Opening Segment #1:
'Spring Awakening'
 
Friday, March 13, 2009

Is this market showing signs that it is ready to spring forward?
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Jim:
   
 
Alright, look... before we get started I want to say something about what happened yesterday… a lot of people are talking about what happened… I want to be very clear… to be very clear that although I was clearly outside of my safety zone… I have the utmost respect for this person and for the work that they do… no matter how uncomfortable it was to be on… so I want you to take a look at this clip from yesterday, of Cramer vs. Stewart…
(showed clip of Martha Stewart show)...
Yeah, alright now back to business as usual… what I am about to say may sound like something may sound like something that just doesn’t compute for those of you who have seen your 401K, and IRA, and pension funds lose follow… seemingly forever… until things turned around in this glorious week… the best week since November… I know that you think this nearly 9% gain is a truly joyful enterprise… hopefully the beginning of something new and huge… an arbiter of good things to come… a sign of spring that will blossom into something bigger and better… something that we deserve… do you mind if I still use my buttons… but did you know that not everyone feels that way about this rally we had this week.. did you know that there are people, people… guys with much bigger money than you have in the market… that don’t want you to make money… that don’t want this market to go higher… it is true...

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Continued below...


  

 

Market Results today:

Dow:  + 53

Nasdaq:  + 5

S&P 500:  + 5

 

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Friday, March 13, 2009
(Cont'd from above)...

 

 

 

 

Jim (cont'd):   

How are these killjoys… and what is their agenda… I used to run a hedge fund… I know how the bad guys think… but now I work for you… so I am going to tell you what the insiders to know… who wants the markets to go down… alright, some are the underinvested mutual fund managers who need the market to come down so they can get in at better prices… they are just routing for things to go lower temporarily… but then there is the other group… the group that wants to see stocks fall… the hedge funds… hedge funds that have a field day with the endless declines… at your expense… these hedge funds by the way, these mangers, they exist in a total bizarre world… they like em ugly… because right now they typically don’t have more than 50% invested max… and they are betting against more companies than they are in favor of… these guys are hoping for the exact opposite of what the rest of want to see… those of us who just want to make some money with the market going higher.

Why would they feel that way… first a lot of them are short a lot of stocks… betting against you and your stocks to profit for themselves… and if they haven’t covered their short positions and gone long yet, that is Wall Street jibberish for having bought the stocks they were selling back, then I am guaranteeing that they routing for Tim Geithner to flub it… they are looking forward to more anti-business rhetoric from Obama that could drive stocks down… in other words, the hedge funds that are still short need help from Washington… the kind of help that wrecks stocks… they were most likely chagrined when Obama extended an olive branch to business yesterday… they probably couldn’t stand the positive talk today by Larry Sommers, who gave an upbeat update about things that are going right in business… and how the administration will do what is necessary to have that continue… I almost thought a love fest had broken out between the administration and big business… I am sure the shorts felt the heat of the bulls.

Second, these hedge funds are looking for China to get killed… they want copper to go done, hardly… they want oil to absolutely plummet… why, they want signs that the world economy is weakening… that is not happening… it is a win for the goods guys.

Third, the hedge funds in this position needed retail sales to be absolutely terrible… they needed GM to ask for more money desperately… to meet payroll… not a return of $2b to the government… they despise the fact that retail sales were slightly better than expected… two victories for those who want stocks to go higher… and pain for the people who want them to go lower.

Fourth, they needed to see Bank of America to go the way of Citigroup, with a government stake in its heart… instead we heard that Bank of America is going to make money… we even heard positive news about an easier going version of mark to market accounting… that says the regulators won’t push banks into bankruptcy in nationalization…. we also heard that… look out… the shorts principle weapon… the ability to short stocks without waiting for an uptick may be going away… which would also crush the ETF of mass banking destruction… the dreaded UltraShort Financial Proshares SKF.

Fifth, these guys who want stocks to go down need to see more companies file for bankruptcy… as well as more Madoffs… more Stanfords… to undermine our faith in the market… even Madoff going to the clink struck fear in the shorts hearts that the public might like the markets now… now that justice has a pulse.

Sixth, the hedge funds really need to see Warren Buffett be scared… instead he was confident… they needed him to cancel his terrific interview with Becky Quick on CNBC… instead he came out… he came out and inspired confidence… good for you… bad for the shorts.

Seventh, they needed to see GE (parent company of this network)… get stripped of all of its good ratings… right, A, A, B, B, C, C, off the honor roll, D, D, parent conference with teacher… no, instead it got a minor downgrade… and a stock that they had been keying on to go down…. rallied.

Eighth, the hedge funds that were still short needed more analysts to downgrade stocks… like the untimely downgrade of Cramer fave Hewlett Packard, which is of course at $25, that made a lot of sense… they needed to see strategists come out and say that they were headed into a depression… and make no mistake, I bet there are plenty of people pushing behind the scenes for exactly that… where is that guy Roubini, the Mr., the Swansea, the Ugly Duckling, I don’t know it is a fairy tale… I got a little more about fairy tales in a second.

Nine, the people who want the market to go down long term needed to see the market up huge today so that they could reverse… could reverse and start causing some despair among the buyers… these guys need you to feel buyers remorse… and for once this week we didn’t have any.

Tenth, these negative Nancy hedge funds need to see no deals… no takeovers happening… because that would mean no new money coming into the market… instead we got $193b of pharmaceutical deals… and you can bet that all of the new money is coming right back into stocks sending them higher… even worse for the bad guys… the stocks in the acquirers rally… no doubt encouraging other companies to take the acquisition game… so soon, we will be back to merger Mondays… remember those days… merger Mondays… just you wait… those are the short sellers nightmares.

How do I know that this is what the hedge fund who got caught with their shorts down were hoping for… because I used to be one of those guys… I used to run a hedge fund… they need chaos… they need the plagues to happen… chaos, chicanery, hardship and pain… you know what they are hoping that winter never ends and spring never begins… these hedge funds are anti-acliesiesties… for them to everything there is not a season… they don’t think that there is a time to kill and a time to heal… they just want a time to kill… a time to break down and a time to build up… not for the shorts… they want the time to breakdown to be permanent… whatever you are hoping for, they want the opposite.

Now, okay, seriously, seriously… these hedge funds… here is a couple of things that they wish… they wish that Bambi had got shot with his mother… they wish that Heidi had got shanghaied into the slave trade… they wish that Goldilocks had made for a tasty bear meal… they wish that Little Red Riding Hood was wolf meat… that all three of the little pigs were turned into spam… that Cinderella’s evil step-sisters marry the prince… that the monster on Zombie island ate Scooby-Doo… that the Wicked Witch made mincemeat out of Snow White… and get this, above all what do they want.. they want the Seven Dwarfs to get mowed down like gangsters in the St. Valentine’s Day Massacre… or at least like Sonny Corleon at the phone booth, and Moe Green right in the eye… it is my job, my job to expose these shenanigans… even if some would say that I am in bed with the people who want Dorothy to be crushed by her house… or maybe be turned into people chowder by the Wicked Witch of the West… but the tyranny of the hedge fund short sellers seems to be coming to an end… they endless spiral of bad news has been broken… and once the hedge funds and mutual funds think it is okay to plunge back into the water… you don’t know what, they think it is a game, they think it is a game… then they give up on their short positions and it is time to go long… then they will panic and come in with billions blazing… perhaps taking us up to Dow 8,000 before things are thru… in order to make up for their new found losses that they have absorbed with their number one activity… shorting the banks during this miserable period.

Here is the bottom line…

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The Bottom Line!:     There are a lot of hedge funds that wanted to break this market but they didn’t get the news they needed this week… this time regular investors won… and because the hedge funds and mutual funds will eventually copulate and switch sides… betting for companies rather than against them… I think we go still higher.

The big money wants this market to stay broken, but it looks like Main Street could win this round...   Okay, the Dow was up 54... the big money guys want this market to stay broken… but it looks like this rally I think is here to say… and memo to one of the Stewarts out there, I am so sorry about having some fun and entertaining… next time I promise to be more like Kenneth Clark.

 

[verbatim recap]

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Jim went on after this segment to take questions from callers, and responded with his comments...

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Q:    Who are the short sellers that are making all of the money in the down turned market? And could we stabilize the market by pumping up the capital gains by short sells to say 50%?...

Jim:    Well, that is an interesting thing whether there should be symmetrical gains… I actually… I don’t want that… I do want the short sellers and the hedge funds, I totally agree with Obama on the idea that their gains are ordinary income… and just so you know that as a hedge fund manager for 14 years, my gains were all ordinary income… and the people who are taking it as capital gains, the government should go after them… they should just a build a case… you don’t even need to change the law… the IRS should go after them… because every right thinking hedge fund manager knew that those are ordinary income… that is our paycheck.. it should never have been capital gains.. and the government should never have allowed them to get away with it… but the previous regime absolutely insisted to give the rich at the hedge funds a clean break… bring back the Uptick Rule… get rid of the ETF’s of mass destruction… and we will be fine.

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Q:    I have four pawn shops and two retail stores in New York City. Lately the pawn shops have been slow, but the retail has picked up. Most people pay with cash. Can you tell me what you see in the future?

Jim:    Yes, I think there is a major change going on as people begin to recognize one that inventory levels got so high that a lot of companies had sales that made it so that if you had been waiting or holding back for 18 months because things aren’t good, you just kind of had to take advantage of it… second, it is really dawning on people that their heat bill turned out to be lower than they though, their gasoline bill is lower… so they are beginning to spend incrementally… and I think that that is really the difference… and that is why I think things have gotten slightly better.

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[verbatim recap]

[end of segment]

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