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Tuesday, 07/01/08
Posted 07/02/08, 07:21
am ET |
(Scroll down to see Jim's
comments below) |
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Today's date:
Tuesday, 07/01/08 |
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Dow Jones: |
11,382 |
+ 32 |
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NASDAQ: |
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2,304 |
+
11 |
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S&P 500: |
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1,284 |
+ 4 |
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Opening Segment 1
Title: |
'Prescription For
Profits' |
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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
Allscripts Healthcare
Solutions Inc. (MDRX)
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here... |
JJC: I'm just
glad that last quarter is
over and the new one has
begun... We caught a rally
today... A nice turnaround
from the lows... And once
again, we saw leadership
from a group that people
have hated all year... And
that group is
Healthcare...
So what are we doing?...
We're pressing our
advantage here... Seeking
the safety and comfort
this week from the federal
government and its latest
cooperate giveaway: the
Medicare boondoggle, the
Medicare bill... The
healthcare stocks are
finally starting to work
anyway. We got the wind at
our backs... But the ones
who benefit from the
Medicare bill should do
even better than the whole
healthcare group... But
you got to read the fine
print to figure out what
that might be... And we
have read it for you...
But that's why you tune
in, isn't it?... That's
why we watch Mad Money...
Because we're here...
We've done the work...
And we've got three more
stocks to follow up on the
Fresenius Medical (FMS)
that we recommended
yesterday... By the way,
the German papers were
incredible...
Bleebleeblee... Mad
Money....
Bleebleeooblah...
Fresenius... That's my
own translation...
Anyway, I think these
stocks are poised to feed
heavily at the federal
trough, which could make
us tons of money off of
this Medicare bill...
Proving once again, that
we do have blessedly, a
government for, by, and of
the cooperation, just like
Lincoln wanted... Maybe
not... Anyway, God bless
America for that...
So who's the next player
to benefit from the
Medicare largess?...
I think its a stock that
has lost people a lot of
money in the past... One
that I have disliked, one
that I have trashed,
tarred, and feathered...
And the winner is...
Allscripts Healthcare
Solutions Inc. (MDRX)...
The top company for
electronic medical records
and electronic
prescriptions... Now,
normally I'd stay away
from a stock that dropped
from $28 to $8 in a blink
of an eye, even if it
rebounded at $12.16 now,
booyah... But because this
Medicare bill seems like
it could be so favorable
for this company, I'm
sticking my neck out, and
perhaps other body parts,
and recommending it. See,
the Medicare bill contains
both incentives for using
e-prescribing systems that
will run from 2009 to
2013...
And an e-prescribing
mandate that will penalize
doctors and hospitals that
don't start using
e-prescribing software by
the end of 2010. This part
of the bill has huge
bi-partisan support,
perhaps the only thing in
the world other than
ethanol that is
bi-partisan support...
It's in the both the House
and Senate language. Now,
I think it could be
exactly what a company
like MDRX needs to get
itself into gear...
Because doctors have been
notoriously slow to adopt
their new technology,
which I think is part of
the reason it dropped so
precipitously. They want
to keep using their awful
handwriting... They want
to keep using the same
old, same old, that result
in pharmacy having to call
the doctors office 30% of
the time because the print
is illegible for these
crucial drugs... Not to
mention the numerous
accidents that occur...
Like that kind of senior,
remember George Bailey?...
You know, Farah Fielday in
"It's a Wonderful Life"...
Paper medical records are
so wrong, they're almost
as bad as lawyers, who
still think a word
processor is a stooge
sitting in front of a
typewriter, not a computer
program... But now that
the government is going to
start providing pay
incentives for using this
software and penalties for
not using it, physicians
and hospitals actually
have a pretty good reason
to change their evil ways
in order to protect the
bottom line.
Why MDRX?... After
digesting its recent
merger with Misys
Healthcare, a deal that's
expected to close in the
third quarter, MDRX should
have a client basis of
roughly 150,000 doctors
and 700 hospitals...
That's a quarter of the
doctors in the US. MDRX
has relationships and
sells software to all of
these doctors, but
e-prescribing, the
e-prescribing market is
still small... Only 2% of
the 1.47 billion new
prescriptions and renewals
eligible for election
rally were transmitted
electronically in 2007...
Hey, that has enormous
room for growth and big
addressable market,
Wall Street jibberish for people you sell to...
Especially with the
e-prescribing mandate
coming down from Congress,
which might as well just
be a check made out to
MDRX... As they're already
selling software to a huge
portion of the market,
thus I believe, are poised
to capture the new
e-prescribing business
that the Medicare
boondoggles will bring.
This is exceedingly
bullish... Buy, buy,
buy...
Also, MDRX has a product
called ERX, now it's
software that they give
away for free so doctors
don't have to invest in
new hardware or even pay
for the software... This
is a great Gillette kind
of razor blade business
model if you know what I
mean... MDRX gets paid
whenever there's a
transaction, but there
aren't any upfront costs.
The main thing that MDRX
precipitously from $28 to
$8 was its failure to
deliver on its electronic
health records platform.
There were bugs and the
company had execution
issues, given it was
trading at 60-times
earnings, any little
slip-up would send this
stock to growth purgatory,
and its share holders,
frankly, to Hades, for
losing 20 straight points.
That's exactly what
happened... But, according
to MDRX, they expect to
resolve this issue by the
end of the year with a new
less-buggy version of the
platform...
And since this software
has nothing to do with
e-prescriptions, which
should be the big driver
going forward, I'm not
going to worry about it
too much, you shouldn't
either. I think MDRX is a
comeback stock. It gets
82% of its revenues and
over 90% of its profits
from its software services
division, which provides
e-prescribing solutions...
And the number of
prescriptions filed
electronically are
expected to grow by 400%
this year. The stock is at
18-times earnings, 40%
earnings growth, long-term
growth rate of 23.5%...
I think this stock has
been punished enough. When
you're a high-flying
momentum stock and you
screw up, you pay the
price. But that's in the
past now, especially with
the help of the new
Medicare bill, essentially
mandating the hospitals
and doctors to use MDRX's
product. I think the stock
is going to get its 25
multiple mojo back in
2009... We're talking a
44% gain, I see, ahead of
time.
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
The Medicare boondoggle
will pay doctors to use
e-prescribing software,
and penalize those who
don't. I think
Allscripts Healthcare
Solutions Inc. (MDRX)
is the leader here... It's
the one I want you to own.
. . . .
.
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■ |
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above |
■ |
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Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price
that
day |
Opening
price
next
day |
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each) |
|

|
MDRX |
12.16 |
na |
Allscripts Healthcare
Solutions Inc. (MDRX)
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See all of tonight's stocks'
latest quotes on
Yahoo! Finance |
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Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at
Amazon.com) |
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