|
|
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
● |
|
|
 |
| |
| |
 |
| |
|
| |
Thursday, 06/05/08
Posted 06/05/08, 9:57
pm ET |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
|
| |
| |
|
Today's date:
Thursday, 06/05/08 |
|
| |
Dow Jones: |
12,604 |
+ 214 |
| |
NASDAQ: |
|
2,549 |
+ 46 |
| |
S&P 500: |
|
1,404 |
+ 26 |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
Opening Segment 1
Title: |
'Phone Tag' |
|
. . . .
. |
|
Featured Stock(s): |
Windstream
Corporation (WIN)
See WIN's official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for
WIN
here.
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
|
|
|
After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
JJC: If
I told you that the big
winner from the
Verizon
(VZ*)/Alltel
deal was a rural wireline
telephone company, with
zero wireless exposure...
and meager growth... would
you believe me?
You'd better... because I
think... a name we have
not talked about on this
show yet... I think that
WIN is the play off the
amazing
Verizon
(VZ*)/Alltel
deal... and it's real easy
to remember, because the
symbol is like the
stock... It's
Windstream Corporation
(WIN)!
WIN... which was actually
formed in 2006, from the
merger of Alltel's
wireline business, with
Valor Communications, in a
deal that made Alltel a
pureplay on wireless...
and I think WIN could be
the single-biggest
beneficiary...
It wasn't talked about at
all, so I think we're onto
something... I didn't hear
it all day...
When we get a merger like
VZ* and Alltel, everyone
wants to look for the next
Alltel... a company that
looks a lot like Alltel,
that could get acquired
under similar
circumstances...
That's not what we do in
Cramerica...
I actually like WIN as a
potential buyer, rather
than as a takeover
target... buy, buy,
buy!... a buyer of
properties that VZ* is
going to have to divest...
to sell... wherever
there's overlap with
Alltel, because of the
government... more points
to be had... more points
than a takeover...
In a month and a half, on
July 17th... the
restrictions on WIN,
dating back from its
creation in 2006, come
off... and the company
will be free to use stock
to buy these VZ* assets,
or be bought by another
company...
Not one - but two - ways
to win...
It you read the VZ*
commentary today, it's
clear that they'll have to
sell some regional assets
for this deal to go
through... They don't like
monopolies...
Now, I think WIN is the
natural buyer here...
It's in a lot of places
where Alltel and VZ*
overlap... all over the
South... parts of Nebraska
and Ohio too... Remember,
because WIN used to be a
part of Alltel...
Until now, there haven't
really been any wireless
properties for sale, that
haven't immediately been
snapped up by VZ* or
AT&T (T)...
but VZ* is now the seller,
and T can't buy these
properties. It would never
pass muster by this
Justice department...
How about
Qwest (Q)?
Maybe they're the buyer...
I think they're balance
sheet's constrained...
How about
Sprint (S)?
Could they be the
buyer?... Too many
troubles right now...
WIN is in a rare,
anti-Humpty Dumpty
position...
They can put the pieces
back together regionally,
that it used to come
from... the same way that
Southwest Bell did it
nationally with the last
piece, and AT&T Wireless
grafted on in the same way
that I think WIN could
graft... in every one of
these Justice department
mandated varieties...
We've seen this kind of
play time and again... For
example, do you remember
when I recommended
CHTT?... IcyHot... when
the government forced JNJ
to sell some product lines
it bought from PFE,
because of monopoly
concerns?... CHTT doubled
off of that... it doubled!
I think WIN is in the same
position as CHTT. It can
buy these assets... assets
that VZ* will have no
choice but to sell... and
there'll be little or no
scrutiny from Justice...
justice served on a dish
for you to eat!
This will be a
game-changer for WIN... a
company that, right now,
people only like because
of its bountiful 7.6%
yield... And that's a good
enough reason to own the
stock while we're waiting
for this big transaction
to occur...
You have to understand
what this company looks
like now, to get a sense
of how different it would
be, if it had wireless
business that would
actually give it some
growth...
WIN is what's called a
rural local exchange
carrier... or RLEC... It
provides old-fashioned
telephone services,
predominantly to extremely
rural parts of the United
States. WIN, and other
RLECs, operate in areas
that are too poor to
support multiple competing
carriers. These companies
are generally low-growth,
high-yield plays... We all
like them for their high
yields and the fact that
they will all eventually
make decent takeover
targets...
None of these operators
can compete with the
national cable or telco
companies. They're all
stuck in their niche rural
regions... but none of the
big national players are
willing to make an
aggressive push for any of
them.
They can pay out huge
dividends, because they
have no need to spend
billions of dollars on new
infrastructure to compete
nationwide. None of them
are trying to do that...
Take a look at companies
like Embarq Corp. (EQ),
Iowa Telecommunications
Services Inc. (IWA),
Citizens Communications
Co. (CZN),
and Consolidated
Communications Holdings
(CNSL)
for their hefty yields...
WIN, we know, has a 7.6%
yield. EQ has 5.7%... CZN
has 8.6%... IWA has
8.4%... CNSL has 10.2%...
I like those at a time
when interest rates are
low... I like the other
rural telco plays for
their yields and because
they eventually will be
attractive takeover
targets for the national
players...
But WIN now has a chance
to control its own destiny
and become something
better... It can give
itself a massive makeover
involving major plastic
surgery... If it buys the
assets that
Verizon
(VZ*)
will have to sell, in
order to placate Justice,
it will no longer be a
dead-end, no-growth play
on a high yield, and a
possible takeover... Not
exactly the kind of sexy
stock you want to take to
the prom... But, with a
wireless component...
voila!... WIN becomes a
growth stock... in effect,
it could turn itself into
the kind of regional
wireless play that
everyone's looking for
now, as the next Alltel...
Now, I have had the
advantage of meeting WIN's
CEO, Jeff Gardner
recently... I liked
Gardner. Gardner's a real
pro-shareholder money
maker who wants to win for
you. I can promise he'll
do what I'm suggesting
right now, because I think
he's smart to see what I
see, and he's very, very
in favor of the people who
own the stock.
The Bottom Line!:
I believe Windstream
Corporation (WIN)
is the way to play the
Verizon
(VZ*)
acquisition of Alltel.
It's uniquely situated to
be able to buy the Justice
Department properties that
VZ must sell, to let this
deal go through. And,
until that happens... sit
there... take that 7.6%
(dividend) that they throw
to you... smile and be
paid...
. . . .
.
| |
|
| |
|
■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
|
| |
|
|
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|

|
WIN |
13.39 |
13.85 |
Windstream Corporation
(WIN)
|
|
|
 |
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
See all of tonight's stocks'
latest quotes on
Yahoo! Finance |
|
Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at
Amazon.com) |
|
|
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
We need your help!
If you find our service valuable, your
donation is critically helpful to support
our operating costs and is
MUCH appreciated!
(click below to donate) |
We are serving thousands
of
new visitors every day and our costs are
growing as well. Thank you for your
support & generosity!
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
| |
Mutual-Fund-Holdings.com
NEW RESOURCE!
See Ken Heebner's CGM
Focus Fund
Top 25 holdings - The No.
3 Top-Performing Mutual
Fund in 2007
|
|
Opening Segment 2
Title: |
CEO Interview
Timothy Sullivan, CEO |
|
. . . .
. |
|
Featured Stock(s): |
Bucyrus
(BUCY)
See
BUCY's official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for
BUCY
here.
|
|
|
After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
Jim's comments BEFORE the
interview:
I've got a pretty
difficult problem... You
see, back on March 1st, I
recommended
Bucyrus
(BUCY)
and
Joy Global (JOYG)
as my two favorite "new
technology" companies...
that make mining
machinery... that make
minerals... And, you know
what? This is another one
of my big themes that made
you a lot of money. Here's
the problem... In a little
more than a month, JOYG
and BUCY are up 17% since
I recommended them. What
do we do? It's just a few
short weeks... what do we
do? After moves of this
magnitude, do we pat
ourselves on the back, and
tell ourselves... we tend
to ask ourselves, is it
over? We've already talked
to JOYG's CEO and decided
it's far from over.
What about BUCY? Not only
do I think BUCY is far
from over, I think it's
even hardly begun...
With 31% long-term growth,
it's trading at a paltry
20x next year's earnings.
JOYG trades at 19x forward
earnings, but it's
long-term growth rate
isn't as good as... BUCY.
BUCY makes the machinery
that lets us get at copper
and coal and nickel and
iron... It is a giant
steam shovel... at least
part of its business is...
especially shoveling
coal... 70% of its
business is coal. Great
organic revenues... great
emerging market
exposure... 45% of its
sales... Great 20% growth
coming from China. BUCY is
what I call a true "new
tech" play, with lots of
research and development
devoted to figuring out
how to get at more
minerals for less money...
which should give it a
major technological edge
over the competition...
Although competition isn't
something BUCY has much of
in its markets... It has
88% of the world's
draglines... the massive
machines used in surface
mining, to move mountains
of dirt, in order to
uncover ore... This used
to be a hard business,
which nobody tried to get
into for years... That's
how BUCY could end up with
such an edge.
Its predecessor, Bucyrus
Erie, which I used to
trade when I was at
Goldman Sachs in the
1980s, went bankrupt in
1994, which just shows you
how tough this business,
at one time was, before we
went mineral crazy in the
world.
How can this company be
worth only $5 billion?
It's a mystery to me. It
reminds me of CLF - the
independent iron company -
when I recommended it at
$81.54. Now it's at $108.
Wait a second... the stock
split 2 for 1... I
actually recommended it at
$40.77, split-adjusted...
and now it's at $108!
I think the same thing can
happen to BUCY, but I want
to know for sure, which is
why I've got BUCY's
president and CEO, Timothy
Sullivan, on tonight, whom
I'm honored to have,
because he represents the
greatest strain of
American manufacturing,
that you never hear about,
because we're way too
negative about America,
except in Cramerica...
Mr. Sullivan, welcome to
Mad Money...
| | | | |