After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here...
. . . .
.
JJC: I just
want a couple more days
like today, a little extra
money... After the
shalacking we took
yesterday and today's
totally crazy action, a
rally in the face of
potential insolvencies
involving everything
financial... You need the
Cramerican Marine Field
Guide to Recessions more
than ever...
Our week long series, or
some would say, obsession,
on how you can try to make
money still in this market
without worrying about
oil, without worrying
about
Fannie Mae (FNM),
Freddie Mac (FRE),
whatever...
All week I've been
recommending healthcare
stocks as a way to play
our current unhappy
economic situation... Not
because anything has
changed in the healthcare
business, but because I
believe that money
managers are suddenly
afraid that companies in
practically every other
sector will miss their
numbers, either because of
higher raw cost or slowing
economy... With healthcare
stocks they've got nothing
to fear... It's kind of
like FDR, right?... Not
even stocks themselves...
And that's why I see a
sector rotation - just
Wall Street jibberish for money coming out of some
sectors and flowing into
other ones... In
this case, healthcare...
and sending those stocks
higher as the big money
guys are now willing to
pay a lot more for the
safe, boring, consistent
growth of healthcare
stocks, where they don't
have to worry about the
earnings falling apart...
With the olympics coming
up, of course on the same
network as my Sunday night
special, "The American
Dream with Jim Cramer" at
7 pm on NBC, you will most
likely catch some
volleyball... They rotate
in that game... Does it
freak you out that they
rotate?... This kind of
rotation is just as much
business as usual on our
court as it is on that
one... That's why I've
been recommending
healthcare stocks all
week...
And it's why I'm telling
you that I think
Hospira Inc. (HSP)
is a buy... This is a
company that is
penetrating new markets,
and transforming itself, a
transformation that I
don't think the Street is
paying enough attention
to... HSP is going from a
boring, old drug delivery
and medication management
company, don't buy, to one
that has higher margins
and a faster growing
oncology segment, that in
my opinion, doesn't get
enough credit for...
Nobody seems to care about
this company, because it
was spun off from
Abbott Laboratories (ABT*),
a stock I recently bought
for
my charitable trust... ABT dumped
HSP in 2004 and the
company got to a rocky
start, it was yeah, it was
one that just upset people
right from the shoot...
But now it looks like it's
recovering, giving us
seven straight quarters
where it meet or beat the
earnings expectations...
HSP has got two kinds of
business, boring and
sexy... But even the
boring ones should be good
in times like this... This
company is the number one
maker of specialty
injectable
pharmaseuticals, they call
them SIP's... mostly
generic drugs in the
United States...
Basically the company
creates packages and
distributes 190 generic
injectable drugs in more
than 900 dosages and
formulations in this
country... The drugs range
from Anagesia, anastesia,
anti-infective,
cardio-vascular, and now
oncology drugs, the last
one is new... The company
has 40 more of these so
called SIP's in its
pipeline...
This ain't a sexy business
okay?... This is not sexy
can I go and get your
camera, it's a Kodak
moment... Mmm, I think
that's now #18...
All right, anyway, in 2006
it was $5.8 billion
business, and HSP has a
17% market share, the
number one player, which
is nothing to frown at...
One more thing about HSP's
injectable business, it is
poised to take over Japan
as surely as McArthur in
1945... The Japanese
government, which pays for
85% of Japan's healthcare
costs, is making a big
move to use more generic
drugs... Right now, about
16% of the drugs sold in
Japan are generics,
compared to over 50% in
the US, and 43% in
Canada... The Japanese
want to get their generic
utilization up to 30%...
I don't like the generic
drug stocks, you know
that... I mean, last night
I had a call on that
Teva Pharmaceutical
Industries Ltd. (TEVA),
it's like shoes, I said
ix-nay on that... But, it seems to
me that HSP could be a big
beneficiary here, because
they're selling generic
injectable drugs to
hospitals, not
individuals, and I think
the uptake from
businesses, which want to
cut costs and use more
generic drugs, will be a
lot higher than from
regular Japanese people...
General perception in
Japan is that generics are
no good...
I think HSP is the way to
play Japan's push for
generic drugs...
Now, HSP is also number
two in medication
management systems, which
is all about making
electronic drug delivery
pumps, saftey software,
administration sets, and
yes, those sets are used
to deliver IV fluids...
And medication, hospitals
go for this stuff because
it decreases medical
errors, like the one props
has just done here for
me... This is a $1.2
billion market in 2006,
and HSP has got 28% of
it... These are the
boring, old business...
But back on February of
last year, HSP bought
MAYNE, giving HSP an
injectable oncology
portfolio, which is
much sexier than other
generic injectables... It
also gave the company a
bigger international
footprint, which should be
helpful when it comes to
taking over Japan... The
main acquisition is all
about revenue growth, 17%
revenue growth just in
2007, see what I mean?...
That's the consistant
growth that these
portfolio managers want...
So now we got a dull,
boring injectable generic
drug company that has a
fast growing oncology
franchise, that I think is
again, poised to take over
Japan... HSP's management
is gong-ho about cutting
costs, shutting down its
manufacturing facilities,
consolidating them... Over
the last two years the
company has shut down five
facilities, the last one
was just in April...
That's going to add $.09
to the company's 2010
earnings...
In general, HSP has been
doing a great job with
increasing its
profitability, upping its
operating margins from
14.9% in 2004, to 16.9%
last year... It's
targeting 19.9%... So, the
margins are going up, the
earnings are consistant,
this is what the portfolio
managers want... In the
fashion show, more
revenue, higher margins
and Japan, this one is a
triple threat... It's just
two points above its
52-week low... I could see
the $39 stock going to $46
easily, an 18% gain...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
Japan, oncology, cost
cutting, I think
Hospira Inc. (HSP)
has got what we want from
a Healthcare stock in the
Cramerican Marine field
guide to Recessions... I
think you should take down
some HSP.
. . . .
.
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JJC:
Last Wednesday I told you
that the oil and gas
stocks were about to take
a drubby total beating,
kind of like what Clubber
Lang did in to Rocky in
Rocky 4... And the very
next day, natural gas
futures sold off hard...
Now they're down from
$13.57 to $12.40, but
intraweek, they fell as
much as 11.6% at one
point... And most of the
stocks sold off much
harder than the commodity
itself...
Now did I turn my back on
natural gas?... No, what I
said was 2008 would be the
year of natural gas, but,
the cleaner replacement
fuel that will let us use
less coal and oil until we
develop and build more
viable forms of
alternative energy, had
gotten ahead of itself
momentarily... That's all,
that's what happened...
And remember my
experience, I like to try
to give you the novacaine,
step aside for a second,
so you don't take the
beating, and then get you
back in...
Now, I still think that
natural gas is going from
$12 to $16... That's been
my price target the whole
time, for the whole
year... Today's rally of
natural gas, and the
bigger rally in crude,
might get things going
again for more than one
day... But last week,
things definitely got too
hot... I always like to
use the analogy of the
Holland Tunnel Diner, a
filthy dive, which sadly,
no longer exists, where
they would make the
perfect, most exquisite
egg sandwhich, okay?...
Which is a must stop after
a big night on the town,
if you know what I mean...
Now, if they left the egg
on the griddle for 9
seconds, it would be
great... But it would be
charred beyond recognition
if they left it on for
10...
That's the situation we
have with natural gas and
the natural gas stocks
last Wednesday... Things
got too hot... All right,
you had to sell... I
believe this is only
natural... And it happens
all the time with groups
that may still be working
for the long term... They
stayed on the - griddle
for too long, and you
could smell that smoke
from miles away... That
was, of course, the smoke
of the bulls cohones on
the - griddle... ah ha...
All right, now I think the
group has cooled off in a
week's time, and I think
the moment is right...
Today was the beginning,
the right to start
buying... How do we
know?...
And where do we buy?...
Okay, here's the deal...
You know I like
Chesapeake (CHK)...
And I like it today for a
reason that might seem
counterintuitive... Last
night, after the bell, CHK
did a big secondary
offering... They offered
25 million shares, priced
at what looked to be just
horrible, but turned out
to a phenomanally cheap
$57.25... Today the stock
went out at $61.58... In
other words, if you got
some of the 25 million
shares, you had a
whopping, 6.7% gain in one
day...
That is, ladies and
gentleman... the "all
clear" flag...
This is over, CHK issued
the stock to repay debt
related to its leasing
program, part of its plan
to step up drilling...
Secondaries are supposed
to be bad things right?...
They dilute the value of
the stock that's already
out there by pouring more
shares through the open
market, thus reducing the
earnings per share... And
ordinarily, with any other
company, I'd say this is
the reason to stay away...
Oh, no, stay away...
But
Chesapeake (CHK)...
CHK is different... With
this one, the secondary is
a reason to buy because of
its success, and not just
CHK, but the whole group,
which has been crushed and
now is coming back because
of CHK's pin action...
Why?...
Because every time this
company has done a
secondary offering over
the last two years, it has
made you tons of money,
and now, I'm not just
including the money you
would have made today
okay?... Do you know the
last five secondaries CHK
has done, the stock has
held the print price... In
other words, kept the
price of the offering and
then gone higher for four
of them... Four out of
five times you made short
term money from these
secondaries... How about
longer term?... How much
money could you have made
if you bought CHK the last
five times it has done a
secondary?...
Let's go over it... Let's
go to the video tape...
CHK did a secondary
offering on March 27th of
this year, which I told
you to buy, buy, buy in...
And it's 26% below the
current price and you made
all that money... It did a
secondary on September 8th
of 2006, I told you to
buy, buy, buy... 48% below
the current price... The
previous one on June 27th
of 2006, once again I told
you to buy, buy, buy, 53%
below the current price...
The secondary of September
8th of 2005, yes I've been
on that long, I told you
to buy, buy, buy that one
did not hold the print
price... But it's still
47% below CHK's current
price... And, finally,
there was CHK that did a
secondary on September 9th
of 2005, 76% below the
stock's current price...
In other words, every time
you made fortunes...
Those gains are far larger
than the 6.7% gain the
stock had today, so don't
feel you missed
anything... And again,
there are tons more of
these natural gas stocks
that are also way down
since last Wednesday and
are just as attractive as
CHK... They're still far,
far down... And they
haven't move up as much...
For example, I've been
buying
Devon Energy (DVN*)
hand over fist all the way down for
my charitable trust, issuing alert
after alert after alert if
you want to follow
along... That one now,
DVN* is even cheaper than
CHK...
Every single time CHK's
done a secondary offering,
if you bought, you could
have made enormous
amounts... They're doing
it again, and I think we
should use this as another
opportunity... CHK is up
40% since I recommended on
March 3rd at $44... But
the stock is down 13%
since the sell off of
natural gas last Thrusday,
even after today's gain...
The stock traded as high
as $74 last week... I
mean, come on, where did
it go out... Look at this,
it went out at $61.58...
How much have you really
missed?... Let's throw in
some other things... Throw
in the fact that I think
CHK's CEO, Aubrey
Mclendon... You know, we
have a
Wall of Shame,
how about a Wall of
Fame... And he's at the
top... Aubrey Mclendon has
been a veracious and
intelligent buyer of his
own company's stock, as
well as a very good
selector of wines, by the
way, he likes the Colgin,
too expensive for my
taste... Anyway, so far
this year he's personally
purchased roughly 3.3
million shares... No, I'm
going to repeat that
because no one except for
him buys their own stock,
they just line their
pockets... He's bought 3.3
million shares of his own
stock between $36 and $59
a share... Even with the
stock up 6.7% today, I bet
he's dying to buy current
prices... And when I
contacted his people,
actually my staff
contacted his people, but
I like to use "I" because
I'm really important...
When we contacted his
people to ask if he was
actually doing more
insider buying, you what
they said?... "He has
frequently stated he
believes our shares are
worth more than what they
trade for"... Now does
that not sound like a man
who's trying to give me
the skinny and he wants to
buy some of his own
stock?... Hey, can I just
point out, by the way,
that just like with the
secondaries, every time
you bought CHK stock when
Aubrey Mclendon was
buying, you made a lot of
money... I think he's the
most bankable CEO in
America... He's not
issuing options to
himself, he is buying in
the open market... There
are a million reasons why
insiders sell... But
there's only one reason
why they buy, to make
money...
And then, of course, CHK
has the added advantage of
being a fabulous natural
gas company in Cramer's
year of natural gas... And
now that the commodities
have cooled off some, it's
looking like a pretty
terrific buy... Listen
what CHK has put
together... The company
owns 9,700,000 acres of
land in total, 1.2 million
in the Marcellus Shale,
that's the one that's in
Pennsylvania, 585,000 in
the Fayetteville Shale,
500,000 in Haynesville,
260,000 in Barnett, that's
every hot area, other than
in North Dakota... CHK is
all over the place with
both conventional and
non-conventional plays...
It's drilling like a
madman spending an extra
$7-8 billion on drilling
with $4 billion going to
Haynesville, $2 bilion to
Barnett, and $1 billion to
Marcellus... Finds still
matter, by the way...
Wildcatting still
matters... Wildcatting is
back...
How do I know this?... Why
don't you just ask the
people who own
Continental Resources Inc.
(CLR)...
They hit a big gusher in
the Bakken Shale in the
Dakotas and that stock
moved up 13 points
today... Wildcat!... I
think this one is going
higher.
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
The success of the
Chesapeake (CHK)
secondary signals that the
griddle is at last now
fine... How much do I want
to put these on my
eyes?... The eggs are no
longer burning and the
group is at last fine to
start buying, with CHK
exhibit A for the
defense... Hey, please,
don't forget
Devon Energy (DVN*),
they both work...
. . . .
.
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indicated by Jim, when he
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'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
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for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
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homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about.
Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms":
Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back...
Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you.
Definition:'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock).
Definition:'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
See more
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