Monday, 01/28/08
Posted 01/29/08,  12:37 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Monday, 01/28/08

  Dow Jones: 12,383   + 176
  NASDAQ:   2,349     + 23
  S&P 500:   1,353     + 23
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
 
 
 
Final Segment 2 Title: 'On The Line'....

'Dress For Success?'...

CEO Interview
Emanual Chirico, CEO

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Phillips-Van Heusen Corp. (PVH)

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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


PVH

39.25

39.81

CEO Interview
Emanual Chirico, CEO
Phillips-Van Heusen Corp. (PVH)


Jim's comments BEFORE interview:  
 
Ever since the Fed blinked last week, and the market bottomed... you know what I've been saying... I've been saying it's time to pick up some retail stocks.

They're usually among the big winners when the Fed starts to ease, as investors who buy the stocks, anticipating that year-over-year... the next year's numbers will look better than last years... 

Remember, the big investors have to think well ahead... They can't think just for tomorrow.

Thanks to looser credit, and also, of course, the economic stimulus package, I regard it as a bailout for malls everywhere... What are you going to do with your $600 bucks?...

But we've got to be selective about retail.   Phillips-Van Heusen (PVH) has been one of my favorite apparel stocks although, with the environment over the last few months... not too positive... the stock has taken a real beating...

Now PVH is priced, I believe - at these prices - for a recession.  I think it's priced for the death of the consumer, frankly.  Thanks to the Fed and Congress, the consumer might not be so dead afterall and yet, when I search for stocks that haven't had the big leap yet, there are very few... and PVH is one of them...   

PVH has used the weakness in its stock to buy back shares - tremendous conviction within the company.  You know I like to see that.  It's a sign that management has confidence in the future.

I've always liked PVH for its brands...  Izod, Geoffrey Beene and, of course, Calvin Klein... but, before we jump on this one - as THE apparel stock to own - because you know I like Liz Claiborne(LIZ) as a trade... I don't think the quarter's that good...  Jones Apparel (JNY), because it's really well run and no one's thinking about it anymore... and, obviously VF Corp. (VFC), and I've been on that one before the show began...

Before I give PVH another Mad Money good housekeeping seal of approval, and then maybe not get it right, I want to talk to what I believe is one of the smartest guys in the business, Manny Chirico...  

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Jim's comments AFTER interview:    
To me, frankly, I wanted to listen to see whether I'm missing something...  I think this group is right.  To me, your stock is now the cheapest in the group, and I think people should buy it.




         

 

 

 



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Second Segment
 
 
Final Segment 2 Title: 'Mad Mail'

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Featured Stock(s): See specific stocks below...

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

MCD*

51.07

51.43

'Mad Mail'

McDonald's (MCD*)


Q:  
 Help me understand what happened with MCD*.  They had a wonderful quarter and beat earnings estimates by two cents.  They also indicated that they are profiting from the weak economy by attracting customers to their lower prices and expanded value menu.  Their same-store sales jumped 6.7% as a result.  Why then did their stock trade down?  Seems like an irrational market to me.  Help me understand this madness!  In a time of chaos, I look to you for your all-knowing guidance...

Jim:   Okay... This is very interesting.  I bought some MCD* today for my charitable trust... It's the first time it's gotten below my basis...  Here's what's happening... There were a lot of rumors when the stock was at $63, that their domestic same-store -- remember, they've got a big international business -- would not be good... be around flat.  And so the stock dropped from around $63 to $53... Then, when we found out today that those rumors were right, the stock dropped again, discounting the negativity a second time.  I bought it, because I think people didn't realize that the domestic business decline was already in the stock.  January was a little bit better... it was 1-1.5%...  I think MCD* is a major buy here, with a 3% yield, great balance sheet, big buyback... raising dividend...  I think you take advantage of it, and buy it.  It's one of my stocks that I recommend for kids, in particular... Maybe you take advantage of this decline and buy it...  



DSX

24.43

26.05

'Mad Mail'

Diana Shipping Inc.
(DSX)


Q:  
 I don't know why, but I always remember your conversation with the president of Diana Shipping (DSX) last year.  It's probably because you repeat your take on that conversation so often.  Looking back, I really wonder if he was basically predicting the future of the economic landslide to come, and whether it could have/should have been taken as a warning.  Past financial disasters aside, right now, many of the shippers you have mentioned on your show late last year are trading way below their October highs.  I've done some research and found out that DSX is about ready to renew contracts on on four vessels that will give it a boost, due to the higher 2008 shipping rates.  So, is the time right for DSX to get some payback fo r the sour, albeit correct, market forecast from last fall?

Jim:   A lot of people felt that the man didn't really understand my questions.  I thought he did.  It gave me a chill.  I went negative on the group after.  I never mess with CEOs who tell me that I am too optimistic...  It's hard enough in this business to not screw up, just on the basis of someone saying it's good... When they say it's bad, I cut and run, which is what I did with DSX, and I'm glad I did.
 
         

[ end of final segment ]

   
 

Go to the SUDDEN:DEATH SEGMENT from tonight's show here >>

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