After this segment, you
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Round picks
here...
. . . .
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JJC: This show
is about making money...
Some people want to keep
you from making money,
they want to bet against
you if you own stocks...
These people are called
short sellers... They
profit from when your
stocks go down... There's
nothing wrong with that...
I shorted stocks, myself
when I worked in money
management... It's
perfectly legal... But,
for the last year, the
shorts have had too much
of an edge over you as a
stock owner because the
SEC hasn't been doing its
job enforcing laws that
protect you... The short
sellers have been knocking
your stocks down left and
right with impunity...
They've been ripping your
lungs out... The SEC woke
up today and said it might
start enforcing laws that
protect you from short
selling rip offs, at least
when it comes to some of
the financials... I'm
going to give you the
whole skinny later in the
show about how the tables
may soon be turned in your
favor, and even how you
can help them be turned...
But tonight, let's first
talk about making money,
not just protecting it...
I think Thursday, that's
right, this week's
Thursday, is going to be a
landmark day for Wind
Power... Wind Power!...
our favorite source of
renewable energy... that's
clean and cheap and at
only $.04 a kilowatt,
wow!... What a steal...
Why is it a big day?...
Because of Docket number
33672 of the Texas public
utility commission... The
wind power initiative, for
what I think is the most
important wind state in
the union... I am
confident that when we
look back at this week,
we'll be saying, Remember
Docket number 36672, like
we say, Remember the
Alamo... Ah, maybe not...
But the great state of
Texas is planning to move
the biggest bottleneck to
the creation of wind
farms... Just like this
one, that props came up
with... Now, the
difficulty connecting
these farms, which are in
remote areas, to the
electric grid, is what
Thursday's commission is
going to be talking
about... The commission is
planning to discuss and
could issue a final order
to create eight repetitive
renewable energy zones,
the plan which will be
huge, huge, for companies
with wind exposure, is to
build out grid
infrastructure first, so
that companies will come
in and develop wind farms
without the fear of being
permanently cut off from
the grid... I think this
will be a gigantic
catalyst for this nascent
industry, even bigger,
well I don't know, yeah,
even bigger than those
great Boone Pickens ads...
All right, so I'm not
Boone Pickens, but I've
got a great pinwheel...
The plan should send the
wind stocks higher... All
of them... The great thing
about this Texas project
is that it sets a
precedent of government
support for state wind
power that I think could
be easily duplicated in
other states... It makes a
much safer prospect to
build wind forums... I
say, Look out, Holland,
Texas could become the
next windmill king... All
right, so with this in
mind, I want to revisit
the Mad Money Windex,
which has been absolutely
hammered over the last
month and a half and took
even more damage today as
oil plummeted, people
dumped wind stocks like
the whole story was over,
when in fact, as of
Thursday, the wind power
thesis will be better than
ever... The Mad Money wind
index is a group of ten
stocks levered to the
growth of wind power that
I picked out on May 28th,
which I believe is an
accurate indicator of the
overall wind trend...
Since then, the stock
market has plummeted, and
our Windex is down too,
it's down 11.8% percent,
and today, with oil down,
these wind stocks are
being sold as though no
one will ever think of
using wind power because
of a pull back in crude...
The index is not levered,
for heavens sake, to
crude... It's levered to
public utility commissions
all over America... And
they will take their cue
from this hearing and
several others in the
coming months in Texas
that will put wind front
and center... Because
there are only a handful
of stocks that are truly
plays on wind, we had to
go looking for stocks that
had smaller wind
businesses... We couldn't
just come up with, you
know... It's not like
there is just the wind
company... It doesn't
happen... We've got ones
that we expect to grow
quickly because of the
wind boom... That's part
of the reason why the wind
index is down so hard... A
lot of the stocks in it
are levered to industrial
activity... When I say
levered, I mean they're
geared to, they're
sensitive to industrial
activity... And those are
some of the stocks that
have been really crushed
lately...
So in the wind index we've
got
Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN),
a stock that I own for
my charitable trust where I play
with an open hand...
That's down 19.7%... The
railcar company with a
side line in making wind
towers that we think is
worth as much as the whole
railcar business... And
you know what?... We think
it better be because from
what we can see, the tank
car business is just plain
bad...
We've got
Thomas & Betts Corp. (TNB),
down 19%... Another
industrial player that
makes electrical
components... But since it
does it for wind towers
too, we still like it...
Owens Corning (OC),
now we had the CEO on, we
know things are doing
great there... That's a
consummate new tech stock
that makes the composite
materials for the blades
of windmills, that's down
20%...
Clipper Windpower (CRPWF.PK),
down 22%... I think that's
because this one is a turn
around story...
Kaydon Corporation (KDN),
which makes bearings for
wind turbines, 15.8%
down...
Broadwind Energy, Inc. (BWEN.OB),
another wind tower play is
down 18%...
Woodward Governor Co. (WGOV),
a pastiche of a company
that makes power systems
for the wind turbines...
MasTec Inc. (MTZ),
with its wind farm
construction and repair
business is down 1.6%...
And
Vestas Wind ADR (VWDRY.PK),
the full service wind
power company from Denmark
is down 1.9%... Look, this
should tell you
something... The real play
on wind has been able to
survive this awful
market...
And finally,
Otter Tail Corp. (OTTR),
is actually up 15.8%...
Our big win winner, as
this utility seems to
finally be getting credit
for its wind tower
business...
Overall, the stocks we
like that are associated
with wind pulled back
hard... I don't think it's
because of wind... It's
because of their other
businesses... I believe
these stocks are just
victims of a weakening
global economy, and an
already weak US economy...
But we like them now, just
like how we originally
liked them... Because we
think the small wind
portions of their business
will grow to become much
larger parts of the
companies... The more wind
heavy stocks, other than
Clipper Wind, which I said
a speculative turn around
story, like MTZ, Vestas
and OTTR, have actually
done pretty well, which
proves the wind thesis
rocks... I think this is
an incredible buyable pull
back in the Wind Index...
How great is it that these
stocks are so much cheaper
than they were on May 28th
even though on Thursday, I
predict that they're about
to get the biggest boost
they've ever had from the
great state of Texas...
This is why I love wind so
much here... So remember
Docket number 36672... I
say a chicken in every
pot, and a windmill in
every backyard... Another
point in winds favor...
California and the
mid-west are also seeing a
solid increase in
connection requests... As
in connection to the
grid... From renewable
energy operators... Mostly
wind farms... And these
states are being forced to
streamline the process...
Making the adoption of
wind energy in this
country even faster.
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
The wind index stocks are a case of
the market throwing the baby out with
the bathwater, or the chicken out with
the bathwater, when things get bad...
But the thesis behind these stocks has
never been stronger... Thanks to Texas'
plan to build out energy transmission
infrastructure in areas where wind farms
can work efficiently... Not only do I
love wind plays here, but if you stick
with Cramer, I'm going to give you a
brand new wind company that I'm adding
to the Mad Money Wind Index... [see
that recommendation]
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. . . .
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JJC: We're
breaking wind furiously
tonight... Wind power that
is...
Most of the stocks that
are levered to wind, the
cleanest, cheapest, source
of renewable energy out
there, got hit again
today, oil is down huge...
People are selling wind
stocks like there is no
tomorrow... But the truth
is, as I already told you
when we revisited the
fabulous Mad Money Wind
Index, Wind-Ex, as we call
it, is that things have
never been better for wind
power, and never have been
better for the companies
that make it possible... I
think you have to buy
these stocks when you
can...
The oil futures are down
$7 to $8 bucks, natural
gas down $.50, not when
you have to, when oil is
flying... And since oil is
down the most in three
years today, I think
that's a chance to jump on
a windmill... The chief
bottleneck to making wind
power a key part of our
nation's energy
infrastructure is
connecting wind farms,
which are located in
remote places, to the
grid... Most states don't
even have a plan of how to
do this... So, if you
decided to go buy a wind
tower, believe me, the
utility commission
couldn't get that power
from you... But Texas has
a plan to build out the
grid so that people will
build wind farms in places
where wind power makes
sense... That's a plan we
should hear about this
Thursday, at the Texas
public utility commission
hearing... And I expect
that will put the newfound
focus on wind and send all
our wind stocks higher...
Plus, California and
states in the Midwest are
also streamlining their
ability to hook up
renewable energy
facilities... Mostly wind
farms to the grid...
Remember, we've got a lot
of wind in this country
and a lot of areas that
are very windy... But to
do that, they need
companies that build
transmission lines... Now
these players will be the
next stocks to benefit
from the windpower
buildout in this
country...
And my favorite one, quite
a good company, is
Quanta Services Inc. (PWR*)
for all you homegamers...
This is a company that
installs, repairs and
maintains transmission
lines...
This is not the first
recommendation... I
recommended it November
15th of 2007, at $27.28
because of its power
infrastructure business
that's a play on our need
to strengthen our decaying
energy grid... And we're
up 6.3% since then in the
toughest market in
years... That's an
achievement in itself...
But PWR has now become a
wind play... I like it
even more... In general,
we need about $1.5
trillion in investments
for overall energy
infrastructure between now
and 2030... And with the
traditional bidding season
for these projects in
progress, we should see
some further bookings for
quanta next quarter...
But that's just why we
like the company without
factoring wind in... The
new hearing coming from
the Texas public utility
commission, remember
Docket number 36672, on
Thursday, which could
result in a decision to
build out eight
competitive renewable
energy zones where the
state will build out the
grid infrastructure, first
to encourage companies to
build wind farms in the
zones... And the contracts
that might ultimately stem
from this hearing could be
worth, these are big
numbers, $3-9 billion...
Some of which, go on PWR's
way... PWR is bound to get
some of these... Anyone
who follows along with my
charitable trust knows
I've been buying this
stock, where I play with
an open hand... Don't get
me wrong... No contracts
are going to be awarded to
PWR on Thursday, right...
That's not going to
happen... It will happen
in future hearings, I
believe... But remember
how Wall Street works...
People are now going to
focus on Docket 36672, the
analysts, right, which
will then get them making
calls, finding who's going
to win... And you know
what?... They're going to
figure out the companies
that will get the
contracts...
And I think that means
they'll be thinking and
talking about PWR...
That's probably going to
be the most likely one...
This company already has
renewable contracts worth
$140 million with a
decision in Texas, don't
forget, similar coming in
California and mid-west,
renewable energy
infrastructure is, I
think, about to become a
much larger part of PWR's
business... For that
reason, I'm adding PWR to
the Mad Money Wind
Index...
And I think it would make
a great buy... especially
still because the stock
was down an extra 1.2%
today... I believe that
PWR will be perceived as
the big winner of these
Texas hearings... And it's
tradable and investable
ahead of that meeting on
Thursday... Even though I
don't expect contracts to
be awarded... I think
everybody will be talking
about PWR Friday... That's
why we're talking about it
today, ripped from
Friday's headlines... But
PWR is not just about
electricity transmission,
although electricity makes
up 60% of its sales... 17%
of its sales are from
natural gas services...
Hey, a good business to
have in 2008, which is the
year of natural gas,
despite the decline of
$.50 where everyone now
says natural gas is
over... PWR is involved in
a project to transport gas
from the Barnett Shale...
Again, natural gas is down
badly... I don't see that
as a reason to run from
these stocks... I see it
as a reason to go to
them...
Because I think the
long-term fundamentals
there are the best of any
carbon energy source...
PWR gets another 17% of
its sales from telecom and
cable, building out the
infrastructure they need
to compete in their
endless war for TV, voice
and data customers... PWR,
$5.2 billion backlog, $4
billion coming from
electric, natural
projects... The company
has only got a $5 billion
market cap... And just
over the next 12 months it
has $1.85 billion backlog
for power and natural gas
and a $2.3 billion total
backlog... That's
enormous...
Remember, one of the
things we say on Mad Money
is whenever we see the
backlog exceed the market
capitalization of the
stock, then we should
recall the great case of
Transocean Inc. (RIG),
which we recommended and
got a huge bid from
TransOcean, when the
backlog trumped the market
cap... The CEO told us how
to do this... We had the
GlobalSantaFe CEO on and
he said listen, my market
cap is ridiculous, versus
my backlog, that's what
turned us on, doing
homework... PWR is a
company with a lot of
opportunities coming at
them that aren't priced
into the stock, meaning
that Wall Street isn't
accounting for them in its
evaluation... I really
like it at under $29,
especially with the wind
kickers starting to come
in and the four point
decline we've had in the
last few weeks...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
For the latest way to play
wind building out the
grid, building out this
grid infrastructure to
support wind farms... I've
been to wind farms,
without that conduit, they
don't work... In order to
have mass conduits, you
want
Quanta Services Inc. (PWR*)...
You should think
Wind-Ex... You should
think PWR.
. . . .
.
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Put it behind you.
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the rest of your position (i.e., total
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