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Wednesday, 03/05/08
Posted 03/05/08, 11:21
pm ET |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Wednesday, 03/05/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
12,254 |
+41 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,272 |
+12 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,333 |
+ 6 |
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Opening Segment 1
Title: |
'Cash is Trash'
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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
Consolidated Edison
Inc. (ED)
See ED's official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for ED
here.
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
JJC: What did
we tell you yesterday, at
the beginning of the show?
We told you the market was
too low... We said
you shouldn't be
selling... We
said the negativity would
produce higher, not lower,
prices...
We think the market can
still go higher.
We're not done. And
we hope you use
yesterday's weakness to
load the boat with our
faves... gold, oil,
and agriculture...
Gold going to $1600...
Natural gas going to
$16... The grain
complex going to $16...
It's the Sweet Sixteen
time...
Now, of course, all of
these were fabulous
today...
But, tonight, we're done
telling ourselves how
great we are...
Tonight, we defrock our
least favorite asset...
Tonight, we celebrate the
slow regicide of king
cash!...
. . . .
.
With every rate cut, cash
becomes a less and less
attractive place to stash
your money, because
Bernanke's cutting the
short rates, which are the
rates that banks pay out
to you as the depositor.
He's already taken things
low enough that you'd be
insane to keep money in a
certificate of deposit, or
a money market account...
and, with every additional
rate cut, cash becomes -
you got it - trashier and
trashier!...
This is the cut-by-cut
beheading of king cash...
and, yeah, Bernanke's just
as bad at performing the
execution as...
well, he's managing the
execution just as badly as
he does everything else...
. . . .
.
But, who's the new
king?...
How about - yes!, I've got
the new one... I've
got the new king... and
the king is...
high-yielding stocks...
Investors looking for
income, not for asset
growth, want to park their
money in a place that's
going to give them a lot
of yield...
Now that rates have come
down, people who have
money in cash... they know
it's trash. They're
looking for another
place... they want
yield. That's why we
put cash in the Sell Block
a while ago...
And now we've got
something that's a
fabulous alternative to
cash... something that I
can get excited about.
Now, of course, people can
go into another form of
cash, which are
treasuries...
Frankly, the 3.6% yield
you get from the 10-year,
or the 4.5% yield you get
from the 30-year bond...
that's trash too!...
especially when you
remember that, unlike
dividends - which are
taxed at a low 15% -
you're income from bonds
gets taxed at normal high
rates. You're income
from cash... you've got to
pay a huge amount of tax
when you own this stuff...
So what does that leave
for us? What
gets favorable tax
treatment?...
Stable stocks with high
yields... they should keep
going higher, as more and
more investors looking for
income, leave this trash
pit, and flock to
dividends...
Now, frankly, if you're
one of those investors,
you should be flocking to
them for the yield.
It's the right call...
But, if you want a stock
with a high yield that can
also go higher, well,
tonight, you're in luck,
because I've got two
stocks - not just one -
two stocks tonight, that
can give you both...
. . . .
.
First up is... Consolidated Edison
Inc. (ED)!
This is, as far as I'm
concerned, the single-best
electric utility in the
nation to own... It is, by
far, the best utility
stock.
ED has a 5.7% yield.
And, remember, since
dividends get favorable
taxation... it's
great for shareholders
after the 15% tax on
dividends, so your 5.7%
yield on ED becomes a
(real, after-tax) 4.8%
yield... still
better than a
long bond gives you,
even before its much
higher tax rate...
Oh, and last I looked, a
30-year doesn't have the
upside versus a common
stock... You know,
Treasury doesn't raise the
interest rate they pay you
on that bond... but ED
just raised its dividend
for the 34th consecutive
year... not big,
alright... half a penny,
or about 0.9%... in
January...
But, c'mon... think about
it... a better deal than
cash, interest rates don't
go up - they don't pay you
more interest...
Here, you've got a chance
for it to go up, but not
have the bond go down
which, in this case,
happens to be ED...
. . . .
.
The best reason to buy
this stock, dividends
aside, is that utilities
are classic recession
stocks... They have
virtually no economic
sensitivity...
And the fundamentals?...
Like I said, best of
breed...
Back on January 24th, ED
reported a fabulously
better-than-expected
quarter. They earned 76
cents a share, beating
expectations by a massive
15 cents. And, believe me,
that's not easy to do,
when you're a
heavily-regulated
utility...
They just had very good
price increases... but,
coming from this company,
it's no surprise. They
beat thanks to the just a
little bit of rate
increases... They also
beat thanks to higher
heating demand.
While they didn't get the
rate increase they wanted
recently, I think they'll
still get enough to cover
another small boost in the
dividend next year...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
Cash - as we know it...
People are swimming in
cash... It's total
trash... It's absolutely
worth less and less each
day, and I've got a stock
that yields you 5.7%...
that can raise it's
dividend... that's a
stable player... I
need you to buy - not this
stuff (cash) - but
Consolidated Edison Inc.
(ED).
[See Jim's 2nd Opening
Segment stock picks
below... ]
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See all of tonight's stocks'
latest quotes on
Yahoo! Finance |
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|
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ED |
41.03 |
41.35 |
Consolidated Edison Inc.
(ED)
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Mutual-Fund-Holdings.com
NEW RESOURCE!
See Ken Heebner's CGM
Focus Fund
Top 25 holdings - The No.
3 Top-Performing Mutual
Fund in 2007
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Opening Segment 2
Title: |
'Trust Funds' |
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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
Permian Basin
Royalty Trust (PBT)
See PBT's official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for
PBT
here.
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
JJC: Welcome
back to our show that's
devoted entirely to the
decline and fall of
cash... that's right, cash
that's become trash!...
As (Federal Reserve
Chairman) Bernanke's
slashing rates, he's
slashing the interest
rates you get on cash...
the yield you're getting
is going lower...
and that means cash is
going to worth less and
less...
. . . .
.
The winner here is stocks
with high yields... mighty
dividend payers that
investors looking for
stability and income are
already buying... and will
keep buying, as long as
the Fed keeps cutting...
I've already given you
Consolidated Edison Inc.
(ED),
with a nice, fat 5.7%
yield...
How about a stock to own
for the next five years,
with a really massive,
gargantuan yield?...
A morbidly-obese
dividend?...
Wouldn't you like that,
instead of this (cash)
nonsense?...
Good. Because I've
got a whole group of
them... a group of stocks
that's being almost
completely overlooked...
Only one is the best, but
you need to know a little
something about the group
first, because many of you
may not be familiar with
these stocks. I
don't talk about them on
the show...
I'm talking about U.S.
energy trusts...
What the heck are they?...
These are companies that
own oil and gas wells, but
usually let outside
companies operate them...
What's so special about
energy trusts?...
They don't pay taxes, as
long as they give a high
percentage of their
profits back to
shareholders, in the form
of - you guessed it - a
juicy dividend...
. . . .
.
Now, you have to pay
regular taxes on these
dividends. This is
not like a typical common
stock, okay? These
are taxed... but there's a
great way to get around
that. I think you
buy these for your 401k or
your IRA, which are
tax-deferred...
You won't pay any taxes on
those dividends, until you
ultimately withdraw your
money after you've
retired...
These are the ideal stocks
- these energy trusts -
for retirement accounts,
because you can reinvest
the dividends
year-after-year, letting
them compound, and
realizing potentially huge
untaxed gains in your
retirement portfolio...
. . . .
.
This sounds good to me.
You've got
ConEd
(ED)
to handle your regular
cash, okay... and then,
for your IRA or for your
401k, while you're waiting
for something to happen,
how about putting your
money into one of these,
and get you a good
return?...
Now, in the past, Canadian
energy trusts I've been
recommending, right?
They had been a better bet
than their counterparts in
the U.S. In
Canada, they allow the
trust to grow... they can
acquire new properties.
But, in the U.S. they
can't, which means the
trusts have more growth up
there than they have down
here, and they have higher
yields...
One of the reasons why the
Street ignores U.S.
trusts... there's really
no major coverage out
there, other than
Citigroup... is that they
can't grow by
acquisiton... they're
really boring.
But there's a great story
here, because oil prices
are so high, and probably
going so much higher, that
let's just say it's under
the radar. It should
be talked about by
everybody...
. . . .
.
Back to why we like the
U.S. more than Canada...
There's a 15% foreign tax
withholding on the
dividends from those
Canadian trusts if you're
an American... and
the government's raising
their taxes as of 2011...
So, if I were you, you've
got to shift to the
domestic ones...
Which ones?...
Four options:
Permian Basin Royalty
Trust (PBT)
BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty
Trust (BPT)
San Juan Basin Royalty
Trust (SJT)
Hugoton Royalty Trust
(HGT)
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