After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here...
. . . .
.
JJC: We've got
plenty of hot Mad Money
topics to talk about
tonight...
We've got the collapse of
the U.S. banking system,
at least as we know it...
We've got the President's
plan to drill offshore...
We've got some ideas on
how to make money off of
that...
But first, we've got to
cover some principals that
have governed this show,
Mad Money, from day one...
For those of you watching
for the first time
tonight... and everyone
else for that matter...
it's time for you to
un-learn a most pernicious
and widespread myth about
investing... one that you
may actually believe in...
I'm talking about the myth
of 'buy and hold'... the
idea that the best way to
invest is to find some
high-quality stocks, and
then own them forever...
Sadly, this is
conventional wisdom...
The pundits tell you to
buy stocks, and just sit
on them... because, if you
sell frequently, you're
going to have to pay
commissions... big deal,
commissions have been dirt
cheap for years... And big
capital gains taxes...
wait a second, they're as
low as we've ever seen
them!...
The doctrine of 'buy and
hold' says that, if you
find a good stock...
whatever that means to a
buy and holder... and, if
you just hang onto it for
decades... well, you know
where you'll end up...
house of pleasure.... Uh,
I don't think so... the
house of pain.
This show's about doing
exactly the opposite...
It's about the need to do
homework after you've
bought a stock... the
beginning is the buy...
then the work sets in...
so you'll know when to
sell... because, sooner or
later, you always have to
sell... And it's about the
psychology of helping you
stay in the game...
whether it be through
index funds, or the mutual
funds I've recommended in
Stay Mad For Life... or individual
stocks... but only if you
have the time and
inclination, because
stocks can be dangerous,
if you're building your
own portfolio...
The whole point of Mad
Money is to educate you
about stocks... about your
portfolio... so that you
can let your gains run
until you know you're
being piggish... and cut
your losses, before they
wreck your gains...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
I'm here to save you from
a 'buy and hold'
strategy... That's a
strategy that could have
lost you oodles of money
in the past year.
I'm here to show you that,
while it does take work to
be a good investor...
homework... I believe the
results are worth the
effort. And, you
know what? If I have
to light my pants on fire
to do it - and I can get a
permit from the fire
marshal - I will!
. . . .
.
■
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above
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Jim
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this stock
STOCK
SYMBOL
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Second
Segment
Opening Segment 2
Title:
'Financial
Freedom'
. . . .
.
Featured Stock(s):
No specific stock picks.
General comments.
After this segment, you
can see Jim's Lightning
Round picks
here...
. . . .
.
JJC: After the
events of this weekend,
it's no surprise that the
financials got
carpet-bombed today...
With the few financial
stocks, Washington Mutual
actually getting new...
can you believe that this
guy is still the CEO... I
mean, the
Wall of Shame,
does it mean nothing to
this government?... This
man (pointing to Kerry
Killinger, CEO of WM) has
systematically presided
over one of the greatest
meltdowns in history, but
nobody seems to care,
except Cramer... I feel
like I come out here every
day and just repeat the
same old, but correct,
party line, that you can't
own the financials or the
homebuilders...
Over the collapse of a
bank that I have despised
and trashed to you
repeatedly,
IndyMac
(IMB),
on Friday... Which by the
way, is leaving the FDIC,
our banking safety net
with far less money than I
think it will need... And
with
Fannie Mae (FNM)
and
Freddie Mac (FRE)
suddenly about to be
owned, perhaps, by us,
through a federal
government bailout... We
need to figure out what
this means for you as a
bank depositor and
possibly a bank share
holder, or a homeowner, or
a potential one...
I want to make this
clear... I think what the
government is doing for
Fannie and Freddie, while
great for anyone who's in
the market for a mortgage,
is pretty much irrelevant
to the banking stock
sector... See, banks trade
primarily on earnings and
dividends... And right
now, few of them have any
of the former, so they're
cutting or eliminating the
latter... In fact, most
banks have gigantic losses
because they lent money to
home buyers that they will
never see back again...
They have what's known as
non-performing assets,
which are wiping out
whatever gains they might
have...
But I don't want to be the
Herald of purely bad news
here... See, there is a
silver lining... And it's
this, and I want to be
real clear...
Your deposits are safe...
I don't think you have to
go make a run on your
local bank... And with the
infusion of cash into
Fannie and Freddie, it may
have just gotten a little
easier for you to sell
your house... Those
organizations matter... I
believe it's the stocks of
the banks and the stocks
of the homebuilders that
you do have to worry
about...
But I don't want you to
fret about a second great
depression...
Nevertheless, when it
comes to those stocks, the
example of IndyMac, and I
think there will be many,
many more IndyMacs and
bigger IndyMacs coming
soon, that should be
enough to warn you away
from these stocks... Can
you believe that this
reckless beyond belief
lender, IndyMac, actually
criticized me a few months
ago on their conference
call... Telling us that
people will never walk
away from homes, they're
underwater it... Like
Cramer says they would...
It takes someone who used
to work at Countrywide,
now the acknowledged joke
of the industry, and a
Bank of America division,
to boot, to make such a
bold, ludicrous
decision... And that was
the case of Michael Perry,
who was IndyMac's CEO...
Was... What you need to
know is that I don't
believe anything has
happened that was remotely
positive for the banking
industry yet... All we
keep getting are
blueprints and frameworks
for equity destruction...
As the bad loans from 4
million home buyers
continue their epic,
Shermanesque, march to a
sea, where I expect every
bank but
Hudson City Bancorp (HCBK)
to close on Friday, under
its own name, and return
Monday with the word
"federal" in the title...
And the equity, that's the
value of the stock,
totally wiped out... Of
course, IndyMac, the
equity had been reduced to
almost nothing anyway... I
think we have to use that
as a tell all for other
banks... Here's the new
rule in Cramerica... If a
bank stock goes below $5,
it becomes a candidate for
the IndyMac process... If
you own one of them, it's
not too late to sell...
But I'm convinced that
sooner or later it will
be... view that $5 price
bench mark as running on
empty, and you ain't
getting to a gas station
with that bank in you
tank...
There most likely can't be
a bounce back, and part
because what you'll
probably see next is
Fannie and Freddie taking
over the bad part of a
bank's portfolio... That
is what I suggest to you,
Mr. Paulson, if you want
to try to figure out what
to do next... And the good
part being bought by
anyone solvent enough to
pay for it... Perhaps a
Wells Fargo (WFC),
JPMorgan (JPM),
or a
US Bancorp (USB)...
Well, it's not yet clear
who the buyer is going to
be... I hate to come out
here every night and say
avoid, avoid, avoid... I
hate to hit this button
endlessly, believe me...
Sell, sell, sell... But
what's the sense of trying
to make money for you with
good ideas if you put your
money in these
nare-do-well banks... And
it gets wiped out... Good
ideas can take care of
themselves... I think you
need to focus on
controlling you losses,
capital preservation... To
avoid this...
Wall Street jibberish for trying as hard as you can
to not lose money... If
you don't do that, it
doesn't matter how many
winners we pick, the
losers will likely wipe
out our gains, and then
some...
Controlling and avoiding
losses should always be
your first priority... And
right now I think that
means giving the banks and
homebuilders a very wide
berth... I don't think you
have to worry about your
deposits... I'm going to
reiterate that because I
don't want to accidentally
cause a bank run to any of
the banks I've
mentioned... Your money is
fine... Now let's be
careful, because people
have misinterpreted before
this... The stocks are not
fine... Your deposits are
fine... And the bank run,
look I don't want to be
responsible for it and
duly hated for it for what
I say... I don't want to
do any more damage to the
system than has already
been done by reckless
lenders and a complacent
federal government... I
don't blame Chuck Schumer
by the way, for pointing
out the obvious about
IndyMac... He was the
Senator from New York that
was fingered this weekend,
I mean, Schumer and I,
it's not like we're
buddies, pals, friends,
although, full disclosure,
I did donate money to him
in the old days when I was
at my hedge fund... I
don't do that anymore...
But he was not the reason
why IndyMac went, had a
bank run, for heavens
sake, they were... Now,
there are degrees of bad
within the banks...
Downey Financial
(DSL),
Chorus,
FirstFed (FED)
and
BankUnited (BKUNA),
are I think, the worst...
The most in danger and may
need to be seized, just
like IndyMac... The next
worse,
National City Corporation
(NCC),
Washington Mutual (WM)
and
First Horizon
(FHN),
which will, just, I
believe, have to raise
capital right now, or be
forced to merge later...
Or, open up as Nat City
Federal... But, whatever
the degree, I don't want
you owning any of them...
How about these?...
Citigroup (C),
Wachovia Corp. (WB),
Bank of America (BAC)...
The market is drawing its
own negative
conclusions...
Lehman Brothers
(LEH),
Merrill Lynch
(MER),
not banks...
You know what?... I'm not
even going to say
anything... You can draw
you own conclusions...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
I believe your deposits
are safe, and I say
Hallelujah... Just don't
make the mistake of
investing those deposits
in a bank stock or a
homebuilder... Because to
me, that's where the real
danger is.
. . . .
.
■
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above
■
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock
STOCK
SYMBOL
Closing
price
that
day
Opening
price
next
day
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each)
na
na
na
No specific stock picks.
General comments.
Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from
tonight's show
here >>
See current quotes on Yahoo!
Finance from
tonight's show stocks
here >>
Symbol keys:
A Charitable Trust stock.
- An asterisk next to a
stock symbol indicates that
Jim mentioned it is a stock
that he manages within
his
charitable trust portfolio.
You can see the complete
portfolio
of stocks
here >>
Thumbs up - indicates
he would buy the stock or,
at the very least, not sell
the stock. We do our
best to interpret Jim's
opinion on stocks, as we
think it is indicated by his
comments during the show.
Please read his comments to
decide for yourself.
Thumbs down -
indicates he has said not to
buy or to sell the stock,
based on his comments
We do our best to interpret
Jim's opinion on stocks, as
we think it is indicated by
his comments during the
show. Please read his
comments to decide for
yourself.
Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
that he would do a
'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
back... " as he is "backing
up the truck" to load up on
his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about.
Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms":
Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back...
Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you.
Definition:'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock).
Definition:'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
here >>
Helpful Websites:
See the stocks currently
known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:
Stock Homework 101:
This is an excellent
upcoming site that provides
resources and links to help
you do that homework that
Jim Cramer recommends after
hearing his suggestions...
FastMoneyRecap:
This site will be a quick
summary of recommendations
made by the great Fast Money
TV show crew, that will
offer you a unique service,
to compare their picks to
Jim Cramer's past comments
about those stocks.