Thursday, 04/03/08
Posted 04/03/08,  11:52 pm ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Thursday, 04/03/08

  Dow Jones: 12,626    + 20
  NASDAQ:   2,363    + 1
  S&P 500:   1,369    + 1
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'Power Trip'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): CPFL Energia S.A. (CPL)

See CPL's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for CPL here.



See Opening Segment 2, below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...



JJC:    At Penn State, last Wednesday, a student in the fabulous Nittany Lion Investment Fund, suggested a stock in a class I attended...

I vetted CPFL Energia S.A. (CPL)... It trades in America...  I don't recommend stocks that trade in another country, that don't trade in America... it's too risky for you...

CPL, it turns out, I think is a great play on Brazil, which is one of our favorite countries... and that is continuing to pants the United States, when it comes to financial stability and economic growth.

CPL is Brazil's largest privately-held power distributor... a massive utility, with huge scale, and a natural monopoly...  There's nothing better than a natural monopoly... It certainly tops this idea of capitalist competition...  It's too hard to set up competing generators and powerlines...  Do you know anybody who has two sets of powerlines going into their house?

In this country, we buy utilities for stability and for yield.  That's exactly why we do it in Brazil...  Remember, we think Brazil is the United States, when we were good...

.  .  .  .  .

I have such conviction in the sustainability of Brazil's economic growth, that I think CPL is a great, safe dividend stock...

It pays out a 7.8% yield.  It was actually higher last week.  I've been waiting for the stock to come in, so I could talk about it...

7.8%... and that's a heck of a lot better than the 5.8% yield you get from Consolidated Edison Inc. (ED), which you know is my favorite American utility, and that's starting to move up at least... the stock.

The difference is that, while both of these companies are stable, CPL's a growth utility, because Brazil's still a growing economy...  It's consuming ever-greater amounts of electricity.   I consider it analogous to where the United States was, during the economic expansion of the 50s and 60s...

In the old days, if the United States sneezed, Latin America got Leprosy... but now I believe that we're in a world where the United States can be in recession, and Brazil's economy can still chug along at 5.6% GDP growth.    And that makes me want to own the stock.

.  .  .  .  .

CPL is concentrated in some of the most economically-active parts of Brazil... the southern states of Sao Paulo and Rio Grande de Sol, where it serves 5.7 million people.   This company has a lock on 13% of Brazil's national power market...

The play here is simple...

.  .  .  .  .

Brazil is a country whose citizens are growing wealthier rapidly... and, as they get more money, they demand more electricity as they juice up their new toys... their dishwashers... I don't want to own Whirlpool Corp. (WHR), which is the biggest player down there, because of U.S. risk... but Whirlpool washers and dryers, televisions... iPods... you get it.

Last year's sales... guzzling electricity... 16%... Yeah, 16% growth from appliances basically... they're using a lot of juice.

That's fabulous for CPL, the largest company selling Brazilians electricity...

CPL's customers...  I mean, they're adding customers at an electric annual rate of 2.5%, which is well above what any utility in the U.S. is doing, and it plans to double its current electric generation capacity over the next 5 years...

.  .  .  .  .

I told you about the dividend and the safety...  Let me elaborate more on how CPL is a utility with growth... boy, are those hard to come by...

This company has gotten as big as it is by carefully purchasing local utilities in Brazil's fragmented market.  They generally won't do reckless deals... they won't pay up.   For example, this week, Brazil's government tried to privatize CESP, a government-controlled utility.  CPL didn't bid.  They didn't like it.

They don't appear to just gobble up anything, the way we do in this country...  This is actually something I think we're seeing a lot more in Brazilian companies... it's called discipline.   We saw it with CVRD (RIO) walking away...

This has to bode well for the country's economic future and its largest utility. 

The bottom line...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      I think CPFL Energia S.A. (CPL) gives you a great combination of dividend safety - a 7.8% yield...  Potential growth, as Brazil's electricity market grows...  CPL takes larger share, and a larger slice of the electric pile... and the Penn State kids knew more than Cramer.

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


CPL

67.48

na

CPFL Energia S.A. (CPL)


       

 

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at Amazon.com)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 

 


  We need your help! 
If you find our service valuable, your donation is critically helpful to support
our operating costs and is MUCH appreciated!
(click below to donate)

We are serving thousands of new visitors every day and our costs are growing as well.  Thank you for your support & generosity!


 

 

 

 
 
 
 
Second Segment
 
 
Final Segment 2 Title: 'Mad Mail'...

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): See comments below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Sudden:Death picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


EBAY

31.72

na

Mad Mail

eBay Inc. (EBAY)

Q:  
 EBAY's stock, with a 25 cents EPS and P/E ratio = 125, is steadily gaining in value.  At the same time, Valero Energy Corp. (VLO) languishes, while sporting an EPS equal to $8.50+ and P/E less than 6.0.  How can this be rational?  Is the market just stupid or is it just me?

JJC:
     This is a classicly-brilliant question, and this is one I struggled with when I first got in the business... and I struggle with today...  How can you not own a VLO, which sells at such a low multiple... and how could you ever buy EBAY, which sells at such a high multiple?  And the answer is... 2010.  We value stocks right about now, for what they're going to earn in what is known as the "out years"...  and right now, VLO's margins are going down.  They're making less and less money per barrel of oil.   EBAY, as we know from the Merrill Lynch upgrade today, their numbers are starting to accelerate, to go higher...  We only care about the future.  That current P/E that you're looking at, is only on the current snapshot.  You've got to look at the future snapshot.  It's much harder, but it's how you make the money.


       
 

 

[ end of final segment ]

   
 

Go to the SUDDEN:DEATH SEGMENT from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>


Netflix, Inc.


Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable