third is North America, so it's not nearly as hostage to Bernanke and company as we think...

Why pick TEX over Caterpillar (CAT*) - a stock that I own for my charitable trust?  Well, right now, just at this moment, TEX is safer.  And, in this market, we have to put safety first.

... stocks with large buybacks and insider buying... twice blessed stocks...  These two things are the essence of safety right here, because a buyback gives you a cushion, if it goes lower... and TEX has a mighty buyback... $700 million, with over $500 million left in the authorization.  Remember, this is only a $5.4 billion company, so you're talking about 12% of a $5.4 billion company...  And the insiders are buying too. 

We need everything going for us.  This market is so horrible that, believe me, we need everything going for us...  we need a buyback, we need a low valuation, and we need guys like Thomas Reardon, the Chief Operating Officer, who bought 20,000 shares.  That's an investment over a million dollars...  And we need guys like David Sachs, a directory, who picked up 15,000 shares...  So, big insider buying... and that's big...     

.  .  .  .  .

This one is too cheap.  It's the cheapest in its industry, and this is another element of safety.

Three months ago, TEX - are you ready? - was at $86.88... three months ago.  Now it's trading at almost $53...  It's down 40%.  That is not a down move that signals a slowing economy, or even a recession... No!  Some stocks are priced for perfection... TEX is priced for a depression...

TEX got its head completely and utterly cut off... partially because it missed its earnings last time by 2 cents, when it reported on October 21st, even though they reaffirmed their guidance, reporting $1.45 a share, when the Street was looking for $1.47...  It doesn't justify a 30-plus point rate drop...  not with another rate cut increasingly likely...

.  .  .  .  .

There's one more reason we like TEX...

The area work platforms business that accounts for 26% of their estimated 2007 sales...

The Street's been expecting a big decline in this kind of platform business, but today, United Rentals - the biggest area work platform rental company in America - said it would increase its capital expenditures for the business this year.  That could mean some money for TEX that the Street's not expecting...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:   When the Fed cuts rates, the industrials will benefit, and one that I think could really fly is Terex Corp. (TEX).  It's among the safest in the group right now, because it's down a lot, it's got a buyback, and the insiders are snapping it up.  I'm with the insiders.

.  .  .  .  .

 

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance


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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


 

TEX

52.93

57.24

Terex Corp. (TEX)
 

 

 
 
Second Segment
 
Final Segment 2 Title: 'Mad Mail'...

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): See comments below...

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


DD

44.66

45.09

Mad Mail

DuPont (DD)

Q:  
 DD currently licenses seeds from Monsanto (MON), but has announced their own lines.  How much business does MON do through DD and, if they stop licensing MON's tech, does this change the economics of MON at all?

JJC:
     MON... it's a benign oligoplogy... the seed business.  I wouldn't worry.  By the way, DD, under $45... after that great quarter, with that nice dividend...  I would consider that, as they're getting more and more ag, and less and less housing.

Price target for DD:    Buy under $45.00

MON

120.63

121.36

Monsanto Co. (MON)

See DD comments above for:
MON
 

[ end of final segment ]

   
 

Go to the SUDDEN:DEATH SEGMENT from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>


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Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up&#