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Tuesday, 07/01/08
Posted 07/02/08, 07:21
am ET |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Tuesday, 07/01/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
11,382 |
+ 32 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,304 |
+
11 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,284 |
+ 4 |
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Final Segment
1 Title: |
'It's An
Offshore Thing' |
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Featured
Stock(s): |
Bristow Group,
Inc. (BRS)
See BRS's official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for
BRS
here.
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's
Sudden:Death picks
here...
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JJC:
What do I think is still
working in this market?...
Oil and gas... And
everything connected to
finding it, drilling for
it, getting it out of the
ground...
Even after the close
tonight, Cramer-fave
Chesapeake (CHK)...
how many times have I told
you that Aubrey McClennan
(CEO), the guy who kept
buying stock, is the best
there is...
CHK has some great news
about finds in the
Haynesville Shale and a
transaction that is going
to move this whole group
up again tomorrow... There
is drilling madness in
this country... That's
why, in response to
popular demand, because
you guys loved our series
on the wildcats... How
much did you love them?...
Well obviously... The
companies that drill where
no man has never drilled
before and you I mean look
at these, they're pretty
good...
This CHK keeps upgrading
its reserves here... And
offshore cleaner drilling
plays, which I know you
like too... I'm going to
give you one more,
okay?...
By the way, the
wildcatters, really making
you some chow, the S&P is
not doing nearly as well
as that group, it's not
bad... The clean offshore
drilling plays are up an
average of .9%, but I
recommended them last
week, let's give them a
shot, that was a terrible
week... So I think you
have to bide your time,
but again, I think the
group will be because of
this CHK announcement
after the close with
plains... It's really,
really big... S&P is just
doing terribly, this group
has been thoroughly
thrashing the market...
Our next Mad Money
offshore play, it's one
you never heard of...
It's called Bristow
Group, Inc. (BRS).
The BRS is a follow up on
all of the offshore
drilling stocks we talked
about last week, when I
gave you a bunch of stocks
that make offshore
drilling safer and more
profitable... By the way,
my senator from New
Jersey, Menendez, came out
and said everything we
said is basically
untrue... He didn't
reference our show, that
would be asking for too
much, he probably has wake
apnea, another guy who has
wake apnea... You know he
was basically talking
about where we were back
in 1969, he's talking
about Santa Barbara...
Wake up and smell the fact
that the crude isn't,
isn't polluting our
beaches, and it's just a
high real estate costs
that are coming down. BRS
offers another service
that helps offshore
drillers... Helicopters...
Last week I recommended
Hornbeck Offshore Services
Inc. (HOS),
for all you homegamers,
and for all you Bonanza
fans... Now, just so I can
personally, little self
revelation... I was a
Parnell Roberts fan,
remember Adam?... No that
could have been because of
another show (i.e.,
M*A*S*H) that was a
classic, Trapper John MD,
the original template for
Mad Money...
Anyway, HOS is a company
that makes the boats that
are pretty much the only
way to supply offshore
rigs with the material
they need. BRS provides
one the best way to
provide rigs with the
manpower they need, by
flying them in on
helicopters, or choppers,
as I call them, because I
radiate cool. Oil service
helicopters are a great
business their day rates,
Wall Street jibberish for
how much they cost to rent
per day are less cyclical
than those of the rig...
Although, right now, the
cyclicality of the rig day
rates is a good thing,
it's why we like
Transocean Inc. (RIG)
so much. Helicopter
contracts are on a monthly
retainer so BRS gets the
same amount of money
regardless of how often
its helicopter is used...
And customers usually pay
for fuel cost overruns,
something that is
especially important in
this environment. Once you
build a platform, you
always need helicopters to
bring in personnel. And
this is one of those
things where they're on
for a while, off for a
while... It's like a
firehouse. And as oil
exploration moves into
deep water areas that are
farther from the coast the
demand for the larger and
medium sized helicopters
BRS makes should increase
even if Congress doesn't
let us drill offshore in
the US, every other
country in the world with
offshore oil is drilling
like mad... And that has
to increase the demand for
helicopters to put people
on the platforms where
they're needed. We're the
only ones, but we do tell
every other country they
should drill a lot. Not
us, we like our beaches
pristine... Like they
wouldn't be, with the
technology we have in
export. We like BRS
because the market for its
medium and large sized
choppers is a happy
duopoly... BRS shares it
with CHC, that was
recently taken private,
and the barriers to entry
of how you are going to
just come up with a fleet
of big helicopters are
high. Duopolies have
what's known in economics
classes as pricing power,
which is a really nice way
to say that they can gouge
their customers at will.
BRS owns and operates 548
helicopters with 25 on
order. It gets 77% of its
sales from the rest of the
world... And sees $1.5
billion in business going
forward, that's huge for a
$1.1 billion company. A
lot of it is coming from
Brazil,
Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR),
drilling like mad, they
want every single rig they
can get... Southeast Asia
and western Africa...
Oh, by the way, all of
those countries that
actually drill offshore,
we tell them that they
should do that, not us.
Best of all, there's a
shortage of helicopters
serving the offshore
industry... I believe
we're about 400
helicopters shy of what we
need... And because all of
the smaller choppers get
sold out... Even better,
the supply of large
helicopters has been
increasingly constrained
because of the war in
Iraq... It's taking up a
lot of the newer medium to
large choppers coming out
of factories, which means
less new choppers going to
oil and gas, which should
mean more money for
companies like BRS, that
own the existing, very in
demand helicopters that
service the industry.
There are only three
companies that make these
helicopters and their
order books are locked up
for the next three
years... Visibility, that
should make BRS about as
close to invulnerable from
competition as you can be,
and locking the tight
supply of helicopters in
place for the next three
years, which should be
great for BRS's price
gauging power...
We got a chopper shortage
brewing and BRS is the way
to play it. Now, BRS's
stock is just emerging
from a capital overhang...
It blew up when the
company announced it
needed to raise capital in
order to buy an additional
19 choppers, the offering
a private placement with
Taladonial investments
priced at $46.87 on June
19th, just a couple weeks
ago, the stock is now
above that price at
$48.81, but that kept it
down, that's the
opportunity. If you look
at the valuation, see what
CHC helicopters got when
it was taken private, then
apply it to BRS, $68 stock
masquerading as a $48
stock. I say stop the
masquerade... That's 40%
potential upside from this
price. I would not be at
all surprised if it gets
there given how hot this
segment is, and it's
getting hotter, not
colder... Don't pay up for
this stock... Tomorrow we
will see a big inventory
build, I believe, in the
domestic oil numbers, and
the oil and gas stocks
will get hammered for
there, so we've been
buying them every time we
see this pattern... So
that's a much better time
to be buying BRS... So
keep your paddle dry,
watch the number at 10:30,
everybody will be
screaming and yelling,
full sound and fury
signifying nothing...
Oil will go down in prices
will send the stock down
and time and time again,
it is proven that the
ultimate direction of oil
can not be predicted by
this silly 10:30 number,
but it is a great time to
buy BRS.
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
I think Bristow Group,
Inc. (BRS)
is the best play on
offshore services
helicopters. Its cleared
up its capital overhang...
It's part of a happy
duopoly... Business is
booming. What's not to
like?
. . . .
.
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|

|
BRS |
48.81 |
na |
Bristow Group, Inc. (BRS)
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See all of tonight's stocks'
latest quotes on
Yahoo! Finance |
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Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at
Amazon.com) |
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Final Segment
2 Title: |
'Mad Mail'... |
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. . . .
. |
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Featured
Stock(s): |
See comments below... |
|
|
After this segment, you
can see Jim's
Sudden:Death picks
here... |
. . . .
.
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|
■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
|
| |
|
|
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|
 |
na |
na |
na |
Mad Mail
W
JJC:
Bob from New
Jersey asked the
other day in the
lightning round
about what's
WTS? Okay,
that's a stock
that we
recommended on
11/2/06. It's a
company that
makes water
infrastructure
like pipes,
connectors and
valves... We
bought the
stock, we
thought it was a
good one because
we felt
infrastructure
was going to be
good... It did
too much
residential
infrastructure,
we need to see a
bottom in
residential
before we
recommend that
one again. WTS,
one of those
great theories
that just didn't
work.
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HOS |
55.02 |
na |
Mad Mail
Hornbeck Offshore Services
Inc. (HOS)
Q:
Booyah Cramer, I
am Cramerica. I
am captain of a
new-generation
offshore supply
vessel for HOS,
and our vessel
is contracted to
and working for
Anadarko Petroleum
(APC)
production star
in the Gulf of
Mexico. The spar
has a
Nabors Industries (NBR)
portable rig on
deck [JJC: every
one of these
stocks I've been
recommending my
butt off]
performing and
drilling on a
few of the
spar's oil and
gas wells. One
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