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Opening Segment #3: |
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'Sticks
& Stones' |
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Monday,
March 9, 2009 |
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Jim's
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There are different
ways to deal with
criticism & this
time around,
it’s not being
ignored...
Jim:
For the last year
and half I have been
screaming,
literally… about the
governments inapt
handling of the
economic crisis…
except for a brief
YouTube moment in
August of 2007, my
they know nothing
rant, against the
previous regimes
failings, something
even my kids did
find out about, I
was basically
toiling in the cable
wilderness… now all
of a sudden
bloggers, opinion
people, columnists,
talking heads and
yes pundits… people
who haven’t paid
attention to
anything that I have
been saying or
writing for the last
18 months… they are
all over me now… I
find myself in the
center of a fire
storm over Obama’s
economic policies… I
am taking invalid
fire… from people
that I like… people
I admire… people I
agree with… from
serious columnist
Frank Rich… to less
serious entertainer
John Stewart… by
being defended by,
of all people, Rush
Limbaugh… the
standard bear for
conservatives…
someone who I
respect as a radio
personality… but
whose views are
virtually
antithetical to my
own...
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See comments continued below...
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Monday,
March 9, 2009
(Cont'd from
above)...
Jim (cont'd):
How the heck did I
get dragged into
this mess… becoming
the target of the
wrath of Obama’s
fans… and the
darling, albeit
momentarily, of his
critics… it is not
like my criticism of
Obama’s handling of
the crisis is any
more pointed than my
criticism of the job
of the previous
Republican
administration was
doing… or with its
pernicious lazy
affair attitude
towards Wall Street…
so what gives here…
the answer I think
lays in the way that
the two
administrations
approach criticism…
the Bush
administration never
questioned their
believes, and
therefore never
questioned to
anyone… not
Congress, not the
press, certainly not
me… they simply
chose to ignore my
warnings perhaps
because of a brutal
combination of
ideology,
fecklessness, and
complacency… or
perhaps because at
one point I used to
throw a lot of
chairs on the show…
and to make matters
worse, Bush and
Paulson’s endless
protestations…
(played Bush and
Paulson clips saying
that the
fundamentals are
strong)
Seemed ridiculous in
the face of the
facts… Ben Bernanke,
he didn’t seem to
understand the
urgency of the
situation… so now he
has become a grown
up… Tim Geithner,
then the head of the
Federal Reserve Bank
in New York… and the
most important
regulator of Wall
Street… didn’t seem
to understand the
importance of a
consistent policy in
the face of panic
and confusion… he
still doesn’t, as
Obama’s Treasury
Secretary… I would
have thought that
Hank Paulson, who
ran Goldman Sachs
where I worked at
one point, I mean I
though for heaven‘s
sake, he had to know
better… but he
didn’t.
This was the team
primarily Paulson
and Geithner, that
euthanized Lehman
Brothers… the
consequences of
which caused the end
of finance as we
know it… two days
later their hands
off policy came to
an end… when they
total about face and
began the never
ending bailout of
AIG… I called them
out for their
mistakes… where was
Frankfort’s praising
me, where was that…
but Bush’s Press
Secretary never
dawned to mention
me… no pundits got
worked up about that
criticism.
Now President
Obama’s team on the
other hand has
demonstrated a
thinness of skin,
that I find
shocking… when I
somewhat obviously
and empirically
judged that the
populist Obama
administration was
and continues to
exasperate the
crisis with its
budgets and
policies… I mean
look at the
incredible decline
in the averages
since the
inauguration… I was
met with media
condensation and
ridicule… I couldn’t
believe it… is
Obama’s team really
blind to the great
wealth destruction
being caused by
their agenda of
demonizing the
bankers, raising
taxes on the
wealthy, advocating
Draconian and
cap-n-trade
policies, upending
the healthcare
system… I mean do
they really believe
that only the rich
own stocks… what the
heck do they think
we have our
retirement accounts
in, CD’s… where did
they think that we
put the money that
we saved for
college, our
mattresses… does the
Obama administration
really truly believe
that the great
middle class puts
its money at the
First National Bank
of Sealy… and only
the wealthiest
traffic in the S&P
500... I mean that
is the impression
that I got when
President Obama
claimed that he
wasn’t worried about
the averages…
dismissing them as
traffic polls that
go up and down, and
up and down… uh, Mr.
President, if only
they went up
occasionally and not
down endlessly… I
would like your
logic.
I don’t think that
Obama knew about the
velocity or the
relentlessness of
the decline… he
didn’t seem to pay
attention until the
day that I blasted
them for not paying
attention… and he
seemed proud that he
ignored the
averages… as if they
are some kind of a
distraction… and not
a precursor of the
economies next
moves… or consumer
spending, or even
confidence…
will-full ignorance
is something that we
expected from the
previous regime… I
had higher hopes for
Obama… don’t get me
wrong, I don’t blame
Obama for the
crisis, he was dealt
a terrible hand from
the previous group…
but the
administrations’
handling of the
banking crisis…
simply devastating…
Citigroup, Bank of
America, Wells
Fargo, even JP
Morgan… all brought
to their knees… look
my mantra has been
clear, I mean
obviously the
critics don’t watch
the darn show… which
is okay… I don’t
care, it is a little
cable show, but I
like it… I just want
to help preserve
people’s money… I
want to help them
grow it when the
time comes when it
is no longer risky
to make that
attempt.
The country is in
crisis… I want to
turn down the
rhetoric… engage
with the issues… we
need to stop the
lurching of the
nationalization of
the banks… something
that has come about
because the Fed and
the Treasury has
been unable to
regain control of
the financial system
from guess who, the
short sellers.. .but
will the pundits
engage in a debate
on the merits of
saying favoring say
tier one capital for
the banks rather
than common equity…
how about the idea
of showing them
forbearance… so they
can work out things
over time… a 4%
mortgage campaign
for everybody, not
just for the so
called deadbeats…
give the banks some
leeway… so they can
be profitable with
patience… no, the
Obama guy, the
accolades of Obama
just attack me…
okay, I am a
tempting target…
plenty of people
come in for
criticism on the
show… but we are
dealing with some
serious issues here…
we need solutions,
which I offer like
almost every night
here… much to the
chagrin to the
people who are
worried about my
ratings… I don’t
want ad opining
attacks… take Frank
Rich and Jon
Stewart, I criticize
Obama, so both of
them seize on the
urban legend that I
recommended Bear
Stearns the week
before it collapsed…
when I simply told
an emailer that the
deposit in his
account at Bear
Stearns was safe…
your money is safe
in Bear Stearns…
they use a clever
sound bite to pass
off the notion of
the account safety
was an out and out
buy recommendation…
I mean look, your
money is save if
Bear Stearns, does
not mean… buy, buy,
buy.
Now, look I expect
Jon Stewart a
comedian to give me
a good skewering… I
mean what the heck,
but Frank Rich… I
mean the guy was a
rigorous guy, when
he was a theater
critic I am sure
there were many
times where the pull
quotes from his
reviews were used
for positive
purposes… even
though he was
panning a play… how
could he not have
been more rigorous…
and then Rich
chastised me for
endorsing Wachovia’s
stock… after then
CEO Bob Steel came
on the show, and
spoke positively
about the bank… we
remember right, he
stood right here…
alright… look I was
taken in… the guy
pantsed me… I made a
mistake… the SEC is
investigating
Steele’s appearance
on this show for
truthfulness though…
I made a mistake,
but they are
investigating to see
if he lied… bigger
issue… sometimes you
just get had… none
of this though, not
Bear not Wachovia
has anything to do
with whether or not
the President’s
policies are harmful
to the wealth…
whether they make
sense, or are
destroying the
banking system.
Now, on the other
side after the White
House briefing, Rush
Limbaugh defended me
as a way ward
leftist who has seen
the light… hey, I am
thrilled to have
allies and
defenders, Lord
knows that I need
them… but the truth
is… I actually agree
with almost all of
Obama’s agenda…
right down to having
the rich pay more
taxes… I just think
that it is the wrong
time… we need to
declare war on
unemployment and
solve it before it
gets out of hand… we
need to stop house
price depreciation…
nothing Obama has
done so far will
defeat either enemy…
and all of the
initiatives that he
wants to rush… like
the tax hikes, the
changes in
healthcare, taking
with the mortgage
deductions… I mean
good grief, he wants
to tick with the
mortgage reduction
right in the midst
of the worst housing
downturn in history…
the tough
cap-n-trade rules…
any of these could
derail any chance of
the economy turning
around… Obama needs
to beat unemployment
and falling house
prices… and then he
could go forward
with his agenda with
my blessing… but
until then, his
initiatives are
putting the second
Great Depression
right back on the
table… I thought it
had been taken off.
The market’s thought
that he could stop
it… hence the giant
relief rally when he
was elected… but
unless than 50 days
of his ascendancy
the market’s hopes
were totally dashed…
and the averages are
now forecasting the
worst economic
decline since the
Great Depression… I
am happy to have
anyone from the
administration on
this show to debate
the serious issues.
Here is the bottom
line…
▼ ▼
▼ ▼
▼
The
Bottom Line!:
It is time to
get serious… it
is time to take
the issue from
the pundits…
from the left
and right and
put it where it
belongs… serious
non-ideological
debate to put
out the real
firestorm… the
collapse of the
economy from
Wall Street to
Main Street… and
the ensuing
great wealth
destruction for
everyone.
The critics &
the President
need to tackle
unemployment &
housing prices
instead of
debate about
me...
And the economy
is real bad…
memo to my
critics…
particularly
Frank Rich, I
remember when
you were doing
those quotes at
the Crimson so
you could get a
job… memo to my
critics and
President Obama…
tackle
unemployment and
housing prices…
stop… I am just
a cable guy…
stop attacking
me already.
[verbatim recap]
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Jim went on after
this segment to take
questions from
callers, and
responded with his
comments...
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Q:
Right now it seems
to me that the
greatest risk for
our portfolio will
not come from poor
stock selections on
our part, but from
bad and ill-times
policy decisions on
the part of the new
Obama
administration. Jim,
what do you think?
Jim:
Well, I think that
there is not… let’s
be more hopeful…
let’s be more
constructive… I
don’t think that it
is too late… I think
that if Geithner
came out tomorrow
and say that look I
had a meeting with
the President… and
say look we think
that this has gone
far enough… we are
getting rid of the
ability to be able
to have the shorts
cram down the common
stock… the common
stock doesn’t
matter… our banks
are well
capitalized… let’s
move on… we bless
every single bank…
Citigroup was a
difficult situation…
the rest aren’t… and
the system is fine…
and we put back the
Uptick Rule, we get
rid of the SKF…. we
do some things that
make it so that it
is constructive… and
we give the banks
some forbearance and
a note to make up
their losses… then
we will get out of
this… so let’s not
jump to the
conclusion that it
is game over… it
will be game over if
we continue though.
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Q:
I think Obama did
something right
today, he changed
George Bush’s policy
on stem-cells. What
do you think of
Celgene?
Jim:
First, on the social
issues… this is the
kind of thing, I was
in favor of that…
but what do I know…
I never talk about
the social issues…
why, because I have
no standing to, I
have no particular
expertise, I have no
particular kin,
there are a lot of
other guys who know
more than that, my
bailiwick is the
stock market… so I
never comment on
these other things,
cause I don’t have
any gravitas on it…
does Celgene have
anything, a stock
that I own for
my charitable trust…
does it have
anything to do with
stem cells, not
really…. it was down
today that people
feel, once again,
that the governments
are going to cut
back on expensive
drugs… and Revlimid,
which is their chief
anti-myoloma,
anti-leukemia drug
might be too
expensive… that is
why that stock went
down… not having to
do with stem-cells…
again I emphasize,
stem-cell, any of
that stuff, that is
not my thing… and
suddenly some of
these people who
have all these
issues are coming to
me… and they are not
my thing.
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Q:
Why does the market
seem to react so
poorly when
President Obama
speaks on TV?
Jim:
Well, there is a
great… there is an
absolutely fabulous
quote in my handbook
for this whole year,
which is The Great Crash of 1929…
where people said
that about Hoover,
every time Hoover
came on TV… here it
is, “ Everytime
Hoover came on”…
okay, to paraphrase,
every time Hoover
spoke the market
went down… may just
be when the economy
is really bad,
whoever speaks the
market goes down.
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[verbatim recap]
[end of segment]
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