Wednesday, 02/06/08
Posted 02/07/08,  12:31 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Wednesday, 02/06/08

  Dow Jones: 12,200     - 65
  NASDAQ:   2,278     - 30
  S&P 500:   1,326     - 10
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
 
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'On The Line'
'Less Is Mortgage'

CEO Interview
Mike Farrell, CEO

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Annaly Capital Management (NLY*)

See NLY*'s official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for NLY* here.


See Opening Segment 2, below...

        
Jim's comments BEFORE the interview:     How do you use a nasty selloff like we had yesterday and today to make money?   We've got our patented ways here in Cramerica, and one of them is to look for great companies that reported great quarters in the chaos - the decline... that were, therefore, overlooked...

I've always felt that carnage creates the best buys... it always has...

And we've got one for you... It's a Cramer fave...  if I don't mind saying... I'm proud of that actually...  Last night, I was not proud of the New York Stock Exchange (NYX*)...

Let me have a little price, and say that I've liked - since the beginning of the show - Annaly Mortgage (NLY*), which reported stupendous numbers, but could gain only 79 cents in that horrible tape yesterday.

NLY* is a stock that's practically tailor-made for this environment of lower rates... and you know I believe the Fed has to keep easing, and easing fast, to keep the recession from being deep.

NLY* is THE rate cut play, and the fact that it reported on such a horrible day, I regard as a gift...

This is a company that buys mortgages that have no credit risk...  I know that's a hard point to get around, because we've heard so many negative things about sub-prime... But, believe it or not, there are mortgages that have an implicit guarantee, and you don't have to buy mortgages that default.  You can get rid of the credit risk and just have interest rate risk... and, sometimes, that works to your benefit...

In fact, I regard NLY* the king of all mortgage plays... because it has a really smart CEO, Mike Farrell, and he got everything right...  NLY* stayed away from the bad paper... even admitted that they couldn't make as much money as the other companies... kind of stayed in a dormant state, until they felt it was right to strike...

And everybody else was buying every piece of junk mortgage out there - the good and the bad.  Not NLY*...

NLY* now has the capital to come in and pick among the rubble, buying the very best stuff at, I think, incredibly reduced prices...

As we learned yesterday from the quarter, the strategy has paid off.

Now, I have said endlessly that you have to buy the financials here, because, even the Washington Mutual (WM)'s of the world - and I have to hold my nose, when I say that - do tend to go higher, after rate cut, after rate cut, after rate cut...   But, if you really have to hold your nose, maybe you shouldn't buy them at all... Not when you have NLY*...

NLY* is the anti-Washington Mutual (WM)...

And then there's the yield... 6.6%, after the close today...

By the way, this is one of the few stocks I know in this market that have hit the 52-week high list...  I mean, that is a treasured list right here.  I like to pick from it.  This is the only one that is consistently showing up there...

When rates come down, you must own stocks with big dividends, because money that has been kept in cash for the income, starts to flow into these stocks, as lower rates make cash less attractive...

These are all just arithmetic points...

That makes NLY* a triple buy for the safe dividend alone... but let's not just take it from me.  Let's hear it from the mortgage master himself, Mike Farrell... 

 

.  .  .  .  .

Jim's comments AFTER the interview:     I can't speak more highly of you, and of your company.  It is the way to play this environment.  There is no doubt in my mind.



[See Jim's past comments on Mad Money about Annaly Capital Management (NLY*), pre-searched for you here >> ]


[See Jim's 2nd Opening Segment stock picks below... ]

 

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance


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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


NLY*

20.44

20.76

Annaly Capital Management (NLY*)

         

 


Mutual-Fund-Holdings.com
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Top 25 holdings - The No. 3 Top-Performing Mutual Fund in 2007


 
 
Second Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'Carnival Cash'

'Petro Active'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)

See PBR's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for PBR here.



See Opening Segment 2, below...

        

JJC:     Another lousy day in America... It doesn't matter...  We're not staying here anymore.  This week, we celebrate the new economic superpower in the Western Hemisphere... a country that makes us look like punks, with our puny recession-mired economy...

Yeah, all week, we're going back to Brazil...

A carnival of Brazilian stocks, that should represent a great haven for investors, as the Happys and Grumpys duke it out over the fate of the faultering American economy...

.  .  .  .  .

Brazil has been energy self sufficient for the last two years...

We can't even imagine being energy self sufficient in 20 or 30 years in this country...

The Brazilians... are kicking our American butts!...   And part of that is their use of sugar-based ethanol, which is just as politically mandated as our use of ethanol...  except, in Brazil, it's big... sugar.  They also do some soy too.  But it's big sugar, not big corn, that calls the shots...

The other point is oil... and when I say oil, I am talking Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)... a stock that anybody should consider buying...

We're adding PBR to our carnival float of stocks...  right up there with Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (RIO)... and I think that this one's every bit as good...

PBR isn't just another Latin America state-controlled joke of an oil company.  We have to stop thinking like that.  We are still in an era in this country, where we do not respect what's going on down there...   Wrong!...

Now, a decade ago, Brazil opened up PBR to foreign investment, and I believe it's now equal to, or better than, any of the major integrated oils...  when it comes to knowledge, exploration, and production...  No other country's company is like that...

In fact, I think PBR leaves the major integrated oils - think Exxon Mobil (XOM) - in the dust...

.  .  .  .  .
 

There are two things that make an oil company worth buying, right here, right now...  even with the oil futures going down...

One is reserve growth, because you've got to replenish the oil you're taking out of the ground, or you have no future...

And the other is production growth, because we want a stock with genuine organic growth, that isn't just seeing higher profits, because the price of oil - the commodity - has gone higher.

PBR has both, while the Exxon's of the world really have neither...  And yet, when XOM tells us they're not growing reserves or production significantly, you know what investors do, don't you?...  They dump PBR too...

They throw out the baby with the bath water...  
 

.  .  .  .  .

But we're catching the baby here on Mad Money, and we're giving you the opportunity to buy it cheaper, thanks to what I regard as utter foolishness that we sell all oils when XOM reports a number that we don't like...



[See Jim's past comments on Mad Money about Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR), pre-searched for you here >> ]

 

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:     How can you hear about the amazing success of Brazil, without wanting to own one of the drivers of that story, Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)?...  This is the greatest-growth oil company in the world, and you're getting it right now at a 10% discount to its high.  I want in on that sale!  It would really be great if you could get it under $106.  Remember, the futures are coming down... but I think that this one is the major integrated oil that you want to own.

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


PBR

106.01

109.63

Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)

         

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
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