Tuesday, 05/13/08
Posted 05/13/08,  9:51 pm ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Tuesday, 05/13/08

  Dow Jones: 12,832  - 44
  NASDAQ:   2,495  + 6
  S&P 500:   1,403   - 1
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: THE WINE PRIMER...

'Interview with Gary Vaynerchuk, Author of new book, "101 Wines"

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): See all comments below...



See Opening Segment 2, below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's SUDDEN:DEATH picks here >>


JJC:   Tonight, I'm on the dirty linoleum floor for a good reason... It's this 2004 Bordeaux... That's right... wine!   Why?  Because there are a lot of similarities between the wine and liquor business and the stock market...

That's why I've got somebody special we're talking to tonight...  this guy is it!... 

We're talking with Gary Vaynerchuk... He's the author of the new book, 101 Wines...

Listen, this guy's trying to revolutionize the wine... no, he's succeeding, he's succeeding!... He's de-snobbing it...  He's trying to make the wine game more successful for the average Joe...  Sound familiar?...

He's got a show on the web, which is a hoot, called winelibrarytv.com... and his viewers are self-described "Vayniacs"... just like Cramer, he's got the anti-Vayniacs, "who buy every wine that I pan"...  They do that for me too...

So...  You're going to get some education tonight... It's going to be two-fold...

He's going to talk about the adult beverages... and I'll talk about the stocks of the companies that make them...

I've got to tell you, Gary, the book changed me, because I am such a sucker...  right, it's brand world... 

Gary:  It is a brand world.  People are buying brands, and there are so many wines that are not branded [As he explains fully in his book, "101 Wines - Guaranteed to Inspire, Delight, and Bring Thunder to Your World"]...

Here is the breakdown of Gary's comments about these specific public companies:

Diageo plc (DEO).......................... Gary:  Diageo is not as heavily in the wine business, as compared to a lot of the other companies out there...  They're much more leveraged in the spirits business.  The one thing Diageo does very well is that they're branders... They're able to build brand.  They've got the P. Diddy... the Sir Rock thing...  They're looking outside the box a little bit.  They're much heavier-leveraged in the spirits industry, where there is brand equity.  They are able to, with their big brands, have a little bit more leverage... no doubt in my mind.
Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ)..... Gary:  Listen, they've got Raven's Wood, they've got Mondavi... they're doing Monkey Bay... Constellation is on the other spectrum... they're very wine driven... They're soft in the other spirits, and this is where I have a slight concern, to be honest with you...  Unlike spirits and beer, the wine world is driven by trying something different, right?  The wine consumer...  listen, if a lady comes in, and wants to buy Johnnie Walker Black, and I tell her to buy Dewar's... she's going to kick me in the neck!  A wine consumer wants to try different things.  And so, being so heavily into wine... plus, I have not seen them build a brand.  They've been buying a lot of brands... I'm a little bit concerned... I mean, they've got smart people... I'd like to see a little bit more brand building...
Fortune Brands (FO)..................... Gary:  I'm a little bit worried on that as well... This whole Absolut thing that's going on...  but Jim Beam is strong.  I like the fact that they're in the spirits game.  Again, a lot more equity than the wine game...  Again, none of these have shown any skill in social media, in Web 2.0...  It's looking a lot like Coca-Cola to me...  You know, Vitamin Water and Red Bull... these things exploded from viral marketing and understanding that it's 2008!  I don't feel that at all...  
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B).... Gary:  Unstoppable with Jack Daniels.  The wine portfolio is a little bit of a mess.  I like what they did with Virgin... they teamed up with Virgin... and did the Virgin wines.  I'd like to see more sex appeal from them, but they're not bringing the thunder either, Cramer...  I mean, I'm being very honest with you... None of these companies are saying to me, it's 2008... we're embracing new media.  Nobody's using Twitter, nobody's leveraging FaceBook properly... There's such a fundamental new way to build brand in America, and I don't see any of these monsters doing it...

 

Jim:   I want you to give our audience three wines that you think could have dramatic appreciation, as if they were $10 stocks, going to $30... or the proverbial $200 stock going to $3000....  Give us three good names...

Gary:  I'm not going to give you direct names... I'm going to give you vintage...  2004-2005 Bordeaux is a huge play.  2004, because it's the last of the Mohicans...  2005 - one of the greatest vintages of all time - changed the price structure... changed it...  So, '04, there are bargains galore... 

The other play that I'm completely in love with is Portugal...  $6, $7, $8... Spain's happened... Australia's happened... It's about Portugal... wines that are drinking like $25 wines...

If you want to make money, you buy solid cases of 2005 Bordeaux...  Now, the market's moved already.  Now, a year ago, if we did this, we'd be heroes...  Well, Portugal is not going to go up in value.  If you're looking for value, just drink it...  If you're looking for money, 2005 Bordeaux... 2004 Bordeaux... 

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      Gary Vaynerchuk... you have revolutionized the game, and will continue... I tell people, you've got to go to this site... You've got to go to winelibrarytv.com... The book... I mean, for a guy who loves wines, and I have been over-paying all my life, in order to impress people, just when you tell me not to be!...  This man changed my life... Gary Vaynerchuk, my friend, you're the best... you're the best.  Thank you.

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


na

na

na

No specific stock picks.
See comments above about wines.


       

 

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at Amazon.com)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 

 


  We need your help! 
If you find our service valuable, your donation is critically helpful to support
our operating costs and is MUCH appreciated!
(click below to donate)

We are serving thousands of new visitors every day and our costs are growing as well.  Thank you for your support & generosity!


 

 

 

 
 
 
 
Second Segment
 
 
Final Segment 2 Title: 'Mad Mail'...

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): See comments below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Sudden:Death picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

MVL

34.32

na

Mad Mail

Marvel Entertainment, Inc. (MVL)

Q:  
  Given that we still don't know the full magnitude of the revenues, prior to the May 22nd release of the Indiana Jones movie, do you feel that MVL, and the obvious tie-in to Hasbro Inc. (HAS), via licensing, is still a long-term hold?

JJC:
     Okay... understand...  The stock's up on a spike.  HAS is up on a spike.  That concerns me.  I would take some off the table.  No one ever got hurt taking a profit.  I know that's probably not what you want to hear, but I have to tell you that, I think when stocks go up that quickly, we don't give them speeding tickets, but we do ring the register... 

TRLG

22.19

na

Mad Mail

True Religion Apparel Inc. (TRLG)

Q:  
  Last week, I bought TRLG before its earnings announcement and sold it yesterday for a nice 24% gain. Awesome!  But, given the state of the economy, how did a company that gets 72% of its earnings from $300 jeans beat estimates?  I'm glad it worked out for me, but how did this happen?

JJC:
     This was one that a couple of people had, and were urging me to do...  I felt the same way, having been to True Religion, and giving my daughter, candidly, a $200 gift certificate for her birthday, which I thought was huge... and she came back and said, Dad, I can buy half a pant leg for that...  I totally misjudged it.  The answer is, TRLG is a cult...  It's a cult, and people will pay anything for cults, like they will for Apple (AAPL), so TRLG, good quarter, but you were smart to ring the register...

 

 

[ end of final segment ]

   
 

Go to the SUDDEN:DEATH SEGMENT from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>


Netflix, Inc.


Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
  © 2005-2007 MadMoneyRecap.com ■ Important disclaimer: This site is not affiliated with Mr. James Cramer, and is not associated with any television networks or broadcasts. Please note that all thumbs up or thumbs down indicators are not always clearly indicated on the show and are interpreted by us as accurately as possible. Some comments have been edited for brevity and clarity, and extraneous material omitted.  Please rely on watching the show yourself, doing your own homework, and reading the text of the comments to draw your own conclusions. Also, data presented on this site should not be used to make investment decisions and accuracy, although attempted, cannot be guaranteed.  Please consult with your own financial advisor for professional advice.
 
 

 

 
       

Feedback   ■   Terms of use   ■   Privacy Policy  ■   Keep this site Free