After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here...
. . . .
.
JJC: I'm just
trying to preserve cash in
the toughest market I've
seen in years... Holy cow,
down-237 DOW points
today... Another
chaotic day led down by
our foes, the
financials... Again,
despite that decline, led
by the two stooges,
Fannie Mae (FNM)
and
Freddie Mac (FRE),
I am urging you in as
strong a fashion as I can,
that you not bottom fish
that group... Today was
the worst day for the
financials, that's the
banks, the brokers, in six
years... And the
blood-letting is not
over...
With our economy
struggling under the
weight of multiple
potential bank failures,
with high oil prices...
Hey, listen, high fuel
prices, I mean, you name
it... How about strangling
individuals and companies
alike... You need the
Cramerican Marine Field
Guide to Recessions...
That is, if you want to
make some money, or at
least hold your own in
this miserable, horrible
market... We don't mince
words... The field guide,
available at Amazon for
$295, or you could just
get
Stay Mad For Life, which is much
cheaper...
Uh, what it's been
highlighting all week is
simple... The guide
recommends to own stocks
that are better assured to
have better year over year
earnings, even if those
earnings comparisons will
be less than you might see
short term, from those one
time flyers, the steels or
oils or minerals... The
one times queens of the
runway... Look at this,
it's interesting... I open
the American field guide
and it's Right to Wills
and Testaments... Well, I
mean, just a second... I
mean people are getting
killed, but I don't mean
it literally... Anyway,
this field guide is a way
to avoid being mauled by
the growling, prowling
bears in our midst, and I
do not mean Yogi and Boo
Boo... Now that earning
season has started, the
area I like, the area that
the field guide says you
can buy at this point, is
healthcare... And as I've
explained before, this has
nothing to do with
healthcare companies doing
better... That's right,
they're not doing better
than expected... The
fundamentals matter when I
pick stocks on Mad Money,
but they're not the reason
we're rotating in to
healthcare... This is all
about Wall Street's
fashion show... Where as
before, when we weren't
facing the possibility of
a worldwide slow down, the
big money guys could
comfortably invest in more
exciting, fast-growing,
less consistent stocks...
Fertilizer... Okay?... I
know, it doesn't sound
very exciting... But it
was... Well, the big money
guys are now afraid that
the companies behind those
stocks won't be able to
make the huge estimates
that they're also
expecting for next year...
Not if there's a global
slow down... The
healthcare stocks, on the
other hand, are boring,
they're consistent, and
they're immunized against
everything that is keeping
this market down and
forcing it lower... No bad
mortgage loans here...
That means that these are
the kinds of stocks that
let big money managers and
you sleep comfortably at
night... These are
definitive, Mad Money,
lovey blanket stories... I
love a good lovey blanket,
as anybody knows, because
my old nick name was ah
baby, not kidding...
Anyway, we want to get in
before the institutional
investors take these
stocks up too much,
although that's already
started happening,
coincident to this week's
Mad Money series... The
Cramerican Marine Field
Guide to Recessions so far
has led me to recommend
Genentech Inc. (DNA)
and
Smith & Nephew PLC (SNN)...
So today let me give you a
new one all right?... And
look, you can buy them
right into the teeth of
the sell off... These work
in the sell off and the
answer is...
The stock I give you today
is
Becton Dickinson & Co. (BDX)...
BDX is not to be confused
with Emily Dickinson,
which I know not from
reading Oprah's books, but
because it's the rest stop
for the cleanest bathrooms
on the Jersey Turnpike...
The BDX makes syringes and
needles... But, also
caters and various other
day to day medical devices
like surgical blades,
disposable containers, I
told you it was boring, as
well as having a nice
diagnostics division... I
especially like
diagnostics division if
the polls are right and we
get an Obama
administration, because
his healthcare plans
specifically targets
spending more money on
preventative medicine...
And when I hear that, I
think diagnostics, and
therefore, I think BDX...
Now, way, way, way back on
April 30th of last year, I
devoted a segment to the
three B's... No relation
to the company and the
Constant Gardener, if
anyone remembers that
movie... BDX, along with
Baxter International Inc.
(BAX),
and
CR Bard Inc. (BCR),
not to confused with the
bard, to buy or not to
buy, not a question... In
that same show we mixed
even more metaphors and
ensued great confusion by
invoking another three
B's... Brahms, Beethoven
and Bach, that was a
failed gambit to bring
back the 9-year-old
demographic...
So far, BDX has been the
worst performer of the
three, which means, it's
come front and center
again... It's only up
about 3%, CR Bard is up
just under 6%... Baxter,
is around 15% higher from
when I recommended it...
And the market's done
terribly... Now I have to
tell you, I don't like
Baxter anymore... That's a
big change, just for
tonight, okay?... I am
saying sell, sell, sell
Baxter right here,
okay?... So I suggest if
you own any, take profits
in that name... This is a
special Wednesday night
edition of Thursday's Sell
Block, kind of like a
special Thursday night
edition of Monday Night
Football... Now I
recommend that you take
your Baxter profits, and
plow them into my new
favorite of the three B's,
BDX... BDX is less
dependent on the US, it's
a rest of worlder, with
55% of its sales coming
from the rest of the
world... But it's also
making good money in this
country, at least in part
because of legislative
mandates here calling for
the use of syringes with
extra safety features that
prevent the people from,
the people they use on
from contracting
diseases... Safety,
right?... BDX is a big
seller of these so called
shielded needles... Just
think of them as the
safer, cleaner needle
alternative... For the
much coveted junky
demographic, know this
stock is for you... By the
way, I don't want to
disparage Bard at all, by
the way, Bard is good
too... I just saying take
your money out of Baxter,
alright?... Germany and
Spain have recently worked
in similar mandates, so I
think BDX can expect to
sell more of its pricier
shielded needles in these
countries too... They can
give you even cleaner
needles, it's just
catching on... You know,
most of the world,
including Europe, other
than Spain and Germany,
hasn't made a push for
clean needles?... But when
these countries do, I
think they will go for the
expensive needle... It
seems like a small price
to pay for reduced risk of
infecting people with
diseases, and that's going
to mean more money for
BDX... I don't care how
bad the economy gets, and
it's getting bad
worldwide, doctors just
aren't going to stop using
syringes... How about this
diagnostics business?...
Which we really like...
BDX is one of the top
providers of tests for
MRSA, that's a treatment
resistant skin infections,
that's the most common
cause of skin irritations
for people who go to the
emergency room in this
country... BDX also picked
up a great test for
Cedephacil, that's a type
of Colitis that is
expected to be the next
major bug in hospital
associated infections...
When it bought that Genome
back in 2006 we liked that
on the show... There could
as many as 250,000 to
300,000 people in America
with this disease... BDX
has got the answer... Now,
I think BDX's stock has
taken a beating for all of
the wrong reasons... It's
fallen from its 52-week
high of $93 in January to
$81 today... And I think
of it... Look, I know,
I've talked to the people
pushing it down and
selling it... They're all
worried about higher oil
prices... Resin, which BDX
uses to manufacture most
of its products, makes up
around 9% of BDX's cost of
good sole... For every
dollar increase of the
price of oil, the price of
Resin, which is made from
oil, goes up 40 cents... I
think the Street's been
making a mountain out of a
molehill here... Like the
spray makeup that does
that to this pimple, right
here... Anyway, I think
their treating a medical
company as a chemical
company is just a big
mistake... I also believe
that oil seems to have hit
a Cramerican road block at
$150, remember, that was
our price target for
oil... And I think that
it's starting to, frankly,
boost a lot of other
companies that use a lot
more oil than BDX, like
Procter & Gamble (PG),
that's rosy you should be
transferring to BDX right
now... Particularly
because management assured
me when I was on Squawk
Box last month, when BDX
reported, that raw costs
woes were way over the
top, versus the reality
for BDX.
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
That fabulous Cramerican
Marine Field Guide, which
helped us in this
treacherous market says
keep buying healthcare,
despite the astounding
rise in pharma this
week... It's time for the
rise to include
Becton Dickinson & Co. (BDX),
an ideal name for anybody
looking for a healthcare
play, that's relevantly
immune to politics raw
cost and the veracious,
horrible, negative
consumer sentiment.
. . . .
.
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. . . .
.
JJC:
Does anybody else find it
just a tad ridiculous,
even as tech has just now
become a disastrous
scenario, that just two
days before the release of
the jazzed up, brand new,
sexy, sleek and
sexy-priced, for the
masses,
iPhone
3G... Notice I'm holding
it backwards, because,
believe it or not, my
staff couldn't get the new
one, but this is what the
back one looks like, so
I'm trying to fool
people... Isn't it just
preposterous that T, who
is trading just right at
its 52-week low, right
about it... Isn't it
absurd that you can buy
the sole American
distributor of the new
iPhone, which T expects to
outsell the old iPhone in
it's first year, and still
get the juicy yield of
about 5% (yield)?... Way
better than treasuries...
Even without factoring the
tax favors status of
dividends, in case Obama
eliminates that great
Cramerican perk... I find
it preposterous... The
preposterousness of T in
the low $30's just days
before the iPhone launch
is beyond description...
This must be the data of
stocks...
Like Marcel Duchamp when
he turned that urinal
upside down and called it
a fountain... All of which
is a long way of saying I
think you should be a
buyer of T right now...
But because the new iPhone
comes out Friday, I'm
going to waive my usual
requirement that you wait
5 days, I'm going to tell
you that you can buy the
stock tomorrow... This
show can not affect the
stock of T, it's too
big... When I think of T,
speaking Marcel Duchamp,
you know what I say?...
It's a nude descending the
staircase to the 52-week
low, and I think you got
to catch them... Does
anyone need to explain how
great this product is
anymore?...
I don't know if it really
will be a babe-magnet, as
my nephew, and head
writer, Cliff Mason,
called the first
version... He did it a
little more than a year
ago when he bought the
phone, he was still on the
market then... But I do
believe this phone is
going to sell... Jim
Goldman is talking about
some astounding numbers in
Dayside... Oh, and by the
way, Cliff, the head
writer... unlike
those zillions of websites
that just repeatedly say
exactly what I said [Ed.
note: Are you talking
about us?], or try to make
me look bad [definitely
not us - we love
Cramer!]... Now the fact
that Cliff used the term
babe-magnet, that he said,
that was over the top
sexist... That's not lost
on me... My friends call
me the gangster of love,
no that was Steve
Miller... But you sense my
outrage with my midnight
joker slash toker
nephew...
All right, let's get back
to the story of T... I can
only fit so much
nepotistic promotion in a
show... T is ultimately a
company that has lower
guidance, that's what I'm
attracted to, they've
lowered the bar, before
the launch... T kind of
subtly has done that
repeatedly in the last six
weeks... They've taken out
a lot of the fluff...
They're alerting the
Street to hopefully all
the potential negatives,
pricing them into the
stock, which now should be
poised to reap the
benefits of the all the
positives, like sign ups
galore, that no one is
thinking about yet because
T has kind of made you
feel scared to own it...
Also because any company
that's smart enough to
sponsor Jeff Burton,
NASCAR racer, Jeff Burton,
who I had a chance to talk
to for my special, "The
American Dream with Jim
Cramer", is all right with
me... Incidentally the
special airs this Sunday
at 7 pm eastern on NBC...
Boy, too much shameless
promotion in this piece,
let's kill it...
No, let's keep it, this T
story is right... Because
T is subsidizing the new
iPhone, something it
didn't do with the
original one, the company
said it expected to take
10-12 cent earnings hit,
okay... 10 to 12 cents
earnings hit is big... And
that's one of the reasons
the stock's been winding
its way down... And that's
because of higher
subscriptions acquisition
costs... T is going back
to the normal model that
many phones use, where the
provider pays part of the
cost of the phone, in
exchange, you sell them
your soul for two years,
or at least... That's what
an ordinary mobile phone
service contract reads
like, at least partly
because of this... The
stock, T is down
significantly since the
Apple announced the iPhone
3G, much faster internet
connection, speeds,
clearer telephone service,
sleeker look, much lower
price... $300 for the one
with more memory, compared
to the initial $600 price
tag on the original on
June 9th... Now, you do
not need me... there are
articles all over today,
The New York Times, the
Wall Street Journal, USA
Today, and may I say that
our coverage at CNBC is
probably the best... I
don't need to go into the
features other than to
tell you that people will
love this iPhone, and I
need you to find an easier
way to play it... I think
T is down because of the
iPhone... I mean, think
about that, because of the
iPhone... preposterous!...
But the Street sees what
it wants to see, and
apparently all it saw was
the number cut... They're
looking backward, we're
looking ahead... I don't
think you can make money
off of
Apple (AAPL)
here... In fact, I
recommend that you trim
any AAPL position into the
launch... Everyone says
buy, buy, buy, I'm saying
trim, and take your money
and put it in the bank,
the T bank, because of the
near 5% yield, which is
better than any real bank
I know of, and some
moderate growth that over
time will be fine...
I believe that the new
iPhone 3G doesn't indeed
rock for T because it will
no longer be sharing
monthly revenues with
Apple, like it had to do
in the first generation
iPhone, and T will be
charging more for now
mandatory data plans...
That means at least $15 a
month of extra revenue per
service... Since you have
to sign a two year
contract to buy one of
these phones, the $360 T
will make off of the more
expensive, mandatory data
plan, more than offsets
the money they're spending
to subsidize the new
iPhone... Think about
Gillette and the razors,
alright?... How much do
you have to pay for the
razor blades?... The
actual razor is
subsidized... That's the
new model for T...
Plus, you'll have to pay
extra for text messages
with the iPhone 3G,
whereas they came free
with the original
iPhone... That's more
money down the line, again
for T, a company I like
very much, it's very well
managed... I think those
$200-300 new iPhones will
actually generate a lot
more money over time for T
than the original phone
ever did... Even though T
is taking a hit, every
time it sells one...
Remember, that's just a
short-term hit... This
phone is only cheaper when
you buy it... Not over the
full two-year contract,
something Wall Street just
doesn't seem to get at
all... T has gone back to
hosing its customers, well
T has gone back to making
a little more money off of
its customers, with the
iPhone 3G, just like any
good wireless provider
should...
This is a good thing...
And eventually the big
money guys on the Street
will figure it out... I
want you figure it out
ahead of them... I want
you buy some... T is now
trading at 10 times 2009
earnings... Cramer-fave,
Verizon
(VZ),
and I still like that
stock, is trading at 12.4
times its expected 2009
earnings... Strange,
difference... T has the
iPhone, Verizon doesn't...
I do love the Verizon
FiOs, but that's not what
we're talking about
here... It's time to
profit from the despair
and the disparity being
generated by a huge
deposit of the
iPhone.
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
I believe all the bad news
about the
iPhone
3G is in
AT&T (T)
stock, even though I think
that Apple is reflecting
everything good... I think
you're about to hear the
good news... Tons and tons
of new T subscribers, or
old subscribers signing up
for more expensive plans,
or people just switching
away and saying, I've got
the status symbol... Don't
you want to get in ahead
of that with T?
. . . .
.
■
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indicated by Jim, when he
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In other words, this is the
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This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
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Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about.
Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms":
Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back...
Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you.
Definition:'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock).
Definition:'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
See more
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