JJC:
When a theme works, we go
right back to it. And
that's why, even on this
nasty, ugly day, for
speculation Friday, I've
got not one, but two
speculative battery
stocks... One that
is speculative frankly,
and one that is sizzling,
ultra hot... well let's
just say that it has extra
hot sauce on it...
Now, why do we know that
battery stocks work?...
Well, not just the fact
that oil was up $10 today
and it just went up more
than it ever has and all
that other stuff that all
the other shows talked
about... Back on May
21st, I recommended
EnerSys (ENS)...
that's the world's number
one maker of old-fashioned
lead acid batteries...
Since then, it's up 4.6%.
Now I also thought of that
same day recommending
another battery stock,
Exide (XIDE),
and I held off, because I
thought it had too much
auto exposure... but Exide
has preformed even better
than ENS... My bad,
it's up 10.6%...
Hey, maybe these battery
stocks are all triple A's,
the only one's left of
course after the banking
debacle...
So, today, we're returning
to the battery theme with
XIDE, and then, for those
of you who want something
even more speculative,
there's HEV...
. . . .
.
What's Exide
Technologies (XIDE)?...
It makes old-fashioned
lead acid batteries... not
the lithium-ion batteries
everyone wants to
speculate on, as the
future of hybrid
technology... XIDE's
batteries are used in
cars, for ignition and
lighting, trucks, off-road
vehicles, ag equipment,
construction vehicles,
bikes and boats... in the
transportation division...
and, most importantly,
forklifts and floor
cleaning machinery in its
industrial division, where
the batteries are used in
what's known as materials
handling...
Now, speaking of materials
handling, I like XIDE,
because of my fabulous
time with the fantastic
men and women on the
aircraft carrier, the USS
Harry S. Truman, which has
tremendous
state-of-the-art equipment
everywhere... they use
trucks with XIDE
batteries... so they must
really trust XIDE to be
clean, safe and lasting...
The one reason I held off
from endorsing this stock
was, well, I didn't like
the auto exposure, but the
stock has outperformed
ENS, my battery pick, so
it's time to reassess the
judgment...
Maybe it's because 56% of
XIDE's sales come from
outside the U.S.... I'm
not going to associate
this company with the weak
North American auto
market... It's a
ROW-er...
XIDE doubled their
capacity for making auto
batteries in India.
They're also looking to
increase penetration in
South America, Mexico, or
places where people want
to still buy cars...
This company is also the
largest recycler of lead
batteries in the U.S....
98% of their lead comes
from recycling... so
they're not getting killed
by higher lead prices.
It's in a great
position...
And, best of all, only one
analyst covers XIDE. It's
a real orphan stock. I
like it. I did not think
about doing this...
honestly... until I saw it
on the USS Harry S.
Truman.
. . . .
.
How about Ener1 Inc.
(HEV)?...
If XIDE is speculative, at
least it's making the kind
of batteries that people
can buy now... HEV is the
kind of unprofitable
company that is a stock
that will trade on hype
more than anything else...
Can I be honest?... It's
kind of a CNBC game kind
of stock...
HEV is developing three
alternative energy
technologies that are so
hype-able... especially
with oil at $137 a barrel,
heading to $150... I think
that people will be all
over this under-$7
stock... which was
actually up today,
courtesy of the big jump
in oil.
HEV is in a joint venture
with
Delphi Corp. (DPHIQ.PK)...
it's main business...
that's developing a
lithium-ion battery...
That's the holy grail of
hybrid technology...
Then it's got a division
developing the third
part... nano materials for
better energy storage in
batteries... With oil
here, this stock is
infinitely hype-able...
and it's also adding
another battery
business... But, look,
we're talking about
products that... I'm going
to use this number, so you
know how speculative it
is... We're talking about
products not really
delivering for maybe as
far as... 50 years... I
mean, this stuff is really
on the drawing board...
you got that... drawing
board...
Now that HEV has moved
from the OTC
(over-the-counter Trading
Desk) to the AMEX
(American Stock Exchange),
it seems to be starting up
on investors radars,
because it actually looks
like a legitimate
investment. When oil goes
up so much, we can now
discount these stocks
differently.
There's actually a
legitimate reason to own
this one...
This joint venture with
Delphi... It recently
announced an agreement to
sell prototype batteries
to ThinkGlobal, a
Norwegian company that
makes electrical
vehicles... If this works
out, it could lead to full
production contracts by
the end of the year... a
fully-functional vehicle
by the end of June...
That's why HEV is worthy
of speculation... that's
the real truth...
HEV does have the
potential to be the first
mover in the lithium-ion
battery market... It could
start producing
non-prototype batteries by
the end of 2008, and
supply the U.S. auto
industry, helping them to
close the hybrid car gap
with the Japanese.
No coverage on this one at
all... It's a real
orphan... But it has the
mystique of an under-$10
stock with a bunch of sexy
technology...
. . . .
.
Okay, now let me give
you the Cramer Miranda
warning...
Before you buy either of
these stocks, you must do
the homework... and you
better wait at least a
week from today, to avoid
buying into the spike,
because now people say, oh
now Cramer likes HEV... I
do like HEV. Why? Because
it's where it is... not to
where you might take it if
you get all excited...
When you buy, you
absolutely have to use
limit orders, and only buy
in small increments...
These are tiny companies.
You don't want to end up
paying through the nose,
because you placed a big
market order.
The Bottom Line!:
If you want to speculate
on batteries, and I know
you do... If you
want to play the CNBC
game, and I know you do...
Well, this is the power
source of the future...
My stock picks are
Exide Technologies (XIDE),
on a "Wages of Fear"
(movie reference) play...
and Ener1 Inc. (HEV),
if you want something even
more speculative.