Monday, 04/07/08
Posted 04/07/08,  10:51 pm ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Monday, 04/07/08

  Dow Jones: 12,609    - 16
  NASDAQ:   2,370    + 7
  S&P 500:   1,370    + 1
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'No Stock Left Behind'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Temple-Inland Inc. (TIN)

See TIN's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for TIN here.



See Opening Segment 2, below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...



JJC:    Earlier, I said we were starting some brand new series today... The first was "From
Russia With Love" about stocks from the former communist Warsaw Pact countries that
have now become the world's second-best capitalists after the Chinese communists...

Now it's time for my new series... #2... The 57 flavors stocks... The Ketchup Stocks!...
that we use on Wall Street to describe stocks that are lagging behind other stocks in their
sector, and need to... yes... catch up!

These trades only work, though, when the Ketchup Stocks deserve to go higher...

Plenty of bad stocks don't go up along with their sectors too, so I'm finding good ones
that I think have the ability to play "catch up"...

Now, our first pick of the Ketchup Stocks for the week is Temple-Inland Inc. (TIN).

Yes, this stock has caused me some pain, since I recommended it on March 20th of
2007, at the University of Texas... and it's down 25% from where I recommended it,
when you add together the share prices of the two companies it spun off since then, and
the $10.50 special dividend it paid in December...

The last time I talked TIN spinning off its real estate and financial services components,
at the behest of Carl Icahn... TIN finished the spinoffs at the end of 2007 and, now,
what's left is a terrific wood company, that produces building products like particle
board, as well as corrugated packaging...

As you can imagine, the combination of a weak housing market and a weak economy has
been pretty poisonous to these two businesses... That's why the stock is down 31%, since
TIN finished the spinoff. But now there's some light at the end of the tunnel!

Pricing should firm up in 2009 and 2010 for the paper products TIN makes. And we just
had IP pay $6 billion for WY's paper products businesses, which tells us that this stuff
must be worth something to someone...

All of this has driven its competitor, Louisiana-Pacific Corp. (LPX), up 25% since March
20th. TIN is only up 11% since then...

I think this is a better company. It's profitable right now... It should (also) turn a profit
in 2008, while LPX can't say either of those things for itself. And, while LPX does yield
5.4%, I don't consider it a trusty dividend.

TIN's 3.1% yield, on the other hand - which is only so high, because the stock is so low -
is the picture of stability...

I know the stock is up a lot today, off of that Citigroup upgrade... but, when you
consider this is a $14 stock that's come down from $56, hey... that gain looks a lot less
significant to me...

I think this stock deserves to "catch up" to LPX...

 

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      TIN's sector has turned... Now I think its stock just needs to play Ketchup...

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


TIN

13.98

na

Temple-Inland Inc. (TIN)


       

 

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



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Second Segment
 
 
Final Segment 2 Title: 'Mad Mail'...

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): See comments below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Sudden:Death picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


FCX*

107.02

na

Mad Mail

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX*)

Q:  
 I've been reading with interest the reforms Raul Castro has recently implemented in Cuba.  Is there a play here?

JJC:
     The play would be FCX*, because there's a giant mine that was confiscated by Castro.  Raul does believe in nuclear power.  That's about the extent of my like for Raul.


MO*

21.88

na

Mad Mail

Altria (MO*)

Q:  
 I can't believe when you declared the King is dead, and when you sandwiched him between Molson and Miller... you didn't mention that the way to get a piece of Miller Beer is through the new leaner Altria (MO*), which owns about 28% of SAB Miller and still has that cool yield.  Go MO*!  A beer, cigarettes and 5% booyah!  What could be better?

JJC:
     The problem... is that I've done MO* probably more than any other stock since the year began, so this is just another way to play it, but you've got me dead to rights.  And those who say, listen, I don't want to sell Anheuser-Busch Companies Inc. (BUD), you know, listen, I'm not going to tell you...  BUD's inexpensive.  We should look at that Samuel Adams situation, because of the glass in the bottle... I can't get my arms around that yet... 


CAO

11.76

na

Mad Mail

CSK Auto Corp. (CAO)

Q:  
 It seems like no one has even noticed the creation of the third-largest auto parts retailer/wholesaler with the combining of CSK Auto Corp. (CAO) with O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY).  Is this a non-event, or merely overlooked?

JJC:
     I think that what happened is, in the General Motors (GM) strike, I didn't pay attention to it...  But, you know what?  Memo to staff...  Were going to look at that... and, if that combination makes sense to us, we're going to come right here and do it.


CMI

51.46

na

Mad Mail

Cummins Inc. (CMI)

Q:  
 During the last five recessionary periods, trucking has been the best-performing sector at greater than 30%.   I was wondering if you have a trucking or trucking parts play for us?

JJC:
     The trucking parts play is going to be Cummins Inc. (CMI) or Eaton Corp. (ETN), and the trucking play is going to be Ryder System, Inc. (R)... That's in really great shape.   By the way, I think United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is dirt cheap, and FedEx Corporation (FDX) is up 10 points since they pre-announced the downside.  So those work too.


ETN

81.63

na

Mad Mail

Eaton Corp. (ETN)