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Opening Segment #3: |
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'CEO
Interview'
'Naturally
Speaking'
Interview
with
Jim Hackett,
CEO
Anadarko
Petroleum |
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Monday,
January 12, 2009 |
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Jim's
rating on
this stock |
STOCK
SYMBOL |
Closing
price that
day |
Full Company Name |
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APC |
38.73 |
Anadarko Petroleum
(APC)
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Jim:
Here’s the head
scratcher…
What the heck has
happened to oil… and
to natural gas… the
price of crude has
fallen below $40 a
barrel really bad
today… natural gas,
despite a tremendous
cold wave across the
country… $5.54 per
thousand square
feet… I know, hard
to figure isn’t it…
it is just hovering
above it’s 52 week
low, even though we
are having a cold
winter… whenever
this happens…
everybody becomes
convinced that the
recession will be
endless, that there
is no demand for
fuel… I am not
buying that theory,
not one bit… I don’t
think the world away
from the U.S. and
Europe is as weak as
people think… or I
think it could turn
faster… and I don’t
think the demand is
as low as people
believe. Plus,
there just isn’t a
lot of new supply
coming on.... |
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See comments continued below...
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Monday,
January 12, 2009
(Cont'd from
above)...
Jim (cont'd):
That is why I
want to take a
look at
Anadarko Petroleum
(APC)..
which you know
if you watch the
show even on a
momentary basis
is my favorite
natural gas
company… I have
probably
reiterated it 3
times last week…
Anadarko hasn’t
cut it’s capital
expenditure
position as
nearly as much
as it’s peers…
it is looking to
decrease cap x
by 15% in
2009... 30% for
the rest of the
industry… it is
not cutting back
it’s drilling
activity either…
instead Anadarko
is looking to
increase rate
efficiency and
cut service cost
by 15 to 20%… to
maintain it’s
drilling levels…
that means gross
levels could go
up.
Now, thanks to
it’s sell of its
interest in an
off shore field
in Brazil, for
$1.4 billion…
Anadarko doesn’t
have to worry
about liquidity…
remember that is
what plagued
Chesapeake Energy (CHK),
which was one of
our favorites at
one time… this
company Anadarko
has about $1
billion in cash…
with a $1.3
billion credit
facility… no
more debt
maturities until
2011... that is
the kind of
company that is
going to get
thru this
morass. Plus,
Anadarko is
still exploring…
how about this…
working on a
find in Ghana,
called Jubilee…
where the
company just
today announced
a successful
test well.. that
is producing
nearly 17,000
barrels of oil a
day… this is the
first new find I
have heard in a
long time from
anybody… not
just from
Anadarko...
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
Jubilee could have between .5 to
1.8 billion barrels of oil
equivalent in reserves… right
now they are drilling appraisal
wells, followed by test wells…
which should lead to a resource
update sometime in the first
quarter… Jubilee should be up
and running by 2010... that is
remarkably fast, remember its
2009... wake up… Anadarko has
two more projects that should be
up and running in 2011 and
2012... along with some
prospects in the Rocky Mountains
that are profitable at even $5
natural gas… and $30 oil… we are
there at $5 but $30 is still a
long time away.
So, is this a good time to buy…
it is down 43% from its high… 43
points not percent… up just 14
points from its low… the last
time we heard from Jim Hackett,
Anadarko
(APC)’s
great CEO, is back on November
17th, he told us with that where
the stock price, where it was,
which is actually almost exactly
where it closed today… Anadarko
was effectively buying reserves
in the ground at a cost of $10 a
barrel.. whenever it bought back
stock… and the company has a $5
billion repurchase
authorization. I want to know if
Hackett took advantage of these
prices to buy more stocks since
the last time we saw him. And I
want to know what’s the
prospects, what does it look
like, and is it ever going to go
back up?… natural gas that is…
so let’s hear from Anadarko’s
CEO, and a good friend of the
show...Jim Hackett.
Jim Hackett, welcome back to Mad
Money...
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▼
Jim:
How are you?
Hackett:
Doing fine.
Jim:
How did we get in a
perfect storm where
natural gas doesn’t
even go up anymore,
even though there is
a frigid cold wave
across most of the
country?
Hackett: Yes,
it seems odd to us,
because there is
such good weather
pattern for us. But
the success we have
had in on shore
drilling, is
basically overcome
all of the other
factors that we
would normally think
would drive toward
higher natural gas
prices. But we have
seen, as you said,
all these cut backs
in capital,
tremendous drop in
rig rates, or
utilization. And
because of that you
are going to see
that growth rate
slow. That will tend
to start bringing
prices back up, and
that will tend to
make all of these
equities make a
better buy over
time.
Jim: What was
natural gas doing at
$13 a year ago?
Hackett:
Well, it’s , any
market, as you or I
both know, could be
overbought or
oversold. I think it
was overbought,
relative to the
fundamentals for
sure. What we are
probably seeing
today is an oversold
market. But we do
have, we have
reasonably healthy
inventories. We have
got a lot of on
shore production.
People are trying to
make their best
guesses. And with
the economy
faltering, of
course, we are all
trying to see when
does that bottom
out. But I think
given any kind of
normalized economic
environment, with
the rig rates
dropping, we are
going to see natural
gas recovery. And it
is a great fuel for
the future.
Jim:
Absolutely, now
one of the things
that I saw Chevron
reported last week,
it looks like they
didn’t sell forward
anything. They
didn’t take
advantage of these
big spikes. $140
oil. $13 natural
gas. Have you been
able to use the
futures markets to
be able to really
lock in a better
price than what you
can get in the
actual market?
Hackett: We
have. We have some
hedges still in
place, for a good
portion of our
production for the
year 2009. That we
set in motion
actually in the year
in 2007. Towards the
end of that year.
They were out of the
money at $13, it
looked bad at that
time. We had big
market to market
losses. Now that is
all reversed. In
addition we hedged a
bunch of production
in the Rockies,
which is, I think
very forward
thinking in the
sense of where the
basis risks have
gone in the spreads.
But, I think, those
that were able to
take advantage of
the higher price
environment are now
enjoying it. And we
are going to be in
that position in
2009.
Jim: And you
are one of them.
Hackett: Yes.
Jim: And you
are one of them,
which is one of the
reasons why I am not
worried about your
balance sheet. Talk
to me about your
balance sheet. You
have really made it
pretty good, even
though you are
drilling all over
the world.
Hackett:
Great shape. We are,
and we have big
capital
requirements, we’ve
got, we needed a
strong balance sheet
for that. That is
why we sold all
those properties.
Post the acquisition
we did in 2006. So
we are in great
shape for this
coming year.
Challenges are in
the cash flow. That
is why a lot of
people are cutting
back capital. We
want to make sure
that we are prudent
with our capital,
but we also want to
continue to exploit
this tremendous
inventory of
exploration
prospects. That we
have really
discovered over the
last 3 or 4 years.
And have been making
preparations for in
the last 5 years.
One of them is
Ghana. Another one
is, stuff in the
Gulf of Mexico deep
water. We have had
several discoveries.
Down in Brazil we
have had
discoveries. So we
are very eager to
see where this heads
for the company.
Jim: Using
that $10 barrel
equivalent that you
mentioned on the
show in November,
and I read in the
Wall Street Journal
that Exxon is
looking to make some
acquisitions. I know
that you have got
great properties all
over the world. Do
you read an article
like that journal
article, and say, oh
shoot man, Exxon is
going to be knocking
on our door?
Hackett:
Well, you always
worry about that
when you know that
you have a model
that really works.
That is somebody
will take the value
that is adhering
that business, and
only give you a
portion of that,
when your
shareholders deserve
a much bigger
portion. But as a
public company we
have to be receptive
to that. Without
naming names on
either side, whether
it is Anadarko or
Exxon, I think there
will be
consolidation
activity. It
certainly makes
sense to me that
that would occur in
this environment.
But that there is
still a pretty big
offer spread, and we
will just have to
see where that all
ends up going.
Jim: The
papers are filled
with articles about
how the auto
companies are
focused on electric
batteries. Without
exception all of
these sounds pie in
the sky. To me. To
me as someone who is
reading them and
saying yeah, I would
love to have a
battery operated
car. But Ford is
making maybe 10,000,
maybe in the out
years. What happened
to the movement to
use our clean fuels
that is abundance,
natural gas in cars?
It seems like it
just disappeared.
Hackett:
Well, I don’t think
it is going, it may
have disappeared,
and I don’t disagree
with you that people
aren’t putting as
much emphasis on it,
especially with the
economic downturn.
But with the Obama
administration, we
are pretty confident
that they are going
to want natural gas,
in a big way.
Because they can’t
see their way to
nuclear with regard
to disposal, even
though I think
nuclear ought to be
pushed in this
country. They don’t
want big coal,
whether that makes
sense. They don’t.
So the only bridging
fuel that they have
got is natural gas.
Whether it is
natural gas for our
vehicles, which is
something that we
have a real long
term technology play
in. Or electric
vehicles, in the
sense, that all the
incremental natural
gas demand that is
going to be created
by electricity
generation will be
put towards electric
cars. So either if
you fuel the car
directly with
natural gas, or you
fuel it thru the
electric grid, you
are still going to
need natural gas.
Jim: Jim, one
of the things that
mystifies me is, we
have seen tremendous
declines in a lot of
stocks in the group.
You have got the
right capital
structure, you
actually still have,
your stock has not
been crushed as much
as others. Why
aren’t you on the
phone buying up some
of these guys with
the great prospects
that can’t afford to
fund them?
Hackett:
Well, because our
value inherent in
our stock is
actually a better
buy. Buying back our
own shares. Plus,
the tremendous
opportunities that
we have got,
internally in the
company. It is hard
to find anything
that is equivalent,
from the stand point
of what we have got
already. That
doesn’t mean that
some couldn’t exist
out there. But we
kind of want to save
our balance sheet
for either buying
our own stock, or
are own capital.
Jim: Are you
in? Are you in the
market buying?
Hackett: We
were thru the course
of 2008. But now
because of the cash
flow projections for
this coming year, we
are just being
patient with regard
to that. Because we
want to fund fully
the capital program.
Once we get beyond
that full funding
the capital program,
we will be right
back in the market
buying shares.
Jim: So, we
do not see, we will
not see an equity
offering most likely
in 2009, 2010. We
don’t even see the
bond offering,
right?
Hackett: We
do have some bonds
coming due in 2009,
but we have got a
facility to keep
rolling it, if we
just decide to keep
it that way. You and
I both know,
historic spreads, we
do not like where
they are at today.
Jim: Because
I don’t want to see
you like El Paso,
having to borrow at
13%.
Hackett: Well
we are not going to
do that, cause we
are investment
grade. So it is not
a high yield stock.
Jim: Very
good. Thank you so
much for being
really the beacon in
the group. And I am
glad we stuck with
you, because you are
sticking with your
shareholders. Jim
Hackett, chairman,
President, and CEO
of
Anadarko Petroleum
(APC).
[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
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