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Tuesday, 06/17/08
Posted 06/17/08, 08:47
pm ET |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Tuesday, 06/17/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
12,160 |
- 108 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,457 |
- 17 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,350 |
- 9 |
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Opening Segment 1
Title: |
'Motor Skills' |
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. . . .
. |
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Featured Stock(s): |
Baldor Electric Co.
(BEZ)
See BEZ's official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for
BEZ
here.
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
JJC: I
want you to compare a
company that makes better
and better "shoot 'em up"
games... to a company that
I like... a company that
you should buy...
And the company is... so
boring, that I'm afraid to
give you the title...
It's called Baldor
Electric Co. (BEZ).
BEZ is a "new tech" name
that I'm endorsing today,
and it makes... you've got
it... energy-efficient
electric motors...
You're looking at the
stock of the future...
This is a company that
allows other businesses to
save money on power, and
helps all of mankind, by
reducing overall energy
consumption...
unlike "old tech"
companies whose new
gadgets, with all their
extra bells and whistles,
actually cause us to
consume more energy...
We know which one is
better for the world, but
I'm telling you again that
I believe the "new tech"
play is also better for
your portfolio... and,
boy, have they held up in
the onslaught that we've
been getting. These
hold up... Why?
Because increasing energy
efficiency is priority #1
for every business in
every country on this
planet.
That's a lot of demand...
and it's why I like
Baldor Electric Co. (BEZ)!
. . . .
.
Allow me to introduce you
to BEZ, which makes
industrial electric
motors, the kind you need
to run just about
anything... That's 63% of
their revenues. It's the
motor company... It's not
GM... No, this is real
motors... power
transmission equipment...
something that's in short
supply, especially in the
United States, where our
grid is in desperate need
of renewal... That's 27%
of their business. And
generators, and drives
that make up the last 10%
(of their business).
BEZ is the consummate "new
tech" company, and you
know I'm going to drill
these into your head,
because they're making us
money.
In fact, I have to tell
you, I wish it were called
"Baltech," because then
you'd like it more...
Baldor is not exactly a
"sexy, can I"..."It's a
Kodak, moment,
go-and-get-your-camera"
(referring to a current
top pop song lyric by Ray
J)... stock, if you
know what I mean...
. . . .
.
20% of its total motor
sales come from one line
of engine, the "Super-E"
line that is incredibly
energy efficient. And,
since 98% of the total
lifetime cost of electric
motors comes from
electricity, that matters
enormously. How about a 30
horsepower Super-E motor,
running continuously?...
$1200 per year on energy
costs that it saves. You
see, I'm trying to tell
you that, with $1200 a
year on energy savings,
you can then go buy one of
those DELL computers with
that...
The pricing on these
motors is about 20% higher
than on regular ones, and
you can see why. It's like
a (Toyota Hybrid-engine)
Prius, okay... Considering
the electricity cost
savings, this motor pays
for itself in a few years.
. . . .
.
Now, this "new tech" line
of motors grows at 25%,
compared to 10%, for the
rest of BEZ's motor
business, so it's going to
be a bigger and bigger
part of the company.
This is exactly what we
look for in a "new tech"
company... a product that
addresses one of the 10
unmet needs of humanity...
this need being the need
to reduce energy
consumption...
Those who thing (the price
of) oil is up (due to)
speculators... this one's
not for you. I think oil's
up because of demand. BEZ
cuts the demand.
. . . .
.
BEZ is also poised to
benefit from the 2007
energy bill, which
mandates that motors will
have to be more efficient
by the end of 2010. These
efficiency standards apply
to more motors than
before, and BEZ believes
that half of the motors
will be affected...
something that will result
in at least 10% sales
growth, just from the 2007
energy bill alone. That
would be not until 2011
though.
Here's a word we like to
use that you don't hear
much with "old tech"...
With "new tech" you've got
it. It's called
visibility. If all goes as
planned, we could see this
company's growth all the
way into 2011, because of
its super-efficient
motors.
Now, we know there's a
huge bull market for
energy and energy-saving
devices. BEZ taps into
both of these with its
energy-efficient motors,
and its electrical
transmission equipment.
BEZ's gone through a
really transformational
deal. It bought one of the
companies... they bought
Reliance... they also
bought Dodge... It doubled
their revenues. The deal
gives BEZ more
international exposure.
The more rest of the
world, the better, as far
as Cramer's concerned. It
broadened the variety of
the products it sells and
gave the company a new,
more efficient, so-called
"power lean" approach to
manufacturing, which is
being rolled out in BEZ's
plants, and BEZ's "flex
flow" materials handling
approach is being rolled
out in Reliance and Dodge
plants... all of which
should result in better
operating margins...
. . . .
.
I go into this, why...
because I want you to
understand... They have a
better mousetrap that uses
less energy, that they are
trying to bring the cost
down to produce for you,
because it is the most
expensive engine.
Now, the company is one of
the few companies that I
think... that celebrates a
weak dollar, but they
actually do it out loud...
It's terrific CEO, John
McFarland, said on a
recent conference call,
"It just burns me up
everytime I hear people
talk about a weak dollar.
It also helps our domestic
customers be more
competitive
internationally. It helps
us be more competitive
internationally, and it
causes foreign products to
be less competitive." In
other words, what the CEO
is saying is, he's killing
the other foreign motor
guys. He can build
cheaper, but better,
motors. We've seen this
with
Caterpillar (CAT).
We've seen this over and
over again with our trust
belt stocks... We're the
best manufacturer in the
world, and now we're the
cheapest, because of the
weak dollar.
Despite being a "new tech"
savior of mankind, BEZ is
not well-liked, like a lot
of the stocks I recommend.
It's not well-liked...
It's got a real high short
position. 16% of the float
is being shorted. People
are betting against BEZ. I
think this is because of
BEZ's high debt. The
company has a
debt-to-capitalization
ratio of 62%. That's a
lot. I usually like them
lower on the show. I
think, though, it appears
completely capable of
paying off that debt. In
fact, according to
management, BEZ plans to
bring its debt-to-capital
ratio down to 30%, its
historic level in two
years. That's one year
ahead of schedule.
Now look, I don't like
debt, okay... A debt taken
down to fund smart
acquisitions, though... I
like that. BEZ looks like
it should have no trouble
paying.
. . . .
.
Now, in fact, I view the
hatred of the stock - the
high number of people
betting against it - as a
positive... because it has
the potential to create a
short squeeze on any good news...
which would send the stock
soaring.
Still... please don't pay
up. One of the things
we've seen on this show is
that managements watch the
show. The stock moves up,
because you're overly
enthusiastic, and they
immediately issue stock.
They immediately issue
stock to try to pick you
off. I fear that, if you
buy this stock up big, the
company will be motivated
to bring on what is known
as a secondary (stock
offering). Let it go up
over time. And then let
them do the stock issuance
to pay down debt at a much
higher level.
BEZ is cheap. It trades at
12.9x forward earnings.
Hey, it's got a growth
rate of 13.7%. You know
the rule of thumb... When
the price-to-earnings
multiple is lower than the
growth rate, and the
fundamentals are solid,
that's a buy in my book.
Here's the bottom line for
BEZ...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
For a "new tech" approach
to energy-efficient
electric motors...
something we desperately
need... I want you to
forget the sexy stocks,
and I want you to think of
Baldor Electric Co.
(BEZ).
. . . .
.
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|

|
BEZ |
36.46 |
37.40 |
Baldor Electric Co.
(BEZ)
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|
Opening Segment 2
Title: |
'Top Of The LINE' |
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. . . .
. |
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Featured Stock(s): |
Linn Energy, LLC (LINE)
See LINE's official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for
LINE
here.
|
|
|
After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
JJC:
I truly believe that this
is the most interactive
show on television...
Your calls are where I get
some of my best ideas.
I rely on you, just like
you rely on me, when you
call with a question.
So, here's a case in
point...
Remember Linn Energy, LLC (LINE)...
My friend, Ralph from
Texas called about it last
Thursday... So, of
course, it's stump the
chump... I didn't
know it. I did look
it up that night. I
did the research, just to
be able to find out what
LINE does and where it
fits in.
And I told you about it
Friday...
Over the weekend, where
everyone else was having a
great time, and doing the
barbecue and Father's Day,
I pulled up with LINE's
annual (report), and spent
a lot of time looking at
LINE's filings...
And you know what?...
The more I dug deeper into
it... the more I talked to
my oil experts about it, I
realized that I should
have been recommending
LINE the whole time, so
I'm doing it tonight...
This is our next play on
oil... which, by the way,
everybody in the world
thinks is going down. Do
you mind if we continue to
make money on it, while
people say it's going
down?...
. . . .
.
This, by the way, is the
process... what I did...
from being stumped, to
getting the reports, to
then making the
judgment... that you
should follow when you get
stumped with a stock that
looks interesting, but
you're not that familiar
with it.
So you take your time, you
do your homework... and
you come up with a winner
like LINE.
Now, this company is no
wildcatter... LINE is not
looking for new oil and
gas. LINE is structured as
what is called a Master
Limited Partnership. I
never recommend these
stocks... it's too
complicated. It's a
turnaround play that
exists to pay you a huge
dividend, with a
bountiful, beautiful 10.5%
yield. Gentlemen... I like
big yields and I cannot
lie...
LINE focuses on pumping
oil and gas out of mature
fields, and then paying
you most of their profits.
The company has $1.7
trillion cubic feet of
natural gas reserves.
Hey... 7% in the
mid-continent, and the
Anadarko basin... Texas,
Oklahoma, Kansas...
friendly countries... And
the rest coming from
California and the Los
Angeles basin... the Brea
Olinda field.
LINE is 50% natural gas,
50% oil... We think it's
good that they have so
much natural gas because,
in 2008, that's the year
of natural gas...
something I have repeated
endlessly...
Now, LINE is more than
just the fat 10.5%
yield... I said it was a
turnaround play.
. . . .
.
The story of this company
is that, a while ago, it
bought a lot of different
assets and its operations
suffered, because it
wasn't very good at
working as a whole... So
LINE sold a lot of stock
in private placements to
pay for its acquisition of
Dominion Resources energy
assets. This was a really
big deal. That overhang of
all those private
placements really limited
the stock's upside.
Now, these new shares seem
to have worked their way
through the system,
allowing the apparent
turnaround in the stock to
truly begin.
The turnaround in the
company started when LINE
changed its strategy,
selling off its non-core
assets, and focusing on
its core Texas and
Oklahoma properties. They
sold some land in our
absolute favorite,
Marcellus Shale... and are
taking advantage of higher
prices there, thanks to
the land rights. Normally,
I like companies that are
buying into Marcellus
Shale, but it doesn't make
sense for a company like
LINE, that doesn't want to
spend too much money on
drilling. They don't need
a presence there.
Now LINE has the
opportunity to take
advantage of the land it
bought from Dominion
Resources. That's another
$1.3 trillion feet of
provable reserves. We have
a lot of natural gas in
this country. The
politicians don't talk
about it. They're silly.
Dominion, which is
primarily a utility,
didn't have the ability to
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