After this segment, you
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JJC: John
McCain just gave a
long-winded, detailed
speech at a Vestas
factory... in Oregon
today. Vestas makes
windmills... Let me tell
you, if you think McCain
will wind, just stick to
the bet on oil - not wind
- as a presidential
play... although wind -
the cheapest form of
renewable energy - should
still be a great
business...
And, remember, this is the
year of natural gas... I'm
predicting that 2009 will
be the year of wind...
And that's why I'm
recommending Owens
Corning (OC)...
a stealth green play
that's got both a wind
angle, and a green
building angle... as in
helping buildings conserve
energy... something that
must stay on our radar
screen with oil up to
$120... and seemingly,
inexplicably heading to
$150, which has been my
new price target...
You may know OC as the
Pink Panther, its
trademark... In fact,
though, Pink Panther as a
hallmark for insulation,
is only part of the
animation, because OC is
multi-faceted...
Besides insulation, the
Toledo-based OC makes
shingles and asphalt...
Most important, it makes
glass fiber composites...
Now this company's largest
business is 33% of
revenues, and its most
international, getting 61%
from the rest of the
world. This is the key
business...
The glass fiber composites
business takes glass
fibers, and combines them
with other materials, to
make strong, durable,
light and flexible
material, that's intended
to replace steel, wood,
concrete, aluminum... and
other stuff that's just
not as strong as this...
This is the business that
makes the composite fabric
for wind energy... where
the CEO told us, on last
week's conference call...
I want you to
go listen to it,
before you go buy... The
wind energy market, where
we have a very, very
strong market position...
both in our fabrics
business, as well as our
glass making business...
has been a real star on a
year-to-date basis, and we
think it is a real star
going forward...
Ladies and gentleman, you
have no idea how important
that the tensile strength
of this company's products
are to the new wind
turbines... Do you know
that these wind turbines
have wingspans as big as
Boeing 747s... You see,
they're not just like
little Dutch Boy
windmills...
That weight... requires
materials that have
unique, Herculean strength
and only OC has the
solution!...
Do you know that the
Department of Energy just
came out today... and said
that wind power could
provide 20% of our power
by 2030... Hey, that's not
that peak power... that's
baseline power... They're
saying that there's $43
billion that's going to be
invested in wind.
When you think of wind, I
need you to think OC... OC
will be getting a ton of
money from that. Think of
OC as kind of like railcar
maker,
Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN)...
which was also a stealth
play on wind, and which
blew away the numbers,
when it reported shortly
after I recommended it,
thanks to the wind
business...
Picture this company not
as it is with just this
guy (the Pink Panther),
okay... I want you to
picture it as it could be,
because I firmly believe
that the $150 million in
glass fiber that they sold
to the wind market in 2007
- 10% of their sales for
that division - is going
to get a whole lot
bigger...
The OC expects the wind
business to grow at a 16%
clip year-over-year for
the next decade. The whole
global composites market,
more generally, is
estimated to be about $56
billion, and demand for
these composites should be
growing at about 5% per
year... And, ever since OC
pants-ed Sanco Ban, by buying the reinforcements and
composites business from
them, it's been the
largest company in this
space.
You know... again... "new
tech" right?... What about
the rest of the
company?...
The glass fiber insulation
business... green.
Insulation saves 48% of
the energy in homes, 30%
in commercial buildings.
You probably don't know
this, but it's buildings,
not cars, that are
responsible for most of
our energy use - about 40%
- and it's really
profligate energy, when
you think about it,
because we have a simple
OC solution...
Now, the weakness of OC -
40% of its sales - still
come from new U.S.
housing... Still, that
business has stayed
profitable... Isn't that
amazing? The roofing
business, on the other
hand, isn't. But this
company is trying to
change from a cyclical
building stock, to a
global, "new technology"
company, through its
composites business. I
think it's going to
succeed.
Now, I would be worried
more about the housing
component at OC, if it
hadn't just reported its
second good quarter in a
row last week, beating
earnings per share by 5
cents. The company's
operating income only
declined by $5 million,
despite all this, okay...
The stock is supposedly
extremely levered to U.S.
construction. They see
that. The residence
construction? They're
getting out... well,
they're making it minimal,
by doing so many other
things...
OC beat, because it's no
longer just a residential
company. Its composites
business grew sales by -
get this - 82%...
Operating profits by
156%... The entire company
is now roughly 43% rest of
the world... It used to be
12% in 2006. Can you
imagine that? That's rapid
adaptation... They saw
this coming, ladies and
gentleman... they saw this
housing debacle coming.
This stock is a win, even
with housing in the dumps.
If housing bottoms, man, I
think it goes right
through the roof
shingles...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!: Owens Corning (OC)
is transforming itself
from this guy only (i.e.,
the Pink Panther, used in
their pink fiberglass
insulation branding and
commercials), to a "new
tech" play on composite
materials. With the 2009
year... fabulous wind
coming... the wind power
kicker, I think, takes the
OC right to where... right
here, I'm saying it can go
to $30! The new OC is
alive and well, and I
think should be bought
right here!
. . . .
.
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Second Segment
Final Segment
2 Title:
'Mad Mail'...
. . . .
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Featured
Stock(s):
See comments below...
After this segment, you
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Cramer's
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Q:
A while
back, you told
someone you
didn't want to
buy HOG, you
wanted to buy a
Harley... I
already had the
idea... I bought
the bike in
January and
immediately
registered it
with "booya" as
the plate.
JJC:
You made the
right move. HOG,
the stock, has
done nothing...
The guys in my
neighborhood,
who own the
Harleys, are
doing the best,
not the guys who
own the stock.
Q:
I have
read, and heard
several
observations,
that shipping is
having a problem
because of a
shortage of
containers. Is
there a play
here?
JJC:
There is...
there are
actually a bunch
of them,
frankly... But,
remember, of the
ships that we're
recommending,
we're
recommending FRO
and Nordic American Tanker (NAT)...
Go to the SUDDEN:DEATH
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We do our best to interpret
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Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
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'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
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for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
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Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
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indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
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homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about.
Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms":
Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back...
Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you.
Definition:'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock).
Definition:'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
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