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Wednesday, 02/06/08
Posted 02/07/08, 12:31
am ET |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Wednesday, 02/06/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
12,200 |
-
65 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,278 |
- 30 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,326 |
- 10 |
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Opening Segment 1
Title: |
'On The Line'
'Less Is Mortgage'
CEO Interview
Mike Farrell, CEO
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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
Annaly Capital
Management (NLY*)
See NLY*'s official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for
NLY*
here.
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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Jim's comments BEFORE
the interview:
How do
you use a nasty selloff
like we had yesterday and
today to make money?
We've got our patented
ways here in Cramerica,
and one of them is to look
for great companies that
reported great quarters in
the chaos - the decline...
that were, therefore,
overlooked...
I've always felt that
carnage creates the best
buys... it always has...
And we've got one for
you... It's a Cramer
fave... if I don't
mind saying... I'm proud
of that actually...
Last night, I was not
proud of the
New York Stock Exchange (NYX*)...
Let me have a little
price, and say that I've
liked - since the
beginning of the show -
Annaly Mortgage (NLY*),
which reported stupendous
numbers, but could gain
only 79 cents in that
horrible tape yesterday.
NLY* is a stock that's
practically tailor-made
for this environment of
lower rates... and you
know I believe the Fed has
to keep easing, and easing
fast, to keep the
recession from being deep.
NLY* is THE rate cut play,
and the fact that it
reported on such a
horrible day, I regard as
a gift...
This is a company that
buys mortgages that have
no credit risk... I
know that's a hard point
to get around, because
we've heard so many
negative things about
sub-prime... But, believe
it or not, there are
mortgages that have an
implicit guarantee, and
you don't have to buy
mortgages that default.
You can get rid of the
credit risk and just have
interest rate risk... and,
sometimes, that works to
your benefit...
In fact, I regard NLY* the
king of all mortgage
plays... because it has a
really smart CEO, Mike
Farrell, and he got
everything right...
NLY* stayed away from the
bad paper... even admitted
that they couldn't make as
much money as the other
companies... kind of
stayed in a dormant state,
until they felt it was
right to strike...
And everybody else was
buying every piece of junk
mortgage out there - the
good and the bad.
Not NLY*...
NLY* now has the capital
to come in and pick among
the rubble, buying the
very best stuff at, I
think, incredibly reduced
prices...
As we learned yesterday
from the quarter, the
strategy has paid off.
Now, I have said endlessly
that you have to buy the
financials here, because,
even the
Washington Mutual (WM)'s
of the world - and I have
to hold my nose, when I
say that - do tend to go
higher, after rate cut,
after rate cut, after rate
cut... But, if
you really have to hold
your nose, maybe you
shouldn't buy them at
all... Not when you have
NLY*...
NLY* is the anti-Washington Mutual (WM)...
And then there's the
yield... 6.6%, after the
close today...
By the way, this is one of
the few stocks I know in
this market that have hit
the 52-week high list...
I mean, that is a
treasured list right here.
I like to pick from it.
This is the only one that
is consistently showing up
there...
When rates come down, you
must own stocks with big
dividends, because money
that has been kept in cash
for the income, starts to
flow into these stocks, as
lower rates make cash less
attractive...
These are all just
arithmetic points...
That makes NLY* a triple
buy for the safe dividend
alone... but let's not
just take it from me.
Let's hear it from the
mortgage master himself,
Mike Farrell...
. . . .
.
Jim's comments AFTER
the interview:
I can't
speak more highly of you,
and of your company.
It is the way to play this
environment. There
is no doubt in my mind.
[See Jim's past comments
on Mad Money about
Annaly Capital
Management (NLY*),
pre-searched for you
here >> ]
[See Jim's 2nd Opening
Segment stock picks
below... ]
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
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NLY* |
20.44 |
20.76 |
Annaly Capital
Management (NLY*)
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Mutual-Fund-Holdings.com
NEW RESOURCE!
See Ken Heebner's CGM
Focus Fund
Top 25 holdings - The No.
3 Top-Performing Mutual
Fund in 2007
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Opening Segment 1
Title: |
'Carnival Cash'
'Petro Active'
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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)
See PBR's official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for
PBR
here.
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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JJC:
Another lousy day in
America... It doesn't
matter... We're not
staying here anymore.
This week, we celebrate
the new economic
superpower in the Western
Hemisphere... a country
that makes us look like
punks, with our puny
recession-mired economy...
Yeah, all week, we're
going back to Brazil...
A carnival of Brazilian
stocks, that should
represent a great haven
for investors, as the
Happys and Grumpys
duke it out over the fate
of the faultering American
economy...
Brazil has been energy self
sufficient for the last two
years...
We can't even imagine being
energy self sufficient in 20
or 30 years in this country...
The Brazilians... are kicking
our American butts!...
And part of that is their use
of sugar-based ethanol, which
is just as politically
mandated as our use of
ethanol... except, in
Brazil, it's big... sugar.
They also do some soy too.
But it's big sugar, not big
corn, that calls the shots...
The other point is oil... and
when I say oil, I am talking
Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)...
a stock that anybody should
consider buying...
We're adding PBR to our
carnival float of stocks...
right up there with
Companhia Vale do Rio Doce
(RIO)...
and I think that this one's
every bit as good...
PBR isn't just another Latin
America state-controlled joke
of an oil company. We
have to stop thinking like
that. We are still in an
era in this country, where we
do not respect what's going on
down there...
Wrong!...
Now, a decade ago, Brazil
opened up PBR to foreign
investment, and I believe it's
now equal to, or better than,
any of the major integrated
oils... when it comes to
knowledge, exploration, and
production... No other
country's company is like
that...
In fact, I think PBR leaves
the major integrated oils -
think
Exxon Mobil (XOM)
- in the dust...
. . . .
.
There are two things that make
an oil company worth buying,
right here, right now...
even with the oil futures
going down...
One is reserve growth, because
you've got to replenish the
oil you're taking out of the
ground, or you have no
future...
And the other is production
growth, because we want a
stock with genuine organic
growth, that isn't just seeing
higher profits, because the
price of oil - the commodity -
has gone higher.
PBR has both, while the
Exxon's of the world really
have neither... And yet,
when XOM tells us they're not
growing reserves or production
significantly, you know what
investors do, don't you?...
They dump PBR too...
They throw out the baby with
the bath water...
. . . .
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But we're catching the baby
here on Mad Money, and we're
giving you the opportunity to
buy it cheaper, thanks to what
I regard as utter foolishness
that we sell all oils when XOM
reports a number that we don't
like...
[See Jim's past comments
on Mad Money about Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR),
pre-searched for you
here >> ]
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
How can
you hear about the amazing
success of Brazil, without
wanting to own one of the
drivers of that story,
Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)?...
This is the
greatest-growth oil
company in the world, and
you're getting it right
now at a 10% discount to
its high. I want in
on that sale! It
would really be great if
you could get it under
$106. Remember, the
futures are coming down...
but I think that this one
is the major integrated
oil that you want to own.
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Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|

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PBR |
106.01 |
109.63 |
Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR)
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Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from
tonight's show
here >>
See current quotes on Yahoo!
Finance from
tonight's show stocks
here >> |
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Symbol keys: |
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A Charitable Trust stock.
- An asterisk next to a
stock symbol indicates that
Jim mentioned it is a stock
that he manages within
his
charitable trust portfolio.
You can see the complete
portfolio
of stocks
here >> |
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Thumbs up - indicates
he would buy the stock or,
at the very least, not sell
the stock. We do our
best to interpret Jim's
opinion on stocks, as we
think it is indicated by his
comments during the show.
Please read his comments to
decide for yourself. |
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Thumbs down -
indicates he has said not to
buy or to sell the stock,
based on his comments
We do our best to interpret
Jim's opinion on stocks, as
we think it is indicated by
his comments during the
show. Please read his
comments to decide for
yourself. |
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Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
that he would do a
'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
back... " as he is "backing
up the truck" to load up on
his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point. |
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Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about. |
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Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms": |
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Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back... |
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Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you. |
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Definition: 'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock). |
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Definition: 'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point. |
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See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
here >> |
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Helpful Websites: |
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See the stocks currently
known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:
jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com |
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See the stocks currently
known to be in Warren
Buffett's portfolio
of
stocks at:
warren-buffett-portfolio.com |
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Stock Homework 101:
This is an excellent
upcoming site that provides
resources and links to help
you do that homework that
Jim Cramer recommends after
hearing his suggestions...
StockHomework101.com
This site is coming soon.
Thank you. |
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FastMoneyRecap:
This site will be a quick
summary of recommendations
made by the great Fast Money
TV show crew, that will
offer you a unique service,
to compare their picks to
Jim Cramer's past comments
about those stocks.
Fast Money Recap - Trades
for next day...
Compare these picks to Jim's
comments for the same
stocks. |
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© 2005-2007 MadMoneyRecap.com ■
Important disclaimer: This site is
not affiliated with Mr. James
Cramer, and is not associated with
any television networks or
broadcasts. Please note that all
thumbs up or thumbs down
indicators are not always clearly
indicated on the show and are
interpreted by us as accurately as
possible. Some comments have been
edited for brevity and clarity,
and extraneous material omitted. Please rely on watching
the show yourself, doing
your own homework,
and reading the text of the
comments to draw your own
conclusions. Also, data presented
on this site should not be used to
make investment decisions and
accuracy, although attempted,
cannot be guaranteed. Please
consult with your own financial
advisor for professional advice. |
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