Friday, 10/03/08
Posted 10/03/08,  09:37 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Friday, 10/03/08

  Dow Jones: 10,325  - 157
  NASDAQ:   1,947   - 29
  S&P 500:   1,099   - 15
 
 
 
 
 
Final Segment 1
 
See complete recommendation comments below...
Final Segment 1 Title: 'Shame On Who?'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): See complete comments below...
 

See the latest member of Jim Cramer's CEO Wall of Shame here.

 

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Sudden:Death picks here...


Jim:    
I'm just glad the worst week in seven years is over!...

Another incredibly punishing day!... Up big first, then down huge, as the market yawned at the congressional vote on the mortgage rescue package... just awful... awful day... and a sign again... do not trust this market... and... sell, sell, sell! whenever you get strength, ever, morning, noon or night... particularly this morning...

Speaking of trust...

You see this "scarlet letter J"... It doesn't stand for "Jim"... It stands for "jumping to conclusions" idiotically about Wachovia Corp. (WB), and it's great... yes, great... CEO Bob Steel... putting that man on the Wall of Shame this Monday, when it looked like Wachovia would sell its banking operations to Citigroup (C) in a deal that probably would have wiped out shareholders... I thought he wanted to do this...

Now we learn that the whole time that we've had Steel up on the Wall of Shame, he's been busting his butt to get shareholders a better deal... and succeeding!... with the $7 a share sale to Wells Fargo (WFC)!... Something that would have been done even higher - maybe much higher - if the FDIC hadn't clumsily and hand-handedly butted in to tear down the company.

He's coming off the Wall right now!...

I should have been up there all week!... Me!... Not him... for getting this one so wrong! I didn't believe that the much-sainted, Sheila Bair, from the FDIC, would confiscate this company. She's so loved... she was confiscating the company from Steel and the shareholders, and handing it over for a song to Citigroup. Well, let's just hope she's done interfering and she lets Wells Fargo (WFC) buy Wachovia (WB)... but, then again, she's so capricious, letting Downey Financial (DSL) and BankUnited (BKUNA) keep offering those really crummy mortgages, while trying to gut Wachovia, showing only that she's more Chavez than perhaps Che...

Bob Steel... you are the man of steel! And I apologize for thinking that this story was over, when in fact, nothing could be further from the truth...

On Monday, I castigated myself for trusting you, Bob Steel...

Today, I am telling the world that I was a fool... not to trust you... and a real jerk - another word that starts with "J" - for putting you up on the Wall of Shame... when you deserve to be on the "wall of acclaim"...

Here's a guy who put his company's best interest ahead of his own reputation... I don't know how many CEOs would do that. He couldn't defend himself on this show, or his bank, to the media... because that would have ended up destroying Wachovia...

Now, when you look at the deal with Wells Fargo, it's clear that Steel was right. The FDIC was trying to shotgun a marriage between Wachovia and Citigroup, but the marriage wasn't needed. The FDIC should have known this if they were paying any attention to the environment, as a recent change in tax law... one that happened on the same day the FDIC tried to steal Wachovia and give it to Citigroup in a sweetheart deal, and betray you... and allows banks to deduct the entire amount of embedded unrealized losses, from any other bank they acquire, for tax purposes. Huh... before this change, there used to be severe limitations on what a bank could deduct but, on the same darn day that the FDIC tried to "rescue" Wachovia, the rules changed, and that made Wachovia a much better investment, because acquirers now could take out tens of billions in tax deductions...

Now, if the much-loved and sane and vaunted FDIC had focused... if anyone there had been doing their job... they never would have tried to "save" Wachovia... by selling it to Citigroup for next to nothing, and putting taxpayer money on the line...

Do you know I'm the only guy all day who criticized them?... No one criticizes them. They're now clearly as incompetent as the rest of the administration, who let "too big to fail" Lehman Brothers fail... who confiscated the Fannie and Freddie, when they told us the day before that they were solvent...

I don't get it... Sheila Bair is now running the FDIC like a planned economy...

But this great news for Wells Fargo... and part of the reason why it doesn't need government help to buy Wachovia - because Wachovia's actually a pretty healthy bank... made a better takeover target by the tax change... just like Bob Steel said when he came on the show...

I thought he had gotten it wrong, but it turns out he was right all along...

You know what that makes me?... I'm the joker who piled on, right when he was working hard to get a better good deal for his shareholders. $7 is nothing to frown about in a bank, especially not in October of 2008... especially when you consider it was trading under $2 on Monday...

I wouldn't be surprised to see a bidding war erupt between Wells Fargo and Citigroup for this company, since WFC's stock went up after the announcement, because it's always lacked a nationwide footprint and a great set of brokers like Wachovia has... And Citigroup's stock went down huge on the news because, pilfering Wachovia from Steel with help from the FDIC, made it too big to fail...

What's a point or two to Wachovia, if that many points are on the line for Citigroup?...

I thought Wachovia's shareholders were done for. Now it looks like they could benefit from this potential bidding war.

I was a jerk... I was a joker... if not a midnight toker, but not a smoker... although you wouldn't know it from this Wall of Shame episode. My judgment was bad. I jumped to conclusions. So I'm wearing the "J"... the "J" of shame... for getting Wachovia wrong, and giving up on Bob Steel, dissing his reputation... when I should have been doubling down on the guy and his bank. I bowed to public pressure.

I think, given what I knew at the time, I had to be angry, but now I know the full story...

Bob Steel is a man who didn't quit, even after the government told him to give his bank up and wreck it. Kryptonite couldn't keep this "man of steel" down.

Oh, and buy the way... genius move for Well Fargo... $15.4 billion for Wachovia and, not long ago, people thought that Wachovia Securities business alone was worth $10 billion. If Wells Fargo just operates the brokerage business semi-competently, until the environment gets better, they'll have a saleable asset that might pay for the whole deal, giving them the bank they wanted nearly for free. I don't know why Citgroup didn't do that... maybe because Vikram Pandit (Citigroup CEO) doesn't get it...

Plus, by taking losses on Wachovia's portfolio, Wells Fargo won't be a taxpayer for years... Who knows how many of those bad assets they can send to Washington, now that our mortgage plan has been passed... And, of course, Wells could just hang onto Wachovia's securities business and just run it forever, because their reputation is in tact... Who else can say that?

Now, what should we do with this new opening in the Wall of Shame?... I'd put myself up, but I've already got he scarlet letter...

No, I've got a better idea, and this one's a good one...

How about this fella whom I used to contribute to, in the days when I was allowed to... Harry Reid, the Senate Majority Leader... As much as I like the guy for helping the "Invest In America" rescue package, he did something incredibly irresponsible on Wednesday...

I am putting him on the Wall of Shame, because his statement (where Reid referred to knowing that a major insurance company was on the verge of bankruptcy) was irresponsible to the nth degree, and was also responsible for trashing the stocks of insurance companies that you may own, and making people worry about their annuities...

Everyone was guessing which one... Look at the damage and havoc his warning created... Prudential (PRU) opened Wednesday at $70, and closed at $57, down 18%... MetLife (MET) opened at $54 Wednesday, and was down to $40 by yesterday's close, a 24% decline... The worst was Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. (HIG), which fell from $40 to $25 over these two days, down 35%... all because Harry Reid said that a major insurance company was on the verge of bankruptcy... even though, as it turned out, he had no reason to say it...

He's a senator... he should know better than that. I'm adding him to the list of people who, in a more savage time, might have been on the hook... perhaps, on a meat hook... in the fancy-schmancy meat-packing district.

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:     Bob Steel, right here, I'm apologizing! I should never have doubted this man. He should not have been on the Wall of Shame. He was working hard the whole time, he just couldn't talk about it. He just saved his shareholders in a true "man of steel" like fashion. I'll sport the scarlet "J" to punish myself for the next four trading days.... the same amount of time that Steel was on the Wall. Sheila Bair, if you confiscate one more great American company... well, let's just say, I can make a lot of room (on the Wall of Shame)... 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

na

na

na

See complete comments above...

 

 

       

 

 



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Final Segment 2
 
See complete recommendation comments below...
Final Segment 1 Title: 'Mad Mail'...

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): See comments below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Sudden:Death picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

MFC

34.05

na

Mad Mail

Manulife Financial Corporation
(MFC)


Q:  
  My mom, my husband and I value your opinion over everyone else's, so I am writing for your thoughts on Manulife Financial.  I have almost 500 shares and I have been holding onto it because I think it is a good stock and has a nice dividend.  In light of the recent events, I really would like to know what you think about this stock now, since it is somewhat tied to the current mortgage and banking crisis.  One other question:  Can't YOU run for President?


JJC:
     First, I'm not recommending any insurance companies... none.  Just too complex right now.  We're still dealing with the Lehman fallout.  I mean Lehman was too big to fail and they let it fail, and a lot of insurance companies are affected by it.  All I know is that I'm not recommending MFC.  I'm trying to be very general here.  And all these people who want me to run for President... I mean, you have no idea what it's like to be me...   First of all, I've got to be the most hated guy of any of the people who have the big parties and stuff...  but I am loved in the Summit Elks and, frankly, that's all I care about.



MDR

20.85

na

Mad Mail

McDermott International Inc.
(MDR)


Q:  
  I've invested more than 75% of what I had in McDermott, which has lost over 60% of its value in the past 8 months.  You always say to "never invest more than 20% in a speculative stock," but that is exactly what I've done.  Should I continue to invest, hold or divest in MDR?  I think this company is bound to make a HUGE turnaround, but, in this environment, what is your perspective?


JJC:
     You've been hurt by hedge fund-itus... It's a critical disease.  It is about hedge funds that have a lot of redemptions that owned a lot of MDR.  The stock is way, way too low to sell but, until we have every hedge fund blow it out, which won't happen until the end of December, I will not counsel buying anymore MDR, unless McCain wins, because he seems to be in favor of dirty coal... although that wasn't really clear.  I caught that debate last night, like you did, and I have no comment about it... 



na

na

na

Mad Mail

General trading volume question...


Q:  
  Please educate me.  I've noticed recently every day a big spike in volume just before the close on the stocks I trade.  How is it that giant volume trades occur at the last minute?


JJC:
     I've noticed this too.  I've been really busting my butt.  This was a big piece of Google, Inc. (GOOG) that traded right at the close...  I do not know.  I'd rather not say, well, I have a theory, because I don't know... I actually... this is something that's happening in this market.  This market is so crazy and whacky and negative that there are things that are happening right now that I don't understand, and I've been trading...  1979 was my first trade... like, 28 years.  I've never seen anything like this.  I have no idea what's going on at the close. 



 

 

[ end of final segment ]

   
 

Go to the SUDDEN:DEATH SEGMENT from tonight's show here >>

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Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
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Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

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Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
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