Monday, 09/29/08
Posted 09/29/08,  07:57 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Monday, 09/29/08

  Dow Jones: 10,365 - 777
  NASDAQ:   1,983 - 199
  S&P 500:   1,106 - 106
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
See complete recommendation comments below...
 
Note:  The recap from Monday, 9/29 follows as the latest recap that included stock picks.

Tuesday night's show was a replay episode that did not include specific stock picks as recommendations from Jim Cramer.

Hopefully, Wednesday night's show will include stock picks and a Lightning Round.

Thank you!
Opening Segment 2
Title:
'Protection Plan?'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

Lender Processing Services, Inc. (LPS)

See LPS's official investor relations' site here.
See the Yahoo! Finance profile for LPS here.

See Opening Segment 2, below...

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...


Jim:    
With Congress's failure... they know nothing!... to pass the Invest In America Plan, as I called it, the much-needed bailout that I believe we needed to stave off a second Great Depression, we have to be on the lookout for the rare stocks that can still work in this horrible down-778 point market... that I believe is still going much lower... maybe down to Dow 8200, as I said last Friday... unless the House can pass the Plan on a re-vote...

.  .  .  .  .

We have to find the stocks of companies that benefit from a lack of a plan... and, believe me, these are true needles in a haystack... because the vast majority of companies that would have benefitted from a plan now are diving, in the worst point decline ever...

And I think I've found one... I mean, unbelievable... There's always some bull market, but it is getting so tiny that the ring is closing on us...

And that one is... Lender Processing Services, Inc. (LPS).

This is for people who still have cash and haven't been blown out, I guess...

It's a company that actually benefits from the credit crunch, or the mortgage massacre, if you want a more colorful description...

.  .  .  .  .

What's LPS do?...

This is a company that does loan transaction services. These are the services banks use when they create mortgages... not so big right now but, more importantly, default management services... Now that's a business I want to be in...

LPS helps banks with foreclosures and property inspections... something that's certainly in bull mode right now, given the staggering number of foreclosures in America... and especially given the House of Representatives failure that would help stem the tide of foreclosures.

.  .  .  .  .


Without the plan, I foresee big business for LPS...

LPS gets 66% of its sales from these transactions, 34% from its technology, data and analytics business, which consists mostly of mortgage processing and related services...

The mortgage processing part of the business is also one of the few areas that can actually work right now, given the deal Fannie and Freddie made with the New York Attorney General, which could require them to only buy loans from banks that work under standards that add independence to the home appraisal process... Depending on how the rules are written, LPS should be able to benefit as an independent intermediary... a company banks go to in order to legitimize their lending practices, so that they can sell their loans to Fannie and Freddie, a New York State Attorney General play...

.  .  .  .  .

Now let's get back to the pain and misery of the American homeowner... because LPS is the #1 player, when it comes to providing residential default and flood services...

When the bank takes your house - something (why) I was in favor of the Plan, because I thought it would happen less... when they takes your house, the bank then goes to LPS to inspect your property... help with foreclosure services, and also assist the bank with its responsibilities as a new real estate owner...

.  .  .  .  .

I think you'll be able to buy this one at much lower prices, because people are selling everything... even if the failure of the Plan actually helps the company... as the whole market is coming down.

Keep your powder dry. This is a disaster name that works without the bailout, but that doesn't mean you have to buy it here. In fact, you must wait for LPS to go lower. And, just to give you an example of what I'm talking about...

Remember, we had that McCormick & Co. Inc. (MKC)... We absolutely nailed MKC. We said it was going to be a great quarter, and it turned out to be sharply better-than-expected... They raised numbers, and then you got a really bad day, and now it's down a buck, and now you pull the trigger, okay...

People that aren't watching the show, they're just throwing away stocks. Keep it in mind...

Here's the bottom line...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:     Lender Processing Services, Inc. (LPS) is the stock to buy if you want to profit from foreclosures... from the failure of the bailout plan... and here's a company that's coining money off of something... well... that's just killing everybody else.

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

LPS

31.05

na

Lender Processing Services, Inc. (LPS)

MKC

37.80

na

McCormick & Co. Inc. (MKC)

 

 

       
   

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



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Second Segment
 
See complete recommendation comments below...
Opening Segment 2
Title:
'CEO Interview'

Robert Katz, CEO

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

Vail Resorts Inc. (MTN)

See MTN's official investor relations' site here.
See the Yahoo! Finance profile for MTN here.


 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...


Jim:   
We've been using the back end of the show to speak to CEOs from the real world... to try to find out if things are as bad as, say, the stock market tape would indicate.

One of the great places for wealthy people... well, they try to be for everybody; they've things more popular... to vacation, is Vail Resorts Inc. (MTN).  It's one of the largest ski resort operators in North America...  It's got Marquee Resorts...  17 hotels.   And, because it is so clearly a discretionary purchase, to go to Vail, the short sellers have ganged up on this stock, and sold more stock, and have not been able to deliver it...

And I'm trying to find out whether that was smart or dumb...

So let's welcome Robert Katz... he's Vail Resorts Inc. (MTN)'s CEO...

Robert, good to see you...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:     Look, you know... put it on a list.  If it goes down a lot, remember, it's got cash.  Maybe you feel like this is a... there's going to be a turn.  We know that, structurally, people are still going to be flying in on international business.  I think it's an interesting stock.  It certainly doesn't seem like a stock that's the greatest short in the world.

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

MTN

na

na

Vail Resorts Inc. (MTN)

 

     

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
  FastMoneyRecap:   This site will be a quick summary of recommendations made by the great Fast Money TV show crew, that will offer you a unique service, to compare their picks to Jim Cramer's past comments about those stocks.

Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
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