Wednesday, 05/14/08
Posted 05/14/08,  11:59 pm ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Wednesday, 05/14/08

  Dow Jones: 12,898  + 66
  NASDAQ:   2,496   + 1
  S&P 500:   1,408   + 5
 
 
 
 
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Opening Segment picks here...


On
Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE)...
JJC:    Look, this is somewhat (options) expiration-related... but Wednesday expirations have been pretty good most of the time...  I would say that they've gotten rid of the systemic risks...  FNM and FRE had been the last big black holes... FRE had actually much more revenue than I thought could possibly happen...  I thought this revenue number would be a 2010 phenomenon...  It's starting right now...  They're getting a lot of business and it could actually offset the losses.  No bear thought that could happen... and the bears will deny it tooth and nail, but it's happening...  I would buy it on the deal... Here's one where they're going to price a deal... I would be a buyer on the deal, absolutely...  as I think the millions of shares that are short would have to consider, because FRE has its act together, and I think that a lot of people were taken by surprise.  People just figured that this was the ugly duckling one, and that FNM is better.  Fannie Mae (FNM) is not as good as Freddie Mac (FRE).  I think FRE is clearly distinguishing itself as being better run right now... Unbelievable.  I have to admit, I was completely fooled by this.  I would have thought that the checks came in, you'd get the numbers, the numbers would go good, and then the buyers would just kind of call it quits, and the sellers would come in.  It hasn't happened.  Maybe after Kohl's (KSS) tomorrow.  KSS, I think, will have a good number and, then, maybe you should let them go...  But, candidly, I misjudged the power of this rally...  I came back yesterday and said, look, maybe VF Corp. (VFC) is better than I thought... I checked back yesterday with a lot of companies, and certainly we know that Costco (COST) is better than we thought... but TJX was a little disappointing and, look, it goes up... Look at Wal-Mart (WMT)... WMT was a little disappointing, and it's right back to where it was...

I think a lot of people feel that the worst is over, plus we had that great Fed victory call... they defeated inflation... we can say that off the number.  Now, we're ready to ramp...  There are obviously many good things happening. 

.  .  .  .  . 


On the infrastructure play opportunity off the earthquake tragedy in China...

JJC:    Don't forget, we have the equivalent, in the tragedy in China, of another (hurricane) Katrina... maybe bigger... so we're getting a lot of companies... Caterpillar Inc. (CAT), Terex Corp. (TEX)... you're going to think that they're going to get some orders...  Steel was up.  Because of the world shortage in steel.  The rebuild in China will be monumental.  United Technologies (UTX) has a great elevator business there.  Cummins Inc. (CMI) makes the best diesel engines.  They do a huge business in China.  These are all headed up... they're all headed up... because of the rebuild.  People are already putting it in their numbers.   Now, we know that Katrina was gigantic...  

.  .  .  .  . 


On
Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN)...
JJC:    TRN is up today...  I am saying that next year is going to be the year of wind power... This has been the year of natural gas.  Now I'm wondering if this year isn't the year of wind power...  TRN makes turbines.  Take a look at that huge deal that Fluor Corporation (FLR) got today from Scottish and Southern Energy...  That is a huge piece of business... gigantic 500-megawatt field of turbines... big...   And, don't forget, First Solar (FSLR), off that incredible number this morning on solar.  FSLR broke out today, and the bears can't hold it in...  Research In Motion (RIMM), Apple Inc. (AAPL), First Solar (FSLR) and
Mastercard (MA)... If you were in outer space, and you wanted to know how our market was doing, those are the four you'd call in for... 

.  .  .  .  . 

On the homebuilders...
JJC:    Bob Toll (CEO of Toll Brothers (TOL) was negative, negative, negative, and I kept trying to say to him, listen, this whole thing started when Florida got overbuilt...  He's now saying that the West Coast of Florida is an "A" market... Now, he knows homebuilding, and I know stocks...  If Florida, which was the worst, is coming back... then, you know, you've got a bicoastal problem, really...  Florida and California... plus you throw in Arizona... Las Vegas...  I am telling you that, 18 months from now, this is going to be much better... much better.  Housing will be much better 18 months from now.  That's what the stocks are forecasting... I'm probably going to be a little late... I bet you it happens before then...

.  .  .  .  . 

 

 



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Stock Snapshots - Includes all stocks mentioned above

 

 

 

Jim
Cramer's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price
that
day

Opening
price
next
day

Full Company Name/Comments
(see comments above for each)

FNM

29.73

na

Fannie Mae (FNM)

FRE

27.19

na

Freddie Mac (FRE)

CAT

82.88

na

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)

TEX

71.70

na

Terex Corp. (TEX)

UTX

75.24

na

United Technologies (UTX)

CMI

72.09

na

Cummins Inc. (CMI)

TRN

35.24

na

Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN)

FSLR

306.28

na

First Solar (FSLR)

RIMM

138.49

na

Research In Motion (RIMM)

AAPL

186.29

na

Apple Inc. (AAPL)

MA

286.07

na

Mastercard (MA)

 

       
   
 

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Symbol keys:

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Back up the truck - indicated by Jim, when he says the stock is so good, that he would do a 'mon-back' on the stock... In other words, this is the sound someone would say to a truck driver, "Come on back... " as he is "backing up the truck" to load up on his cargo.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.

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Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
  See more "Cramerisms" & other financial phrases here >>
   
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