Wednesday, 07/09/08
Posted 07/10/08,  8:21 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Wednesday, 07/09/08

  Dow Jones: 11,145  - 238
  NASDAQ:   2,234   - 59
  S&P 500:   1,244    -29
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
   
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'Needle in a Haystack'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

Becton Dickinson & Co. (BDX)

See BDX's official website here.
See the Yahoo! Finance profile for BDX here.


See Opening Segment 2, below...

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

JJC:   I'm just trying to preserve cash in the toughest market I've seen in years... Holy cow, down-237 DOW points today...  Another chaotic day led down by our foes, the financials... Again, despite that decline, led by the two stooges, Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE), I am urging you in as strong a fashion as I can, that you not bottom fish that group... Today was the worst day for the financials, that's the banks, the brokers, in six years... And the blood-letting is not over...

With our economy struggling under the weight of multiple potential bank failures, with high oil prices... Hey, listen, high fuel prices, I mean, you name it... How about strangling individuals and companies alike... You need the Cramerican Marine Field Guide to Recessions... That is, if you want to make some money, or at least hold your own in this miserable, horrible market... We don't mince words... The field guide, available at Amazon for $295, or you could just get Stay Mad For Life, which is much cheaper...

Uh, what it's been highlighting all week is simple... The guide recommends to own stocks that are better assured to have better year over year earnings, even if those earnings comparisons will be less than you might see short term, from those one time flyers, the steels or oils or minerals... The one times queens of the runway... Look at this, it's interesting... I open the American field guide and it's Right to Wills and Testaments... Well, I mean, just a second... I mean people are getting killed, but I don't mean it literally... Anyway, this field guide is a way to avoid being mauled by the growling, prowling bears in our midst, and I do not mean Yogi and Boo Boo... Now that earning season has started, the area I like, the area that the field guide says you can buy at this point, is healthcare... And as I've explained before, this has nothing to do with healthcare companies doing better... That's right, they're not doing better than expected... The fundamentals matter when I pick stocks on Mad Money, but they're not the reason we're rotating in to healthcare... This is all about Wall Street's fashion show... Where as before, when we weren't facing the possibility of a worldwide slow down, the big money guys could comfortably invest in more exciting, fast-growing, less consistent stocks... Fertilizer... Okay?... I know, it doesn't sound very exciting... But it was... Well, the big money guys are now afraid that the companies behind those stocks won't be able to make the huge estimates that they're also expecting for next year... Not if there's a global slow down... The healthcare stocks, on the other hand, are boring, they're consistent, and they're immunized against everything that is keeping this market down and forcing it lower... No bad mortgage loans here... That means that these are the kinds of stocks that let big money managers and you sleep comfortably at night... These are definitive, Mad Money, lovey blanket stories... I love a good lovey blanket, as anybody knows, because my old nick name was ah baby, not kidding... Anyway, we want to get in before the institutional investors take these stocks up too much, although that's already started happening, coincident to this week's Mad Money series... The Cramerican Marine Field Guide to Recessions so far has led me to recommend Genentech Inc. (DNA) and Smith & Nephew PLC (SNN)...

So today let me give you a new one all right?... And look, you can buy them right into the teeth of the sell off... These work in the sell off and the answer is...

The stock I give you today is Becton Dickinson & Co. (BDX)...

BDX is not to be confused with Emily Dickinson, which I know not from reading Oprah's books, but because it's the rest stop for the cleanest bathrooms on the Jersey Turnpike...

The BDX makes syringes and needles... But, also caters and various other day to day medical devices like surgical blades, disposable containers, I told you it was boring, as well as having a nice diagnostics division... I especially like diagnostics division if the polls are right and we get an Obama administration, because his healthcare plans specifically targets spending more money on preventative medicine... And when I hear that, I think diagnostics, and therefore, I think BDX...

Now, way, way, way back on April 30th of last year, I devoted a segment to the three B's... No relation to the company and the Constant Gardener, if anyone remembers that movie... BDX, along with Baxter International Inc. (BAX), and CR Bard Inc. (BCR), not to confused with the bard, to buy or not to buy, not a question... In that same show we mixed even more metaphors and ensued great confusion by invoking another three B's... Brahms, Beethoven and Bach, that was a failed gambit to bring back the 9-year-old demographic...

So far, BDX has been the worst performer of the three, which means, it's come front and center again... It's only up about 3%, CR Bard is up just under 6%... Baxter, is around 15% higher from when I recommended it... And the market's done terribly... Now I have to tell you, I don't like Baxter anymore... That's a big change, just for tonight, okay?... I am saying sell, sell, sell Baxter right here, okay?... So I suggest if you own any, take profits in that name... This is a special Wednesday night edition of Thursday's Sell Block, kind of like a special Thursday night edition of Monday Night Football... Now I recommend that you take your Baxter profits, and plow them into my new favorite of the three B's, BDX... BDX is less dependent on the US, it's a rest of worlder, with 55% of its sales coming from the rest of the world... But it's also making good money in this country, at least in part because of legislative mandates here calling for the use of syringes with extra safety features that prevent the people from, the people they use on from contracting diseases... Safety, right?... BDX is a big seller of these so called shielded needles... Just think of them as the safer, cleaner needle alternative... For the much coveted junky demographic, know this stock is for you... By the way, I don't want to disparage Bard at all, by the way, Bard is good too... I just saying take your money out of Baxter, alright?... Germany and Spain have recently worked in similar mandates, so I think BDX can expect to sell more of its pricier shielded needles in these countries too... They can give you even cleaner needles, it's just catching on... You know, most of the world, including Europe, other than Spain and Germany, hasn't made a push for clean needles?... But when these countries do, I think they will go for the expensive needle... It seems like a small price to pay for reduced risk of infecting people with diseases, and that's going to mean more money for BDX... I don't care how bad the economy gets, and it's getting bad worldwide, doctors just aren't going to stop using syringes... How about this diagnostics business?... Which we really like... BDX is one of the top providers of tests for MRSA, that's a treatment resistant skin infections, that's the most common cause of skin irritations for people who go to the emergency room in this country... BDX also picked up a great test for Cedephacil, that's a type of Colitis that is expected to be the next major bug in hospital associated infections...

When it bought that Genome back in 2006 we liked that on the show... There could as many as 250,000 to 300,000 people in America with this disease... BDX has got the answer... Now, I think BDX's stock has taken a beating for all of the wrong reasons... It's fallen from its 52-week high of $93 in January to $81 today... And I think of it... Look, I know, I've talked to the people pushing it down and selling it... They're all worried about higher oil prices... Resin, which BDX uses to manufacture most of its products, makes up around 9% of BDX's cost of good sole... For every dollar increase of the price of oil, the price of Resin, which is made from oil, goes up 40 cents... I think the Street's been making a mountain out of a molehill here... Like the spray makeup that does that to this pimple, right here... Anyway, I think their treating a medical company as a chemical company is just a big mistake... I also believe that oil seems to have hit a Cramerican road block at $150, remember, that was our price target for oil... And I think that it's starting to, frankly, boost a lot of other companies that use a lot more oil than BDX, like Procter & Gamble (PG), that's rosy you should be transferring to BDX right now... Particularly because management assured me when I was on Squawk Box last month, when BDX reported, that raw costs woes were way over the top, versus the reality for BDX.

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      That fabulous Cramerican Marine Field Guide, which helped us in this treacherous market says keep buying healthcare, despite the astounding rise in pharma this week... It's time for the rise to include Becton Dickinson & Co. (BDX), an ideal name for anybody looking for a healthcare play, that's relevantly immune to politics raw cost and the veracious, horrible, negative consumer sentiment.

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


BDX

81.30

82.05

Becton Dickinson & Co. (BDX)



     

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



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Second Segment
 
Opening Segment 2 Title: 'Dialing Up'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

AT&T (T)

See T's official website here.
See the Yahoo! Finance profile for T here.

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

.  .  .  .  .


JJC:    Does anybody else find it just a tad ridiculous, even as tech has just now become a disastrous scenario, that just two days before the release of the jazzed up, brand new, sexy, sleek and sexy-priced, for the masses, iPhone 3G... Notice I'm holding it backwards, because, believe it or not, my staff couldn't get the new one, but this is what the back one looks like, so I'm trying to fool people... Isn't it just preposterous that T, who is trading just right at its 52-week low, right about it... Isn't it absurd that you can buy the sole American distributor of the new iPhone, which T expects to outsell the old iPhone in it's first year, and still get the juicy yield of about 5% (yield)?... Way better than treasuries...

Even without factoring the tax favors status of dividends, in case Obama eliminates that great Cramerican perk... I find it preposterous... The preposterousness of T in the low $30's just days before the iPhone launch is beyond description... This must be the data of stocks...

Like Marcel Duchamp when he turned that urinal upside down and called it a fountain... All of which is a long way of saying I think you should be a buyer of T right now... But because the new iPhone comes out Friday, I'm going to waive my usual requirement that you wait 5 days, I'm going to tell you that you can buy the stock tomorrow... This show can not affect the stock of T, it's too big... When I think of T, speaking Marcel Duchamp, you know what I say?... It's a nude descending the staircase to the 52-week low, and I think you got to catch them... Does anyone need to explain how great this product is anymore?...

I don't know if it really will be a babe-magnet, as my nephew, and head writer, Cliff Mason, called the first version... He did it a little more than a year ago when he bought the phone, he was still on the market then... But I do believe this phone is going to sell... Jim Goldman is talking about some astounding numbers in Dayside... Oh, and by the way, Cliff, the head writer...  unlike those zillions of websites that just repeatedly say exactly what I said [Ed. note: Are you talking about us?], or try to make me look bad [definitely not us - we love Cramer!]... Now the fact that Cliff used the term babe-magnet, that he said, that was over the top sexist... That's not lost on me... My friends call me the gangster of love, no that was Steve Miller... But you sense my outrage with my midnight joker slash toker nephew...

All right, let's get back to the story of T... I can only fit so much nepotistic promotion in a show... T is ultimately a company that has lower guidance, that's what I'm attracted to, they've lowered the bar, before the launch... T kind of subtly has done that repeatedly in the last six weeks... They've taken out a lot of the fluff... They're alerting the Street to hopefully all the potential negatives, pricing them into the stock, which now should be poised to reap the benefits of the all the positives, like sign ups galore, that no one is thinking about yet because T has kind of made you feel scared to own it... Also because any company that's smart enough to sponsor Jeff Burton, NASCAR racer, Jeff Burton, who I had a chance to talk to for my special, "The American Dream with Jim Cramer", is all right with me... Incidentally the special airs this Sunday at 7 pm eastern on NBC... Boy, too much shameless promotion in this piece, let's kill it...

No, let's keep it, this T story is right... Because T is subsidizing the new iPhone, something it didn't do with the original one, the company said it expected to take 10-12 cent earnings hit, okay... 10 to 12 cents earnings hit is big... And that's one of the reasons the stock's been winding its way down... And that's because of higher subscriptions acquisition costs... T is going back to the normal model that many phones use, where the provider pays part of the cost of the phone, in exchange, you sell them your soul for two years, or at least... That's what an ordinary mobile phone service contract reads like, at least partly because of this... The stock, T is down significantly since the Apple announced the iPhone 3G, much faster internet connection, speeds, clearer telephone service, sleeker look, much lower price... $300 for the one with more memory, compared to the initial $600 price tag on the original on June 9th... Now, you do not need me... there are articles all over today, The New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, and may I say that our coverage at CNBC is probably the best... I don't need to go into the features other than to tell you that people will love this iPhone, and I need you to find an easier way to play it... I think T is down because of the iPhone... I mean, think about that, because of the iPhone... preposterous!...

But the Street sees what it wants to see, and apparently all it saw was the number cut... They're looking backward, we're looking ahead... I don't think you can make money off of Apple (AAPL) here... In fact, I recommend that you trim any AAPL position into the launch... Everyone says buy, buy, buy, I'm saying trim, and take your money and put it in the bank, the T bank, because of the near 5% yield, which is better than any real bank I know of, and some moderate growth that over time will be fine...

I believe that the new iPhone 3G doesn't indeed rock for T because it will no longer be sharing monthly revenues with Apple, like it had to do in the first generation iPhone, and T will be charging more for now mandatory data plans... That means at least $15 a month of extra revenue per service... Since you have to sign a two year contract to buy one of these phones, the $360 T will make off of the more expensive, mandatory data plan, more than offsets the money they're spending to subsidize the new iPhone... Think about Gillette and the razors, alright?... How much do you have to pay for the razor blades?... The actual razor is subsidized... That's the new model for T...

Plus, you'll have to pay extra for text messages with the iPhone 3G, whereas they came free with the original iPhone... That's more money down the line, again for T, a company I like very much, it's very well managed... I think those $200-300 new iPhones will actually generate a lot more money over time for T than the original phone ever did... Even though T is taking a hit, every time it sells one... Remember, that's just a short-term hit... This phone is only cheaper when you buy it... Not over the full two-year contract, something Wall Street just doesn't seem to get at all... T has gone back to hosing its customers, well T has gone back to making a little more money off of its customers, with the iPhone 3G, just like any good wireless provider should...

This is a good thing... And eventually the big money guys on the Street will figure it out... I want you figure it out ahead of them... I want you buy some... T is now trading at 10 times 2009 earnings... Cramer-fave,
Verizon (VZ), and I still like that stock, is trading at 12.4 times its expected 2009 earnings... Strange, difference... T has the iPhone, Verizon doesn't... I do love the Verizon FiOs, but that's not what we're talking about here... It's time to profit from the despair and the disparity being generated by a huge deposit of the iPhone.

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      I believe all the bad news about the iPhone 3G is in AT&T (T) stock, even though I think that Apple is reflecting everything good... I think you're about to hear the good news... Tons and tons of new T subscribers, or old subscribers signing up for more expensive plans, or people just switching away and saying, I've got the status symbol... Don't you want to get in ahead of that with T?

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


T

32.12

32.60

AT&T (T)


VZ

34.66

34.70

Verizon (VZ)

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
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