Tuesday, 03/18/08
Posted 03/18/08,  8:59 pm ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Tuesday, 03/18/08

  Dow Jones: 12,392   + 420
  NASDAQ:   2,268    + 91
  S&P 500:   1,330    + 54
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'Rate Expectations'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): General discussion about the Fed rate cut today, and it's implications on stocks, and why Jim thinks it may be indicative that we may have a legitimate bottom in the stock market.


See Opening Segment 2, below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

 

JJC:    So we're up 420 points...  Why should we care?...

But didn't this just happen... didn't it happen last Tuesday?... So why is today's 420-point gain any different?...

After last Tuesday's big oversold rally, the market took back a couple of chunks... and then, oh yeah, Bear Stearns (BSC) almost went bankrupt last Friday...

Some people think that last Tuesday was a bottom... no... but I believe that this time, is indeed different...

.  .  .  .  .

We're not just looking at an oversold rally...  I think we're seeing some sort of bottom...  Yes, I'm actually using the word "bottom"...  one that should hold us, and actually let us go higher.

.  .  .  .  .

Why will this rally be different?...  I'm going to give you the top 10 reasons why this one's different... 

Reasons why we may have a legitimate bottom...


1.  Hank Paulson (i.e., Treasury Secretary) woke up from his President Bush-induced slumber this weekend, and had a huge epiphany, and made it known that the government - the Fed - will do anything it takes to stop the system from breaking down...  He doesn't want that lasting legacy to be that the system collapsed under his treasury...

2.  Mortgage bonds actually traded up today... in part, because we smell a backroom deal between the White House and Fannie Mae (FNM)... a deal that would enable FNM to buy back its own bonds, which are ridiculously low.  That's something that will actually lower mortgage rates... not just interest rates... for once.

3.    Goldman Sachs (GS*) and Lehman Brothers (LEH) reported fabulous numbers.  Weren't they supposed to lose money?...  Wasn't LEH supposed to be in trouble?  Wasn't GS* supposed to be down $24, and not up $24 (like it was today)?... 

4.    Stocks - important stocks - are actually hitting 52-week highs... we're seeing great pin action.  You see, even thought the banks can't make it through a weekend without one of them facing insolvency, we actually have a real economy, and that real economy is in pretty good shape.  Who knew!

5.    There's no longer any reason to pull your money out of an investment firm, because we know now from Bear Stearns (BSC) that you will not get wiped out, if you keep your money there...  That's very new.

6.    We now have a plan for dealing with a bank or broker that's about to get crushed.  We've got a life support system... 

7.    Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG), Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), and First Solar (FSLR) showed first signs of life that I can almost remember in 2008... if not proof of life...  Until this, we had thought rigor mortis had set in for the momentum names...  AAPL's a real winner here, as I said last week.  And I believe in the press reports that came out, that shows that the Mac is taking share...

8.    The Visa Inc. (V) IPO is reason #8... That comes tonight... and I think you can make a fortune on this deal if you can get in on it...  If you couldn't get any Visa, buy some
Mastercard (MA).  That's still way too low...

9.    Abbey Joseph Cohen... the biggest bull on Wall Street... the strategist who stayed bullish throughout this, the worst bear market in years... retired yesterday.  I always love a good irony trade.

10.    The market rallied, despite Ben Bernanke's best efforts to hold us back... his nutty inflationary worry in the statement, while our house loses value every day...   And the two people who voted against the rate cut, because they think the fundamentals are sound...  these people are supposed to be the hallowed economic geniuses who guide our country?... Unbelievable.  The Fed only cut 75 basis points - instead of 100, which is what we really wanted - but it didn't matter...  The dollar didn't go higher, something that was totally unthinkable...   Mortgage rates didn't go down...  something that was totally unthinkable... and you have to take your money out of your CD, because it doesn't make enough money... and go buy stocks with good dividends... also unthinkable... 
 

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      I believe this time really is different.  This isn't just another oversold rally, although it certainly has that component to it.  We've got 10 reasons to think it's a bottom.  I am saying to you, do not sell this rally.  I want you to hang in there.

 


[See Jim's 2nd Opening Segment stock picks below... ]

 

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

na

na

na

General discussion about the Fed rate cut today, and it's implications on stocks, and why Jim thinks it may be indicative that we may have a legitimate bottom in the stock market.

       


 


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Second Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 2 Title: 'Glass Works'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Owens-Illinois, Inc. (OI)

See OI's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for OI here.



 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

 

JJC:   If today's action teaches us anything, it's that you absolutely must stay in the game... you must own something, so you can make some money when these oversold rallies come along...

It is an oversold rally... possibly a bottom...  We just care about making money.  And, as far as I'm concerned, it's not too late to try and make some money, because we're still oversold, and there's still too much negativity...

.  .  .  .  .

What to buy?...  How about a stock that's part of a little bull market... the kind that goes on quietly, and barely noticed?...

What's the next miniature bull?...  I think it's in glass.  Specifically glass bottles...   And the stock I want you to own... is Owens-Illinois, Inc. (OI), the largest maker of glass containers in the world!...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      We love our niche bull markets, and I believe this one in glass bottles is for real.   So, stick with Owens-Illinois, Inc. (OI)...  I don't know if it's going to $99, but we did get 99 bottles of beer on the wall!...

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


OI

53.47

54.89

Owens-Illinois, Inc. (OI)


       

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
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