After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here...
. . . .
.
JJC: All
right, we're devoting this
entire week to helping you
try to find the right
stocks to own in this
miserable market, coupled
with an equally unhappy
recessionary economy with
oil hitting a 52-week
high, and your house
hitting a 52-week low...
Now look, we are not
ducking the bear, we're
looking though, for
bear-free zones, where the
bears are more endangered,
than are doing the
endangering...
I've been giving you the
manual, The Cramerican
Marine Field Guide to
Recessions, all week to
show you how Wall Street
generally works when times
are tough... So you can
pick out the stocks that
are likely to flourish and
bloom in the rough soil of
this environment... How's
that for a little
poetry?... To sum up
everything that we've been
through this week,
okay?...
I have been recommending
the stocks of healthcare
companies, because
healthcare is the one area
that the Cramerica Marine
Field Guide to Recessions
tells us is coming into
favor on the Wall Street
fashion show while other
sectors will be discarded
in favor of the boring,
safe consistency of these
medical stocks...
Page number 1137 is
today's lesson... I think
the big money managers,
the guys whose preferences
at the fashion show decide
which stocks go up and
which ones go down,
because they're such huge
buyers and sellers, they
just manage so much of the
money out there that they
have a dilemma... I don't
think that they want to
own stocks that are likely
to have disappointing year
over year earnings, many
of your stocks have gone
down this week because of
that... And in a time of
sky high oil prices, and
high food prices, and a
potential global economic
slow down... The only
group that I think is
somewhat immunized against
these negatives is
healthcare... A
diversified portfolio must
have healthcare here... I
think they will buy these
stocks hand over fist,
which is a sailors term...
In fact, they've already
started to...
Witness the surge this
week in the DRG (i.e.,
The Amex Pharmaceutical
Index (^DRG),
the drug index... I
believe they've still got
a long way to go... The
DRG at $301 is still about
60 points off its high...
Bear market territory for
the DRG, a little pullback
today really helped the
cost... Remember, these
managers, the ones I'm
talking about, who really
dictate the fashion
show... They can not hide
in cash, they always have
to rotate into
something... Which is why,
that's the fundament of
why I always say there's a
bull market somewhere,
they put their money in
some place... If they put
it in cash there would be
no bull market... Every
night I come out here and
try to find a few on Mad
Money... And by the way, I
try to find it at NASCAR
on Sunday night, NBC, "The
American Dream with Jim
Cramer" which is 7 pm
eastern, and 6 pm
central... I'm sorry I'm
being so shameless about
it... I am proud of it and
I'm also proud of the work
that my executive producer
Regina Gilgan did on it...
Let's see, I mean you
know, in the middle of the
day I had second thoughts,
I thought, oh maybe I'll
look stupid, but that's
me, but anyway... I
believe that this is the
beginning of a rotation
into healthcare stocks,
just the beginning...
. . . .
.
Now so far, in order to
play this recession I've
recommended
Genentech Inc. (DNA),
which reports next week...
I've recommended my
nephew, that's right
Smith & Nephew (SNN)...
Becton Dickinson & Co. (BDX),
down badly today,
interesting opportunity...
Hospira Inc. (HSP),
for those of you including
the coach Andy Reed and
Tammy Reed, the Hospira,
the IV, no I was not hurt,
they weren't worried about
me... No, that was a
gimmick, that was
something props came up
with... It was only after
I drank the stuff that I
did come in deathly ill
and had to visit the
hospital...
. . . .
.
All right, anyway, tonight
I'm adding the final stock
to the Cramerican Marine
Field Guide to
Recessions... Let's see, I
think I remembered it in
the index...
There it is...
CR Bard Inc. (BCR)...
One of the three B's of
healthcare... Like BDX...
we told you to take
profits on the third
though,
Baxter International Inc.
(BAX)
got a lot of negative mail
on that... But you know
what?... It's never bad to
take a profit, never... We
don't like it as much, and
it's up the most since I
first recommended it...
And when I created the
three B's on April 30th of
2007, these stocks have
taken down from the S&P
futures, as they were
today and I think they are
the first to bounce back
when the selling pressure
ends... The S&P, which is
suffering from recession
the most, takes these
stocks, rememebr the
futures they drive stocks
down to levels where you
shouldn't even be able to
buy them, the whole market
goes down giving you the
opportunity...
I think you can put those
profits back into any one
the stocks I've
recommended so far or, of
course BCR, which is of
course, ever confused on
the show with the Bard
because I consistently
have plays, I have a lot
in common, and Bard has a
lot in common with the
plays... They both make me
very happy... This one is
a comedy, not a tragedy...
I also think you should
take profits in other
groups that are more
exposed to the weak
domestic and possibly
weakened global economy...
Put them into healthcare
stocks... Friends,
Cramericans, Countrymen,
lend me your ears and I
will tell you why I think
the Bard, BCR, makes such
a great buy... The Bard is
a medical equipment
company with catheters
galore for many different
uses... I have a catheter
right here, right now, you
just can't see it... No,
that's a joke, just like
the IV, and I didn't get
sick after I had the salt
water, but I just like to
you know, for the
extreme... Anyway,
surgical equipment,
stents, guide wires,
medical devices that help
prevent the spread of
hospital associated
infections, which
hospitals just can't seem
to get enough of, given
the need they have to
cover their medical
malpractice butts... The
stuff BCR sells into, I'd
want to distinguish it
from say Botox, right up
here, Restiline from here
down... I mean, you got to
use Bard stuff... I like
wrinkle-free skin as much
as the next guy... BCR
stock has fallen from $100
to $88 since last March,
partially because they had
a $44-45 million pretax
hit, not the worst thing
in the world for a company
that should do $2.45
billion in sales this
year... But I think its
still bad... This was from
discontinuing its salute
to hernia fixation device
back on June 13th after
already recalling it in
the first quarter... Kind
of embarrassing... The
Bard got flanked by
Clavitia, and that's close
to its 52-week high in the
hernia repair business...
But its coming out with
new hernia products in the
second half of 2009 to
help offset the
competition... Hernias,
too, are not economically
sensitive... I got one
when I was a little boy
when my Aunt Lynn put me
on a pole and I hung on
too long... I'll just show
it to you, probably a bad
idea... You know what?...
I've got horse sense...
The Bard also received
some warning letters about
conditions in their two
manufacturing plants...
But the company made its
fixes at one facility and
its preparing for another
inspection, its
implementing fixes at the
other... So I think you
can see some good news
about that... But on all
fronts, BCR is in good
shape... It's got new
products coming out, life
stent the superficial...
Femoral artery, that's in
the thigh, should get FDA
in the fourth quarter...
That's a catalyst I'll be
on the lookout for... I
think the company also has
got great businesses in
devices that help prevent
the contraction of certain
healthcare,
hospital-associated
infections, very big
issue, that's another
Obama fixation... BCR gets
10-15% of its sales from
these sexier products...
Why does this matter?...
Medicare administrators
are looking to pay less
for incremental costs
related to these diseases,
which should give
hospitals more of an
incentive to spend money
on BCR's products that
prevent them... For
example, the Bard has a
new product called Agento,
which is an endo-tracheal,
meaning it goes down your
throat, tube catheter that
is being used to reduce
the occurrence of
ventilator-associated
pneumonia... Then there's
their BardX catheter...
Don't you love how they
name all these?... Agento,
Bard-X, like it's
something you actually
might want to stick into
yourself... Anyways...
This one reduces the
occurrence of urinary
tract infections
associated with the
catheters used... Now BCR
is trading at 17 times
earnings, get rid of that
yellow thing that's
underneath me so people
can see what I'm doing for
heavens sake... Oh, okay,
the sensors don't let me
do that...
With a consistent 14% long
term growth rate, I
believe the big money guys
will be willing to pay
much more for this
company's consistent
growth going forward...
And that's the whole point
to the Cramerican Marine
Field Guide to
Recessions... Remember,
all the world's a stage,
and all the stocks are
merely players, and I
think BCR is a player.
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
I believe that the way to
try and make money in this
market is with healthcare
stocks... I've now given
you five to choose from:
Genentech Inc. (DNA),
Smith & Nephew PLC (SNN),
Becton Dickinson & Co. (BDX),
Hospira Inc. (HSP),
and last but not least,
CR Bard Inc. (BCR).
. . . .
.
■
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above
■
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock
STOCK
SYMBOL
Closing
price
that
day
Opening
price
next
day
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each)
Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at
Amazon.com)
We need your help!
If you find our service valuable, your
donation is critically helpful to support
our operating costs and is
MUCH appreciated!
(click below to donate)
We are serving thousands
of
new visitors every day and our costs are
growing as well. Thank you for your
support & generosity!
Mutual-Fund-Holdings.com
NEW RESOURCE!
See Ken Heebner's CGM
Focus Fund
Top 25 holdings - The No.
3 Top-Performing Mutual
Fund in 2007
See PPG's official
website
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for
PPG
here.
After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here...
. . . .
.
JJC:
Yesterday,
Dow Chemical Co. (DOW)
announced an unbelievable
deal... frankly, I thought
it was a little nutty... A
huge, huge takeover of a
specialty chemical maker
Rohm & Haas (ROH),
by all means, not to be
confused with Rommel and
Hess... At a massive 74%
premium, holy smokes...
Then today, we hear the
Ashland Inc. (ASH)
is paying a 33% premium to
buy another specialty
chemicals company,
Hercules Inc. (HPC),
all right, well Venus?...
Let's call this the silver
chemical lining on an
otherwise awful day, week,
month, year... The
chemical sector has been
taking a beating, I mean
like, this is what this
button was made for...
Over concerns about raw
costs... I mean these
companies generally do use
a huge amount of oil...
Dow Chemical is like the
largest buyer of natural
gas in the world... And
there were many concerns
about global weakness...
So these have been in
their own personal bear
market... But with two big
deals in the last two
days, and with this being
speculation Friday, I
think its about time to
speculate on a specialty
chemicals takeover of our
own... Heck, if the
managers of these
companies are buying in
this environment, maybe
the whole sector is
undervalued... Maybe, just
maybe, we are too
bearish... I think the
reason Dow Chemical pulled
the trigger on ROH, even
at that exorbitant
exceeding price, is that
it is trying to diversify
its exposure into
specialty chemicals...
Listen up... That means
chemicals that are less
dependent on energy, on
energy related feed
stocks, typically natural
gas... Meaning the high
price of oil or natural
gas just doesn't hurt them
as much... And because as
specialty chemical makers,
their products should be
less vulnerable to
competition... People on
the Wall Street fashion
show generally pay more
for earnings from
specialty chemical
companies than for basic
boring commodity
companies, because, as you
can well figure it out...
Commodity companies aren't
special... They're at the
mercy of all sorts of
global woes... Where as
specialty companies have
proprietary products that
aren't easily duplicated
and tend to be used
whether the economy is
strong or not... I think
Dow Chemical and other
chemical companies have
every reason in the world
to buy specialty players
right now...
The question is... Who's
next?...
And I've got the answer...
The answer is
PPG Industries Inc. (PPG)...
which at these levels has
a dividend yield of about
3.8%... better than
treasuries, giving them
tax favors, status and
dividends, making this one
a safer way to speculate
on a takeover, as the
company is paying you to
wait... The stock is
already down 13% since May
30th, and that yield
should keep it from going
much lower... I think if
the market hadn't been
horrible today, PPG would
have been up substantially
on the back to back of
Rohm and Haas and
Hercules... Instead, it
hit its 52-week low... I
mean, come on, I know the
market is bad, but
please... This is giving
you a much better entry
point in what I think is a
great specialty chemical
stock with a fabulous
management committed to
share holders... The best
spec at a 52-week low, uh,
uh, doesn't compute, too
negative... I like PPG
because it has got a lot
of exposure to end markets
that are working right now
and limited exposure to
the ones that aren't...
54% aren't coming from
this country, they're
coming from the rest of
the world... Did you
know... That's
incredible... 25% was rest
of the world just 2 years
ago... These guys saw this
decline coming... Only 5%
of its profits come from
housing... I used to think
of this as a housing play,
only 15% of its sales come
from auto and
architectural coatings...
I used to think of this as
the auto-glass play... I
like that PPG sold its
controlling interest in
auto-glass to raise cash
and reduce auto
exposure... These guys
have done everything
right... They get no
credit at all... By the
way, I like PPG's strong
aerospace protective and
marine and optical
specialty materials
businesses, all unique...
And at PPG's businesses,
40% are growing in profits
in the 15% plus range... I
think PPG gets it, but
because this market is
just so horrible, and the
dollar is such a lonesome
horn toad of a currency, I
think a buyer could pick
up PPG for a song and
maybe a dance... PPG is
even a "new tech"/
alternative energy play...
Coatings for solar cells
and wind mills, as well as
fiberglass for windmill
blades, that's kind of
like Owens Corning...
Management thinks that
solar and wind could be 5%
of sales... That's not
much yet, but that's a
whole lot more solar and
wind than you get from
most chemicals... With oil
at $146 and change, wind
is bigger than ever... But
I don't think it has
political mindshare like
our moronic ethanol policy
which everybody seems to
love in the government...
Rememebr what that is, 30%
of our corn goes to 3% of
our gasoline, causing you
to pay up at the pump and
the super market...
Earlier this year, PPG
made this acquisition that
no one talks about... It's
called SigmaKalon... It's
a company that focuses on
coatings for windmills,
offshore platforms,
petroleum chemicals, oh
petroleum plants, all
three of which we like
these... especially the
first two... The
acquisition also made PPG,
again, much more of an
overseas company...
Another reason to like the
stock... 10% of PPG's
sales are from Chloral
Chlolis, a type of
chemical that's in tight
demand... 12% of
Chloralcolite capacity has
been shut in this country
since 2000, no imports
coming in, exports making
up 3% of sales... Back in
June, Dow Chemical
declared force measure on
its cost of soda... That's
lie, not the y, lye
comment... And its one of
these chemicals I'm
talking about production,
which sent prices
higher... Again,
everything is working for
this company... Let's go
back to the takeover
question... To Ashland,
Hercules, Dow Chemical,
Rohm & Haas... Compared to
prices paid in these
acquisitions, especially
Dow purchasing Rohm and
Haas, I think PPG and its
peers are incredibly
cheap... Buy, buy, buy...
If you use the evaluation
Dow Chemical put on Rohm &
Haas for PPG, how about
this... No, it's too
aggressive... Let me do
something else... Let me
give it a 30% haircut...
This stock, in the $50's,
could be an $81 stock...
How about that?... Better
than a sharp bowie knife
in the eye... PPG has
shrunk the equity with so
many stock buy backs and
the stock price decline
its combined to reduce the
company to below $10
billion, that is easy to
swallow for the majors...
Even if PPG doesn't get a
bid, I think the bids that
are coming out of the
chemical industry are so
high, they're bound to
cause other chemical
companies to start trading
higher... It was all
masked by how bad the
market was this week, holy
cow... It seems that
everybody now knows that,
while PPG might only be
worth something in the
late $50's to the market
right now, it could be
worth $80 or more to
another chemical company,
and that could keep this
stock on the move...
Make no mistake, PPG,
speculative, the company
and its peer groups are
highly dependent on raw
costs... Every time oil
goes up, people just freak
out here, and the strength
of a global economy, now
everybody thinks is
weakening... But that
said, the prices Dow
Chemical and Ashland are
paying for two other
specialty chemical plays,
how could we ignore this
PPG?... It could
disappoint in earnings,
but that would just be
yielding 4%... I mean, you
might even want to wait
until you see earnings,
but you know what, if you
want to speculate, just
pull the trigger right now.
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
Want to speculate on
consolidation among the
chemical companies?...
I've looked them all
over... The one that looks
like Hercules... the one
that looks like Rohm &
Haas... is the
3.8%-yielding
PPG Industries Inc. (PPG)...
Pull the trigger...
Get long!
. . . .
.
■
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above
■
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock
STOCK
SYMBOL
Closing
price
that
day
Opening
price
next
day
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each)
Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from
tonight's show
here >>
See current quotes on Yahoo!
Finance from
tonight's show stocks
here >>
Symbol keys:
A Charitable Trust stock.
- An asterisk next to a
stock symbol indicates that
Jim mentioned it is a stock
that he manages within
his
charitable trust portfolio.
You can see the complete
portfolio
of stocks
here >>
Thumbs up - indicates
he would buy the stock or,
at the very least, not sell
the stock. We do our
best to interpret Jim's
opinion on stocks, as we
think it is indicated by his
comments during the show.
Please read his comments to
decide for yourself.
Thumbs down -
indicates he has said not to
buy or to sell the stock,
based on his comments
We do our best to interpret
Jim's opinion on stocks, as
we think it is indicated by
his comments during the
show. Please read his
comments to decide for
yourself.
Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
that he would do a
'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
back... " as he is "backing
up the truck" to load up on
his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about.
Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms":
Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back...
Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you.
Definition:'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock).
Definition:'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
here >>
Helpful Websites:
See the stocks currently
known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:
Stock Homework 101:
This is an excellent
upcoming site that provides
resources and links to help
you do that homework that
Jim Cramer recommends after
hearing his suggestions...
FastMoneyRecap:
This site will be a quick
summary of recommendations
made by the great Fast Money
TV show crew, that will
offer you a unique service,
to compare their picks to
Jim Cramer's past comments
about those stocks.