See HRB's official
investor relations' site
here.
See the Yahoo!
Finance profile for
HRB
here.
After this segment, you
can see Jim's
Sudden:Death picks
here...
. . . .
.
Jim: On a down 345
day, you want to do some bargain
hunting... That's what we
teach you on this show.
Just like if it were up 340,
we'd say you should do some
selling, okay... That's
mirror image...
And, right now, I think you've
got... how about a great deal on
H & R Block (HRB)...
which reported a disappointing
quarter today, and it's down
9.7%...
I last recommended this one
right before tax time
on March 19th... It
was at $20 bucks... $20.32...
We're up 17.8% from here, but I
think the pullback today is a
buyable one...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
In my opinion,
H & R Block (HRB)
doesn't deserve to be down this much...
not when we know the tax code is due for
a change, with the coming of a new
President. For those of you who
didn't buy this one at $20 when we
recommended it... well, you're getting a
chance at $24, down 2 quick points and
change, and I would take it...
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Second
Segment
Final Segment 2
Title:
'Positive
Attitude'
. . . .
.
Featured Stock(s):
General Stock Comments.
No specific stock picks.
After this segment, you
can see Jim's
Sudden:Death picks
here...
. . . .
.
Jim: Yet another
brutal day... In tough
times like this, I think we
should stick to the Mad Money
motto... There's always a
bull market somewhere and I
promise to help you find it.
Any day where we're down 345
points makes you wonder why,
other than the very, very
long-term positive results from
owning stocks... the only real
way to augment your paycheck in
history... why you should even
bother with the market.
This is a horrible stock market
for many, many sectors, and many
places are in total bear market
mode, okay...
That doesn't mean we should stop
looking for bull markets.
It just means it's harder to do,
and there are far fewer of
them...
But futile?... I have to
say never...
You know, if you look at the
market through my eyes, you'd
see that, buried underneath the
losses - and they were hideous -
behind the ugliness... is
something that's actually mildly
constructive... that I think I
need to let you in on...
particularly on a horrible
day...
I'd like to tell you what I'm
feeling about some of the
market... clearly not the
industrials or the commodity
stocks... because the biggest
driver of those stocks, China,
has simply vanished. Does
anyone know where those 1.2
billion people went? I
can't find them...
And the hedge funds that bet
that way bet on commodities...
They're liquidating...
liquidating like mad...
Even after a beating like
today's, I still think the July
15th lows in the financials will
hold.
This decline is simply making it
easier to buy the stocks we
like... the ones where
happier days are coming, because
of lower commodity prices, like
natural gas, and oil... because
of federal intervention to ease
the housing crisis...
intervention that I think will
work by June 30th of next
year... there are only 300
days left...
My July 15th bottom is not
holding for everything,
clearly...
Corning Inc. (GLW),
Dell Inc. (DELL)...
industrials like a
Terex Corp. (TEX)
just falling off a K2, which is
steeper by the way than
Everest...
. . . .
.
But it's my job to point out
what can go right on these down
days.
So let me tell you what I see...
Let me give you six reasons why
the fallout shelter... the
bunker... may not be your
permanent locale... even after a
day like today...
And I want you to keep this list
in mind, no matter what the
employment number is going to be
tomorrow, because it's going to
be horrible... Steel
yourself...
Here are my six reasons why... I
believe you have to see some
light at the end of the
tunnel... And... it's not
the light of an oncoming
train...
Here's the list:
1. First, quietly, but
firmly, we seemed to have seen a
bottom in the housing stocks.
One that first shadows a turn in
housing by June 30th of next
year. In my view, every
day that we get evidence of
this... even as the conventional
wisdom is that there's no
housing bottom in sight...
2. The second reason
you need to be positive right
now...
We have a plan fix the banks,
courtesy of the FDIC...
... selling deposits and keeping
the bad loans. And we have
fewer large banks and broker
that I believe are in trouble...
I now believe there are actually
suitors lining up to acquire
Lehman Brothers
(LEH),
giving the company some options.
This morning, The New York
Post... reported that one of the
biggest black holes of value,
American International Group
(AIG),
might be close to splitting off
its bad loans from its good
ones. That's the same plan
that I believe
Wachovia Corp. (WB)
is using. People are still
making money on that gigantic
Merrill Lynch
(MER)
offering that made the company
investable again. Solving
these financial problems
immensely. Remember, look
at the lows of July 15th...
Wells Fargo (WFC),
at $20. Now at $29...
US Bancorp (USB),
at $20. Now at $31...
Wachovia Corp. (WB),
at $8, now at $15... and
all of those traded much higher
after the bottom. Those
are just today's prices.
Panic, like the panic today in
the commodities, caused those
lows. Maybe we saw some of
those in the oils today.
They all bounced big, after
natural gas closed up... and the
forced margin selling for the
hedge funds finished at 2:00pm,
as it has everyday this week...
that's when the margin clerks
are done...
3. Reason #3 to stay
constructive and not panic...
Both candidates for President
are likely to lower taxes for
individuals...
...one of the reasons why I
believe retail has done well,
and that's something the market
is definitely sensing...
4. Commodities have
crashed...
The raw costs of making
virtually every product are
going down... That's going
to help every company that
consumes commodities.
That's part of the happier days
theory. Believe it or not,
the commodity calamity is
actually good for everybody,
outside of the companies that
produce commodities and the ones
that service them. We've
got a strong dollar, low
inflation... and, because of the
commodity crushing and lower
interest rates, that's a recipe
for ultimately higher prices,
not lower ones.
5. Gasoline is coming
down more than it has...
That's practically producing a
tax cut in its own right.
6. Finally...
Like hips, I believe Wal-Mart (WMT*)
doesn't lie...
100 million people shop there
every week, and the stock's up
27% year to date... It was
up today. To me, that's a
sign that consumer is not done
for... even as the overall
economy is not weak enough to
keep the Federal Reserve on hold
when it comes to raising rates,
despite what you hear
everyday...
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
The bottom line is, as always...
there is always a bull market somewhere
and I will do my best everyday to try to
find it for you, even as he (Bill Pimco)
believes it is a mirage... and, perhaps,
it's just a proverbial needle in a
haystack, but I'll sit on it... you know
that.
■
Stock Snapshots - Includes
all stocks mentioned above
■
Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock
STOCK
SYMBOL
Closing
price
that
day
Opening
price
next
day
Full Company
Name/Comments
(see comments above for
each)
na
na
na
General Stock Comments.
No specific stock picks.
Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from
tonight's show
here >>
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Finance from
tonight's show stocks
here >>
Symbol keys:
A Charitable Trust stock.
- An asterisk next to a
stock symbol indicates that
Jim mentioned it is a stock
that he manages within
his
charitable trust portfolio.
You can see the complete
portfolio
of stocks
here >>
Thumbs up - indicates
he would buy the stock or,
at the very least, not sell
the stock. We do our
best to interpret Jim's
opinion on stocks, as we
think it is indicated by his
comments during the show.
Please read his comments to
decide for yourself.
Thumbs down -
indicates he has said not to
buy or to sell the stock,
based on his comments
We do our best to interpret
Jim's opinion on stocks, as
we think it is indicated by
his comments during the
show. Please read his
comments to decide for
yourself.
Back up the truck -
indicated by Jim, when he
says the stock is so good,
that he would do a
'mon-back' on the stock...
In other words, this is the
sound someone would say to a
truck driver, "Come on
back... " as he is "backing
up the truck" to load up on
his cargo. Translation
for buying stocks:
This recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
Stumped. - Of the
2,000+ stocks that Jim
Cramer has in his head, for
which he has an informed
opinion, he sometimes comes
across a caller with a stock
he does not know well enough
to opine on... He then
indicates he is stumped and
will have to come back to
it, after he does some
homework of his own on
the stock. This
usually occurs during the
Lightning Round, when Jim
does not know in advance who
is calling, or what their
stock question is about.
Definitions of key phrases
used by Jim, known as
"Cramerisms":
Definition: 'Pull the
trigger' is Jim's phrase for making
the decision at that point to trade -
either to 'buy' or
to 'sell' (although he
usually uses the phrase for
buying), as if to say you
should feel comfortable
enough to make the final
decision without looking
back...
Definition: 'Ring
the Register' is Jim's phrase for
selling a stock, and making
it a final sale, that you
should not look back on.
Put it behind you.
Definition:'Let It Come In' indicates how you
may wait for it to pull back, or have the
stock price come down briefly, as your
chance (after letting it come in) to buy
the rest of your position (i.e., total
number of shares you own in that stock).
Definition:'backing it up'
or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's
phrase for the metaphor of backing up a
truck to load up on a stock by buying
it. 'Mon-back is short for the
imaginary worker saying, 'Come on
back...' as the truck is backing up to
receive its load... Notice that we use
the little truck icon to indicate where
Jim has mentioned this.
Translation for buying
stocks: This
recommendation by Jim
indicates that, after you do
your own
homework on the stock,
you should feel comfortable
loading up on it, as it is
in a good position to be
bought at this point.
See more
"Cramerisms" & other
financial phrases
here >>
Helpful Websites:
See the stocks currently
known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:
Stock Homework 101:
This is an excellent
upcoming site that provides
resources and links to help
you do that homework that
Jim Cramer recommends after
hearing his suggestions...
FastMoneyRecap:
This site will be a quick
summary of recommendations
made by the great Fast Money
TV show crew, that will
offer you a unique service,
to compare their picks to
Jim Cramer's past comments
about those stocks.