General market comments and what
you should do at this time...
After this segment, you
can see Jim's
Sudden:Death picks
here...
. . . .
.
Jim:
On Friday, after the biggest
two-day rally since the crash
of 1987, I told you to sell,
sell, sell... I said you
should unload at least 20% of
your portfolio, if you hadn't
already. Even though we were
down 373 points today... even
though the Dow was truly
polaxxed... my sell call still
stands for those of you who
haven't lightened up. Now, if
you listened, you got the best
prices at the open which is
terrific...
You should still be selling...
See, when the market doesn't
function like a market, but if
functions like some sort of
erratic machine on crack...
the obvious fuel of hedge
funds gone wild... you get
what you had today...
Let's wait until it calms down
and comes down, before we talk
about... buy, buy, buy...
Now, when I do the Lightning
Round, it doesn't mean I'm not
going to say I don't like
certain stocks, but I'm not
saying buy them, okay...
Just because (Treasury
Secretary) Paulson's rescue
plan takes another Great
Depression off the table, that
doesn't mean it's time to buy
stocks
hand over fist... especially since
we don't even know if Congress
would pass the darn thing...
even though not passing it
would be like cutting off our
collective nose to spite our
face.
Let me reiterate... I am
totally in favor of a plan
like this... I say "of a plan"
because I saw so many
different iterations, it's
hard for me to tell...
By the way, we joke about
socialism and communism and
expropriation on this show all
the time, but the $700 billion
bailout plan is actually the
furthest thing from it,
despite what you may hear all
day in the papers.
Markets do not exist in a
vacuum... never have, never
will. The government's
stepping in to save the system
is not a communist move,
okay... It's a capitalist move
because, without it, our
entire system of capitalism
was about to grind to a
halt... and it still might.
Maybe the people condemning
this plan consider multiple
large banks failing to be a
capitalist move? Not me. Maybe
these people feel that the
price of no intervention,
which I believe could lead to
30% unemployment in this
country, which is what we got
the last time the financial
system was burning and we did
next to nothing, isn't too
high a price to pay.
I'm not in that camp either. I
don't want you thrown out of
your house, I don't want you
to lose your job... That's the
camp I'm in...
Now, our long-term goal on Mad
Money is to preserve free, but
regulated, capitalism... not
the unmitigated, unregulated
crony capitalism that the
hedge funds and the brokerage
houses have practiced for the
past seven years...
But back to the main point...
Why should we still be
negative after today's big
decline? First of all, I
caught the play 21 years
ago...
After the big rally in 1987,
after the Crash... the market
then did very little... It
actually sold off again,
because the systemic risk was
still there, as was the
crippling fear...
Well, fear still reigns today,
and the systemic risk has yet
to be taken off the table.
And, even if the plan does
pass, there is still earnings
risk...
Think about it... How can
anyone be bullish in a market
where
Goldman Sachs (GS*),
a stock that I own for
my charitable trust, a firm
universally acknowledged to be
the best on Wall Street, if
not the world, for finance...
the one firm that didn't screw
up with mortgages and, in
fact, made money shorting a
lot of this garbage... the one
firm that did not take losses
in a quarter... in other
words, didn't have their
quarter overwhelmed by
losses... was on the
precipice...
Paulson's plan, the short
selling rules, and the
conversion of Goldman into a
deposit bank may have taken
the potential collapse of
Goldman off the table. You
wouldn't know it from the
action in the stock today, but
it was all the way down to $88
on Wednesday... Thursday...
But it would be insane to feel
good about anything financial.
And, by the way, all stocks at
the end of the day are
financial...
In a world where Goldman came
that close to the brink, I
just don't feel as comfortable
as I did about owning
stocks...
Goldman made this commercial
bank move, I think, out of...
I'm going to say it... I'm an
alumnus... I think they did it
out of desperation. I think
they did it because no other
bank would lend them money to
finance withdrawals
overnight... which has
typically been the pattern...
that they do lend...
This way, they could get
someone to loan them the money
when these big hedge fund
accounts, in part of what's
known as their prime
brokerage, pulled their money
out post-Lehman... Because, in
Lehman, they were frozen. A
lot of the big firms could not
get their... still can't get
their money out of Lehman...
So now Goldman can go to the
Federal Reserve and pay off
their clients who are leaving.
There's no reason to leave
now, frankly. There's no place
that's safer. Goldman goes
from being a risky stock to
being a cheap one, relative to
Wells Fargo (WFC)
and
US Bancorp (USB),
which I said on Friday had
gotten too expensive and were
slaughtered today. Goldman has
much higher capital levels and
a better balance sheet, no
home equity loan, no auto
loan, and no bad mortgages.
It's worse. How the heck can I
be bullish when they're taking
my happier-days-are-here-again
thesis off the table, with
that big spike in oil, however
short lasting?... And I do
believe it will be
short-lasting...
It means that I do like the
defensives... the toothpastes,
the hair cares, the smoking...
you get that. But let them
come down. Again, let
everything come down...
everything.
Why else should you be
negative now?...
Well, because of the panic
short selling rules last
week... That made us that
we're simply too high... still
are. Who knows how low we
would have been without Chris
Cox's Don Quixote like move to
protect us from the shorts...
Like everybody else, I
complete abhorred what Cox did
to eliminate short selling. I
mean, boom, he just closed it
for all those banks... that
didn't seem right to me. But,
at the same time, I would have
been more upset, and not as
worried about the precious
rights of the short sellers,
if the Western World financial
system had seized up and
died... I don't know, that
seems to be something we want
to protect more than the rich
people who have money in short
hedge funds...
Okay, anyway... it was very
much a possibility before Cox
stepped in and stepped on the
shorts...
Of course, the idea that Cox
could protect these stocks
simply by saying no short
selling, and create a short
squeeze, was always absurd.
And we saw the proof of that
today, with the bank stocks
all acting horribly and down
big...
People have already figured
out how to get around this
rule... They're using put
strategies and future selling.
So, if they can knock the
banks down as hard as they did
today with the short selling
rule in place, who knows how
much damage they could do, if
they could actually short the
stocks and knock them down
plain and simple, without the
use of puts. That doesn't make
me very bullish.
The real question you've got
to ask yourself right here is,
what's the point? Taking the
Great Depression off the table
doesn't mean we have a buying
opportunity. And, ever since
the collapse of Lehman with no
bailout and a freeze,
absolutely the Great
Depression 2 is on the
table...
So why not have more cash for
Great Depression 2?... Why not
buy some gold for Great
Depression 2?...
It doesn't make any sense to
throw money into stocks after
the biggest rally in years.
Even if, or when, the rescue
plan gets approved, I don't
think you should be a buyer
necessarily, because there's
still a tremendous amount of
earnings risk, except for
those foods and drugs that I
talk about. Who wants to buy
ahead of the possibility of
big earnings shortfalls and
terrible unemployment?...
Now here's the ultimate
irony...
Even as I distrust stocks
right now, the one asset that
can be trusted more than ever
is the one that caused all
these problems...
It's your home.
Both parties are trying to get
houses to appreciate. As I see
it, money will be available,
tax credits created, fewer
houses will be built, there
will be fewer foreclosures. I
mean, think about it, the Feds
are throwing a lot of money at
the problem to get rid of bad
mortgages... and, when the
government buys these
mortgages, I bet it's not
going to throw people out of
their homes...
The asset that caused all the
problems is looking better and
better everyday... and I am a
buyer into the weakness...
I still predict some declines
in the housing but, when you
add in the mortgage deduction
and the tax credit, I bet
you're break-even at worst, if
you start buying in the next
six months.
Here's the bottom line...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
The selloff we had today was going
to happen, even without the reasons I
just enumerated. If you're already on
the sidelines, stay there. If you're
not, keep on selling until you get that
cash up to a respectable level, and then
go buy some gold.
. . . .
.
■
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above
■
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock
STOCK
SYMBOL
Closing
price
that
day
Opening
price
next
day
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each)
na
na
na
General market comments and what
you should do at this time...
Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at
Amazon.com)
We need your help!
If you find our service valuable, your
donation is critically helpful to support
our operating costs and is
MUCH appreciated!
(click below to donate)
We are serving thousands
of
new visitors every day and our costs are
growing as well. Thank you for your
support & generosity!
Final Segment 2
Final Segment
2
Title:
'Mad Mail'...
. . . .
.
Featured
Stock(s):
See comments below...
After this segment, you
can see Jim's
Sudden:Death picks
here...
. . . .
.
■
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above
■
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock
STOCK
SYMBOL
Closing
price
that
day
Opening
price
next
day
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each)
na
na
na
Mad Mail
General
Comments...
Q:
Thank you for
your
entertaining Mad
Money show. In
all of my 58
years, I've
never heard a
man speak so
much truth. To
be so right, so
many times, and
at such a
crucial time.
Please let me
suggest that not
only does the
Fed "know
nothing," but
that Congress
knows even less.
If you are
unwilling to
take your
rightful place
as combined
Treasury
Secretary and
SEC Chairman
under the next
administration,
at the very
least, please
give lessons in
money and
banking to our
next Congress.
They obviously
need help and
there's no one
better to
explain such
complex topics
in simple
English than
you. Thanks for
all your help.
Thank you for
being you.
Jim:
Let me say this,
as I said on
Brian Williams'
excellent show,
Nightly News, on
Friday... The
time to be a
loud critic...
the time to be
in their faces,
saying no, no,
no... has
passed. I had
that last year.
I am no longer
there. I am
trying to help
this
administration
pass this. Now I
am just a cable
TV guy, but we
need this. And I
am with Hank
Paulson on this
plan. We need
rate cuts and a
stimulus. We
need to throw
everything at
it. I do not
want to be one
of those people
who, in 1932,
said, whoa,
let's tighten
the money
supply, let's
keep rates
high... That's
not for me. Too
many jobs and
too many people
on the line.
na
na
na
Mad Mail
General
Comments...
Q:
I love your
show. I am a
disabled war
veteran and I am
on a fixed
income. I have
$30,000 in the
market. I heard
you say I should
sell 20% of my
stocks on
Monday, but I
have stop orders
in. So should I
still sell 20%?
In addition, I
usually buy
stocks with good
dividends, so I
should sell
those stocks?
Jim:
I said rank your
stocks... the
1's you can hold
onto... the 2's
you can buy
lower... the 3's
you should sell
if you get a
rally... and the
4's you sell
outright. It was
the 20% that
were the 4's,
and I demanded
that you have
some 4's
regardless, that
I said sell. I
want that same
ranking tonight
for people who
missed
Thursday's show
and Friday's
show. Rank them.
The 4's... the
last ones... and
20% have to be
4's... I want
you to sell at
the opening
tomorrow. I
don't care if
you get higher
prices.
[
end of final segment ]
Go to the SUDDEN:DEATH
SEGMENT from
tonight's showhere >>
See current quotes on Yahoo!
Finance from
tonight's show stocks
here >>
Symbol keys:
A Charitable Trust stock.
- An asterisk next to a
stock symbol indicates that
Jim mentioned it is a stock
that he manages within
his
charitable trust portfolio.
You can see the complete
portfolio
of stocks
here >>
Thumbs up - indicates
he would buy the stock or,
at the very least, not sell
the stock. We do our
best to interpret Jim's
opinion on stocks, as we
think it is indicated by his
comments during the show.
Please read his comments to
decide for yourself.
Thumbs down -
indicates he has said not to
buy or to sell the stock,
based on his comments
We do our best to interpret
Jim's opinion on stocks, as
we think it is indicated by
his comments during the
show. Please read his
comments to decide for
yourself.
Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
that he would do a
'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
back... " as he is "backing
up the truck" to load up on
his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about.
Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms":
Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back...
Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you.
Definition:'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock).
Definition:'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
here >>
Helpful Websites:
See the stocks currently
known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:
Stock Homework 101:
This is an excellent
upcoming site that provides
resources and links to help
you do that homework that
Jim Cramer recommends after
hearing his suggestions...
FastMoneyRecap:
This site will be a quick
summary of recommendations
made by the great Fast Money
TV show crew, that will
offer you a unique service,
to compare their picks to
Jim Cramer's past comments
about those stocks.