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Tuesday, 01/22/08
Posted 01/22/08, 11:33
pm |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Tuesday, 01/22/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
11,971 |
-
128 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,292 |
- 47 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,310 |
-
14 |
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Opening Segment 1
Title: |
'In The Long Run'
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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
General comments about
the Fed's action today to
cut 3/4 points and about
the market outlook from
here...
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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JJC: Today was
the day when the Fed
joined us, in our view,
that things were
deteriorating so rapidly
that emergency action was
warranted...
Today was the day when the
Fed blinked and woke up
from its measured, but
reckless, stupor!...
Today may be the beginning
of the end of this
nightmarish market... just
the beginning... but we're
sure as heck are better
off than we were last
week... and we sure did
much better than they
acted in Europe...
. . . .
.
What I would suggest - if
you own a bank stock - is
to use any lift to be able
to avoid the group (and
sell)...
So, what is working?...
What do we do now that we
have these cuts?...
My take is that we've got
to look at some down and
out stocks... but not the
ones you think...
Now we are still swearing
in Cramerica by the notion
that you can buy the Procter & Gamble (PG)'s...
buy the
Altria (MO*)'s...
buy the Coca-Cola (KO)'s...
Those stocks were just
tossed out today... tossed
out mercilessly... and I
think that's wrong...
But I think that what we
can also do is look at a
group that we have
despised here... that we
have endlessly
criticized... that I think
makes a huge amount of
sense, when we dust off
the playbook, and take a
look at where we are...
and that's retail...
So tonight, we're going to
explore retail, and figure
out one that actually
works... [See TJX
recommendation in
Second Segment below]...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
Okay,
listen up ladies... (it
was Ladies' Night with a
live studio audience for
this show)... I want
people to focus on the
longer term... I want to
focus on retail and, when
we come back, I'll have a
great name for you...
below.
[See Jim's 2nd Opening
Segment stock picks
below... ]
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See all of tonight's stocks'
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
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na |
na |
na |
na |
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na |
na |
na |
na |
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Mutual-Fund-Holdings.com
NEW RESOURCE!
See Ken Heebner's CGM
Focus Fund
Top 25 holdings - The No.
3 Top-Performing Mutual
Fund in 2007
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Final Segment 1
Title: |
'Mad Maxx'
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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX)
See TJX's website
here.
Yahoo! Finance profile for TJX
here.
2nd segment picks
below...
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On this incredible day
where - basically, I'll
call it - a crash was
averted by the Fed... all
the safety stocks were
down... all the
supermarket stocks... all
the stuff that we buy...
that we expect will last
no matter what... the Procter & Gamble (PG)'s...
the
Merck (MRK)'s...
A lot of tech was down and
that's going to continue
tomorrow probably with
Apple (AAPL)
projecting that things...
not what we wanted to
hear... particularly,
light on
iPhone... light on iPod...
But there was one group
that held up the whole
day, and kept rallying
throughout the day... and
that was the retailers...
I mean, you might have
seen the retailers up
today... You know
why?...
Because, with today's
emergency 75 basis point
(3/4% rate cut), people
are starting to believe
that the Fed may actually
be for real... that
the Fed might actually
know something...
. . . .
.
The playbook says you buy
retail after the Fed gets
aggressive, because of the
expected increase in
year-over-year earnings...
Yeah, the big institutions
are definitely thinking
that far ahead... I
think you should too.
Now they're thinking about
next Christmas, and how it
has to be better than last
year's, because interest
rates will be dramatically
lower... It
makes sense... It makes
sense, when you put on a
9-month, or 12-month
hat...
. . . .
.
You have to obey the
playbook, but you also
have to acknowledge that
we've got a serious
economic slowdown, and the
Fed can't save everything,
so I think we compromise
in retail... I always like
to split the difference...
I never like to make the
full-board bet...
I think you need to own a
retailer that makes you
money in either
scenario... a stock that
should go up, regardless
of whether the Fed has
saved the day or not...
And the stock that I've
come up with... the stock
that I guess I'm going to
have to start shopping
at... is TJX Companies,
Inc. (TJX)!
. . . .
.
That's the company behind
TJ Maxx and behind
Marshall's...
These guys are the masters
of the trade-down
retail... It's
blessed because, as a
discount retailer, TJX
will thrive if things
don't turn up but, thanks
to its leadership, a big
retail turnaround is also
a win...
There are plenty of
discount retailers that I
am not recommending right
now...
TJX is different...
Part of it is their
business model, and part
of it is their brilliant
CEO, Carol Meyrowitz, who
took over at the top a
year ago, and she has just
changed this company.
She's another one of these
CEOs that I regard as
being a transformational
one.
But, whatever the cause,
nobody can deny that TJX
has been able to deliver
better than any other
retailer in America in the
last year...
This is the company that
actually reported a rise
in December same-store
sales, even as almost
every other retailer fell
apart last month...
If Meyrowitz was making
this work before the rate
cut, imagine how well
she'll do now...
And this company doesn't
come to its shareholders
empty handed... TJX comes
bearing buybacks...
So far, this year, the
company bought back $650
million worth of share...
it plans to buy another
$250 million before the
end of the month, and then
I think you get another
reload...
So, if this stock gets
hit, you know they're
right in there supporting
prices with you.
The stock is trading at
only 13x this year's
consensus earnings
estimate... It's trading
at the very low end of its
historical range...
You've got a 12% gain if
TJX just goes back to
average, and a 36% gain if
the stock trades back up
to the higher end, which
you could certainly
justify in a market where
retail is cannibalizing
itself, and TJX is the
king... of the cannibals.
The company is going too
strong for the stock to
stay down here.
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
Even after this (Fed rate)
cut, there aren't too many
stocks that work... not
many companies that can
make their numbers, and
those are especially hard
to find in retail, which
is finally moving... but
TJX Companies, Inc.
(TJX)
has proven itself
worthy... it's proven that
it works... and, in my
book, that makes the stock
a buy, buy, buy.
. . . .
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|
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TJX |
29.71 |
29.65 |
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX)
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Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from
tonight's show
here >>
See current quotes on Yahoo!
Finance from
tonight's show stocks
here >> |
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Symbol keys: |
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A Charitable Trust stock.
- An asterisk next to a
stock symbol indicates that
Jim mentioned it is a stock
that he manages within
his
charitable trust portfolio.
You can see the complete
portfolio
of stocks
here >> |
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Thumbs up - indicates
he would buy the stock or,
at the very least, not sell
the stock. We do our
best to interpret Jim's
opinion on stocks, as we
think it is indicated by his
comments during the show.
Please read his comments to
decide for yourself. |
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Thumbs down -
indicates he has said not to
buy or to sell the stock,
based on his comments
We do our best to interpret
Jim's opinion on stocks, as
we think it is indicated by
his comments during the
show. Please read his
comments to decide for
yourself. |
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Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
that he would do a
'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
back... " as he is "backing
up the truck" to load up on
his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point. |
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Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about. |
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Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms": |
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Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back... |
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Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you. |
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Definition: 'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock). |
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Definition: 'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point. |
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See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
here >> |
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Helpful Websites: |
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See the stocks currently
known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:
jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com |
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See the stocks currently
known to be in Warren
Buffett's portfolio
of
stocks at:
warren-buffett-portfolio.com |
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Stock Homework 101:
This is an excellent
upcoming site that provides
resources and links to help
you do that homework that
Jim Cramer recommends after
hearing his suggestions...
StockHomework101.com
This site is coming soon.
Thank you. |
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FastMoneyRecap:
This site will be a quick
summary of recommendations
made by the great Fast Money
TV show crew, that will
offer you a unique service,
to compare their picks to
Jim Cramer's past comments
about those stocks.
Fast Money Recap - Trades
for next day...
Compare these picks to Jim's
comments for the same
stocks. |
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thumbs up or thumbs down
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interpreted by us as accurately as
possible. Some comments have been
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and extraneous material omitted. Please rely on watching
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and reading the text of the
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