Thursday, 06/05/08
Posted 06/05/08,  9:57 pm ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Thursday, 06/05/08

  Dow Jones: 12,604  + 214
  NASDAQ:   2,549   + 46
  S&P 500:   1,404   + 26
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'Phone Tag'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Windstream Corporation (WIN)

See WIN's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for WIN here.


See Opening Segment 2, below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

        
JJC:    If I told you that the big winner from the Verizon (VZ*)/Alltel deal was a rural wireline telephone company, with zero wireless exposure... and meager growth... would you believe me?

You'd better... because I think... a name we have not talked about on this show yet... I think that WIN is the play off the amazing
Verizon (VZ*)/Alltel deal... and it's real easy to remember, because the symbol is like the stock... It's Windstream Corporation (WIN)!

WIN... which was actually formed in 2006, from the merger of Alltel's wireline business, with Valor Communications, in a deal that made Alltel a pureplay on wireless... and I think WIN could be the single-biggest beneficiary...

It wasn't talked about at all, so I think we're onto something... I didn't hear it all day...

When we get a merger like VZ* and Alltel, everyone wants to look for the next Alltel... a company that looks a lot like Alltel, that could get acquired under similar circumstances...

That's not what we do in Cramerica...

I actually like WIN as a potential buyer, rather than as a takeover target... buy, buy, buy!... a buyer of properties that VZ* is going to have to divest... to sell... wherever there's overlap with Alltel, because of the government... more points to be had... more points than a takeover...

In a month and a half, on July 17th... the restrictions on WIN, dating back from its creation in 2006, come off... and the company will be free to use stock to buy these VZ* assets, or be bought by another company...

Not one - but two - ways to win...

It you read the VZ* commentary today, it's clear that they'll have to sell some regional assets for this deal to go through... They don't like monopolies...

Now, I think WIN is the natural buyer here...

It's in a lot of places where Alltel and VZ* overlap... all over the South... parts of Nebraska and Ohio too... Remember, because WIN used to be a part of Alltel...

Until now, there haven't really been any wireless properties for sale, that haven't immediately been snapped up by VZ* or AT&T (T)... but VZ* is now the seller, and T can't buy these properties. It would never pass muster by this Justice department...

How about Qwest (Q)? Maybe they're the buyer... I think they're balance sheet's constrained...

How about Sprint (S)? Could they be the buyer?... Too many troubles right now...

WIN is in a rare, anti-Humpty Dumpty position...

They can put the pieces back together regionally, that it used to come from... the same way that Southwest Bell did it nationally with the last piece, and AT&T Wireless grafted on in the same way that I think WIN could graft... in every one of these Justice department mandated varieties...

We've seen this kind of play time and again... For example, do you remember when I recommended CHTT?... IcyHot... when the government forced JNJ to sell some product lines it bought from PFE, because of monopoly concerns?... CHTT doubled off of that... it doubled!

I think WIN is in the same position as CHTT. It can buy these assets... assets that VZ* will have no choice but to sell... and there'll be little or no scrutiny from Justice... justice served on a dish for you to eat!

This will be a game-changer for WIN... a company that, right now, people only like because of its bountiful 7.6% yield... And that's a good enough reason to own the stock while we're waiting for this big transaction to occur...

You have to understand what this company looks like now, to get a sense of how different it would be, if it had wireless business that would actually give it some growth...

WIN is what's called a rural local exchange carrier... or RLEC... It provides old-fashioned telephone services, predominantly to extremely rural parts of the United States. WIN, and other RLECs, operate in areas that are too poor to support multiple competing carriers. These companies are generally low-growth, high-yield plays... We all like them for their high yields and the fact that they will all eventually make decent takeover targets...

None of these operators can compete with the national cable or telco companies. They're all stuck in their niche rural regions... but none of the big national players are willing to make an aggressive push for any of them.

They can pay out huge dividends, because they have no need to spend billions of dollars on new infrastructure to compete nationwide. None of them are trying to do that...

Take a look at companies like Embarq Corp. (EQ), Iowa Telecommunications Services Inc. (IWA), Citizens Communications Co. (CZN), and Consolidated Communications Holdings (CNSL) for their hefty yields... WIN, we know, has a 7.6% yield. EQ has 5.7%... CZN has 8.6%... IWA has 8.4%... CNSL has 10.2%... I like those at a time when interest rates are low... I like the other rural telco plays for their yields and because they eventually will be attractive takeover targets for the national players...

But WIN now has a chance to control its own destiny and become something better... It can give itself a massive makeover involving major plastic surgery... If it buys the assets that
Verizon (VZ*) will have to sell, in order to placate Justice, it will no longer be a dead-end, no-growth play on a high yield, and a possible takeover... Not exactly the kind of sexy stock you want to take to the prom... But, with a wireless component... voila!... WIN becomes a growth stock... in effect, it could turn itself into the kind of regional wireless play that everyone's looking for now, as the next Alltel...

Now, I have had the advantage of meeting WIN's CEO, Jeff Gardner recently... I liked Gardner. Gardner's a real pro-shareholder money maker who wants to win for you. I can promise he'll do what I'm suggesting right now, because I think he's smart to see what I see, and he's very, very in favor of the people who own the stock.

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The Bottom Line!:      I believe Windstream Corporation (WIN) is the way to play the Verizon (VZ*) acquisition of Alltel. It's uniquely situated to be able to buy the Justice Department properties that VZ must sell, to let this deal go through. And, until that happens... sit there... take that 7.6% (dividend) that they throw to you... smile and be paid...

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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


WIN

13.39

13.85

Windstream Corporation (WIN)


 

 



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Second Segment
 
 
Opening Segment 2 Title: CEO Interview
Timothy Sullivan, CEO

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): Bucyrus (BUCY)

See BUCY's official website here.

See the Yahoo! Finance profile for BUCY here.

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

 

Jim's comments BEFORE the interview:      I've got a pretty difficult problem... You see, back on March 1st, I recommended Bucyrus (BUCY) and Joy Global (JOYG) as my two favorite "new technology" companies... that make mining machinery... that make minerals... And, you know what? This is another one of my big themes that made you a lot of money. Here's the problem... In a little more than a month, JOYG and BUCY are up 17% since I recommended them. What do we do? It's just a few short weeks... what do we do? After moves of this magnitude, do we pat ourselves on the back, and tell ourselves... we tend to ask ourselves, is it over? We've already talked to JOYG's CEO and decided it's far from over.

What about BUCY? Not only do I think BUCY is far from over, I think it's even hardly begun...

With 31% long-term growth, it's trading at a paltry 20x next year's earnings. JOYG trades at 19x forward earnings, but it's long-term growth rate isn't as good as... BUCY.

BUCY makes the machinery that lets us get at copper and coal and nickel and iron... It is a giant steam shovel... at least part of its business is... especially shoveling coal... 70% of its business is coal. Great organic revenues... great emerging market exposure... 45% of its sales... Great 20% growth coming from China. BUCY is what I call a true "new tech" play, with lots of research and development devoted to figuring out how to get at more minerals for less money... which should give it a major technological edge over the competition...

Although competition isn't something BUCY has much of in its markets... It has 88% of the world's draglines... the massive machines used in surface mining, to move mountains of dirt, in order to uncover ore... This used to be a hard business, which nobody tried to get into for years... That's how BUCY could end up with such an edge.

Its predecessor, Bucyrus Erie, which I used to trade when I was at Goldman Sachs in the 1980s, went bankrupt in 1994, which just shows you how tough this business, at one time was, before we went mineral crazy in the world.

How can this company be worth only $5 billion? It's a mystery to me. It reminds me of CLF - the independent iron company - when I recommended it at $81.54. Now it's at $108. Wait a second... the stock split 2 for 1... I actually recommended it at $40.77, split-adjusted... and now it's at $108!

I think the same thing can happen to BUCY, but I want to know for sure, which is why I've got BUCY's president and CEO, Timothy Sullivan, on tonight, whom I'm honored to have, because he represents the greatest strain of American manufacturing, that you never hear about, because we're way too negative about America, except in Cramerica...

Mr. Sullivan, welcome to Mad Money...

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