Tuesday, 05/13/08
Posted 05/13/08,  9:51 pm ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Tuesday, 05/13/08

  Dow Jones: 12,832  - 44
  NASDAQ:   2,495  + 6
  S&P 500:   1,403   - 1
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'CEO Interview'

Robert Toll, CEO

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Toll Brothers (TOL)

See TOL's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for TOL here.



See Opening Segment 2, below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

        
Jim's comments BEFORE the interview:       On tonight's show, we're taking the pulse of this nation's economy... with two important CEOs... and one is at the pinnacle of the housing business and then, after the break, another CEO, who has to cope with these ridiculously-high energy costs, as the largest consumer of energy in his business...

I want to know, how are they, and how are they doing?...  And how are we coping as a nation, with the two strongest headwinds I have seen, since I started trading stocks in 1980... the housing crash, and the skyrocketing price of energy.

My first guest is Bob Toll...  He is the CEO of Toll Brothers (TOL), and a remarkable man.  Why?  Because, when housing was bad, he said it was bad!...  This man is the Diogenes of the housing business.  Now, you know we've hated the homebuilders for a long time on this show...  You know that I think they're a part of the problem, when it comes to the current financial mess.  They keep pumping them out...

But, on the other hand, I've long realized that it's too late to sell homebuilders...  They're up for the year.  Right now, we're waiting for a bottom in housing...  We have gotten a bottom in the housing stocks.  We're waiting for the right time to be able to say to you, not only have they bottomed, but we can make money... because, when the bottom comes for the homebuilders, that's going to be the bottom for everything else.

House price depreciation is the linchpin that's driving this country down.  If we get house price appreciation, it is hallelujah...  But, if we get stabilization, we're on the road to recovery...

Now, TOL - which is one of the high-end... well, I think the best of the high-end homebuilders - is a little less vulnerable to some of the vicissitudes of the economy.  It reported today.  The company's quarterly sales came in at $818 million.  That's about $60 million higher than expected...

Remember what we're looking for here... we want to work off excess housing inventory... to spot the housing market bottom.  From these results, I can't say how close we are to the moment, but it looks like we're closer...  We definitely want to get a better feel for this, as the housing industry is at the core of our domestic woes...

So, we're really lucky to have the Diogenes of the homebuilding business, Bob Toll, the CEO of Toll Brothers (TOL), here tonight via satellite, to help explain his company, and where the industry is right now.  Mr. Toll, welcome to Mad Money... 

.  .  .  .  .

Jim's comments AFTER the interview:       Bob, thank you for being honest the whole time. You have kept my show even keel, because you know I've talked to you behind the scenes, and you've urged me not to be bullish... I want to thank you, and all the people from Mad Money want to thank you, because I have never once gone off the deep end and said that it's a great time to buy, because of the work that you've given me.

All right... you know how much I want to be bullish... Look, it's not yet... it's not yet. When it gets to the right level, you know I'm going to come to you and I'm going to pull the trigger. I did not hear sell, sell, sell.... but I sure did hear don't buy, don't buy...

 

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


TOL

23.27

na

Toll Brothers (TOL)


       

         
 

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



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Second Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 2 Title: 'CEO Interview'

Albert Stroucken, CEO

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Owens-Illinois, Inc. (OI*)

See OI*'s official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for OI* here.

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

        

Jim's comments BEFORE the interview:       I'm returning to my 99-bottles-of-beer-on-the-wall play... and you remember what it is... It's Owens-Illinois (OI*)... the largest maker of containers... glass bottles... in the world.

I recommended this stock back on March 18th... It was at $53 bucks.  It went up to our target to around $61 immediately.  But it's come back down to where I recommended it.

Let me tell you... OI*, around $55 or under, is a gift... 

I originally recommended this stock as a play on the fact that glass bottles are replacing plastic ones, because they're far more recyclable than plastic, and emit far fewer toxins when you make them.

Here's the thing...  The reason I believe OI* is such a steal at this price... between when I recommended it, and today, the company reported a blowout quarter.  In other words, I told you to buy it... It then just does a miraculous quarter...

OI* raised its free cash flow guidance from $425 million, to $500 million.  Believe me, that is a huge increase, okay?...   And, even though volumes were lower than expected... pricing was up 7%...

I said this was a play on higher glass prices, and what do you know?  That's exactly what happened...

I thought this was a great quarter.  The market disagreed with me...  Now, part of this was that it had the bad luck to report at a lousy time for the market...  but there are bears circling the stock... they're worried about energy prices... roughly 20% of the company's input costs.

OI* increased its expectations of cost pressures in 2008 from the $250-300 million range, to the $300-375 million range.  Input costs may be up, but so are the prices OI* is charging for its bottles...  They're way up way beyond what the Street expected.

I still like the stock.  I've been buying it for my charitable trust... but it looks like a lot of people are spooked about these input costs... so we've got to resolve this...

To give investors an idea of what's really happening at this company, we've got the CEO of Owens-Illinois, Inc. (OI*) - one of the great turnaround stories that I have seen in my lifetime... Albert Stroucken, right here in the studio today...  Mr. Stroucken, welcome to Mad Money...

.  .  .  .  .

Jim's comments AFTER the interview:       Mr. Stroucken is the CEO and chairman of Owens-Illinois, Inc. (OI*), which I think is a green play, and a terrific play, on the growth of the rest of the world...

 

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


OI*

54.21

na

Owens-Illinois, Inc. (OI*)

Price target to buy:  $55.00 or under.

         

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments