Tuesday, 07/29/08
Posted 07/29/08,  10:41 pm ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Tuesday, 07/29/08

  Dow Jones: 11,397  + 266
  NASDAQ:   2,319   + 55
  S&P 500:   1,263   + 28
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
   
Opening Segment 1 Title: 'Today's Action'

Adding John Thain, CEO of Merrill Lynch
(MER)
to Jim Cramer's CEO Wall of Shame

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

General Market Comments... Today's Action...
And adding John Thain to Jim's CEO Wall of Shame
No specific stock picks.


See Opening Segment 2, below...

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

JJC:    Yeah, that's right... nice rally today... at last...

You probably saw what it was triggered by... It was triggered by Merrill Lynch (MER)... How can MER rally when it did one of the biggest stock offerings I've ever seen today?... How could you make almost $4 bucks on the 380 million shares of stock offered by a company which has lost 50% of its value this year alone?... How is that possible?... Stunning... How could it spark a rally, and not a decline?... Wasn't it supposed to go down today?... How did we get the market up 266 points?...

Simple...

Because, the market's found a bottom... Or, at least, the part of the market that has been the worst... All these dead obligations that you've heard so much about... I'm not going to give you the Wall Street jibberish... But let's just say we found a price for them... Let's go over the pieces of the puzzle... First, the bank piece... Merrill didn't just raise a ton of capital, $8.5 billion to be exact, it gave us a bottom in the financials toxic waste that has seemed everywhere into our system all over the world, whether it be Iceland, Norway, Australia, Africa, China... We don't know what to do with it... Until today, and I say, Hallelujah... All these bad bonds, the CDO's the nonsense made up of crummy mortgages, typically written, many fraudulently from 2005-2007... Tons of them, tons of them sponsored by Merrill Lynch... Well, we finally found a price that they can be sold at... So what if it turns out to be a fifth of what we thought they were or half of what we thought they were just a few weeks ago... At least they can be sold...

For one year, for one year, ever since I told you, they know nothing, we have waited to see if anyone would be tempted to buy this stuff in bulk or someone would be bold enough to sell it at a gigantic loss... Today we got both... Alpha called LS, we're familiar with them because they bought LEND last year... They're the buyer, MER is the seller... And the market cheered... It cheered because at last we know where the bottom in this stock is and if we know where the bottom in this stuff is, well then we know where C has to do to get out of this mess... Now we know what Bob Steel, the CEO can do at WB... We even know, fingers crossed, what Washington Mutual can do to save itself... When you combine all of those weaker banks with the fortress banks, you remember Wells Fargo (WFC), Bank of America (BAC), JPMorgan (JPM), US Bancorp (USB)... When you combine the news about the bad, with the good, and they were all screaming today, the fortress banks are huge... And I got to tell you, I sat here and I said no pain, no game, no guts, no glory, should I just call a bottom?...

Should I just call a bottom?...

Well how about this?... I can articulate the case for a bottom... I can articulate a case for why we can maybe finally, do this... Well, it wasn't just the financials... How could we rally away from the financials?... Because, wonder of wonders, miracle of miracles, two companies, two diverse companies, Colgate-Palmolive Co. (CL), which you're supposed to buy when we're going into a recession, and Cramer-fave, United States Steel Corp. (X), which you're supposed to sell going in to a recession, both reported remarkably great earnings... I mean, real fabulous...

We knew steel right?... Because we knew John Surma when we met him when we went to Penn State... These were unbelievable quarters...

Colgate tacked on five points, and letter X, jumped 20 points...

You don't get both of these things happening in a really bad market... I have to tell you the truth, you don't see them happen in a bear market, no, I don't think so... To me, it's a sign that the market wants to rally, and rally hard... And finally, let's get the third piece of the puzzle, the saga of lower oil continues with oil down almost three dollars... Now, you know what we've been saying on Mad Money... No not happy days are here again, but happier days are here, courtesy of the total and utter collapse of oil as well as other commodities... Now, you know this is going to lead to a dramatic decline at the pump... The smackdown in oil, which is in a bear market, and you know I think will continue right down to $110, $148 to $110, should put us at $3.50 at the pump by labor day... No wonder retail stocks also rallied on the news...

In short, once again, what happened?...

We got too gloomy, we got too gloomy with those two big sell offs... So gloomy, that had we decided that financials would be the end of us, all of us would have missed a magnificent rally... Again, exhibit A, about why I say you've got to stay in the game... Those who got out yesterday, those who couldn't take the pain, how are they doing?... Now, I will go out on a limb, and say that this rally isn't over... And, if we get a decent employment number, you know the federal government reports, the labor department reports employment numbers on Friday, where lay offs don't accelerate, this won't be the end, it will just be the beginning and those people who left the table because they couldn't take the pain are going to miss the game... All right, now that's the good news, it's good news about Merrill... And we're thrilled... We are thrilled for those people who bought shares in the deal, thrilled that the company got rid of the real bad stuff that had been dogging this terrific franchise...

Thrilled that Merrill's name is still intact... But that doesn't mean we don't have some work to do right now, right here on our Wall of Shame...

Now, while it is great to watch the stock pop almost four points off the secondary, the first banking secondary that seemed to have made you a lot of money, Citigroup (C) was up and then went right back down...

I cannot let John Thain, the CEO of Merrill Lynch, off the hook here... John's made so many promises, done so many things that are rosy that Merrill didn't need capital... How many times did he say that?... That he was conservatively valuing what was on the table, how many times did he say this?... That despite today's lucky offering, I have to say, John's been less than straight with us... This isn't the first time either... Much of my conviction on my worst stock picks since I began Mad Money, yeah you know what that is, the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE Euronext, Inc. (NYX), rested on positive assertions that John Thain said would happen, that didn't and from his insistence to me personally that the market share loss I was worried about to the NASDAQ was meaningless and would be reversed anyway, treated me like a schoolboy, like I didn't know what I was doing... bad...

That market share was incredibly important... It was never reversed... The Nasdaq is technically in the cleaners... John Thain sold me a real bill of goods, and then I sold it to you... I take the blame, this isn't John Thain's Mad Money... it's Jim Cramer's Mad Money...

But he did the same thing when he got to MER, telling us he didn't need money after the first big charge and after the first big fund raise... And what does he do?... He does the biggest secondary I can recall... He told us over and over again that he was conservatively reserved for these hard instruments that he sold for $.22 cents on the dollar... Wrong... He told he was head, wrong... Fortunately, big break for Johnny, break for Mad Money, another serial over-promiser and under-deliverer stepped down just last night... That's how their euphemism works in firings these days... Patricia Russo from Alcatel-Lucent (ALU)... And she is freeing up a terrific spot for John Thain... Well you know what?... While we're at it, we can also take down Hector Ruiz, an even better spot for John Thain, who was kicked upstairs for his wonderful work in destroying value at Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) over a multi-year period... So I say see you later Patricia and Hector, don't let the door hit you on the way out...

These people lost so much money that it is just a travesty that they stayed on this board for that long... And I'm putting you on, John... Yeah, John, loved you at Goldman too... Not because you wrecked Merrill, John, you didn't... It's still a great brand name... But because you have to be the greatest over-promiser and under-deliverer of the shameful era... Oh, look, the spaghetti o's, the Franco-American concoction that I used when I talked about Patricia Russo first getting on... Well just finish the little food play here... Patricia, the spaghetti o's have spoken...

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


na

na

na

General Market Comments... Today's Action...
And adding John Thain to Jim's CEO Wall of Shame

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



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Second Segment
 
Opening Segment 2 Title: 'CEO Interview'

David M. Demshur, CEO

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

Core Laboratories NV (CLB)

See CLB's official investor relations' site here.
See the Yahoo! Finance profile for CLB here.

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

Jim's comments BEFORE the interview:      Today we got a piece of good news for anyone who thinks it's wasteful and elitist to let our offshore oil and gas sit untouched while the rest of the world scrambles to drill for more oil...

Harry Reid, the democrat senator and majority leader is allowing a straight up or down vote in the senate on whether we should open up the outer continental shelf to oil and gas exploration... Even if this passes the senate, I don't think it's going to make it through Nancy Pelosi's House... But it's a definite step forward for offshore drilling, and the companies that stand to make big money if Congress finally lets my people drill...

If we lift the moratorium on offshore drilling, I believe on of the first companies that is going to get in on the action will be Core Laboratories NV (CLB)... and partly because it allows for cleaner drilling... But also because whenever oil and gas companies want to increase their production or find out more detailed information about how much oil they have, or how suitable a given location is for a well, they call CLB... It's one of our favorite oil tech names... Remember, I often talk about how the US dominates in tech, including oil tech, we're thinking about companies like CLB...

This company's uses it's proprietary tech to analyze the rock around and in oil fields and then produces data that gives its customers a better understanding of how to extract the oil... Now, I first recommended Continental Resources Inc. (CLR) way back on May 3rd of 2006... It was at $64.70... And then I had the CEO on back August 22nd of 2006, when the stock was at $75... Now it's at $125.68... Up 84% from my first recommendation, and 67% from when I talked to the CEO... But, with all this good news, let's face the obvious... What generally happens to an oil or an oil tech company when the price of crude crashes... Well, the stock gets a haircut, we know this because CLR is down 18 points from $144 and change in the last month... Even though last Wednesday, it reported a monster quarter, beating the estimates by $.02 cents. Talking about an increased demand for its optimization services in the Rockies, the Gulf oil... Oil Sans, Brazil, Middle East...

CLR raised its revenue guidance substantially... It raised its earnings guidance substantially... It even took care of a $1 share special dividend on July 15th, to be paid to shareholders of July 25th on August 25th... How's that for confusing?... And a regular $.10 cent quarterly dividend... Basically they give you everything you could ever want as a shareholder, and it didn't matter... CLB also has a mondo buyback with $2.3 million shares, or 10% of its total shares outstanding... That's left in its repurchase authorization... So here's the question... Does this stock deserve to trade lower with oil and gas, even though it doesn't need $148 oil to work, I mean, as long as oil is over $100, let alone $120, I think CLR's services will be very in demand... But it's been trading as though it's just an extension of the commodity, and to me, that won't do... It's too good of a company... So let's bring on the president and CEO of CLB, David Demshur to talk about the pullback in oil and what it means for his stock...

Mr. Demshur welcome back to Mad Money...

.  .  .  .  .

Jim's comments AFTER the interview:      Listen up everybody... I know oil is going down, that's what I keep saying on my show, I'm saying it could go to $110... I think natural gas could go through $8... And you know what?... This is the kind of company Core Laboratories NV (CLB) would buy... This is new technology, it's American technology... It's what they need... Every time you read an article about the Shale and drilling in the Shale, you should be thinking about CLB... I want to buy this company right into the oil weakness and you should too... It's made us a lot of money, he's made us a lot of money... I say two thumbs up.

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


CLB

125.68

na

Core Laboratories NV (CLB)


     

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
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