Tonight’s all about
steel and spice and
how to make
everything nice
for your
portfolio...
Jim:
This is a tale of
two cities market…
one where you must
own stocks both for
the best of times
and the worst of
times… to quote
Dickens… or maybe
Finster… I know
intuitively that it
doesn’t make sense
to own both… you
either think we are
going to be stuck in
an economic rut for
a long time… in
which case you own
the worst of time
stock… or you think
we can get out of
this with a little
help from
Washington… and you
own the cyclical
best of times
stocks… but that is
not how it works
being a good
investor… not at
all… being a good
investor is not
about dichotomies…
it is not about
either or… it is
about both… you
can’t put together a
diversified
portfolio if you are
only buying stocks
that will work if
the economy picks up
sooner than
expected… and you
can’t do it if you
are only buying
defensive names that
work well if you
think we are going
into a severe
recession…
diversification
means owning both…
because we can’t
really know if we
will get out of this
soon… or whether it
will take a long
time… but we do know
that diversification
keeps out of
trouble...
See all
of
tonight's
stocks
mentioned
on
Yahoo!
Finance,
here...
Wednesday,
January 28, 2009
(Cont'd from
above)...
Jim (cont'd):
Jim:
That is why tonight
when I am search
among the great
investing icons… I
come back and I am
cribbing from one of
the Buffett,
Benjamin Graham,
Peter Lynch…no…
Luther Vandross… I
loved them… I loved
them.. I miss them
and I love them… but
on Mad Money we like
not sugar and spice…
but steel and spice…
that is righter than
right for true
diversification… a
great steel stock
that works in
Obama’s
infrastructure
spending… and all
the money the
Communist Chinese
are pouring into
infrastructure… will
get us out of this
soon… and a spice
play that works if
the recession is
long and deep… and
people trade down to
cheaper foods… they
stay at home… you
want both… not
either or… because
you are not
clairvoyant… and I
am not clairvoyant.
Now, tonight I am
talking to two… not
one… but two great
CEO’s in this jam
packed show… one
from a recession
resistant company…
and one from a
company that is
economically
sensitive… and we
are going to show
you how to be
diversified
throughout this
show… because we
can’t be sure what
the future holds… as
much as we sure try
to… what do we want
to own if this is a
truly worst of times
economy… what do we
really, really
want…. that is
right… we want
spice… no, not
sporty spice… or
scary spice… or pot
spice… or even
Ginger Spice… she
winked at me once at
a concert… at least
I think it was me…
We want McCormick
Spice…McCormick & Co. Inc. (MKC)...
the largest maker of
spices in the world…
and a must have
recession resistant
part of a good
diversified
portfolio.
Why McCormick?…
Well, first
resiliency… the
company reported a
better than expected
quarter today…
beating the streets
earnings estimates
by .02 cents… but we
have liked this one
for a while…
McCormick is best of
breed… it has met or
exceeded the streets
estimates for the
past 6 quarters…
McCormick is nothing
if not consistent…
you Wikipedia… is
that a verb… you
Wikipedia of
consistent your are
going to see spices…
the stock is trading
at 13.7 time
earnings… in the
past 9 years it has
traded between 11
times earnings and
35 times earnings…
so we are at the low
end… so while this
stock trades at a
premium to other
food plays… it is
trading to a
discount to itself…
to itself… now I
have got to tell you
something… I mean,
not to be sagacious
or sakagious… this
is a Simon &
Garfunkel story… and
no Art was not all
that untalented… I
think it is a
parsley, sage,
rosemary, and thyme
to buy McCormick… I
have always wondered
how come we don’t
pronounce like
Cramer fave Rose
Marie… the senior
writer for the Allen
Brady show… the
model for Mad Money.
McCormick is "the
worst of times, eat
at home recession
play"… as people
feel poorer… and go
out for meals less…
they spend more time
cooking at home… and
to do that well they
require… spices… I
stock up in my panic
room in my fallout
shelter… what do you
have in yours… when
we talked to James
Skinner, the CEO of
McDonald’s on
Monday… he told us
that the real
competition that the
real competition
isn’t other fast
food joints… it is
people eating at
home… we also know
from Tupperware,
Rick Goings… that
more people are
cooking at home…
this is a trend that
has just begun… the
notion of it ending
right now is fool
hearted… which is
why I like McCormick
for the long haul…
but don’t take it
from me… lets hear
from a guy who is
the most consistent
of CEO’s in a
consistent of
companies… let’s
hear from Alan
Wilson...
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
Start of
CEO
Interview
with
Alan Wilson,
CEO of
McCormick
Spices...
Jim:
Mr. Wilson
welcome to Mad
Money...
Alan:
Thanks Jim.
Jim:
Your company,
you used the term
right up top in your
terrific conference
call, is resilient.
How do you get, how
can other companies
be resilient? What
does it take?
Alan:
We are fortunate
to be in a great
business. We are
flavoring food, and
we are making
products that people
like that make their
meals better. That
is not a very
expensive addition
to their meals, and
something that in
most times, they do
not want to live
without. We are also
serving across a
broad range of
channels, everything
from restaurants to
eat at home. So, we
try to be there
wherever the
consumer is eating.
Jim:
One of the
things that I am
struck by, and I
wish the analysts
would pick up on it.
I usually try to
find a company that
offers a value
solution, or a
premium solution,
because I can never
find one that offers
both value and
premium. You have
got the whole
spectrum, don’t you?
Alan:
We do. We go
everything from
ingredients all the
way thru to premium
value added
products. And even
in our consumer
franchise, we cover
virtually every
price point.
Jim:
How did you get
the Lawry’s? How did
you manage to get
the whole shelf
space? You are
really like the
whole shelf space
now in the
supermarket.
Alan:
Oh, I would
never say Jim. But
thanks. Lowry’s is
great addition to
our business. It is
something that we
have wanted a long
time. And it is just
a natural fit for
our business. It is
a great product.
It’s got loyal
consumers. And it
takes us into liquid
marinades, which is
a category that we
have never competed
in.
Jim:
Before when I
was heavy, I have to
admit that I used to
have the baked
potatoes with a lot
of the seasoning.
But I had to cut
those out. Alright,
one of the things
that, it wasn’t all
perfect because you
had foreign
exchange, and I
thought that Europe
would be stronger.
Can Europe come
back? Because they
have weak economies,
I thought they would
be staying home
more.
Alan:
Europe we have
seen, especially in
the last 3 months,
the last year, a
real weakness. What
we are starting to
see now, thru
December at least,
and in the
beginnings of
January, is more
stabilization of
volumes in Europe.
Europe went very
fast and we think
that now we are
starting to see more
stabilization in
Europe.
Jim:
Really, okay
good. Because I
know, one of the
things that is a
shame. Is that you
had, I know it is
very difficult,
people will look at
a headline number… I
am trying to explain
to people who don’t
have headlines.. but
it looked like your
numbers weren’t
nearly as strong as
they really are
because of the whack
of foreign currency.
I mean you really
did take it on the
chin foreign
currency wise for
the quarter, didn’t
you?
Alan:
That is right,
we are about 40%
outside the U.S. and
foreign currency at
current rates is
really going to be a
headwind for us as
we go thru the year.
But we expect with
the integration of
the Lowry’s
acquisition and the
strong fundamental
growth, that we are
going to be able to
help offset that.
Jim:
I think people
have to understand
how hard it is to
have double digit
growth in that
environment, but you
still deliver. A lot
of my other consumer
product companies
couldn’t. Now, there
was something that
was very exciting,
the analysts didn’t
pick up on it… only
one question, but I
think it represents
the future of your
great company… which
is the McCormick
Science Institute…
and the fact that
there could be…
look, this is a
country that if you
know that if you can
eat broccoli and you
know that it might
help you not have
cancer… if you can
cut out salt and
lower your blood
pressure… we will do
anything in this
country for health…
what are the results
of the Science
Institute saying
about spices?
Alan:
What we are
finding that a lot
of the anecdotes
that are out there,
are actually
scientifically
validated. And we
are doing the
research on that. We
have recently
launched on the
seven super spices.
And a campaign that
you can use a lot of
things like
cinnamon, and curry
powder, and
turmeric, and the
things that really
do have high rack
values, which is a
measure of the
anti-oxidants that
are really good for
you and taste great.
Jim:
One last
question, what
would, what is an
anti-oxidant do?
What we be taking it
for?
Alan:
Oh gosh, I am
not a doctor. But
what it does, it
frees up your blood
flow and does a lot
positive things for,
for what you…
Jim:
Alright, I think
it is the future… I
mean honestly… I
think that when
people realize…
that… they will be
like… it will be one
of things where I
can put spice on it
and I am going to
get better. They are
going to do that.
Alan Wilson, you
delivered a fabulous
quarter despite huge
foreign currency
headwinds, you are
resilient, thank you
so much for coming
on Mad Money.
Alan:
Thanks for
having me, Jim.
Jim's comments
AFTER the interview:
Guys look… the stock
is 10 points off
it’s high… you are
looking for
something that you
can put away… so
that you are not… so
you can sleep at
night if the
stimulus plan
doesn’t work… I say…
spice up your life
with McCormick & Co. Inc. (MKC).