Opening Segment #3:
'Steel Rising'

'CEO Interview'
Daniel R. DiMicco, CEO
Nucor Steel
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
 

Jim's
rating on
this stock

STOCK
SYMBOL

Closing
price that
day

Full Company Name

NUE

44.55

Nucor (NUE)


Tonight’s all about steel and spice and how to make everything nice for your portfolio...

Jim:      The trick in this market isn’t whether figuring out whether the recession will be short and sweet… or long and horrible… it is picking the best stocks for each thesis.. you know what we are doing… because we are sage like… we are taking the Luther Vandross, steel and spice approach… not as tasty perhaps as sugar and spice… but I think the returns will be better… spice is McCormick… a stock you want to own in case we are facing a worst of times economy… but what do we do… what do we want in case the stimulus works… the recession is shorter than we expected… and we actually get… some kind of recovery… and for steel… you know our favorite company… it is Nucor.

This stock has taken off every since it reported a better than expected quarter yesterday… Nucor did it… it thru in the kitchen sink… warning the street that things would be bad… suspending it’s special dividend… but that made everyone too negative… and it made it possible for Nucor to beat expectations… with its earnings per share coming in at .37 cents… that was so much higher than .12 cents the street was looking for… plus Nucor uses scrap not iron ore… and both scrap and energy prices are down big since the quarter … so Nucor could deliver decent numbers going forward… even if the environment stays totally miserable… if you look at the amazing rally in the stock… it has gone from $38 to $44.50 in two days off this quarter… that is… it is $4.70 just today…now you might be tempted to say that this is a best of times moment… and Geneson the recession resistant names in favor of Nucor… that would be wrong…I want you to buy both… why?...

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See comments continued below...     

 

Market Results today:

Dow + 200

Nasdaq + 53

S&P 500:  + 28

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009
(Cont'd from above)...


Jim (cont'd):     

In the last 12 months, McCormick our worst of times stock… is down 7.3%… while Nucor is down 19.4%… but at what point Nucor was down 60%… right here…

Now, if you had only owned
Nucor (NUE)… not as part of diversified portfolio… just as a play on the economy to get better soon… I think that it would have been simple human nature for you to panic…. and sell right here… and then miss the great big rally up… that is part of the reason we created a notoriously B.I.G. accidental high yield strategy… where you buy more of accidental high yielders like Nucor… on a scale base… on the dividend yields… because as the share price goes lower the yield goes higher… at its lowest Nucor actually yielded at a might 8.5%… now Nucor no longer has that accidentally high yield that we like so much… and I think that you can buy it at a much better price frankly… remember we do not condone chasing stocks on this show… that said though… doesn’t matter…. $30... $50... it is still… by far… our absolute favorite in the steel business… and that is why I want to talk… this guy is one of my… this guy is really one of my favorites… we are going to Nucor’s fantastic CEO, Dan DiMicco, about his companies future.

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Start of CEO Interview with
Daniel DiMicco, CEO of Nucor Steel...
 

Jim:        Mr. DiMicco... Dan... welcome back to Mad Money. How have you been?...

Dan:       I have been good, I could be better. But I am glad to be back on the show again.

Jim:        Okay, Dan, let’s cut right to it. The stimulus package, obviously one of the key hallmarks of the stimulus package is buy American. That unless there is just absolutely some total necessity to buy away, we should be buying American steel. When I read thru your conference call, I think you totally agree with that don’t you?

Dan:       Absolutely.

Jim:        Well, what do we do about guys like the good CEO at Caterpillar? Owens, who was on with the wonderful fabulous Erin Burnett yesterday, and he said that this would be a disaster for America?

Dan:       Well, he is an alarmist. And it is unfortunate, Caterpillar is a great company. Everybody is being negatively impacted from this economic crisis, that we are in today, it is the Granddaddy that I have seen in my lifetime. And we have all got to do things to help our employees, and to help our shareholders thru this tough time. And the thing that we are focusing on here, Jim, is hey listen, the American taxpayer is going to be footing this trillion dollar bill plus as we go into next year and the year after. And the stimulus package is designed to do, by definition, by the Obama administration and the Congress’ own words, is to create jobs. Jobs here in America. Not jobs in China. Not jobs over in Europe. Jobs here in America. And the issue here is that China is going to be doing it’s thing to get it’s economy going., and focus on getting it’s people back to work. So is Europe. So is Russia. So is Brazil. So is India. We all need to get our own houses in order, and when we do that, when we get back on track with our economy here in the United States, the whole world gets its house back in order. Then the whole world is going to come up. But unless we take care of our own situation here at home, we are kidding ourselves. If we don’t reinvest that money in such a way that it creates American jobs, and recycles thru our economy, we are never going to pull ourselves out of this mess. And we will end up in something much worse than a sever recession.

Jim:        Well, is that an every country for itself strategy? Is that not somewhat like what we saw in the Depression? Where we put tariffs up?

Dan:       Absolutely not. That is the scare tactics of the scare mongers, someone who got us into this mess.

Jim:        Obviously I am not considered a scare monger, but you know I have to do my job. I am concerned… I read your….look, I saw the Supreme Court decision which is anti-dun… I completely agree with you… but I do want to give the people their due who are saying well we can’t erect barriers.

Dan:       Here is the situation. We are not erecting barriers. All we are saying is the same thing that we have been saying for the last ten years. At Nucor, and in Washington, and as an industry, and as an American manufacturers. As you know I sit on the council, the manufacturing council of the Department of Commerce, and what we have been saying is don’t erect barriers. Enforce the laws that are on the books, and enforce the trade agreements that China and the rest of the world signed onto to get access to our market. That is not protectionism, protectionism is what is going on in China today, when they erect barriers to keep our steel out, and other banks out, and other manufacturers out. Okay, I don’t begrudge Caterpillar being over in Russia, or in China, or anywhere else. But they should not be there at the expense of American jobs.

Jim:        Agreed...Now there is a part of your conference call that concerned me greatly… you talk about the infrastructure package… you say that $60B of infrastructure… spend $825B spending package is completely insufficient to deal with the issues… all day today I heard people say they are throwing money at it… they are throwing too much money at it… you are not taking that tack, are you?

Dan:       Where here is the situation, alright, we have got to create jobs here. We have got to create jobs that will actually turn out to be investments in America. Not jobs that disappear after you have insulated the White House, or you have insulated the federal building, or whatever else. And the only way to do that is invest in America, to invest in our infrastructure, is one way to do it. And it is an area that we are woefully lacking in investment, our bridges, our roads, our water systems. Here in Charlotte they have got problems with the sewer systems not keeping up. We have got a lot of reinvestment to do in America. Here is an opportunity to put people back to work doing that. Doing something that is going to have a lasting value here in the United States. And as we get our act together, there is no such thing as decoupling Jim, and you know that. This has proved it, this crisis has proved it. We have got to get our act together here. Get people back to work here. Get our economy going. It will pick up the rest of the world.

Jim:        Okay, Dan, when I was a hedge fund manager, I used to short Bethlehem Steel all the time… and I did was because as soon as their production went down, they would go from say making $10 bucks to losing $20 bucks. Your production was virtually cut in half… but you made a fortune anyway…. How could a steel company, with big fixed costs, actually make a lot of money when production is cut in half?

Dan:       Well, the key here for Nucor is we don’t have big fix costs. Most of our costs is variable in nature. Our largest component of cost is scrap, and that moves up with supply and demand. When demand is good, and we are getting good prices for our steel, scrap prices are up too, but our margins grow. When demand is down, scrap prices fall and our margins still hold together. We have variable cost miles to respect to our pay for performance system, both for the CEO of the corporation and the front line workers out in our plants. We are all on pay for performance, we don’t lay our workers off, we have a no layoff practice. But we do reduce the work week. And we do reduce the pay that the CEO and the upper management get, and all management get based upon the profitability of the company. So as we go thru tough times, a lot of those “fixed” costs that a lot of those other companies have, aren’t there for us.

Jim:        One last question Dan, when you were on last you talked about taking advantage of the decline in other steel companies to buy. You totally cancelled your $2B acquisition plan. Is that wise given how you have always taken advantage of downturns?

Dan:       Jim, what we did is put those on hold. There is a big difference between cancelling and putting on hold. As I mentioned on our conference call yesterday, we stay in contact with the people that we were talking with before. We also see this as we always see every downturn for the silver lining that is going to out there. As an opportunity to build our earnings platform for the future, thru wise acquisitions for building new Greenfield plants at the lower cost thesis in this kind of environment. We have a great balance sheet, that is part of our culture, that is part of our history. We used that strong balance sheet in 01, 02, and 03 to more than double the size of our company, to increase our earnings from peak to peak, and we will do it again in this downturn.

Jim:        Dan, you are just the king of steel, and I really appreciate… I know what you have done in the company in the time that you have been there… I knew your predecessor… and I have just got to tell you I am honored to have you on the show.
Thank you very much Dan DiMicco...

Dan:       Thank you, Jim

 

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Jim's comments AFTER the interview:     Alright terrific… Guys, look I know that it is difficult to play price alright… I don’t want to be in a situation where I am telling you that you have to own Nucor here after it has just went up so much… I will tell you this… if you want a steel company to own… you own Nucor (NUE)… and you own it because it has got the best management… you own it because it doesn’t lose money when production goes down in half… own it because it has got the balance sheet…. own it because of the man that you just saw… he is a money maker.

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[verbatim recap]

[end of segment]


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