Monday, 03/10/08
Posted 03/10/08,  10:20 pm ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Monday, 03/10/08

  Dow Jones: 11,740   - 153
  NASDAQ:   2,169     - 43
  S&P 500:   1,273     - 20
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'New World Order'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): General Comments.
No specific stock picks.


See Opening Segment 2, below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...


JJC:   We are no longer in a market where I think stocks are innocent until proven guilty... That's over...  We are not in Kansas anymore...

This isn't an American market anymore... it's a Soviet market... where stocks are just plain guilty, until proven innocent...

There are hundreds and hundreds of big-cap stocks that I can't even make a potential argument in favor of... even a bad argument...

Does that mean you should clear out of stocks entirely?...   No!  Of course not...  I still believe, despite this (caution) sign on my head, that they're the best asset class around.  And, even in this bleak, and certainly not brave, new world, we know that things will get better eventually...  perhaps at a lower level...  with a big emphasis on 'eventually,' and an even bigger emphasis on 'lower'...

You can't allow yourself to panic, because of all the negativity...

.  .  .  .  .

Now, it may seem like things have never been worse than they are now...

But, in fact, they actually were in 1990.  At that point, nearly every bank seemed like it was about to go under.  Now we only have what seems like a third of them about to go under... 

.  .  .  .  .

I suspect we will see a run on, not one, but many banks before we hit bottom this time around...  I suspect we'll see people lined up at the branches of some of these banks that really screwed up...

The authentic Wall Street jibberish here is that you need to focus on capital preservation, not capital appreciation...  We're just going to try to lose less than the other guys... we're going to try to lose less in this period...  or, at best, go for modest gains now and in the near future, when we see that they're possible... so that, when we start seeing the light at the end of the tunnel, you can put your money to work...

What you can absolutely cannot do is try to make big gains now, because you'll most likely only end up with big losses, and that means you'll have less money to work with, when things get better...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      Right now, there's not much cause to be optimistic...  But now you know what could make us short-term optimistic... oversold conditions, too much doom and gloom, and a catalyst...  but that's not going to cause a real bottom, as you will find all week.  There are a few things that can be bought in this Soviet market and, if you stay with me, you'll hear one that passes the new rigorous smell test...   Oh, and remember...  We've been here before, and we're still standing...


[See Jim's 2nd Opening Segment stock picks below... ]

 

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

 

       
       

 

 


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Second Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 2 Title: 'DNA Evidence'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Genentech Inc. (DNA)

See DNA's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for DNA here.



See Opening Segment 2, below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

        

JJC:     In an environment such as this one, I don't think it's responsible of me to be recommending too many stocks...

There are just so many things that go into picking a good stock, and there are just so few things that can work... that even the definition of what I try do for a living on this show is changing...

Remember, we're in the new world, where caution - not cash, because cash doesn't do much - caution is king...  and we want stocks that can deliver what I call modest gains...  Hey man, if we could be up 3-5%, it would be killer here...   We want modest gains, while protecting you from big losses... not stocks that can give you wins...

There aren't likely to be many big winners in this market...  and it's just not prudent to try and go looking for them...   In other words... in honor of the pending baseball season...  we're going to be happy hitting some singles... just getting on base...  The long ball's off the table.  I'm bunting to get on (base)... 

.  .  .  .  .

That said, it never pays to get too negative, and I do think that I have a stock that can work for multiple reasons right here...

Here's something that could work... especially because we are due for an oversold stock rally...  and the stock - and I don't mind this... I think this one will work... and I spent a lot of time trying to figure out whether I should go out with this...   I think that we can buy Genentech Inc. (DNA)...

.  .  .  .  .

It's got an analyst meeting - a catalyst - this Friday... where I think we're going to hear a lot of good things...   I think we can get on base with DNA...

While everything was heading south in 1990, biotech was actually going up...

Of the major biotech players, DNA is the one with the best growth.  It's also the least expensive... kind of a strange anomoly...   I think it has the most potential for estimate increases...  which should be enough to send it higher, even in this environment.

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      This is a brutal and negative environment...  I see some silver linings...  Not everything is going to head down.  Biotech is the one group that has worked through this period, no matter what.  I believe Genentech Inc. (DNA), with its analyst meeting coming up Friday, is one of the few good opportunities or, better yet, a hiding place with upside.  Do this for me...  This market's crummy...  It's going to be crummy tomorrow.  It was crummy last week...  But sometime between now and Friday, there'll be another big hammering of the whole market.  Act then.  Don't act tomorrow morning or then the whole trade's going to fail, okay?  You act then, into the discount... I think you get yourself a nice low risk/high reward trade...


.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


DNA

78.21

79.89

Genentech Inc. (DNA)

         

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
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