Thursday, 10/02/08
Posted 10/03/08,  09:37 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Thursday, 10/02/08

  Dow Jones: 10,482  - 348
  NASDAQ:   1,976   - 92
  S&P 500:   1,114   - 46
 
 
 
 
 
First Segment
 
See complete recommendation comments below...
 
Opening Segment 2
Title:
'Global Cooling'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

Heinz (HNZ)
General Mills Inc. (GIS*)
Clorox Co. (CLX)


See Opening Segment 2, below...

 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...


Jim:    
Right now... today... actually, for the last three weeks, in this unremitting stock market - one that dropped 350 points today - we are seeing the veritable collapse, okay... the collapse of every company that can export anything, and every company that helps it take it there... Any company that exports and anybody who helps export...

Why?...

Because the four countries that were driving global economic growth have simply dropped off the face of the map. I've done my geography, I've found the map that really does quantify what's going on... take a look.... (he refers to a map with some countries blacked out)... a lot of countries here... you notice some of them missing?... Brazil, Russia, India, China...

The once beloved "BRIC" is nothing more now than a brick!... The brick around the market!... Four countries that, for the purposes of commerce, might as well not even exist!...

I want you to think about what's getting killed here...

Oil... I mean, those four were crazy about oil, right... I mean, they couldn't get enough oil...

Coal... Oh man... (bear sound)...

How about steel... whoa... (bear sound)...

Fertilizer, our beloved fertilizer...

Iron ore, aluminum...

They're backing up everywhere, as the United States was producing these and then putting them on, of course, the rails... which are now... (trainwreck sound)... and shipping them to ports overseas...

Take a look at those rails... CSX Corp. (CSX) down 5 points today, Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI) down 6... I mean, these price declines are dizzying... they're amazing. Do you know what they remind me of?... The dot-bomb era... like in the endless declines of eToys and WebVans of yesteryear... even as these companies this time are real.

And it's not just commodities that are getting killed...

It's all companies that have grown accustomed to slow U.S. growth and, therefore, became giant exporters. Some of my favorite companies... how about Honeywell (HON)?... That thing was down a dollar and a half today... How about United Technologies (UTX)?... We think this is a great American company... down $4. IR... they did all that stuff to make them much less economically sensitive... down $2. Emerson Electric (EMR), down $1.56, once the revered, great industrial company...

These companies now simply have no place to put their stuff either. They're all struggling to finance that inventory, as it sits in their factories and warehouses, because "BRIC" is no longer on the map...

If you go international, when the tides come back, the only "Tide" still going out is laundry detergent and, given the worldwide nature of this downturn, maybe only "Depends" can put on double-digit revenues, at least for stock traders...

Heinz (HNZ), General Mills Inc. (GIS*) and Clorox Co. (CLX) could be good buys as people aren't going to stop using their products.

The bottom line...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:     Bailout or no bailout, now that "BRIC" has dropped off the face of the earth, every commodity play - everything that had to do with transporting these commodities - every export... well, all of their stocks are in big trouble, even as the businesses may be okay... only the defensive food and soft goods stocks seem to be working internationally. Until the prices get to be so absurd with these stocks, like they did last night, with KBR, Inc. (KBR) - which is almost trading through its cash - or until the dividends go north of 4.5%, I've got to tell you, I'm not recommending any of them. I know my geography... I don't like what I see.

 

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

HNZ

50.42

na

Heinz (HNZ)


GIS*

69.50

na

General Mills Inc. (GIS*)


CLX

76.76

na

Clorox Co. (CLX)


 

       
   

 

 



See all of tonight's stocks' latest quotes on Yahoo! Finance



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Second Segment
 
See complete recommendation comments below...
Opening Segment 2
Title:
'Show Me The Money'

.  .  .  .  .

Featured Stock(s):

Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT)
Enterprise Products Partners LP
(EPD)
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP)
Linn Energy, LLC (LINE)


 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Lightning Round picks here...


Jim:    Look, you want me to be doom and gloom? I'll give you a sad face... No! That's not how we play it... On a down-350 day, full of bleak news about the economy, you don't need to give you that particular rigmarole...

I know it's easy to get discouraged... I know it's easy to panic... It feels good to panic sometimes, doesn't it? It never feels good the next day... It's a mistake.

I know my friend, Mark Haines, challenged me on "Street Signs" this morning to find that elusive bull market, in what is most definitely the hard tape... tape means stock action... and I want to say this is the worst ever... this is the worst I've ever seen... worst that I've been seen since I've been trading, other than the day the stock market crashed... It seems like it's crashed every day...

But I've got to reiterate, there are still bull markets... There's a bull market somewhere, and we're always going to try and find it for you, even if it seems like the potential upside in stocks has simply vanished...

That's why, in a chaotic, uncertain time like this, we've got to rely on... Sir-Mix-A-Lot, and his first corollary... "I like big yields, and I cannot lie"... I've been saying that you need to stock up on stocks with serious dividends.

Today, we're taking one step further... we're detailing them to you... When I say big serious dividends, you say, well, which ones?...

There are stocks out there with relatively safe... remember, everything is going to be caveated (warned about) tonight, because this market is so crazy... relatively safe, stable dividends that yield twice to three times what you could get from Treasuries (i.e., treasury bills)... even more than that... stocks that don't need to go up to make you money, because they're already paying you so much cash, just to own them.

A lot of times you ask me about these stocks in the Lightning Round... Well, we've done the homework. And I'd like to call these stocks "money machines"... because they're the stock equivalent of ATMs...

Unlike those machines, these companies just consistently dispense huge wads of cash to you. Money machines are exactly what we want in this most miserable, awful environment that I've come across.

Let's name them... And some of these will be, for people new to the show... our audience has like doubled in the last week, so some of you are new to the show...

Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT), Enterprise Products Partners LP (EPD), Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP), and one that you guys have consistently asked about, that I've done all the HOMEWORK on... Linn Energy, LLC (LINE)...

The first things to know about these stocks is that their yields are enormous...

PBT yields about 11.7% at current levels...

LINE is yielding 16.3%...

EPD, 8.2%...

And KMP, 7.7%.

The second thing you need to know is that all four of these stocks are part of the energy cohort, and for the most part, you know I do not like the energy cohort now...

The stocks are signaling lower prices for oil, and oil goes down pretty consistently these days... But, you know what? We're not trying to buy stocks that go up in this segment. We're interested in these stocks, because we expect them to be higher, only if the commodity goes higher. But they're going to spit out cash in a dividend... in a distribution. They're way too sensitive to a commodity price, in a world where those prices are going down, so I want you to have every single understanding of what determines what these guys are paying out...

.  .  .  .  .

The Bottom Line!:     Don't despair on this miserable day. Don't feel like the cash is burning a hole in your pocket... look for a money machine... perhaps, you know some cash, some gold, which I was buying today for my charitable trust on the way down, and some safety stocks... and the dividend-yielding stock... a big payout, like Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT), Enterprise Products Partners LP (EPD), Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP), and Linn Energy, LLC (LINE)... You know, paying you big bucks, just for being a shareholder... that's a great place to be.

   
 

Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

PBT

22.42

na

Permian Basin Royalty Trust (PBT)

EPD

24.31

na

Enterprise Products Partners LP (EPD)

KMP

50.63

na

Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP)

LINE

15.29

na

Linn Energy, LLC (LINE)

 

     

 

 

Go to the LIGHTNING ROUND from tonight's show here >>

See current quotes on Yahoo! Finance from tonight's show stocks here >>

Symbol keys:

A Charitable Trust stock. - An asterisk next to a stock symbol indicates that Jim mentioned it is a stock that he manages within
his charitable trust portfolio.  You can see the complete portfolio
of stocks here >>

Thumbs up - indicates he would buy the stock or, at the very least, not sell the stock.  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Thumbs down - indicates he has said not to buy or to sell the stock, based on his comments  We do our best to interpret Jim's opinion on stocks, as we think it is indicated by his comments during the show.  Please read his comments to decide for yourself.

Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

Stumped. - Of the 2,000+ stocks that Jim Cramer has in his head, for which he has an informed opinion, he sometimes comes across a caller with a stock he does not know well enough to opine on...  He then indicates he is stumped and will have to come back to it, after he does some homework of his own on the stock.  This usually occurs during the Lightning Round, when Jim does not know in advance who is calling, or what their stock question is about.
 

 
Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
Helpful Websites:
  See the stocks currently known to be in Jim Cramer's
Charitable Trust at:

jim-cramer-charitable-trust-stocks.com

 
See the stocks currently known to be in Warren Buffett's portfolio
of stocks at:

warren-buffett-portfolio.com

 
  Stock Homework 101:   This is an excellent upcoming site that provides resources and links to help you do that homework that Jim Cramer recommends after hearing his suggestions...

StockHomework101.com

This site is coming soon.   Thank you.

 
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Fast Money Recap - Trades for next day...

Compare these picks to Jim's comments for the same stocks.

 

 

   
   
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