Tuesday, 11/13/07
Posted 11/13/07,  09:31 pm

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Tuesday, 11/13/07

  Dow Jones: 13,307 +319
  NASDAQ:   2,673 +89
  S&P 500:   1,481 +41
 
 
 
Final Segment 1 Title: 'Lesson Learned'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ONXX)

See 2nd segment picks below...

        
JJC:   Tough to ever think negative on an up-300 point day but, just as it's hard to think positive on a down-300 day, we're going to imagine how things may not pan out...

So, when you think of 2008, you probably don't imagine a bright year for the economy, or a bright year for the market. 

I have been saying that we need to be worried about a 1990 situation, where real estate carries us down...

We're going to be thinking of what made money in 1990, when the Fed didn't come to the rescue in time, and the averages were down double digits...

What worked then were some pharma, some indestructibles... and biotech...

And a lot of the highest-growing biotech stocks did the best and, by far, the best, in 1990, was Amgen (AMGN)...

Now, I've told you I'd think about Celgene Corporation (CELG) and, to a lesser extent, Genentech Inc. (DNA)...

I think those are really good stocks for 2008.  They fit the 1990 playbook...

I'm flipping through, and sure enough... well, I can't show it to you yet...

AMGN was the highest-growth stock in 1990, and so people made a lot of money, even though it was the highest risk stock in 1990... and that means, in 2008, we're going to find the next AMGN, and that is Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ONXX)...

That's our AMGN for 2008...

.  .  .  .  .

 

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:    It's going to become increasingly clear that every portfolio must have a high-growth biotech stock in this market, as the U.S. economy decelerates.  I choose Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ONXX), but Celgene Corporation (CELG) and Genentech Inc. (DNA) are good for the more cautious of you.  Take your pick.

 

 

 



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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

ONXX

58.70

60.55

Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc.

       

 

         
       

 


Netflix, Inc.


 
Final Segment 2 Title: 'Mad Mail'

Jim takes selected mail that he receives and answers some viewers' questions...

See them below.

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Pepsico, Inc. (PEP)
Altria Group Inc.
(MO*)
Coca Cola (KO)
Nastech Pharmaceutical Company
(NSTK)


Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

PEP

73.34

73.90

Mad Mail

Pepsico, Inc.


Q:  
 Lately you've mentioned picking up the "indestructible" stocks, like Altria Group Inc. (MO*), and Coca-Cola Co. (KO), but I haven't heard any mention on PEP.  Has PEP fallen out of favor in Cramerica, or are KO and MO* the best-of-breed you want as we head toward a possible recession?

JJC:
     You know, there's a reason why I have been more concerned about PEP...  PEP is fine... PEP is fine, but they have a higher raw cost.  You see, KO came on our show when we were at Georgia Tech, and said that their commodity costs have peaked, and PEP couldn't say that, but PEP's doing a darn good job.  I'm not bashing PEP by any means.  It's just that KO made that statement on our show, and I've been living with that statement, and MO*'s splitting into two, so it's got more going for it.  I own MO* for my charitable trust...

MO*

72.85

73.15

Mad Mail

Altria Group Inc.


See PEP comments above for:
MO*

KO

61.04

61.30

Mad Mail

Coca-Cola Co.


See PEP comments above for:
KO

NSTK

4.87

5.13

Mad Mail

Nastech Pharmaceutical Company


Q:  
 Huge baby-crying-Cramer-sound-board-effect for Nastech (NSTK).  With the news of Procter & Gamble (PG) pulling out of the PTH1-34 deal, I developed a curiosity around these speculative companies.  When one considers buying into a spec, should the weight of revenue from the partnerships of bigger companies be a strong factor?  In other words, should we be more cautious of those companies relying on a large percentage of revenue or general financial stability coming from the partnership of a larger company than those that rely on revenue strictly from its client base?

JJC:
     What attracted me to NSTK was the Procter relationship, and when we had the guy on - and when the stock was at $12 - did he give us any sight that PG might not want to be involved?... The fact that he didn't know it is irrelevant to me.  The fact that he thought that PG wanted to be involved, to me, just says how dangerous the whole thing was.  It was my bad.  I believed.  Whenever I believe, I do get into a little bit of trouble, don't I?  It shows you you have to be skeptical... No matter what, you have to be skeptical...

[ end of final segment ]

   
 

Go to the next segment from tonight's show here >>

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Netflix, Inc.


Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
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