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Thursday, 05/01/08
Posted 05/01/08, 10:47
pm ET |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Thursday, 05/01/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
13,010 |
+ 189 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,480 |
+ 67 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,409 |
+ 23 |
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Opening Segment 1
Title: |
'The Sell Block'

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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
Tonight, Jim placed
traditional tech into the
Sell Block...
No specific stock sell
recommendations, except
what's indicated in Jim's
comments...
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's
SUDDEN:DEATH picks
here >>
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JJC:
You've heard all week
about the new tech
stocks... the stocks that
are in the Ohio Valley...
the stocks that are in
Camp Hill, PA... the
stocks from the industrial
heartland... those are the
techs. You know the
industrials that are
engineering new
technologies to address
the serious life or death
issues... the food issue,
the oil issue, the defense
issue... and they're
making serious money doing
it.
But now that we've gotten
new tech, what happens to
regular old tech stocks?
The
QQQQ? The Nasdaq...
the four-letter guys...
What happens to tech? What
is to be done?...
It's time to put tech...
the tech that you and I
know as tech, before
Cramerica got to it...
yeah, tech like
Intel (INTC)...
tech like
Seagate (STX)...
tech like
Celestica (CLS)...
tech like
Cisco
(CSCO)...
It's time to put that tech
- sell, sell, sell - in
the Sell Block, and throw
away the key...
Why?...
With very few exceptions,
I think tech stocks as we
think them, have stopped
being truly innovative.
Step back from the
P/E, and the
Texas Instruments (TXN)
quarterly update... step
away from the
National Semiconductor (NSM)
beat or not beat... These
companies have stopped
trying to use their
know-how... how to tackle
big problems... and, make
no mistake, the big
problems are where the
most opportunities are...
Most tech companies aren't
even trying... They don't
even imagine anymore...
they don't even try...
And, yet, they still get
sky-high multiples,
compared to the new tech
stocks, even though their
organic growth has slowed
to the point where, on
average, the old tech
players are growing
earnings at a
significantly slower pace
than the new tech stocks:
Eaton (ETN),
Parker Hannifin (PH),
Harsco (HSC),
Joy Global (JOYG),
Bucyrus
(BUCY)...
they're all growing much
faster than any Silicon
Valley company, with the
exception of maybe
Google (GOOG)...
You don't believe me? You
still think tech stocks
are worth what the
Street's paying for them?
Okay... Let me go through
what the whole tech sector
has really devolved to...
every different kind of
business that's considered
tech, okay... so you can
see how played out these
stocks are...
It's almost humorous, I've
got to tell you... Here's
what tech is...
Pretty much every tech
company falls into one of
two categories. It's
either... I'm not kidding,
this is so embarrassing...
tech is either about
making the workforce more
productive in a service
economy, and that includes
software to make employees
sell better... and the
best of that is
Salesforce.com (CRM)
or
Oracle (ORCL)...
Or, you get companies like
Seagate (STX)
that store data on a disk,
instead of paper... whoop
de-doo... That's the first
branch of tech... high
tech... the kind that lets
you effure more effective
salespeople... wow... a
real Manhattan project.
The second kind of tech
makes... get this, this is
really important, in terms
of survival, in terms of
energy independence, in
terms of hunger... video
games, good cell phones,
stuff for music...
These companies either
make you a better salesman
or a better gamer...
That's what tech is... You
can pretty much fit every
tech business into the
salesman or gamer
categories...
And some are even more
useless than they sound...
Dell (DELL)
and
Lexmark
(LXK)...
what are they? They
packagers and stylists of
PCs and printer parts.
Wow... that's tech...
I believe every one of
these categories is
stale... they have nothing
to do with solving the big
issues which, right now,
are myriad... the food
crisis, oil crisis, clean
coal, precious resources,
making water cleaner,
making engines more
efficient, saving the
rainforests, getting
emissions down, getting
hard-to-reach oil, getting
shale to oil, creating
more energy out of all
sorts of waste products,
making the climate cooler,
better wind towers...
No... Making cars
efficient, making
buildings more
energy-efficient... No...
Making devices that take
natural resources like
wind, hydrogen, sand,
sunlight... into energy...
like Cramer-fave,
First Solar (FSLR),
down today because of oil
futures... No. They're not
going to do that. They
don't care... They're not
developing a way to store
spent nuclear energy... or
figuring out how to get
more oil out of grain...
What's the biggest thing
they're working on right
now in Silicon Valley?...
Grand Theft Auto 4! That's
ambitious... really
teaching our children how
to be better felons...
Meanwhile,
Eaton (ETN)
has a grand plan to reduce
truck emissions by 40%...
Better felons?... Truck
emissions?... In fact,
tech is all about theft...
Just look at Google, which
is the greatest tool
ever... ever devised for
stealing intellectual
property...
Honestly, have these tech
companies really produced
anything big since
email?... Search
optimization?... I don't
think so...
How about
Adobe (ADBE)?...
a tech stock that makes
you get cleaner documents.
How about
Tetra Tech (TTEK),
which makes cleaner
water?... What's more
important to you?
Texas Instruments (TXN)
wants to make better and
better gadgets.
First Solar (FSLR)
wants to make cheaper and
cheaper energy, solving
the single most important
problem of our time.
I don't even think the
people running most tech
companies understand that
what they could be
doing... what the new tech
stocks are doing...
innovating in ways that
matter, solving the real
problems out there, and
making a bundle doing it.
Instead, they're whetted
to the consumer. They've
forgotten how to innovate,
and only care about how to
sell...
Intel (INTC)
used to be run by great
engineers... Bob Noyes,
Gordon Moore, Andy
Grove... These days,
everyone there feels like
a salesman to me.
Look at
Microsoft (MSFT)...
oh boy... battling to buy
Yahoo! (YHOO)...
an also-ran par
excellence, after
developing that incredible
tool, that I think may
have solved world
hunger... the XBOX! C'mon
Microsoft! They've
got a hoard of cash...
they've got brilliant
people working for it...
Couldn't the top software
company in the world focus
its efforts on software
that deals with the real
issues that the new techs
deal with?
But, in the Midwest, where
most of new technology
companies are based, the
manufacturers are building
the best technology, and
the cheapest technology,
in the world to reduce
emissions, better harvest
our natural resources,
create equipment for
alternative energy... like
Trinity (TRN),
up a quick 10% today,
because of wind
technology...
These companies are ruled
by engineers! Innovation
is their watchword... They
know, because they've got
to stay alive. They know
what their customers
want... These companies
have survived the
onslaught of foreign
competition in the 80s and
90s, and they're
constantly making new
things to better solve
real problems that you and
I know exist everyday...
Best of all, they're
making money doing it.
The old tech stocks have
high multiples and slowing
growth. I think they have
to be sold, in favor of
the new tech... where the
growth is high, and the
price-to-earnings
multiples are low.
Here's the bottom line...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
Tech stocks are supposed
to be innovative, but I
don't see much of that,
when I look at what most
people call tech... I see
a bunch of companies
trying to do the same set
of things... not branching
out... not making an
effort to go where the
money is... and that's why
tech belongs in the Sell
Block.
. . . .
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|

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Tonight, Jim placed traditional
tech into the Sell Block...
No specific stock sell
recommendations, except what's
indicated in Jim's comments
above...
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See all of tonight's stocks'
latest quotes on
Yahoo! Finance |
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Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at
Amazon.com) |
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Final Segment 2
Title: |
CEO Interview:
John McMahon, CEO |
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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
Genesis Lease Limited (GLS)
See GLS's official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for
GLS
here.
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's
SUDDEN:DEATH picks
here >>
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Jim's Comments BEFORE
the interview:
On the show tonight, I
said I nailed
Trinity (TRN),
and I said I nailed
Cummins (CMI)...
You'd think I nailed
everything, right? Well
how about
Genesis Lease (GLS)?
Down 49% since I
recommended it. Pretty
pathetic, huh? Am I
pathetic? I don't know.
Let's find out what went
wrong here.
On the line now is John
McMahon, CEO of GLS.
Welcome back to Mad Money
sir...
. . . .
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Jim's Comments AFTER
the interview:
Look, I obviously have no
right or standing to give
you a judgment at all... I
was so wrong on the thing.
If I were at my hedge
fund, I would have just
said, hey Cramer, go put a
post-it sign on your head,
Genesis Lease (GLS),
and go wear it home, and
then put your head in the
toilet and flush it...
. . . .
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
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| |
|
|
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|
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GLS |
13.94 |
na |
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