Thursday, 07/10/08
Posted 07/10/08,  11:51 pm ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Thursday, 07/10/08

  Dow Jones: 11,145  - 238
  NASDAQ:   2,234   - 59
  S&P 500:   1,244    -29
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
   
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'Untapping Profits'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

Hospira Inc. (HSP)

See HSP's official website here.
See the Yahoo! Finance profile for HSP here.


See Opening Segment 2, below...

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

JJC:   I just want a couple more days like today, a little extra money... After the shalacking we took yesterday and today's totally crazy action, a rally in the face of potential insolvencies involving everything financial... You need the Cramerican Marine Field Guide to Recessions more than ever...

Our week long series, or some would say, obsession, on how you can try to make money still in this market without worrying about oil, without worrying about Fannie Mae (FNM), Freddie Mac (FRE), whatever...

All week I've been recommending healthcare stocks as a way to play our current unhappy economic situation... Not because anything has changed in the healthcare business, but because I believe that money managers are suddenly afraid that companies in practically every other sector will miss their numbers, either because of higher raw cost or slowing economy... With healthcare stocks they've got nothing to fear... It's kind of like FDR, right?... Not even stocks themselves...

And that's why I see a sector rotation - just Wall Street jibberish for money coming out of some sectors and flowing into other ones...  In this case, healthcare...  and sending those stocks higher as the big money guys are now willing to pay a lot more for the safe, boring, consistent growth of healthcare stocks, where they don't have to worry about the earnings falling apart...
With the olympics coming up, of course on the same network as my Sunday night special, "The American Dream with Jim Cramer" at 7 pm on NBC, you will most likely catch some volleyball... They rotate in that game... Does it freak you out that they rotate?... This kind of rotation is just as much business as usual on our court as it is on that one... That's why I've been recommending healthcare stocks all week...

And it's why I'm telling you that I think Hospira Inc. (HSP) is a buy... This is a company that is penetrating new markets, and transforming itself, a transformation that I don't think the Street is paying enough attention to... HSP is going from a boring, old drug delivery and medication management company, don't buy, to one that has higher margins and a faster growing oncology segment, that in my opinion, doesn't get enough credit for...

Nobody seems to care about this company, because it was spun off from Abbott Laboratories (ABT*), a stock I recently bought for my charitable trust... ABT dumped HSP in 2004 and the company got to a rocky start, it was yeah, it was one that just upset people right from the shoot...

But now it looks like it's recovering, giving us seven straight quarters where it meet or beat the earnings expectations... HSP has got two kinds of business, boring and sexy... But even the boring ones should be good in times like this... This company is the number one maker of specialty injectable pharmaseuticals, they call them SIP's... mostly generic drugs in the United States...

Basically the company creates packages and distributes 190 generic injectable drugs in more than 900 dosages and formulations in this country... The drugs range from Anagesia, anastesia, anti-infective, cardio-vascular, and now oncology drugs, the last one is new... The company has 40 more of these so called SIP's in its pipeline...

This ain't a sexy business okay?... This is not sexy can I go and get your camera, it's a Kodak moment... Mmm, I think that's now #18...

All right, anyway, in 2006 it was $5.8 billion business, and HSP has a 17% market share, the number one player, which is nothing to frown at... One more thing about HSP's injectable business, it is poised to take over Japan as surely as McArthur in 1945... The Japanese government, which pays for 85% of Japan's healthcare costs, is making a big move to use more generic drugs... Right now, about 16% of the drugs sold in Japan are generics, compared to over 50% in the US, and 43% in Canada... The Japanese want to get their generic utilization up to 30%...

I don't like the generic drug stocks, you know that... I mean, last night I had a call on that Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (TEVA), it's like shoes, I said ix-nay on that... But, it seems to me that HSP could be a big beneficiary here, because they're selling generic injectable drugs to hospitals, not individuals, and I think the uptake from businesses, which want to cut costs and use more generic drugs, will be a lot higher than from regular Japanese people... General perception in Japan is that generics are no good...

I think HSP is the way to play Japan's push for generic drugs...


Now, HSP is also number two in medication management systems, which is all about making electronic drug delivery pumps, saftey software, administration sets, and yes, those sets are used to deliver IV fluids... And medication, hospitals go for this stuff because it decreases medical errors, like the one props has just done here for me... This is a $1.2 billion market in 2006, and HSP has got 28% of it... These are the boring, old business...

But back on February of last year, HSP bought MAYNE, giving HSP an injectable oncology portfolio, which is much sexier than other generic injectables... It also gave the company a bigger international footprint, which should be helpful when it comes to taking over Japan... The main acquisition is all about revenue growth, 17% revenue growth just in 2007, see what I mean?...

That's the consistant growth that these portfolio managers want...

So now we got a dull, boring injectable generic drug company that has a fast growing oncology franchise, that I think is again, poised to take over Japan... HSP's management is gong-ho about cutting costs, shutting down its manufacturing facilities, consolidating them... Over the last two years the company has shut down five facilities, the last one was just in April... That's going to add $.09 to the company's 2010 earnings...

In general, HSP has been doing a great job with increasing its profitability, upping its operating margins from 14.9% in 2004, to 16.9% last year... It's targeting 19.9%... So, the margins are going up, the earnings are consistant, this is what the portfolio managers want... In the fashion show, more revenue, higher margins and Japan, this one is a triple threat... It's just two points above its 52-week low... I could see the $39 stock going to $46 easily, an 18% gain...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      Japan, oncology, cost cutting, I think Hospira Inc. (HSP) has got what we want from a Healthcare stock in the Cramerican Marine field guide to Recessions... I think you should take down some HSP.

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


HSP

39.02

na

Hospira Inc. (HSP)

Price target:  $46.00



TEVA

45.00

na

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (TEVA)


 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at Amazon.com)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 


 

 


We need your help!
If you find our service valuable, your donation is critically helpful to support
our operating costs and is MUCH appreciated!
(click below to donate)

We are serving thousands of new visitors every day and our costs are growing as well.  Thank you for your support & generosity!


 


 
 

 

 

 
 
 
 

Mutual-Fund-Holdings.com
NEW RESOURCE!  See Ken Heebner's CGM Focus Fund
Top 25 holdings - The No. 3 Top-Performing Mutual Fund in 2007


 
 
Second Segment
 
Opening Segment 2 Title: 'All Gassed Up?'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

Chesapeake (CHK)

See CHK's official website here.
See the Yahoo! Finance profile for CHK here.

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

JJC:    Last Wednesday I told you that the oil and gas stocks were about to take a drubby total beating, kind of like what Clubber Lang did in to Rocky in Rocky 4... And the very next day, natural gas futures sold off hard... Now they're down from $13.57 to $12.40, but intraweek, they fell as much as 11.6% at one point... And most of the stocks sold off much harder than the commodity itself...

Now did I turn my back on natural gas?... No, what I said was 2008 would be the year of natural gas, but, the cleaner replacement fuel that will let us use less coal and oil until we develop and build more viable forms of alternative energy, had gotten ahead of itself momentarily... That's all, that's what happened... And remember my experience, I like to try to give you the novacaine, step aside for a second, so you don't take the beating, and then get you back in...

Now, I still think that natural gas is going from $12 to $16... That's been my price target the whole time, for the whole year... Today's rally of natural gas, and the bigger rally in crude, might get things going again for more than one day... But last week, things definitely got too hot... I always like to use the analogy of the Holland Tunnel Diner, a filthy dive, which sadly, no longer exists, where they would make the perfect, most exquisite egg sandwhich, okay?... Which is a must stop after a big night on the town, if you know what I mean... Now, if they left the egg on the griddle for 9 seconds, it would be great... But it would be charred beyond recognition if they left it on for 10...

That's the situation we have with natural gas and the natural gas stocks last Wednesday... Things got too hot... All right, you had to sell... I believe this is only natural... And it happens all the time with groups that may still be working for the long term... They stayed on the - griddle for too long, and you could smell that smoke from miles away... That was, of course, the smoke of the bulls cohones on the - griddle... ah ha...

All right, now I think the group has cooled off in a week's time, and I think the moment is right... Today was the beginning, the right to start buying... How do we know?...

And where do we buy?...

Okay, here's the deal... You know I like Chesapeake (CHK)...

And I like it today for a reason that might seem counterintuitive... Last night, after the bell, CHK did a big secondary offering... They offered 25 million shares, priced at what looked to be just horrible, but turned out to a phenomanally cheap $57.25... Today the stock went out at $61.58... In other words, if you got some of the 25 million shares, you had a whopping, 6.7% gain in one day...

That is, ladies and gentleman... the "all clear" flag...

This is over, CHK issued the stock to repay debt related to its leasing program, part of its plan to step up drilling... Secondaries are supposed to be bad things right?... They dilute the value of the stock that's already out there by pouring more shares through the open market, thus reducing the earnings per share... And ordinarily, with any other company, I'd say this is the reason to stay away... Oh, no, stay away...

But Chesapeake (CHK)...  CHK is different... With this one, the secondary is a reason to buy because of its success, and not just CHK, but the whole group, which has been crushed and now is coming back because of CHK's pin action...

Why?...

Because every time this company has done a secondary offering over the last two years, it has made you tons of money, and now, I'm not just including the money you would have made today okay?... Do you know the last five secondaries CHK has done, the stock has held the print price... In other words, kept the price of the offering and then gone higher for four of them... Four out of five times you made short term money from these secondaries... How about longer term?... How much money could you have made if you bought CHK the last five times it has done a secondary?...

Let's go over it... Let's go to the video tape...

CHK did a secondary offering on March 27th of this year, which I told you to buy, buy, buy in... And it's 26% below the current price and you made all that money... It did a secondary on September 8th of 2006, I told you to buy, buy, buy... 48% below the current price... The previous one on June 27th of 2006, once again I told you to buy, buy, buy, 53% below the current price... The secondary of September 8th of 2005, yes I've been on that long, I told you to buy, buy, buy that one did not hold the print price... But it's still 47% below CHK's current price... And, finally, there was CHK that did a secondary on September 9th of 2005, 76% below the stock's current price...

In other words, every time you made fortunes...

Those gains are far larger than the 6.7% gain the stock had today, so don't feel you missed anything... And again, there are tons more of these natural gas stocks that are also way down since last Wednesday and are just as attractive as CHK... They're still far, far down... And they haven't move up as much...

For example, I've been buying Devon Energy (DVN*) hand over fist all the way down for my charitable trust, issuing alert after alert after alert if you want to follow along... That one now, DVN* is even cheaper than CHK...

Every single time CHK's done a secondary offering, if you bought, you could have made enormous amounts... They're doing it again, and I think we should use this as another opportunity... CHK is up 40% since I recommended on March 3rd at $44... But the stock is down 13% since the sell off of natural gas last Thrusday, even after today's gain... The stock traded as high as $74 last week... I mean, come on, where did it go out... Look at this, it went out at $61.58... How much have you really missed?... Let's throw in some other things... Throw in the fact that I think CHK's CEO, Aubrey Mclendon... You know, we have a Wall of Shame, how about a Wall of Fame... And he's at the top... Aubrey Mclendon has been a veracious and intelligent buyer of his own company's stock, as well as a very good selector of wines, by the way, he likes the Colgin, too expensive for my taste... Anyway, so far this year he's personally purchased roughly 3.3 million shares... No, I'm going to repeat that because no one except for him buys their own stock, they just line their pockets... He's bought 3.3 million shares of his own stock between $36 and $59 a share... Even with the stock up 6.7% today, I bet he's dying to buy current prices... And when I contacted his people, actually my staff contacted his people, but I like to use "I" because I'm really important...

When we contacted his people to ask if he was actually doing more insider buying, you what they said?... "He has frequently stated he believes our shares are worth more than what they trade for"... Now does that not sound like a man who's trying to give me the skinny and he wants to buy some of his own stock?... Hey, can I just point out, by the way, that just like with the secondaries, every time you bought CHK stock when Aubrey Mclendon was buying, you made a lot of money... I think he's the most bankable CEO in America... He's not issuing options to himself, he is buying in the open market... There are a million reasons why insiders sell... But there's only one reason why they buy, to make money...

And then, of course, CHK has the added advantage of being a fabulous natural gas company in Cramer's year of natural gas... And now that the commodities have cooled off some, it's looking like a pretty terrific buy... Listen what CHK has put together... The company owns 9,700,000 acres of land in total, 1.2 million in the Marcellus Shale, that's the one that's in Pennsylvania, 585,000 in the Fayetteville Shale, 500,000 in Haynesville, 260,000 in Barnett, that's every hot area, other than in North Dakota... CHK is all over the place with both conventional and non-conventional plays... It's drilling like a madman spending an extra $7-8 billion on drilling with $4 billion going to Haynesville, $2 bilion to Barnett, and $1 billion to Marcellus... Finds still matter, by the way... Wildcatting still matters... Wildcatting is back...

How do I know this?... Why don't you just ask the people who own Continental Resources Inc. (CLR)... They hit a big gusher in the Bakken Shale in the Dakotas and that stock moved up 13 points today... Wildcat!... I think this one is going higher.

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:      The success of the Chesapeake (CHK) secondary signals that the griddle is at last now fine... How much do I want to put these on my eyes?... The eggs are no longer burning and the group is at last fine to start buying, with CHK exhibit A for the defense... Hey, please, don't forget Devon Energy (DVN*), they both work...

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


CHK

61.58

na

Chesapeake (CHK)


DVN*

109.51

na

Devon Energy (DVN*)

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
  © 2005-2007 MadMoneyRecap.com ■ Important disclaimer: This site is not affiliated with Mr. James Cramer, and is not associated with any television networks or broadcasts. Please note that all thumbs up or thumbs down indicators are not always clearly indicated on the show and are interpreted by us as accurately as possible. Some comments have been edited for brevity and clarity, and extraneous material omitted.  Please rely on watching the show yourself, doing your own homework, and reading the text of the comments to draw your own conclusions. Also, data presented on this site should not be used to make investment decisions and accuracy, although attempted, cannot be guaranteed.  Please consult with your own financial advisor for professional advice.
 
 

 

 
       

Feedback   ■   Terms of use   ■   Privacy Policy  ■   Keep this site Free