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Friday, 06/27/08
Posted 06/29/08, 11:17
pm ET |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Friday, 06/27/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
11,346 |
- 106 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,315 |
- 5 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,278 |
- 4 |
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Final Segment
1 Title: |
'The
Incredible Bulk' |
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. . . .
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Featured
Stock(s): |
Britannia Bulk
Holdings Inc. (DWT)
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's
Sudden:Death picks
here...
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JJC:
For speculation Friday,
okay, speculation
Friday... I have drudged
up an over-looked IPO that
came public just last week
and sank like a stone...
It's Britannia Bulk
Holdings Inc. (DWT)...
It's one of these dry bulk
shipping companies, a
group which has made a lot
of money for us in the
past that rise and fall
with the Baltic dry index,
which covers the rates
they can charge for
shipping, and it's pulled
back hard... It ruined
Britannia Bulk's IPO, but
that's okay... You see,
because, we didn't
recommend it on the IPO.
No, we thought it was too
high. The IPO priced at
$15 a share. But it opened
much lower than that, and
kept sinking. A real loser
for anyone participating
in the deal, but a winner
for Cramericans who are
about to buy it at $12.80.
I think the Baltic Dry
Index will recover, making
DWT a good buy, but only
at the right price.
Remember, we like these
dry bulk shippers for
their dividend yields. You
see that
Frontline Ltd. (FRO),
by the way... I think it's
up $1.83 today... This
stock is less than a
dollar off its 52-week
high despite the fact that
the market is down almost
20%. These companies pay
out huge dividends and
Britannia Bulk is no
exception. At this price,
I think the implied yield,
when they declare the
dividend will be 8.8%.
Remember what you're
getting in treasuries.
8.8%, that's better than a
sharp Panama ship in the
eye.
But it's important to
remember that this is a
small company and we're
going to give you a little
bit... Going to give you
that little Miranda
warning again, okay? It's
a small company, a small
stock. You can not pay up
for it.
Britannia Bulk is a great
dividend play with growth
right now, but at this
price, you can't buy this
stock recklessly. If you
pay, remember I said
$12.80, so let's walk
through this... If you pay
over $13 you are no longer
getting a good deal... And
the only reason why you
would pay more than $13 is
because it was mentioned
on this show. If you pay
$13.50, you're positively
getting ripped off...
Because the higher the
price you pay, the lower
the yield. It will be
lower later in the week
when people forget that I
highlighted it on the show
and if you buy it now, you
will end up joining the
legion of lurking
Cramer-haters. Only with
those caveats in mind
while I tell you about
this company, Britannia
owns 22 ships, 13 of them
are bulk ships, 5 are
ocean barges and 4 are tug
boats. But 5 of their dry
bulk ships, along with all
their barges and the
tugboats are new idea, new
thought on this show, are
ice class ships... Meaning
they're the only kind of
ship capable of sailing in
icy conditions, the kind
you get during the winter
in the Baltic Sea, which
just so happens to be
Britannia's primary area
of operation. Britannia
may no longer rule the
waves, but they still got
that Shackle-like knack
for navigating through
frozen waters.
DWT does also ships
between the Baltic and
India, as well as Latin
America, as well as
between Australia and
India and China. It's bulk
ships are all smaller
size... That's that
Panamax, Hanymax and Handy
size ships, the smallest
ones... But they can get
through canals without any
trouble. Britannia also
charters 45 vessels. About
half their shipping volume
is, and you ready for
this?... What other stocks
were up huge today?...
Coal. Followed by, what
other stocks were up huge
today?... Agricultural
commodities. And what
other stocks were up
huge?... Fertilizers. We
know all this stuff is in
high demand, we see it in
the stock prices. Dry bulk
ships are how these things
get from place to place.
All this business supports
Britannia's juicy 8.8
yield. But there is also a
growth element to this
company. It has 6 more
ice-class dry bulk ships
on order between June 2009
and 2010, which will make
DWT more money and allow
them to grow its dividend,
likely sending its share
price well as higher. Much
higher?... Conceivably.
Let's talk about why it's
IPO was such a failure,
you need to know that, and
why I think it could make
a comeback. There was a
quick downturn in the
Baltic dry index just when
they brought this
public... Which tells us,
remember, that index tells
us what the rates are
going to be, what
Britannia Bulk can charge.
The Chinese government
ordered a reduction in
iron ore stock piles right
at the time when this deal
came public, which was the
cause of the big pull back
in the Baltic Dry Index.
That inventory reduction
will prove to be
temporary... 3 or 4 weeks.
This was a short-term hit,
not a long-term problem. I
believe the Dry Bulk Index
could swing up again
because of the supply and
demand pressures. While
15% of the Bulk order due
to be delivered to China
will be delayed, commodity
demand is still expected
to double over the next
three years, thanks to
China and India. It's
possible too, that the
volatility in dry bulks
over the last couple weeks
has been caused by heavy
hedge-fund short selling,
that's market mechanics.
It means the stock are
broken, not the
companies... They're going
to snap back. Now DWT will
sway this way and that
with that Baltic Index,
but I think that the
downside, which we care
about on Mad Money, is a
cap, cap, because as the
stock goes down, the
dividend protection kicks
in. And overall, I expect
this stock and the Baltic
Dry Index to higher,
ultimately.
Remember, the cautions are
to watch, especially after
the massive decline we've
experienced, wait for
pull-backs before you buy,
especially with a small
stock like DWT. You will
get plenty of chances to
buy this one at a good
price, because the Baltic
Dry Index can be pretty
volatile... Wait for your
chance with the stock at
$12.80, it's a good
deal... Limit orders no
higher than $13... If you
buy excessively, that
price will go higher. If
you pay market orders, in
other words, you don't
tell the broker what
limit, you'll be paying
too much.
. . . .
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The Bottom Line!:
Britannia Bulk Holdings
Inc. (DWT)
will pay you an 8.8% yield
to wait for its new ships
to come online and fuel
some growth. This one is a
speculative buy, meaning
its very cautious... But
don't buy all at once, use
limit orders, and if you
pay up, you're an idiot.
. . . .
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|

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DWT |
12.80 |
na |
Britannia Bulk Holdings Inc.
(DWT)
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See all of tonight's stocks'
latest quotes on
Yahoo! Finance |
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Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at
Amazon.com) |
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Opening Segment 2
Title: |
'CEO Interview'
Interview with
John McFarland, CEO |
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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
Baldor Electric Co. (BEZ)
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
Jim's comments BEFORE
the interview:
What would you do with a
company which has as its
manifesto... "Our strategy
is to produce the highest
quality energy efficient
products on the market
place and sell them to
value minded customers."
We're talking
Baldor Electric Co. (BEZ)...
Baldor Electric, one of
our new technology
stocks... And we're
fortunate enough to have
on the line now, John
McFarland, Chairman and
CEO of Baldor Electric...
Jim's comments AFTER
the interview:
I am giving this the
highest approval. I am
telling you America has
great technology... But
you may be reluctant to
buy it because you're too
busy buying companies that
make Grand Theft Auto and
the better cell phones.
Stick with Baldor, stick
with American
manufacturers.
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
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|
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|

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BEZ |
35.38 |
na |
Baldor Electric Co. (BEZ)
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[
end of final segment ]
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Go to the SUDDEN:DEATH
SEGMENT from
tonight's show
here >>
See current quotes on Yahoo!
Finance from
tonight's show stocks
here >> |
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Symbol keys: |
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A Charitable Trust stock.
- An asterisk next to a
stock symbol indicates that
Jim mentioned it is a stock
that he manages within
his
charitable trust portfolio.
You can see the complete
portfolio
of stocks
here >> |
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