JJC:
What I'm about to tell
you... it's going to make
me a little nauseous...
But I'm saying it anyway,
because I believe it could
also make you more than a
little money...
I think we could start
buying... I'm recommending
Motorola (MOT)
and
Yahoo! (YHOO)...
Before I say anything
else, let me make one
thing perfectly clear...
I hate these two stocks,
MOT and YHOO, as much as a
man can hate anything
that, in the end, is just
a piece of paper...
These two companies have
spent years turning
once-great franchises into
laughing stocks...
They also have become
experts at squandering
opportunity after
opportunity after
opportunity... Great
brand names, a really
fabulous pull...
No... both YHOO and MOT
have both earned the
unique disgrace of having
a CEO on the Mad Money
Wall of Shame...
Knowing all that, why on
earth am I calling both
MOT and YHOO buys?...
Have I finally snapped?...
Anyone who knows me knows
that happened years ago...
No. I'm calling both
stocks buys, because I
believe that, when it
comes to stocks, one man
can make a difference...
That's right... A
single individual can turn
an abysmal failure, like
MOT or YHOO, into a stock
worth owning...
And that man's name is
Carl Icahn...
We know Icahn - who has
accumulated huge stakes in
both companies - he's been
fighting with management,
trying to get his own guys
on the boards of MOT and
YHOO, in order to arrest
control away from the
current slate of...
complacent directors... at
both companies, so that he
can start to unlock
value... This man knows
how to unlock value.
What we haven't known is
if he can pull it off...
and now, I believe, he
can...
Last week, I heard Icahn
speak at a key,
high-level, ultra-cool war
room shin-dig, moderated
by Cramer-fave, money
manager and research
director, Byron Wean who,
by the way, is the only
real gray beard that I
trust... Icahn made what
seemed to me like a
compelling case for what
he can do for both
companies... and, given
his recent track record...
remember that mammoth win
we had in
BEA Systems Inc. (BEAS)?...
I'm inclined to recommend
that you piggyback off
Icahn's efforts.
Piggybacking off Icahn is
a proven strategy at this
point. While he does the
hard work of bullying
management into doing
things that sends their
stock higher, you
historically just have to
own that stock, and sit on
your hands to benefit from
all the work that Carl
does. We did it in BEA...
that's the most prominent
one, because I recommended
it on the show, and he
went and got active...
We love what he did with
Kerr-McGee... It was
announced that Icahn owned
Kerr-McGee on February
18th of 2005... the stock
was at $33... If you
bought it, you then made
107%... Kerr-McGee was
then bought by
Anadarko Petroleum
(APC)
on August 10th of 2006...
How much do we like
APC?... We've had all the
CEOs of the natural gas
companies on... we've
encouraged them.
Another success story was
Time Warner (TWX)...
Icahn also bullied
management into becoming
more pro-shareholder. If
you bought it when it was
that Icahn owned TWX, on
May 13th of 2005, well,
you're up nicely... Now, I
would also point out that
he sold that stock for a
big profit. You had to do
that too... he sold most
of it.
Now, full disclosure... He
has made a major mistake
in
WCI Communities (WCI).
Could it get better? I
don't think so. We told
you to avoid all housing
stocks for a couple of
years now. We reiterate
that position, including
WCI.
. . . .
.
Icahn's case for
Motorola Inc. (MOT)?...
Just forget about the
debacle at this company
cell phone business...
Icahn noted that the
massive free cash flow
that MOT's other two
divisions generate is
enough to take the stock
up from $9, where it is
now, to the low teens...
Again, forget handsets...
He's saying they've got
enough in the other
businesses.
Like the rest of us, Icahn
despises what MOT's done
with cell phones, but he
also pointed out that
there are immense barriers
to entry, preventing any
new player from emerging
in this business... among
the highest barriers to
entry that he's ever seen.
Icahn's wants MOT to do
what I want it to do...
break apart into three
companies... something he
and I both believe...
Icahn has already
pressured MOT into putting
one of his guys onto the
board, nominating another
with the election during
the 2008 shareholder
meeting. I think he's got
the clout to pull this
off. I don't want to miss
the results. I think the
downside is limited.
. . . .
.
How about
Yahoo! (YHOO)?...
Icahn's buying stock...
tons of it... He had to
file with the SEC to buy
more than $2.5 billion
worth... because he
believes it's only a
matter of time before he,
and other like-minded
investors, own enough to
oust what he calls the
worst least
pro-shareholder management
he's ever encountered,
despite what he says is
Yahoo's endless
protestations that they're
incredibly shareholder
friendly... and that
they're doing the best
they can. Me thinks that
Yahoo doth protest too
much...
Icahn believes that mutual
funds that don't wake up
to this fact will have big
redemptions. I don't think
he's wrong... it's going
to push them out of the
game. If you own the stock
in your mutual fund, Icahn
is going to kind of like
make it known that you
didn't vote correctly.
It's going to hurt your
business. I like that...
Icahn thinks it is
imperative for
Microsoft (MSFT)
to stop
Google (GOOG),
especially because Google
could soon ship free
software that you can
download that Icahn thinks
could be better than
(Microsoft's operating
system) Vista... not
hard... and could send you
right to GOOG's service.
That would seem to set the
stage either for the new
YHOO to sell itself to
MSFT, like it should have
done before, or set up a
search deal with them...
Icahn was so passionate
about this... it happened
to be the day that he
wrote the letter about
their ridiculous severance
play... I doubt there was
a person in the room that
believes he won't go for
it.
Beyond the Icahn factor,
both
Motorola (MOT)
or
Yahoo! (YHOO)
are statistically cheap...
At these prices, the
risk/reward for each
of them is great. These
stocks would tempt any
performance manager right
here... right now...
because the opportunity to
get into both of them
hasn't looked this good
for a while...
Here's the bottom line...
The Bottom Line!:
Don't buy
Motorola (MOT)
or
Yahoo! (YHOO)
because you believe in MOT
and YHOO... Buy
them, because you believe
in Icahn, whose only big
misstep was
WCI Communities (WCI).
But neither YHOO nor MOT
fits that profile...
Stick with Icahn...