General comments about the decline in
the
Dow
and the overall market AND
why the coordinated global rate cuts did
not cause the markets to end up today...
After this segment, you
can see Jim's
Sudden:Death picks
here...
Jim:
How could we get
worldwide, coordinated
rate cuts and still go
down 180
Dow
points?...
Especially when the
market is about as
oversold as I've ever
seen it in the last 20
years?...
Can anything save ths
market?...
Maybe. But not these
little cuts. These cuts
are simply too little,
too late, at least to
save the stock marketin
2008... if certainly not
the economy.
The stock market said
today that the cuts need
to be much bigger, much
more aggressive...
The broad market, at one
point, was up, and that
was because I think they
were cheering that the
Central Banks are
worried about inflation
anymore... they
recognize it as
deflation... but a
half-point cut doesn't
do a thing to help
near-term earnings, and
when you have bad
earnings, like you had
with AA, the stock gets
killed, okay...
These cuts will not help
you make big money in
the market, despite what
you heard all day about
this being the
opportunity...
They will help banks
make more money off
what's known as the net
interest margin... They
help the prime rate come
down... These are good
things that are often
ignored by the media...
But, again, they won't
matter until late 2009,
because they're going to
cut, cut, cut... like
little salami slices,
instead of going in
there with the chipper
shredder.
We have distinguish what
this means for the stock
market and what it means
for the economy.
Let's start with the
market...
These cuts are way too
late... I am making that
point, because you have
to understand how the
market could go down.
They're way too late to
make you money in
stocks, plain and
simple... and they're
also too shallow...
Remember, our friend
(previous Federal
Reserve chairman) Alan
Greenspan, took rates
(down) to 1% in 2003,
and they're 1.5% now.
That wasn't a recession.
That wasn't even a
potential Great
Depression. It was just
a tough economy, and
rate are already too
high versus then. We're
much worse off. I mean,
in 2003, were we worried
about ATMs not working?
And I'm not talking
about "out of order."
I'm talking about unable
to spit out money...
Bernanke only takes
rates down to 1.5% and
doesn't give a statement
saying there's more to
come... What happened
here? It took a
2,000-point decline in
the
Dow
to at least give
us a half point. Hey,
maybe another 2,000
points, he'll give us
another half... and
then, another 2,000
points, and we'll be
home free. Yeah, by that
formula, we go down to
Dow 7,500 before he
swings into action for
the next half point.
In 2003, we had a Fed
chief who knew what he
was doing... who gave us
clear direction that
rates were going lower
if business didn't turn.
Now we've got a guy
who's cluless, who won't
tell us whether rates
will come down... who
gave a speech yesterday
where he talked about
inflation and deflation.
He never said
deflation... he said,
"slowdown."
The guy's been behind
the curve for a year.
He's embarassing. I've
called for his firing
and no one's listening.
Plus, let's not forget
that rates in Europe,
which - though this may
be hard to believe - is
now starting to look
worse than the U.S., are
probably 3 percentage
points too high. I don't
even want to go into
what they're thinking...
they obviously know even
less.
Throw in the fact that
the SEC still hasn't
reinstated the "uptick
rule"... Forget Lenin,
Chris Cox (SEC chairman)
is now starting... You
know who Chris Cox is?
He's Kruschev! He's
banging on the desk,
he's banging on the
podium and he's
shouting, "We will bury
you!" Or at least your
stocks.
There are so many
obstacles to our going
higher...
We still have
mark-to-market
accounting. Oh, that's
really smart! We didn't
get an extension of the
short ban... thanks a
lot, pal!... And our
economy is still being
run by the same
complacent and erratic
crew, still trying to
justify why the "too big
to fail" bank, Lehman,
went under... Oh, there
are no buyers... I don't
care that there are no
buyers... find one!
They managed to mess up
almost every step of the
way, worrying about
inflation, when we are
headed into the biggest
deflationary spiral
since the Great
Depression.
So don't be puzzled
about why the rate cuts
didn't help... Don't be
puzzled about why the
market didn't end up...
However, this global
round of (rate cut)
easing has done
something that's more
important than saving
the market in 2008...
They can, at the very
least, put us on a path,
where the Great
Depression scenario
could maybe come off the
table...
. . . .
.
Jim's comments AFTER the interview:
These rate cuts - if we get more of
them - will take the Great Depression
off the table some time next year.
That's not enough to get people to buy,
as we know from what happened in the
stock market (today). Then you can start
to think about trying to make money. For
now, know this... The Central Banks are
no longer completely and utterly
clueless. They know the enemy is no
longer inflation, but they're doing too
little, too late, to make a lot of money
in the stock market.
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General comments about the decline in
the
Dow
and the overall market AND
why the coordinated global rate cuts did
not cause the markets to end up today...
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Final Segment 2
See complete
recommendation comments
below...
Final Segment
2 Title:
'Am I
Diversified'...
. . . .
.
Featured
Stock(s):
No new stock
picks...
After this segment, you
can see Jim's
Sudden:Death picks
here...
. . . .
.
■
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above
■
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock
STOCK
SYMBOL
Closing
price
that
day
Opening
price
next
day
Full Company
Name/Comments
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na
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'Am I
Diversified'
Segment...
In this segment,
Jim takes calls
from viewers to
critique their
top five
holdings, to
indicate whether
they are,
together,
relatively
diversified as a
standalone
portfolio.
. . . .
.
No fresh stock
picks.
[
end of final segment ]
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based on his comments
We do our best to interpret
Jim's opinion on stocks, as
we think it is indicated by
his comments during the
show. Please read his
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Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
that he would do a
'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
back... " as he is "backing
up the truck" to load up on
his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about.
Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms":
Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back...
Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you.
Definition:'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock).
Definition:'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
here >>
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