Wednesday, 04/23/08
Posted 04/24/08,  08:43 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Wednesday, 04/23/08

  Dow Jones: 12,763    + 43
  NASDAQ:   2,405    + 28
  S&P 500:   1,379    + 4
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'Us and Dem'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)

Comverge, Inc. (COMV)



See Opening Segment 2, below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

 

JJC:    If we've learned one thing over the last year, it's that green - meaning environmentally-friendly, granola-chewing, hippie, communista green - clean green equals the other kind of green, as in U.S. dollars.

When we say green, we're talking about green generally, to refer to companies that are, in some way, helping the environment... or, in some way, otherwise benefiting from the movement...

Now, we've got an opportunity for Green Week this year that we didn't have in 2007... and that's how to play the presidential election.

Tonight, I'm going to tell you which environmentally-friendly stock should work... if a democrat wins the presidential election.

After the democrats, I'm going to give you all of the green stocks that ought to work under a McCain administration...

We're starting, though, with the democrats... and I think the safest way to play this is to take the stocks that work either under Hillary or Obama... and the ones that are favored by both of their green initiatives...

There's a lot of overlap here...

Both candidates, for example, want to spend $150 billion over the next 10 years on clean energy... They both have plans to reduce carbon emissions, improve the efficiency of the electric grid, promote renewable fuels, and so on...

The questions that we care about is, which companies will profit from his initiatives or her initiatives...

Some of this is easy...

I have no doubt that they are both going to subsidize solar...  When you talk about subsidized solar, it's First Solar, Inc. (FSLR), the one solar stock that hasn't needed subsidies... although they certainly don't hurt.  Buy, buy, buy!   A dem in the White House should be huge for FSLR, because the current president has had not one wit of interest for FSLR... and, believe me, it has been the talk of the Silicon Valley that this company has been snubbed by the President, but not by the Governor.

I bet FSLR gets called in quickly by either Obama or Hillary... in the same way that the Germans embraced FSLR... the country that got the whole thin film solar move started.

For reducing energy consumption, we're favoring Comverge, Inc. (COMV).  Do some homework.  This makes the technology that lets utilities know where to lower the power output during peak hours.  This is the play I like for both candidates. 

I think you want to be in FSLR, by the way, before Hillary or Obama takes the White House, because that's going to be one of the first calls they make is to the company...

All right, now let's take a cynical approach here...

Obama and Clinton may have many green initiatives, but they all have to pass congress... and that means, as far as Cramer is concerned, that the companies with the most clout in congress... the most legislature mindshare, so to speak, will benefit the most from any green bill...

So who are they?...

All right... I know... This is still one more great reason...  It's the ag complex...  

If Clinton or Obama win in November, this already-twice-blessed group...  Remember, we already have a global famine and our idiot embrace of ethanol...  I think it will become thrice blessed...

Many of these companies already have their hands in the congressional pocketbook... and, if you look what Clinton and Obama are proposing, I expect that they're just going to get even more federal assistance...  Is it unbelievable that the farmers will get even more under her or him?  It will happen.  You've got to trust me on this...

Within ag, I think that Potash (POT), Agrium (AGU), Mosaic (MOS), Deere (DE), Monsanto (MON) and DuPont (DD) could be the plays...  

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      You know a democratic presidential win is good for pretty much everything green, except nuclear... But the question is, who gets the most from the federal trough if Clinton or Obama wins? And there, I think the answer is really, quite frankly, the agricultural complex which, thank heavens, is down today, so you can start doing some buying...


[See Jim's 2nd Opening Segment stock picks below... ]

 

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

FSLR

286.03

na

First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)


COMV

13.27

na

Comverge, Inc. (COMV)

 

POT

204.12

na

Potash (POT)

 

AGU

86.78

na

Agrium (AGU)

 

MOS

133.27

na

Mosaic (MOS)

 

DE

90.50

na

Deere (DE)

 

MON

122.58

na

Monsanto (MON)

 

DD

49.98

na

DuPont (DD)

 

 


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Second Segment
 
 
Final Segment 1 Title: 'Green Old Party'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Shaw Group Inc. (SGR)

NRG Energy, Inc.
(NRG)

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...


JJC:    Tonight, I'm keeping up the Green Week theme, and combining it with the race for the presidency... I've already given you the stocks that I think would do best under Obama or Clinton... and now, I've got the green stock that I believe will do the best under McCain.

Unlike Clinton and Obama, who have reams and reams of policy papers about clean energy and global warming, and so on... McCain hasn't been all that detailed about his environmental policies...

McCain has one (website) page, highlighting his commitment to the environment, reaffirming his support for nuclear energy. This guy's no flip-flopper when it comes to nukes... and it also talks about reducing our dependence on foreign oil, because of nukes...

I would bet that McCain likes nuclear power so much, and has been so deeply committed to it for a generation, that I think that he would have skipped the Springsteen no-nukes tour from the mid-70s... No boss... his loss...

The biggest difference between McCain, and the democrats is nukes.

He's in favor of building more nuclear power plants, and has also talked about storing nuclear fuel... a hot button...

We've talked a lot before on this show about the nuclear renaissance that's happening all over the world. It has started to happen in this country, but it hasn't really caught on.

Our favorite play here is Shaw Group Inc. (SGR), for building and maintaining nuclear power plants... This stock will go up, if McCain wins on election day...

This one was part of our Green Week portfolio last year... Although the Street didn't like SGR's most recent quarter, we think they're too short sighted... We're talking long-term here, though I definitely like SGR as a nuclear play, especially if McCain wins, as he is so favorable to the industry, that I think it will be one of those things that it will just like say, on the national news, that SGR is the big winner...

Now here's another one that people don't talk about...

I only know it, because David Crane, who's the CEO, went to law school with me... You could speculate on NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG). This is the only utility that is completely and utterly committed to building more nukes...

But, right now, the government talks the talk of nukes, but isn't walking the walk of nukes... That means that NRG is slogging through the bureaucracy, and Bush is not pushing it all. I bet you McCain will get behind an NRG nuclear power plant, and shove it right through...

NRG knows how to build nukes. It should be a huge winner under McCain... 

He's talked about the same smart grid technology as Clinton and Obama which, again, makes Comverge, Inc. (COMV) a likely winner for either one... so COMV is one you can play. COMV, again, provides energy management equipment that, among other things, varies air conditioners to save energy capacities during peak load times... They've got 500 utility clients in the U.S. and 4.5 million of their smart grid devices installed. It's a bipartisan green play...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      If you want a serious green play on a McCain victory, my stock is Shaw Group Inc. (SGR), because McCain favors nukes, and democrats generally don't. And I want you to think about NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) too. Of course, if you want to be really serious, I think a McCain win will clearly be a big win for big oil. And even the most committed sophists couldn't make the case for that being green.

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day