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Opening Segment 1
Title: |
'Cream Of The Crop'
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. . . .
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Featured Stock(s): |
Mosaic (MOS)
Agrium (AGU)
Potash Corp. (POT)
Monsanto Co. (MON)
Bunge (BG)
See Opening Segment 2,
below...
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All week, I've been giving
you a special free preview
of the five long-term bull
markets that I highlight
in my new book... It's
called
Stay Mad For Life.
And, among the many other
useful parts of the book,
I've included my five
favorite bull markets that
are going to last...
We've been through four of
them... aerospace and
defense, oil and oil
service, minerals and
mining, and
infrastructure.
The picks I've used to
illustrate the bull
markets this week have all
had remarkable runs... at
least after I mentioned
them... so we may have
reached a bizarre
intersection between
personal aggrandizement
for me, and profit for
you!
So, today, I'm going to
tell you about Bull Market
#5...
. . . .
.
It's agriculture...
The first thing you need
to know about with this
bull market is that it has
nothing... absolutely
nothing... to do with
food! Ag today is about
two things... Energy
independence and the
ridiculous political
dependence of our
presidential candidates in
both political parties, on
the sparsely populated
state of Iowa!
Agriculture, these days,
is about raising less
corn, and more energy!...
Farmers are the new
wildcatters. Seeds are
biotech-derived oil
deposits... Tractors...
well, they're oil rigs.
Fertilizers... drill bits.
If the old show, Dallas,
were to be re-introduced,
it would be about planting
corn and soybeans!
As long as oil stays
expensive, you're going to
have a fabulous
umbrella... it's about
agriculture. And, as long
as Iowa stays important,
things are simply going to
accelerate.
This ag business is a
great business, with corn
prices looking up next
year... Hey, they're
planting so much, and yet
they still aren't planting
enough to meet the
demand... And, for most
farmers, congress is
practically guaranteeing a
bumper crop of profits.
How many other industries
have congress going their
way?...
The best part of this ag
bull market is that it's
still in its infancy!...
We'll look back and say,
that was easy... There
should be years and years
and years left of gains in
ag... Or, as I call it,
the new oil service...
If you want to learn more
about them, maybe you pick
up, indeed,
Stay Mad For Life...
. . . .
.
But there is one problem
with ag right now...
With every other one of my
five bull markets, I have
picked out a stock and
recommended it for right
now, but the ag stocks are
all at their 52-week or
near there. I do not want
to be a buyer at these
prices... although I was
heartened by the fact that
Deere (DE)
was down $2.38 today...
Now the long-term story is
fabulous but, if I'm any
judge - and I think I'm a
great judge - the market
will give you a better
price if you wait two or
three weeks for a pullback
and then buy the stocks...
Hey listen, if the Fed
does something stupid -
and given that they are
back to knowing nothing -
it sure could happen.
These stocks could come
down on their own, so
please wait for a pullback
before you buy, buy,
buy...
Don't get me wrong. No one
has pushed this story
harder than I have... And,
if you owned these stocks,
it has paid off...
Deere (DE),
88% gain so far to date...
remember, tractors are oil
rigs.
Monsanto (MON),
a biotech company that
designs seeds... and I
think of biotech for the
new oil. It's up 105%.
Bunge (BG),
which makes soy... think
of that as light sweet
crude, compared to corn,
which is thick and harder
to refine... BG is up 73%.
. . . .
.
Fertilizer has been the
biggest winner this year,
and the #1 name in the
group?...
It's
Mosaic (MOS)!
They make phosphates for
fertilizers... they make
your drill bits... It's up
268% for the year.
Agrium (AGU)?...
Holy cow, up 98%! What's
not to like?
And Potash (POT)
was up 169%...
Can I just tell you, these
are enormous gains! Gains
that you've already gotten
a big piece of, if you've
been listening to me at
all... But, if you just
tuned in today, don't
worry about it. There is
still some good news
coming...
All of these gains have
been driven by demand...
demand that is mostly
being fueled by corn and
soy... as energy crops.
But also give some credit
to the developing world,
right?... Like China...
people eating better. They
like meat in China. Don't
forget, when you like
meat, what you really do
is like corn, because
you've got to feed that
cow something, and they
feed them great. It's just
something that's been
adding to the momentum
behind ag.
Food shortages abound
worldwide. Current
plantings can't meet
demand. But the real story
is that ag is the new oil
and oil service. It's a
story that's so good, you
can't buy too late in this
thing. A long-term bull
market... and, while
you've missed somewhat of
a move, you haven't missed
the whole move...
Now, it would be insane to
buy the ag stocks at these
prices, when I'm thinking
you will get a pullback...
even though, over the long
term, I do expect the ag
complex to go much, much
higher.
. . . .
.
The Bottom Line!:
Ag is right,
okay?... This is right...
It's maybe just not right
at these prices, although
Deere & Co. (DE),
down $2.38 does
intrigue....
DE,
Monsanto Co. (MON),
Bunge (BG),
fertilizer... Wait a
few weeks or, if the Fed
screws up... then you've
got your entry point...
[See Jim's 2nd Opening
Segment stock picks
below... ]
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