Wednesday, 09/03/08
Posted 09/03/08,  08:43 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Wednesday, 09/03/08

  Dow Jones: 11,532   +15
  NASDAQ:   2,333   - 15
  S&P 500:   1,274   -  2
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
   
 

Final Segment 2 Title:

'Wait And FDI-C'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

BB & T Corp. (BBT)

See BBT's official investor relations' site here.
See the Yahoo! Finance profile for BBT here.

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Sudden:Death picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

Jim:   Maybe the whole market is asleep...  Maybe everyone was away for the weekend...  For we got a monumental decision out of the FDIC... one that's going to rescue and transform the banking industry, and create whole new financial colossuses that you will want to own.  That's why we're getting this great bank rally, believe me... 

And we have got the single-best one for you on tonight's show!...

You see, this weekend we learned that the FDIC finally has a plan...  I think the right plan... for dealing with failing financial institutions...  a plan that could be terrific news for any number of good banks, not to mention the financial system as a whole, which has been rallying, ever since July 15th...

It's the plan we've been waiting for on Mad Money for months...  And not a soul is talking about it, writing about it, buzzing about it... and it's driving me crazy, and we're going to accomplish that tonight...

Now you probably heard about Integrity Bank... about how this faith-based bank showed too much faith in its mortgage holders, and it failed over the weekend...

And you probably also heard that Regions Financial Corp. (RF), which I don't think is a particularly strong bank, or a particularly good bank, got to acquire part of Integrity... the good bank part...  $900 million worth of deposits... while the FDIC took a $250-$300 million hit, taking over the bad part of Integrity... the crummy loans...

To me, this is not just another bank failure...   This is huge.  It is huge, get-on-the-desk news!Why?  Because it shows a monumental change in strategy by the FDIC.  They're no longer following that failed IndyMac model anymore, where they just took over the whole thing... the good bank part and the bad bank part...

Now they're doing what I've been advocating... they're splitting failed banks into their good bank components... the deposits!...  and their bad bank components... the bad loans they have on their books...  and then they're selling the good bank to another bank... selling their deposits to another bank...  while the federal government, the taxpayer, keeps the bad bank.

In my opinion, this plan is so right that I'm not even bothered by the fact the FDIC has yet to credit me for the idea...  

.  .  .  .  .

I believe that this is the solution to the problem of bad banks.  And when I say that I'm talking about the problem of the bad banks, the bad part of in-trouble banks that are overflowing with crummy loans... especially mortgages that people can't pay back...  those go to the FDIC.

What the FDIC did this weekend is just like the Resolution Trust... it separated the bad loans from the good deposits in 1990, ending our last financial crisis...   And you want to know why the banks bottomed on July 15th...  You want to know why the banks and the homebuilders are the biggest rallying group...

Back then, in 1990, the Resolution Trust took on the bad loans of banks that had failed, and sold the deposits in the institutions to stronger banks.  That's how we got these unbelievable collossus great banks... that made you fortunes... 200% from the bottom in 1990!

We're seeing a replay of that now!...

Oh, it may not be as good as that... that was unbelievable... but that means there should be many opportunities for you to profit, because the banks that get to buy the deposits... the good bank part of every failed bank... gets to make out like bandits.

If Regions Financial Corp. (RF), which is a mediocre bank, got Integrity, then I can only imagine what a much stronger regional lender would be able to get... and the bank I am thinking about... the bank I am going out tonight, and saying is as good as the fortress... the bank that I think you need to own is B & T Corp. (BBT)...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:     The FDIC... gloriously... has come up with a plan!  They obviously watch the show!...  And the plan should let the good banks survive and thrive.  The government takes the stinky loans.  The good banks get the good parts, the deposits, and BB & T Corp. (BBT) is the single-best way to play it.

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


BBT

31.17

na

BB & T Corp. (BBT)



       

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



Most popular
investing books ordered:
(click any book to see at Amazon.com)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 


 

 


We need your help!
If you find our service valuable, your donation is critically helpful to support
our operating costs and is MUCH appreciated!
(click below to donate)

We are serving thousands of new visitors every day and our costs are growing as well.  Thank you for your support & generosity!


 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
 

Mutual-Fund-Holdings.com
NEW RESOURCE!  See Ken Heebner's CGM Focus Fund
Top 25 holdings - The No. 3 Top-Performing Mutual Fund in 2007


 
 
Second Segment
 
 
 

Final Segment 2 Title:

'CEO Interview'

'Joy To The World?'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

Interview with Mike Sutherlin, CEO
Joy Global (JOYG)

See JOYG's official investor relations' site here.
See the Yahoo! Finance profile for JOYG here.

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Sudden:Death picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

Jim's comments BEFORE the interview:     We are experiencing a global collapse in commoditites.  There was a fabulous chart today in the Financial Times that showed you how much these have come down... natural gas especially...   Every commodity... copper, grains, oil, zinc, natural gas, steel, coal...   It has every stock that is in the servicing industry, in the extraction industry, down in its wake.   It is ferocious, it is swift, and it is more painful than any decline I've seen, other than the banking decline in the month of June and early July.  Few stocks are more in the crosshairs than the coal group, buffetted by what looks to be a total cessation of Chinese orders... a huge drop in the price of competitive energy sources, such as natural gas and oil, and perhaps, most important, the potential ascendance of the democrats, led by Barack Obama, who seems to be coronated already...  At least that's what the market's telling me.

Caught in this riptide of events is one of the most prosperous companies in the energy servicing business.  It's called Joy Global (JOYG).  It's one of two producers of coal mining equipment, along with Bucyrus International (BUCY).  

JOYG reported this morning what looked to be a perfectly fine quarter, even if you back out the one-time gains.  We saw a dramatic increase in backlogs for equipment, but the Street found the number light by a couple of pennies... 

The result?...

A tsunami of selling that brought this stock down $12.52, or 19%...   Now, a 7-cent miss doesn't usually produce a 12.52-point decline, on top of the 8 points that this stock had already been down...

7 cents, and $1.8 billion in market cap vanished?...  Wait a second... 

So, are we using this decline in this key industry, which is one of the most robust going into 2008, to try to flush things out?  Yes.  To examine the amazing commodity calamity of 2008, and whether the whole darn selloff makes any sense...

I need to know...

Is it a buying opportunity, or is it a reason to run from the group, especially with oil and natural gas continuing their endless decline... the stocks, maybe not the commodities?... 

JOYG gets 68% of its sales from the coal mining industry.  But, nevertheless, its orders are up a whopping 139% this quarter...

If the commodity apocalypse is real...  if coal is as much of a dog as the market seems to think...  the Dow Jones U.S. Coal Index (^DJUSCL) being down 39%... from its June 30th peak... how come miners are ordering so much equipment from a company like JOYG?

What's with all these new orders, given the price of everything we pull out of the ground has been in freefall? 

And here's another angle...  Is it possible that JOYG's miss had nothing to do with the commodities collapse, and everything to do with the company's execution?...  It's getting orders like mad, but its operating income came in at $134 million, compared to the $150 million the Street expected...  Maybe the miss here was about execution, not about weak coal and commodities...

We need answers.  With this kind of decline, we need answers...  I've got the man to ask...  Mike Sutherlin, the President and CEO of Joy Global (JOYG).

Mr. Sutherlin, welcome back to Mad Money...  

.  .  .  .  .

Jim's comments AFTER the interview:     He's absolutely right.  It was one of the worst days to possibly report... it was not a quarter that I'd like.  I think that what will happen first is that you'll get a bottoming in the oil and oil service companies, because oil has not come down as much, and because we're not running out of coal like we're running out of oil...  So I would look at the oil service companies to bottom first, before I would buy either Joy Global (JOYG) or Bucyrus (BUCY).  You've got to wait for Oil Service, as viewed by the Oil Services Holders (OIH)... that's the index I follow.  When that bottoms, then, after that bottoms, maybe this one will bottom.

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


JOYG

53.05

na

Joy Global (JOYG)


BUCY

53.40

na

Bucyrus International (BUCY)

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
  © 2005-2008 MadMoneyRecap.com ■ Important disclaimer: This site is not affiliated with Mr. James Cramer, and is not associated with any television networks or broadcasts. Please note that all thumbs up or thumbs down indicators are not always clearly indicated on the show and are interpreted by us as accurately as possible. Some comments have been edited for brevity and clarity, and extraneous material omitted.  Please rely on watching the show yourself, doing your own homework, and reading the text of the comments to draw your own conclusions. Also, data presented on this site should not be used to make investment decisions and accuracy, although attempted, cannot be guaranteed.  Please consult with your own financial advisor for professional advice.
 
 

 

 
       

Feedback   ■   Terms of use   ■   Privacy Policy  ■   Keep this site Free