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. . . .
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JJC:
Yeah, that's right... nice
rally today... at last...
You probably saw what it
was triggered by... It was
triggered by
Merrill Lynch
(MER)...
How can MER rally when it
did one of the biggest
stock offerings I've ever
seen today?... How could
you make almost $4 bucks
on the 380 million shares
of stock offered by a
company which has lost 50%
of its value this year
alone?... How is that
possible?... Stunning...
How could it spark a
rally, and not a
decline?... Wasn't it
supposed to go down
today?... How did we get
the market up 266
points?...
Simple...
Because, the market's
found a bottom... Or, at
least, the part of the
market that has been the
worst... All these dead
obligations that you've
heard so much about... I'm
not going to give you the
Wall Street jibberish... But let's just say we found
a price for them... Let's
go over the pieces of the
puzzle... First, the bank
piece... Merrill didn't
just raise a ton of
capital, $8.5 billion to
be exact, it gave us a
bottom in the financials
toxic waste that has
seemed everywhere into our
system all over the world,
whether it be Iceland,
Norway, Australia, Africa,
China... We don't know
what to do with it...
Until today, and I say,
Hallelujah... All these
bad bonds, the CDO's the
nonsense made up of crummy
mortgages, typically
written, many fraudulently
from 2005-2007... Tons of
them, tons of them
sponsored by Merrill
Lynch... Well, we finally
found a price that they
can be sold at... So what
if it turns out to be a
fifth of what we thought
they were or half of what
we thought they were just
a few weeks ago... At
least they can be sold...
For one year, for one
year, ever since I told
you, they know nothing, we
have waited to see if
anyone would be tempted to
buy this stuff in bulk or
someone would be bold
enough to sell it at a
gigantic loss... Today we
got both... Alpha called
LS, we're familiar with
them because they bought
LEND last year... They're
the buyer, MER is the
seller... And the market
cheered... It cheered
because at last we know
where the bottom in this
stock is and if we know
where the bottom in this
stuff is, well then we
know where C has to do to
get out of this mess...
Now we know what Bob
Steel, the CEO can do at
WB... We even know,
fingers crossed, what
Washington Mutual can do
to save itself... When you
combine all of those
weaker banks with the
fortress banks, you
remember
Wells Fargo (WFC),
Bank of America (BAC),
JPMorgan (JPM),
US Bancorp (USB)...
When you combine the news
about the bad, with the
good, and they were all
screaming today, the
fortress banks are huge...
And I got to tell you, I
sat here and I said no
pain, no game, no guts, no
glory, should I just call
a bottom?...
Should I just call a
bottom?...
Well how about this?... I
can articulate the case
for a bottom... I can
articulate a case for why
we can maybe finally, do
this... Well, it wasn't
just the financials... How
could we rally away from
the financials?...
Because, wonder of
wonders, miracle of
miracles, two companies,
two diverse companies,
Colgate-Palmolive Co. (CL),
which you're supposed to
buy when we're going into
a recession, and
Cramer-fave,
United States Steel Corp.
(X),
which you're supposed to
sell going in to a
recession, both reported
remarkably great
earnings... I mean, real
fabulous...
We knew steel right?...
Because we knew John Surma
when we met him when we
went to Penn State...
These were unbelievable
quarters...
Colgate tacked on five
points, and letter X,
jumped 20 points...
You don't get both of
these things happening in
a really bad market... I
have to tell you the
truth, you don't see them
happen in a bear market,
no, I don't think so... To
me, it's a sign that the
market wants to rally, and
rally hard... And finally,
let's get the third piece
of the puzzle, the saga of
lower oil continues with
oil down almost three
dollars... Now, you know
what we've been saying on
Mad Money... No not happy
days are here again, but
happier days are here,
courtesy of the total and
utter collapse of oil as
well as other
commodities... Now, you
know this is going to lead
to a dramatic decline at
the pump... The smackdown
in oil, which is in a bear
market, and you know I
think will continue right
down to $110, $148 to
$110, should put us at
$3.50 at the pump by labor
day... No wonder retail
stocks also rallied on the
news...
In short, once again, what
happened?...
We got too gloomy, we got
too gloomy with those two
big sell offs... So
gloomy, that had we
decided that financials
would be the end of us,
all of us would have
missed a magnificent
rally... Again, exhibit A,
about why I say you've got
to stay in the game...
Those who got out
yesterday, those who
couldn't take the pain,
how are they doing?...
Now, I will go out on a
limb, and say that this
rally isn't over... And,
if we get a decent
employment number, you
know the federal
government reports, the
labor department reports
employment numbers on
Friday, where lay offs
don't accelerate, this
won't be the end, it will
just be the beginning and
those people who left the
table because they
couldn't take the pain are
going to miss the game...
All right, now that's the
good news, it's good news
about Merrill... And we're
thrilled... We are
thrilled for those people
who bought shares in the
deal, thrilled that the
company got rid of the
real bad stuff that had
been dogging this terrific
franchise...
Thrilled that Merrill's
name is still intact...
But that doesn't mean we
don't have some work to do
right now, right here on
our
Wall of Shame...
Now, while it is great to
watch the stock pop almost
four points off the
secondary, the first
banking secondary that
seemed to have made you a
lot of money,
Citigroup (C)
was up and then went right
back down...
I cannot let John Thain,
the CEO of Merrill Lynch,
off the hook here...
John's made so many
promises, done so many
things that are rosy that
Merrill didn't need
capital... How many times
did he say that?... That
he was conservatively
valuing what was on the
table, how many times did
he say this?... That
despite today's lucky
offering, I have to say,
John's been less than
straight with us... This
isn't the first time
either... Much of my
conviction on my worst
stock picks since I began
Mad Money, yeah you know
what that is, the New York
Stock Exchange,
NYSE Euronext, Inc. (NYX),
rested on positive
assertions that John Thain
said would happen, that
didn't and from his
insistence to me
personally that the market
share loss I was worried
about to the NASDAQ was
meaningless and would be
reversed anyway, treated
me like a schoolboy, like
I didn't know what I was
doing... bad...
That market share was
incredibly important... It
was never reversed... The
Nasdaq is technically in
the cleaners... John Thain
sold me a real bill of
goods, and then I sold it
to you... I take the
blame, this isn't John
Thain's Mad Money... it's
Jim Cramer's Mad Money...
But he did the same thing
when he got to MER,
telling us he didn't need
money after the first big
charge and after the first
big fund raise... And what
does he do?... He does the
biggest secondary I can
recall... He told us over
and over again that he was
conservatively reserved
for these hard instruments
that he sold for $.22
cents on the dollar...
Wrong... He told he was
head, wrong...
Fortunately, big break for
Johnny, break for Mad
Money, another serial
over-promiser and
under-deliverer stepped
down just last night...
That's how their euphemism
works in firings these
days... Patricia Russo
from
Alcatel-Lucent (ALU)...
And she is freeing up a
terrific spot for John
Thain... Well you know
what?... While we're at
it, we can also take down
Hector Ruiz, an even
better spot for John
Thain, who was kicked
upstairs for his wonderful
work in destroying value
at
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
(AMD)
over a multi-year
period... So I say see you
later Patricia and Hector,
don't let the door hit you
on the way out...
These people lost so much
money that it is just a
travesty that they stayed
on this board for that
long... And I'm putting
you on, John... Yeah,
John, loved you at Goldman
too... Not because you
wrecked Merrill, John, you
didn't... It's still a
great brand name... But
because you have to be the
greatest over-promiser and
under-deliverer of the
shameful era... Oh, look,
the spaghetti o's, the
Franco-American concoction
that I used when I talked
about Patricia Russo first
getting on... Well just
finish the little food
play here... Patricia, the
spaghetti o's have
spoken...
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Jim's comments BEFORE the
interview:
Today we got a piece of
good news for anyone who
thinks it's wasteful and
elitist to let our
offshore oil and gas sit
untouched while the rest
of the world scrambles to
drill for more oil...
Harry Reid, the democrat
senator and majority
leader is allowing a
straight up or down vote
in the senate on whether
we should open up the
outer continental shelf to
oil and gas exploration...
Even if this passes the
senate, I don't think it's
going to make it through
Nancy Pelosi's House...
But it's a definite step
forward for offshore
drilling, and the
companies that stand to
make big money if Congress
finally lets my people
drill...
If we lift the moratorium
on offshore drilling, I
believe on of the first
companies that is going to
get in on the action will
be
Core Laboratories NV (CLB)...
and partly because it
allows for cleaner
drilling... But also
because whenever oil and
gas companies want to
increase their production
or find out more detailed
information about how much
oil they have, or how
suitable a given location
is for a well, they call
CLB... It's one of our
favorite oil tech names...
Remember, I often talk
about how the US dominates
in tech, including oil
tech, we're thinking about
companies like CLB...
This company's uses it's
proprietary tech to
analyze the rock around
and in oil fields and then
produces data that gives
its customers a better
understanding of how to
extract the oil... Now, I
first recommended
Continental Resources Inc.
(CLR)
way back on May 3rd of
2006... It was at
$64.70... And then I had
the CEO on back August
22nd of 2006, when the
stock was at $75... Now
it's at $125.68... Up 84%
from my first
recommendation, and 67%
from when I talked to the
CEO... But, with all this
good news, let's face the
obvious... What generally
happens to an oil or an
oil tech company when the
price of crude crashes...
Well, the stock gets a
haircut, we know this
because CLR is down 18
points from $144 and
change in the last
month... Even though last
Wednesday, it reported a
monster quarter, beating
the estimates by $.02
cents. Talking about an
increased demand for its
optimization services in
the Rockies, the Gulf
oil... Oil Sans, Brazil,
Middle East...
CLR raised its revenue
guidance substantially...
It raised its earnings
guidance substantially...
It even took care of a $1
share special dividend on
July 15th, to be paid to
shareholders of July 25th
on August 25th... How's
that for confusing?... And
a regular $.10 cent
quarterly dividend...
Basically they give you
everything you could ever
want as a shareholder, and
it didn't matter... CLB
also has a mondo buyback
with $2.3 million shares,
or 10% of its total shares
outstanding... That's left
in its repurchase
authorization... So here's
the question... Does this
stock deserve to trade
lower with oil and gas,
even though it doesn't
need $148 oil to work, I
mean, as long as oil is
over $100, let alone $120,
I think CLR's services
will be very in demand...
But it's been trading as
though it's just an
extension of the
commodity, and to me, that
won't do... It's too good
of a company... So let's
bring on the president and
CEO of CLB, David Demshur
to talk about the pullback
in oil and what it means
for his stock...
Mr. Demshur welcome back
to Mad Money...
. . . .
.
Jim's comments AFTER the interview:
Listen up everybody... I know
oil is going down, that's what I keep
saying on my show, I'm saying it could
go to $110... I think natural gas could
go through $8... And you know what?...
This is the kind of company
Core Laboratories NV (CLB)
would buy... This is new technology,
it's American technology... It's what
they need... Every time you read an
article about the Shale and drilling in
the Shale, you should be thinking about
CLB... I want to buy this company right
into the oil weakness and you should
too... It's made us a lot of money, he's
made us a lot of money... I say two
thumbs up.
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Please read his comments to
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We do our best to interpret
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Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
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'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
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his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about.
Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms":
Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back...
Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you.
Definition:'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock).
Definition:'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
See more
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