Monday, 01/28/08
Posted 01/29/08,  12:37 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Monday, 01/28/08

  Dow Jones: 12,383   + 176
  NASDAQ:   2,349     + 23
  S&P 500:   1,353     + 23
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
 
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'Rate Expectations'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): No specific stock picks.


See Opening Segment 2, below...

        
Jim elaborated on how important the Federal Reserve's rate cut (expected this week) is to both the economy - and saving us from a deepening recession - as well as to prevent another significant stock market slide.

He went on to say that the Fed's very cautionary, gradual rate cut approach is wrong and that the Fed funds rate of 1.75% should be the goal.

No specific stock picks.

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:     Since the Fed's allegedly prudent inaction has turned out to be unsophisticated, arrogant and, ultimately, incredibly reckless.  That's you Fed... unsophisticated, arrogant and incredibly reckless...  Not us.  You.


[See Jim's 2nd Opening Segment stock picks below... ]

 

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance


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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


       
         

 


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Second Segment
 
 
 
 
Final Segment 2 Title: 'Buy or Cellular'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Nokia Corp. (NOK)

See NOK's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for NOK here.
 

        
JJC:   Every company that reports bad results wants to blame the economy...

Most of the time, we can recognize these meaningless excuses for what they are...  But right now, we're in a weird moment where too many of us believe the losers, not the potential winners...  We take down everything... a whole sector... when one company - one bad actor - blames their bad numbers on the environment...  even though it's entirely possible is that the reason things are bad at Company A, is that Company B is slaughtering them.

This is the case of Motorola (MOT) and Nokia (NOK)...

Last Wednesday, MOT reported absolutely abysmal numbers.  They are a trainwreck, which is pretty par for the course for what has become a perennial loser...  They are a company that knows nothing...

So what happens?...

Everyone sells MOT, and NOK!...  Even though we know that MOT has had problems with poor execution for a long time... not to mention problems with products that no one wants to buy...  and no sign of a technological vision for the future.

MOT says it's tough out there, and we believed them...

.  .  .  .  .


If you didn't believe them, you had a great opportunity to buy NOK, down huge the day before it reported stellar numbers.

We learned that NOK is gaining market share.  No wonder things are bad for MOT right?...

This reminds me of something that used to happen a lot a long time ago... back when Target (TGT) was still the old department store chain, Dayton Hudson...  At one point, Dayton Hudson said sales were bad, and the store across the street, Kohl's (KSS), reported good numbers...   I guess the only logical conclusion was that it was raining on Dayton Hudson's side of the street all month, but stayed sunny on KSS's side...

Should we draw the same conclusion with NOK and MOT?...  Does it never rain in Finland?... which would be really bad, considering the company is named after a body of water... i.e., the Nokia river...

.  .  .  .  .

The only logical conclusion is that MOT's pain is NOK's gain...

When MOT goes down, NOK should be going up, because it's their aggressive share take in the mobile phone market that's doing so much damage to MOT.  In college, we would have called it 'zero sum.'

A bad environment is the same awful excuse used by incompetent managers everywhere, when they can't deliver results...  MOT may have ousted Ed Zander (former CEO), but Greg Brown, the new CEO, I don't think he's doing much better!...   I mean, of course, he was given a bad hand...

Forget about this one.  It's being beaten by NOK fair and square, and I believe that the cell phone maker to put your money on... even if you heard the business wasn't so good on MOT's side of the street... is NOK...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:     When a company blames the business climate for its woes, check to see if it's raining on the other side of the street, before you write off its competitors.  That's the lesson of Nokia (NOK) and Motorola (MOT), and it's the reason that I'd a buyer when it comes to NOK, which isn't just a river in Finland anymore...

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


NOK

34.58

34.28

Nokia Corp. (NOK)

         

 

   
 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>


Netflix, Inc.


Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own