Friday, 09/05/08
Posted 09/08/08,  07:11 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Friday, 09/05/08

  Dow Jones: 11,220  - 32
  NASDAQ:   2,255    - 3
  S&P 500:   1,242  - 32
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
   
Opening Segment 1
Title:
'Mad Mail'...

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s): See comments below...
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

na

na

na

Mad Mail

Re:  Boone Pickens' campaign for oil independence

Q:    Would you ever consider joining Boone Pickens' campaign for oil independence?  I know that you believe in the cause and I'm sure that a series of TV ads featuring your high-energy persona would force both parties to address this critical issue in a meaningful way.

Jim:
    I can't... I'm not allowed to do that stuff.  I did go out with Aubrey McClennan, who is in a lot of the ads.. on Tuesday night, we went to Sparks... and I said that, if there were ever a cause that I would quit my job for, it would be that one.  I'm locked up here for a long time.  I don't want to quit my job.  But I believe in natural gas, and I believe that we can be energy independent.  It's cleaner and, most importantly, it would provide a lot of jobs... we'd be free from the shackles of the Middle East.  So, yes, I wish I could, and I wish those guys the best of luck.

NVO

51.71

na

Mad Mail

Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO)

Q:    Are you still high about NVO?  I am getting worried that this one is going south more than it's going north.  Do you still think NVO is a buy before the September meeting?

Jim:
    Remember that I said that I had gotten that wrong, short-term... and I could not believe that they did not, on their conference call, address the new drug and give us a timeframe.  Until they address the new drug and give us a timeframe... it's the diabetes drug... we're going to be in purgatory with this one.  They've got to break out the timeframe.

MDR

30.51

na

Mad Mail

McDermott International Inc. (MDR)

Q:    I am in the house of pain in many of my "new tech" stocks.  Now that China has disappeared, should we abandon ship?  In particular, with MDR and Parker Hannifin (PH)?

Jim:
    I think PH is terrific and I would not sell it here... but, remember, there's a Boeing (BA) strike...  It has lowered expectations and it's deeply involved with Europe, which has gotten weaker...  MDR is coal.  And, at this point, if people think Obama is going to win, coal is done for... and that is really going to hurt MDR. 

PH

60.37

na

Mad Mail

Parker Hannifin (PH)

See MDR comments above for:
PH

 

 



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Second Segment
 
 
 

Opening Segment 2 Title:

'Cramer's Game Plan
  For Next Week'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

General Stock Comments.
No specific stock picks.

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...

.  .  .  .  .

Jim:   Hey, uh... Weren't we supposed to crash today?...

Wasn't this supposed to be the big one?... The selloff to end all selloffs?...

Oh, sure, some of the selling pressure abated, and we rallied, because the nare-do-well hedge funds that were in trouble finished their selling to meet their redemptions...

But when you're down enough in that game, they make you give the money back in the fifth business day, which is Monday, so the selling ended, at last, today... They get the money, they give the money back to investors on Monday... But judging by the big, and entirely unexpected, rally in the financials, I think there's something bigger afoot...

Now, after that nasty Labor Department (i.e., Jobs') number this morning, that's now taken us to over 6% unemployment... after the tremendous historical collapse in all commodities... after the remarkable run in the dollar... and, after the earnings debacles we've seen in pretty much every sector, except those you can smoke, drink or eat... it is just amazing to me that nobody's talking about the Fed... get this... the Fed slashing rates! Nobody...

All we hear about is that they're about to raise rates... All we hear about is any day now, that it's time to take them up...

And I'm here to tell you that that is absolute nonsense after today.

Now, interest rates are plummeting... the regular rates... not the Federal Funds rates that the Federal Reserve controls...

We are obviously going to experience not a slowdown, after we saw the employment report, but a recession...

Now, we aren't getting any relief from anybody... from the Federal Reserve or from the Treasury Department.

Now, you heard Bill Gross... he's the biggest bond buyer in the world (i.e., at Pimco), give a "boo-yah Hank" in his newsletter yesterday... He is saying that (Treasury Secretary, Hank) Paulson, this weekend, right now, has to clean up the mess that we've been saying... that is now 12 days overdue... and buy hundreds of billions of dollars in Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) common... the common stock, preferred and, of course, their bonds. It's imperative, if we're going to get through this... and there's talk that it could happen imminently that we need to resolve the mortgage situation. Oh man, it would be bullish if Paulson listened to Gross, and backstopped FNM and FRE... because it is so bad for those two knuckleheads...

But, all I hear about is, when is the Fed going to tighten (i.e., increase rates)?...

After today - after this morning's number - let's put that question to rest once and for all... The Fed would tighten, when things are far, far better than they are now...

Now, this is just forgotten... it drives me crazy. Do you know just a few years ago, the sainted Alan Greenspan (i.e., former Federal Reserve Chairman) took rates down to 1%?... At the end of 2003, he took rates down to 1%... That's 50% below where we are now... And, believe me, things were nowhere near as bad in this country back then, as they are now... nowhere... not even close.

So, beginning next week, and we're anticipating this on our show tonight, you will begin to hear a new drum beat... We need another rate cut...

Consider everything... every single thing that has kept the Fed from lowering rates, or has given the hawks ammo to actually raised rates, has changed virtually overnight...

Gasoline... That was at $4.25, going to $5.00... Right here, it's going to $3.00...

Employment... It held up pretty well, right? Not anymore, that's out the window... We've got real job losses, scads of them...

All those commodities... Remember when steel was out of control? Remember when copper couldn't stop... grain going to $16... how about iron? How about zinc? They are all getting obliterated...

Natural gas... down 45%.

So many people were worried that, if the Fed cut again, the dollar would be annihilated. Well, guess what? The dollar is screaming right here. I went to Paris in April, like a fool, and now the dollar's about 10% more valuable than it was when I took my trip... and it isn't stopping...

But now we actually need to stop the dollar's climb, just stay competitive, and a rate cut could do that.

How about retail?... Did you read one article that didn't say that retail's the worst environment in years? Is that a good situation to raise rates? Hey, we should raise rates, because no one's making any money in retail...

How about housing?... Your house should lose about another $500 in value between now and our next commercial break... and, by the 11pm version of our show, you're house will lose about another $780... But, you know what? Those values are not in the consumer or producer price indicies, so you don't hear about them... and the Fed obviously doesn't seem to care about that incredible deflationary story...

Yes, we are in the grips - not of inflation - but of the most major deflation in this country's history, except for the Great Depression... and the Fed needs to step up and answer the call, and it ain't raising rates, even if the Fed thinks it's done...

I had hoped that we wouldn't even need more rate cuts... but I had the guts to call for them last year and now, tonight, I am saying, unfortunately, because of the employement number, we've got to go back at them...

We need them now, and we need the mortgage mess resolved, using the Bill Gross plan - we need a resolution mortgage trust - and it will make a difference, despite the canard that lower rates won't do it...

Now, I believe a big reason why we didn't crash today, as we were supposed to... is that the rate cut theory that I just espoused is just now percolating under the radar...

I believe, next week, all of the fools, knuckleheads, morons... whatever you want to call them... would say that we need a rate increase... They will all be replaced from the airways... even so gradually that we'll start seeing "cut-rate" people come on... and Fed, inject money into Fannie and Freddie... and Treasury, buy some mortgages, and go public with the resolution mortgage trust... like the FDIC is quietly doing right now, and why we recommended BB & T Corp. (BBT) earlier this week...

And we've got to get America moving again... I mean, this was a wakeup call this morning... I am not a political guy, but it is amazing to me how neither major candidate is talking about the need for lower rates, and injecting cash into the mortgage market... or creating a resolution mortgage trust.

Memo to candidates... you want to get elected? It ain't drill, drill, drill.... Save our homes...

I think, beginning next week, you'll hear people saying that the bond market is speaking softly now, but soon it will be loud...

We are free to cut rates again, to rebuild the bank's capital... and we now, with this employment number, can make the move.

Your Game Plan for next week is to continue to buy more of our recommended banks and brokers... You know that we said that group bottomed... but, before we start hearing these voices... before the sensible advice drives the stock up...

Now, we still had a horrible week, despite the great close today... one that was absolutely deadly... And yet, it's worth remembering that we have not taken out those July 15ht lows that we were talking about, which are still substantially below where we are.

I think they hold. I am not backing down, even if the catcalls, and the criticisms and the usually slagging that would make me unable to get out of bed each morning, if I took it seriously...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:     The July 15th lows in housing and banking consumer stocks will hold. Not the commodities... they will go lower.  All the nonsensical talk of rate hikes will vanish, and will gradually be replaced by talk of rate cuts, and you'll be hearing about a Federal Reserve/Treasury plan to save Fannie and Freddie...

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)


na

na

na

General Stock Comments.
No specific stock picks.



       

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
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