Thursday, 05/29/08
Posted 05/29/08,  10:50 pm ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Thursday, 05/29/08

  Dow Jones: 12,646  +  52
  NASDAQ:   2,508   + 21
  S&P 500:   1,398   +  7
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'Tool Time'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)

See ITW's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for ITW here.


See Opening Segment 2, below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

        
JJC:    Not to be arrogant... but Mad Money's out to change the way the world looks at stocks...

We are on an endless search, an endless hunt for long-term growth... because growth is ultimately what determines whether a stock goes up or down.

Traditionally, in this country, we have embraced tech companies as growth engines... the faster, the more reliable, the better... but, on Mad Money, we have struggle mightily of late... actually since the show began, with the very relevance of what we called now, "old tech" and its lack of long-term growth...

Our hunt has taken us away from the Silicon Valley, where the focus is on more graphically-violent video games, or snazzy phones, or more lucrative customer retention software... into the port of Cleveland... or the plain state of Illinois... or the former home of Maytag... Newton, Iowa, where we are finding fabulous long-term growth companies that are solving the problems of mankind...  cleaner water, fewer nastier emissions, more efficient energy use... cheaper, more practical alternative engines... ways to combat famine and food wastage...

These companies - we call them "new tech" companies - deserve higher price-to-earnings multiples... we call them P/Es...  In other words, they deserve to sell at higher prices, relative to the earnings they produce, because they have amazing visible sales prospects for much bigger markets than the "old tech" companies.

People are focused on Dell (DELL)'s earnings tonight...  We don't care about DELL's earnings... they're a compiler of parts.  They wouldn't know what mankind was if they stepped on it.

In short, we want you to sacrifice your DELLs... your expensive "old tech" stocks... the semi's, the softwares, the networkers, the cell phones, the wide-area combos... to focus on, well, companies like our newest "new tech" company tonight...  a company with a fitting geographic moniker, and that company is...

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)!

.  .  .  .  .

This "new tech" is about solving mankind's big problems, and we think it deserves to trade at a much higher level than a Microsoft (MSFT), or an Intel (INTC), or an Analog Devices (ADI), or a Cisco (CSCO)... which have nowhere near the long-term visibility or growth of a company like ITW, which I regard as "Exhibit A" of the companies that deserve your attention... your homework... your listening to the conference calls... your purchase!... as these old-line companies get re-valued higher, at the expense of MSFT and INTC...

.  .  .  .  .

ITW is a classic "new tech" stock that's trading at just 13x earnings with a double-digit growth rate... You can find "old tech" stocks that have less visibility, and slower growth, that are trading at 18x these earnings.... This is the disparity, the anomaly, that we're addressing on Mad Money. It's the reason I say ITW is "new tech"... so people will consider that fact and pay more for those earnings of ITW than for a INTC.

Now, you can see that ITW is a mankind company, because the technology in its food equipment business and packaging business helps us more efficiently cook and preserve our foods at restaurants, hotels and stores... You see Cracker Barrel... you see Kraft (where Jim is holding up a plastic package for shredded cheese)... I see "Zip Pak"... okay... that's what I see. And you know this... "Zip Pak" is why you can save food.... (like a ZipLock zipper enclosure to keep food fresh)... We throw out a lot of food in this country. The "Zip Pak" is a long-term famine solver.

ITW has a growing arc welding business... I know, it doesn't sound compelling... It contributes to improving the world's infrastructure. We know that's hurting. They make better strapping to move materials safely and securely throughout the world... which has led to a doubling of international business in three short years, making the company a faster grower, a ROW-er, rather than a slow-boat domestic... And a specialty power business... It addresses our energy. This is a company that knows how to serve man.

.  .  .  .  .

Just this month, the company introduced the next generation of resealable packages... So you know what we're going to call ITW?... ITW is a mankind company in the theme of Donny Deutsch... You can call it that, but we have bigger prospects. You know what we think? I don't like the company, as a company just because it serves man... I like it as a company, because it's levered to long-lasting cycles, giving it years of earnings visibility and high growth.

.  .  .  .  .

I like ITW, because it's using technology... According to the Wall Street Journal, ITW was ranked highest in patents issued in the industrial components and fixtures sector to meet long-term demands and, thus, make a lot of money. As it happens, ITW, along with all the other "new tech" companies, are making their money by helping to solve humanities greatest problems... but we like them because there's money in it, not because they're great humanitarians, or (because) Mad Money is populated with humanitarians... We're populated with people who want to make money.

That's why I like ITW as a "new tech" company.

.  .  .  .  .

Let me give you another reason on price... a terrific reason on price to like it right now, pure and simple...

You see, ITW is down. It's just a few points off its low... It's off more than 12% from its high... Unlike Emerson Electric (EMR) or an Eaton Corp. (ETN)... and it's usually in that cohort... and that's because it's involved in a bidding war with another Cramer-fave, called Manitowoc  (MTW), a crane company, which has an ice-making division, for Enodis... that's a commercial food equipment company that they both want. MTW bid first, then ITW placed a higher bid, then MTW went even higher...

I've got to tell you, I love these situations, because both the bidders get knocked down... each one gets knocked down equally. Only one will buy Enodis, so both stocks will rally when the deal happens. I've seen this happen time and time again near the end of the bidding... This is Cramer's old hedge fund head trying to make you money, okay... The buyer wins, because the cost is quantified. The loser wins, because the relentless pressure on its stock vanishes. I call it "heads", ITW wins... "tails", it wins too...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) is a great "new tech" name... that deserves a price-to-earnings multiple...  not the lowly-worm one it's getting now.  And it has a catalyst that should drive the stock higher.  As soon as this bidding war is over, ITW - at $52 - is a gift for you!

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


ITW

52.62

na

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)

Price target to buy:  $52.00


 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



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Second Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 2 Title: 'A Mighty Wind'

CEO Interview
Michael Sutherlin, CEO

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Joy Global (JOYG)

See JOYG's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for JOYG here.

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

 

Jim's comments BEFORE the interview:      How often have you heard some talking head declare that hedge fund speculators are causing a big bubble in commodities?...  Frankly, it's total nonsense, but it's a frequent explanation for the endless and mystifying price increases in minerals, like coal and iron... and things like steel... oil...

Maybe there are some hedge funds distorting these markets, but my take?... There's just way too much demand for these commodities worldwide, and not enough supply.

Where do I get me thesis?  Why am I so cock-sure about it?... 

I do the homework...  I listen to calls...  I read analyst reports...  And I read press releases, like the one that I read this morning from Joy Global (JOYG)... okay...  and others just like it.

I want you to take a look at the fabulous quarterly earnings release this morning from JOYG... which is the leading maker of underground and surface mining equipment.  This is what I call a "new technology" company, solving mankind's problems.  I recommended it on March 1st, for a 2.2% gain so far.   JOYG raised guidance today from $2.96-$3.22 to $3.15-$3.30... That means they raised the range.  Why?...  Because it says every single end market it deals with is in short supply of the machines and infrastructure needed to get at coal and minerals. 

You think the hedge funds are inflating prices?  Just listen to what Joy Global had to say in its release, and I quote, "The company continues to benefit from unprecedented demand for its underground and surface mining equipment in response to the strong demand for coal, copper, iron ore and oil sands.  The gap in coal demand alone could reach 60-100 million tons this year."   I've got to tell you, that's massive...   Even the U.S. - often thought of as the Saudi Arabia of coal - can't make up for that amount.

How about steel shortages?...

Again... caused by hedge funds?...  Are they hoarding steel in their Wall Street offices?...  Or could it be, as Joy Global says, "both metallurgical coal and iron ore remain in significant decline, and some projections indicate that steel shortages could be 20-30 million tons, in excess of what can be produced."

Copper?...  Can't meet the demand either...  Why?...  As emerging markets - particularly China and India - continue to industrialize, their demand for this stuff becomes more and more ravenous.

The result for Joy Global is, indeed, joyous...   I see 3-5 years of earnings visibility, thanks to a 3-5 year supply deficit... with the U.S. as the only hope of swinging production to meet demand... which, of course, means a dramatic increase in the need for the equipment that JOYG makes.

I defy you to find me a dozen companies in the world with that kind of earnings visibility...  How many can see that clearly now?...

Let's stop the charade!...

U.S. interest rates don't control the price of these commodities!  Raising rates won't curb inflation.  All that will do is make it harder for the companies that need JOYG's equipment, to buy it... the very equipment needed to knock down prices eventually by building inventories.   Hedge funds are not behind the shortages.  Endless demand and a lack of mining equipment are responsible.

If you want to understand this moment, you need to understand Joy Global, not the Fed... not the imaginary hedge fund boogey man... 

And that's why we need to speak to Michael Sutherlin, the president and CEO of JOYG... a man who understands these times better than anyone else, and a man that we've been putting our Mad Money behind for some time...

Mr. Sutherlin, welcome to Mad Money...

.  .  .  .  .


Jim's comments AFTER the interview:
      Listen up, people...  You got a dramatic increase in earnings today in the estimates...   You see long-term demand for the machines that bring out coal and copper and oil shale.  That's Joy Global (JOYG).  If the copper stocks... if the coal stocks had been up more today, this stock would have been up 10%.  Your opportunity... right here... in the $80s...  pull the trigger!  This company's got great numbers for years and years.

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


JOYG

80.44

na

Joy Global (JOYG)

         

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
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