Thursday, 01/24/08
Posted 01/25/08,  12:22 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Thursday, 01/24/08

  Dow Jones: 12,378   + 108
  NASDAQ:   2,360     + 44
  S&P 500:   1,352     + 13
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'The Sell Block'

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Featured Stock(s): See all comments below...


See Opening Segment 2, below...

        

JJC:   Tonight's Sell Block is about the tug of war... something a lot of people don't understand...  

Let's say I like a stock...  let's say I like a sector...  But, at some point, it will come to a price where I need to take something off the table...

All the time, people are sending me these incredibly nasty emails, or writing ridiculously gratuitous... and attacks in the press... because I said I liked a stock and then, two months later, I said to sell it...

This may sound like the simplest thing in the world, but a lot of investors have trouble coming to grips with the idea that you might like a stock at a certain price...  There are other prices though that you think are too high...

That's the way the business is done by professionals.

Now, my critics love to pretend that, when I recommend a stock, that means we're supposed to love it forever...  so, if I say sell it, then I'm obviously just a clown...

But buying stocks isn't the same as marrying them...  You don't own them in sickness and in health... You try to buy the low, and then you sell them high... 

.  .  .  .  .

You can't just let stocks ride forever without taking something off the table, because sooner or later, they're going to come down, and you're going to wish you'd taken advantage of the higher price, if only so you can buy it all back at a lower one, so you can pocket the difference.

.  .  .  .  .

When I say a stock is a sell, it doesn't necessarily mean that I hate it...

.  .  .  .  .

When you've actually got some skin in the game, it's really hard to sell a winner at any price.  We don't make good decisions about stocks in the heat of the moment.  That's why we have discipline to tell us what to do, away from the company and the stock...

We have rules, so we don't repeat the errors we so desperately want to avoid...

That's why I always like to say, and you can write this down... I have it on my computer... I have it on all my computers...  It says, discipline always trumps conviction.

I know, because I've made this mistake myself...

.  .  .  .  .

You know, a lot of times I do this show, and talk about things that I did wrong, so you won't have to repeat my screw-ups...

Amazingly, no one else who's ever been on TV has ever gotten anything wrong...

In Real Money: Sane Investing In An Insane World, I talked about having a big, big win in Phillip Morris, now Cramer-fave, Altria (MO*)...

I caught the win right before the court ordered Phillip Morris to pay out billions of dollars to just about anyone who ever smoked a cigarette...  I was riding high...

Did I sell MO* right after that big win, but before that death sentence from the courts?... Karen Cramer insisted that I should, right before she took a week-long trip to Paris...

She told me I couldn't call my win a gain, until I'd taken it off the table... She said it to me on the way to the airport...  It's not a profit, she said, until after the register is rung...

Of course, me being me, I didn't listen... I didn't sell the stock, even though it was up big...

And, by the time she got back from Paris, that win had turned into a loss, and she got to say I told you so...

I think about that everyday, when Monsanto Co. (MON) is at $129... and everyday, when an infrastructure stock doubles... and everyday, when Schlumberger (SLB)'s at $110...

Being up big is seductive.  It makes you feel like a winner.  I know that.  I know that better than anyone...  and I've felt the burn of a stock you sell at $20, and it goes to $23 the next day...

You know what though?  That burn is nothing compared to the pain you feel with a stock you buy at $20, goes to $15.

.  .  .  .  .


I don't want it happening to you.  That's why I talk about this... That's why I say to scale out of a position...

The people who try to measure my performance never take this kind of thing into account, which I find incredible, because it's the essence of what I do.

Discipline... discipline... It's what I try to teach, and more important than any other stock pick...  If I can impart discipline to you, I've done right... 

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:     The bottom line is always the same... Discipline trumps conviction.

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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


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See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance


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Second Segment
 
 
 
Final Segment 2 Title: 'On The Line'....

CEO Interview
Willis Johnson, CEO

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Featured Stock(s): Copart Inc. (CPRT)

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


CPRT

39.10

na

CEO Interview
Willis Johnson, CEO
Copart Inc. (CPRT)


Jim's comments BEFORE interview:  
 
We like salvaged cars.  We also like the internet.  What do they have to do with each other?  Well, it came together with a recommendation we made, back on October 15th, for a stock called Copart (CPRT) at $36 bucks, because we liked the combination of salvaged cars being sold online...  The stock then went up to $43.  Did we take it off?  No.  Because we weren't that smart... It's now trading at $38.97... That's a return of 8%.  I want to know if it's going back to $43... So, what do we do?...  We talk to Willis Johnson, founder, chairman and CEO of CPRT...  

.  .  .  .  .


Jim's comments AFTER interview:    
I like this story...  This stock's going right back up.  The stock is CPRT.  You heard what they do... This is an eBay (EBAY) that goes up, not down. 




         

[ end of final segment ]

   
 

Go to the SUDDEN:DEATH SEGMENT from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>


Netflix, Inc.


Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
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