Wednesday, 10/08/08
Posted 10/09/08,  08:01 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Wednesday, 10/08/08

  Dow Jones:   9,258  - 189
  Nasdaq:   1,740   - 14
  S&P 500:      984   - 11
 
 
 
 
 
Final Segment 1
 
See complete recommendation comments below...
Final Segment 1 Title: 'Silver Bullet?'

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Featured Stock(s):

General comments about the decline in the Dow and the overall market AND why the coordinated global rate cuts did not cause the markets to end up today...

 
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Sudden:Death picks here...


Jim:    
How could we get worldwide, coordinated rate cuts and still go down 180
Dow points?... Especially when the market is about as oversold as I've ever seen it in the last 20 years?...

Can anything save ths market?...

Maybe. But not these little cuts. These cuts are simply too little, too late, at least to save the stock marketin 2008... if certainly not the economy.

The stock market said today that the cuts need to be much bigger, much more aggressive...

The broad market, at one point, was up, and that was because I think they were cheering that the Central Banks are worried about inflation anymore... they recognize it as deflation... but a half-point cut doesn't do a thing to help near-term earnings, and when you have bad earnings, like you had with AA, the stock gets killed, okay...

These cuts will not help you make big money in the market, despite what you heard all day about this being the opportunity...

They will help banks make more money off what's known as the net interest margin... They help the prime rate come down... These are good things that are often ignored by the media... But, again, they won't matter until late 2009, because they're going to cut, cut, cut... like little salami slices, instead of going in there with the chipper shredder.

We have distinguish what this means for the stock market and what it means for the economy.

Let's start with the market...

These cuts are way too late... I am making that point, because you have to understand how the market could go down. They're way too late to make you money in stocks, plain and simple... and they're also too shallow... Remember, our friend (previous Federal Reserve chairman) Alan Greenspan, took rates (down) to 1% in 2003, and they're 1.5% now. That wasn't a recession. That wasn't even a potential Great Depression. It was just a tough economy, and rate are already too high versus then. We're much worse off. I mean, in 2003, were we worried about ATMs not working? And I'm not talking about "out of order." I'm talking about unable to spit out money...

Bernanke only takes rates down to 1.5% and doesn't give a statement saying there's more to come... What happened here? It took a 2,000-point decline in the
Dow to at least give us a half point. Hey, maybe another 2,000 points, he'll give us another half... and then, another 2,000 points, and we'll be home free. Yeah, by that formula, we go down to Dow 7,500 before he swings into action for the next half point.

In 2003, we had a Fed chief who knew what he was doing... who gave us clear direction that rates were going lower if business didn't turn. Now we've got a guy who's cluless, who won't tell us whether rates will come down... who gave a speech yesterday where he talked about inflation and deflation. He never said deflation... he said, "slowdown."

The guy's been behind the curve for a year. He's embarassing. I've called for his firing and no one's listening. Plus, let's not forget that rates in Europe, which - though this may be hard to believe - is now starting to look worse than the U.S., are probably 3 percentage points too high. I don't even want to go into what they're thinking... they obviously know even less.

Throw in the fact that the SEC still hasn't reinstated the "uptick rule"... Forget Lenin, Chris Cox (SEC chairman) is now starting... You know who Chris Cox is? He's Kruschev! He's banging on the desk, he's banging on the podium and he's shouting, "We will bury you!" Or at least your stocks.

There are so many obstacles to our going higher...

We still have mark-to-market accounting. Oh, that's really smart! We didn't get an extension of the short ban... thanks a lot, pal!... And our economy is still being run by the same complacent and erratic crew, still trying to justify why the "too big to fail" bank, Lehman, went under... Oh, there are no buyers... I don't care that there are no buyers... find one!

They managed to mess up almost every step of the way, worrying about inflation, when we are headed into the biggest deflationary spiral since the Great Depression.

So don't be puzzled about why the rate cuts didn't help... Don't be puzzled about why the market didn't end up...

However, this global round of (rate cut) easing has done something that's more important than saving the market in 2008... They can, at the very least, put us on a path, where the Great Depression scenario could maybe come off the table...

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Jim's comments AFTER the interview:     These rate cuts - if we get more of them - will take the Great Depression off the table some time next year. That's not enough to get people to buy, as we know from what happened in the stock market (today). Then you can start to think about trying to make money. For now, know this... The Central Banks are no longer completely and utterly clueless. They know the enemy is no longer inflation, but they're doing too little, too late, to make a lot of money in the stock market.

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

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General comments about the decline in the Dow and the overall market AND why the coordinated global rate cuts did not cause the markets to end up today...

 

 

       

 

 



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Final Segment 2
 
See complete recommendation comments below...
Final Segment 2 Title: 'Am I Diversified'...

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Featured Stock(s): No new stock picks...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Sudden:Death picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


na

na

na

'Am I Diversified' Segment...

In this segment, Jim takes calls from viewers to critique their top five holdings, to indicate whether they are, together, relatively diversified as a standalone portfolio.

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No fresh stock picks.





         
 

 

[ end of final segment ]

   
 

Go to the SUDDEN:DEATH SEGMENT from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
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Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
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