Thursday, 07/24/08
Posted 07/25/08,  09:07 am ET

(Scroll down to see Jim's comments below)

 
 
Today's date:  Thursday, 07/24/08

  Dow Jones: 11,349  - 283
  NASDAQ:   2,280   - 45
  S&P 500:   1,252   - 29
 
 
 
 
 
After this segment, you can see Jim's Opening Segment picks here...


On The Banks...

JJC:    Look, we obviously see the reversion of the trade today, it's into oil, looks like that could continue a little bit, out of financials... People were obviously worried about Washington Mutual (WM), well covered by David Faber... If we're talking about Citigroup (C) well-covered by Bob Pisani... But this is the flavor of the day for the shorts... They got a rumor that was down, wish they could be a little more exact in what they're saying... And XTO Energy Inc. (XTO*) held... You know, XTO, the deal came at $48, they should have priced it more in the hole, went down to $46, bounced back, keep XTO on your screen and keep Citi on your screen, and I think you're going to know the market around the end of the day. XTO versus Citi, those are the two battlegrounds right now, and the shorts are battling Citi and the longs are battling XTO...

.  .  .  .  . 

On Oil Up...
JJC:    Well, you know what, it's so tough to sell Occidental Petroleum Corp. (OXY) when it's selling at five and a half times earnings, and ConocoPhillips (COP) at six... It's ridiculous... Natural gas hit the $8.99 support that has been, that everyone knew about when the stock, when the futures were at $13... It sometimes it actually matters about evaluation... You can pay x-times Bob's at Wachovia Corp. (WB), or you can pay 6 times OXY and occasionally people just want to same as OXY... OXY is so cheap... I mean, you know at a certain point these stocks are cheap... Now look, this market is horrible, we all know that... But if you just take a look at some valuations... Periodically, it does matter... It matters for OXY and it sure as heck matters for COP... And you know, Exxon Mobil (XOM) at $80 was reflecting $70 oil, so if you don't get $70 oil then you might be doing okay.

.  .  .  .  . 


On Ford
(F)...
JJC:    It's too speculative for me... F is part of a group of stocks... F, General Motors (GM) and, to some degree, Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. (SIRI)... some Washington Mutual (WM)...  where the common stock may not be what ends up being your call... Every one of those, if I were managing them, I would call and say let's do a big convertible bond, let's really hurt the common...

 

.  .  .  .  . 


On Terex Corp.
(TEX)...
JJC:    Western Europe... If I hear that phrase demand destruction again, what is that, in everyone's texts... It's like I feel like I missed that 8th grade class... But TEX is a Western Europe weakness play and it doesn't matter what else anybody else says, I mean this stock has given up most of its gain as did many of these really great industrial companies... Everyone obviously thinks we're going into a serious worldwide depression... I don't know... I look at your friend Herb, at Nordic American Tanker (NAT), and I look at Frontline Ltd. (FRO) in the same way... Those stocks predicted a big decline, and now those stocks are coming back... I'm the twist in between, but I do say XTO versus Citi is all you need to know...

.  .  .  .  . 


On Union Pacific Corp.
(UNP)...
JJC:    I don't understand how the heck the rails can keep going up, but you know what?... They must be being propped up by somebody... I tell you I'd rather be a seller of the rails than a buyer.

.  .  .  .  . 

 

 



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Definitions of key phrases used by Jim, known as "Cramerisms":

Definition:   'Pull the trigger' is Jim's phrase for making the decision at that point to trade - either to 'buy' or to 'sell' (although he usually uses the phrase for buying), as if to say you should feel comfortable enough to make the final decision without looking back...

Definition:   'Ring the Register' is Jim's phrase for selling a stock, and making it a final sale, that you should not look back on.  Put it behind you.

Definition:  'Let It Come In' indicates how you may wait for it to pull back, or have the stock price come down briefly, as your chance (after letting it come in) to buy the rest of your position (i.e., total number of shares you own in that stock).

Definition:  'backing it up' or 'doing a 'mon-back' is Jim's phrase for the metaphor of backing up a truck to load up on a stock by buying it.  'Mon-back is short for the imaginary worker saying, 'Come on back...' as the truck is backing up to receive its load... Notice that we use the little truck icon to indicate where Jim has mentioned this.  Translation for buying stocks:  This recommendation by Jim indicates that, after you do your own homework on the stock, you should feel comfortable loading up on it, as it is in a good position to be bought at this point.
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