Tuesday, 07/01/08
Posted 07/02/08,  07:21 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Tuesday, 07/01/08

  Dow Jones: 11,382   + 32
  NASDAQ:   2,304   + 11
  S&P 500:   1,284    + 4
 
 
 
 
 
Final Segment 1
 
 
Final Segment 1 Title: 'It's An Offshore Thing'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Bristow Group, Inc. (BRS)

See BRS's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for BRS here.


See Opening Segment 2, below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Sudden:Death picks here...

 

JJC:    What do I think is still working in this market?... Oil and gas... And everything connected to finding it, drilling for it, getting it out of the ground...

Even after the close tonight, Cramer-fave Chesapeake (CHK)... how many times have I told you that Aubrey McClennan (CEO), the guy who kept buying stock, is the best there is...

CHK has some great news about finds in the Haynesville Shale and a transaction that is going to move this whole group up again tomorrow... There is drilling madness in this country... That's why, in response to popular demand, because you guys loved our series on the wildcats... How much did you love them?... Well obviously... The companies that drill where no man has never drilled before and you I mean look at these, they're pretty good...

This CHK keeps upgrading its reserves here... And offshore cleaner drilling plays, which I know you like too... I'm going to give you one more, okay?...

By the way, the wildcatters, really making you some chow, the S&P is not doing nearly as well as that group, it's not bad... The clean offshore drilling plays are up an average of .9%, but I recommended them last week, let's give them a shot, that was a terrible week... So I think you have to bide your time, but again, I think the group will be because of this CHK announcement after the close with plains... It's really, really big... S&P is just doing terribly, this group has been thoroughly thrashing the market...

Our next Mad Money offshore play, it's one you never heard of...

It's called Bristow Group, Inc. (BRS).

The BRS is a follow up on all of the offshore drilling stocks we talked about last week, when I gave you a bunch of stocks that make offshore drilling safer and more profitable... By the way, my senator from New Jersey, Menendez, came out and said everything we said is basically untrue... He didn't reference our show, that would be asking for too much, he probably has wake apnea, another guy who has wake apnea... You know he was basically talking about where we were back in 1969, he's talking about Santa Barbara... Wake up and smell the fact that the crude isn't, isn't polluting our beaches, and it's just a high real estate costs that are coming down. BRS offers another service that helps offshore drillers... Helicopters... Last week I recommended Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS), for all you homegamers, and for all you Bonanza fans... Now, just so I can personally, little self revelation... I was a Parnell Roberts fan, remember Adam?... No that could have been because of another show (i.e., M*A*S*H) that was a classic, Trapper John MD, the original template for Mad Money...

Anyway, HOS is a company that makes the boats that are pretty much the only way to supply offshore rigs with the material they need. BRS provides one the best way to provide rigs with the manpower they need, by flying them in on helicopters, or choppers, as I call them, because I radiate cool. Oil service helicopters are a great business their day rates, Wall Street jibberish for how much they cost to rent per day are less cyclical than those of the rig... Although, right now, the cyclicality of the rig day rates is a good thing, it's why we like Transocean Inc. (RIG) so much. Helicopter contracts are on a monthly retainer so BRS gets the same amount of money regardless of how often its helicopter is used... And customers usually pay for fuel cost overruns, something that is especially important in this environment. Once you build a platform, you always need helicopters to bring in personnel. And this is one of those things where they're on for a while, off for a while... It's like a firehouse. And as oil exploration moves into deep water areas that are farther from the coast the demand for the larger and medium sized helicopters BRS makes should increase even if Congress doesn't let us drill offshore in the US, every other country in the world with offshore oil is drilling like mad... And that has to increase the demand for helicopters to put people on the platforms where they're needed. We're the only ones, but we do tell every other country they should drill a lot. Not us, we like our beaches pristine... Like they wouldn't be, with the technology we have in export. We like BRS because the market for its medium and large sized choppers is a happy duopoly... BRS shares it with CHC, that was recently taken private, and the barriers to entry of how you are going to just come up with a fleet of big helicopters are high. Duopolies have what's known in economics classes as pricing power, which is a really nice way to say that they can gouge their customers at will. BRS owns and operates 548 helicopters with 25 on order. It gets 77% of its sales from the rest of the world... And sees $1.5 billion in business going forward, that's huge for a $1.1 billion company. A lot of it is coming from Brazil, Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR), drilling like mad, they want every single rig they can get... Southeast Asia and western Africa...

Oh, by the way, all of those countries that actually drill offshore, we tell them that they should do that, not us. Best of all, there's a shortage of helicopters serving the offshore industry... I believe we're about 400 helicopters shy of what we need... And because all of the smaller choppers get sold out... Even better, the supply of large helicopters has been increasingly constrained because of the war in Iraq... It's taking up a lot of the newer medium to large choppers coming out of factories, which means less new choppers going to oil and gas, which should mean more money for companies like BRS, that own the existing, very in demand helicopters that service the industry. There are only three companies that make these helicopters and their order books are locked up for the next three years... Visibility, that should make BRS about as close to invulnerable from competition as you can be, and locking the tight supply of helicopters in place for the next three years, which should be great for BRS's price gauging power...

We got a chopper shortage brewing and BRS is the way to play it. Now, BRS's stock is just emerging from a capital overhang... It blew up when the company announced it needed to raise capital in order to buy an additional 19 choppers, the offering a private placement with Taladonial investments priced at $46.87 on June 19th, just a couple weeks ago, the stock is now above that price at $48.81, but that kept it down, that's the opportunity. If you look at the valuation, see what CHC helicopters got when it was taken private, then apply it to BRS, $68 stock masquerading as a $48 stock. I say stop the masquerade... That's 40% potential upside from this price. I would not be at all surprised if it gets there given how hot this segment is, and it's getting hotter, not colder... Don't pay up for this stock... Tomorrow we will see a big inventory build, I believe, in the domestic oil numbers, and the oil and gas stocks will get hammered for there, so we've been buying them every time we see this pattern... So that's a much better time to be buying BRS... So keep your paddle dry, watch the number at 10:30, everybody will be screaming and yelling, full sound and fury signifying nothing...

Oil will go down in prices will send the stock down and time and time again, it is proven that the ultimate direction of oil can not be predicted by this silly 10:30 number, but it is a great time to buy BRS.

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      I think Bristow Group, Inc. (BRS) is the best play on offshore services helicopters. Its cleared up its capital overhang... It's part of a happy duopoly... Business is booming. What's not to like?

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


BRS

48.81

na

Bristow Group, Inc. (BRS)


     

 

 

 



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Final Segment 2
 
Final Segment 2 Title: 'Mad Mail'...

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): See comments below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Sudden:Death picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

na

na

na

Mad Mail

W

JJC:    Bob from New Jersey asked the other day in the lightning round about what's WTS? Okay, that's a stock that we recommended on 11/2/06. It's a company that makes water infrastructure like pipes, connectors and valves... We bought the stock, we thought it was a good one because we felt infrastructure was going to be good... It did too much residential infrastructure, we need to see a bottom in residential before we recommend that one again. WTS, one of those great theories that just didn't work.


HOS

55.02

na

Mad Mail

Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc. (HOS)

Q:  
  Booyah Cramer, I am Cramerica. I am captain of a new-generation offshore supply vessel for HOS, and our vessel is contracted to and working for Anadarko Petroleum (APC) production star in the Gulf of Mexico. The spar has a Nabors Industries (NBR) portable rig on deck [JJC: every one of these stocks I've been recommending my butt off] performing and drilling on a few of the spar's oil and gas wells. One mile from this Spar sits a Transocean Inc. (RIG) semi-submersible drilling rig performing subsea work on a satellite well. The blue marlin are everywhere, talk about pristine!


JJC:    Mike gets it... Tell that guy, my senator, both of them, I said my senator from Jersey... You should be telling my senators, you are absolutely right. All that is American technology, all of that is clean drilling, all of that is producing oil and they won't let us drill anywhere else other than the Gulf and that's shocking and a tragedy... Every one of those stocks is a buy, particularly HOS.


APC

74.47

na

Mad Mail

Anadarko Petroleum (APC)

See HOS comments above for:
APC


NBR

49.15

na

Mad Mail

Nabors Industries (NBR)

See HOS comments above for:
NBR


RIG

152.17

na

Mad Mail

Transocean Inc. (RIG)

See HOS comments above for:
RIG


 

       

na

na

na

Mad Mail

On Offshore Drilling...

Q:  
  Booyah Jim, If the U.S. doesn't open drilling in the outer continental shelf, will Cuba be drinking our Milkshake [that's a reference to "There will be Blood"] off of the coast of Florida? Happy Fourth of July.


JJC:    No, the Cubans won't... But it's really interesting because Cuba is so much more forward about this stuff than we are... Oh, so is every other nation...


na

na

na

Mad Mail

On Ethanol...

Q:  
  Greetings Jim, Booyah to you and your staff. I have to disagree with you and your thesis about the U.S. using 30% of our corn to produce 3% of our ethanol. I found the real reason. Corn is going up because of you and all that popcorn you used up as props on a recent show. Please give us an alert next time you are going to use a corn prop, so that I can move all of my portfolio into corn stocks.


JJC:    We did throw a lot of corn that day. May I just reiterate that we have three problems facing this country. One is we have oil going up, we can't do anything about that, okay. The second is that we have housing going down, the Congress could've done something about it and they failed. The third is we've got food going up, and that could be changed, simply by one stroke of the pen of getting rid of the ethanol mandate where 30% of the corn is how we feed our cows and our chickens, is diverted to gasoline nobody wants.


 

 

[ end of final segment ]

   
 

Go to the SUDDEN:DEATH SEGMENT from tonight's show here >>

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Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
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