Final Segment #1:
'Am I Diversified?'...
Friday, January 23, 2009

In this segment, Jim takes 2-3 callers and asks them to submit five stocks that make up their largest positions in their portfolio.  He then comments on whether or not they are properly diversified.

Jim:     In a volatile market your best defense could be a diversified portfolio...

This weeks volatility should be a reminder to everybody that we are still in capital preservation mode… as long as that remains the case… you need a portfolio that is going to insulate you from the worst that this market has to offer.. although, even if it was a good market, I still like this process… my best advice continues to be the two D’s… diversification and dividends… if you remember nothing else… the two D’s and right now defense is a third… should help you put together a portfolio that outperforms the market at large… and you still may lose money… I think you will lose less… please, don’t forget… if you get stuck… you can always pick up the phone and call me and then ask plaintively… Am I Diversified?… just like Brian in Florida is about to do...


Jim's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price that
day

Full Company Name

ATO

23.92

Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO)


BMY*

22.39

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. (BMY*)


ETN*

45.33

Eaton Corp. (ETN*)


USB

14.64

US Bancorp (USB)


HD

21.72

Home Depot (HD)


Caller:     We have Atmos Energy Corp. (ATO), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. (BMY*), Eaton Corp. (ETN*), US Bancorp (USB), and Home Depot (HD), am I diversified?

Jim:     Let me see, let me see…. okay, here is what we got here… and I gotta tell you that this is a very, very interesting grouping… so I will tell you point blank that it has tremendous dividend protection, which I like… Atmos Energy- a utility, I like
Duke Energy (DUK) more, but Atmos is darn good, it has 5% yield… Bristol-Myers I own for ActionAlertsPlus.com, my charitable trust, it yields 6%, I believe that it will be hard pressed to stay independent, in the mean time it has got a good product portfolio… US Bancorp, a Buffett bank, Doug Cass and I have been trading stories on TheStreet.com, the place where I am chairman, Doug has done a series of incredible, incredible hard work on Buffett, and what he owns, and how bad it is… US Bancorp is one his… I can’t recommend any banks any more, you know that… Eaton down from $49 to $44... getting attractive again… because it is an accidental high yielder, machine company… Home Deathspot, we like it right here for the yield at 4%… we got a retailer, we got a machinery company, we got a bank, we got a drug company, we got a utility…. I gotta tell you something.. .that is made in heaven… that man knows how to play the game.

Verdict:  
YES, diversified.

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Continued below...     

 

Market Results today:

Dow - 45

Nasdaq + 11

S&P 500:  + 4

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Friday, January , 2009
(Cont'd from above)...

▼   ▼   ▼   ▼   ▼

The next caller had the following portfolio of five stocks, on which Jim commented, with his opinion shown below them...

Jim's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price that
day

Full Company Name

ETP

33.50

Energy Transfer Partners L.P. (ETP)


CB

40.88

Chubb (CB)


BDX

71.43

Becton Dickinson & Co. (BDX)


DUK

14.90

Duke Energy (DUK)


UTX

47.41

United Technologies (UTX)



Caller:
     My top five -
Energy Transfer Partners L.P. (ETP), Chubb (CB), Becton Dickinson & Co. (BDX), Duke Energy (DUK), and United Technologies (UTX)?

Jim:     Okay, let’s see what Bill has got here… United Technology a fabulous diversified portfolio of companies, some military, some industrial, very little exposure to debt, to commercial paper, I like United Technologies very much… Chubb, my insurer in full disclosure, unlike Wells Fargo which is not my bank and Chubb is just, just so everyone knows, the highest other than Travelers, highest best cleanest balance sheet company I know in the insurance industry… Duke, has long been one of my favorite utility companies, I like that yield very much… Becton Dickinson, fabulous quarter, great management, based right here near where I live… and Energy Transfer Partners, which is a little similar to Duke, but Duke’s a producer of energy, and Energy Transfer is just transfers… I could argue that that is not enough diversification there… but I am so loath to throw this out cause it is such a defensive portfolio… that I am going to bless it… and say, well played.

Verdict:  
YES, diversified.

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The next caller had the following portfolio of five stocks, on which Jim commented, with his opinion shown below them...

Jim's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price that
day

Full Company Name

TNH

118.31

Terra Nitrogen Company, L.P. (TNH)

NAT

29.34

Nordic American Tanker (NAT)


KO

42.20

Coca-Cola (KO)


MCD*

58.02

McDonald's (MCD*)


KMP

49.43

Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP)



Caller:     My top five stocks are Terra Nitrogen Company, L.P. (TNH), Nordic American Tanker (NAT), Coca-Cola (KO), McDonald's (MCD*), and Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP), am I diversified?

Jim:     Oh, let’s look at this, this is a lot of accidental high yielders, I am liking this portfolio… let me explain.. McDonald’s reports on Monday, I know the strong dollar is going to hurt them in terms of translation, commodity costs are going to help them, because they have come down, but we no Mickey Dee’s, we love
Mickey Dee’s… Coca-Cola, I was surprised to see that thing down to $41 today, it has now become an accidental high yielder, not my favorite, but also not a bad company… Kinder Morgan, well let me just tell you, KMP is the class utility I know of, remember it is a pass through play, it does not fine drill, whatever… Nordic American Tankers, hurt by Dry Ships, Dry Ships I thought that would trade with Baltic Freight, but just as Nat has been telling me the balance sheet of Dry Ships was bad, which Nordic Americans is good , they did that equity offering, I am not crazy about that… Terra is the highest yielding fertilizer company… high yielding fertilizer, high yielding shipping, high yielding transport of energy, high yielding drink company, and moderately high with good .50 cent dividend food company… wow… Eric has got a great portfolio… I mean I got to tell you, that is a great portfolio, that is absolutely a great portfolio.

Verdict:  
YES, diversified.

▼   ▼   ▼   ▼   ▼

The next caller had the following portfolio of five stocks, on which Jim commented, with his opinion shown below them...

Jim's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price that
day

Full Company Name

DIS

20.61

Walt Disney Co. (DIS)

DRYS

10.70

DryShips, Inc. (DRYS)


ERTS

16.95

Electronic Arts (ERTS)


GGB

6.79

Gerdau S.A. (GGB)


LUV

8.00

Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV)



Caller:     Here are my stocks, I have Walt Disney Co. (DIS), DryShips, Inc. (DRYS), Electronic Arts (ERTS), Gerdau S.A. (GGB), and Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV)?

Jim:     Alright let’s get right to work here… this is a difficult portfolio, Disney well you know that I think that Bob Iger is great, I think that that company is a great group of franchises, he is starting to use my term, talking about them being franchises, and I am thrilled… Electronic Arts I had to dish that the other night, during our live show, because they have failed to develop new hit product, and that market has fizzled.. Gerdau, you know a steel company, this is the one that is part Brazil and part America, I am not recommending any steel companies, if Nucor came back down to an accidental high yield I would pull the trigger… Southwest, monster beautiful quarter, but I am never going to recommend an airline stock on this show, and never have… Dry Ships, well people have been blaming me, oh Jim you like Dry Ships, I hated it for about 100 points, I thought with Baltic Freight, well, no, but it doesn’t have a yield… but it is a shipping company, steel company, entertainment company, two entertainment companies, don’t necessarily like that, and an airline company… can’t bless the portfolio… think there ought to be a couple of sales… hate to end on that note, Deidre… but I know you are doing your best.

Verdict:   NOT diversified.

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[verbatim recap]

[end of segment]


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