Opening Segment #2:

'Cramer's Game Plan
  For Next Week'

Friday, March 20, 2009

Jim:      In the immortal words of the only band that matters... and I know I'm showing my age here (he plays The Clash band's "What are we going to do now?")... alright, after the market's huge rally over the last two weeks, and today's 122-point pullback... it's time to raise the query that the Clash pose so eloquently... much better than I could...

What are we going to do now?... What's the Game Plan?...


The market's still down big for the year. We've reached a point where I think we're starting to see some real, tangible positives... totally outweighed by the negatives, I know... and the case for not taking out the lows from a couple of weeks, I think has now become a strong one...

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Continued below...  

 

Market Results today:

Dow:  - 122

Nasdaq:  - 26

S&P 500:  - 15

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Friday, March 20, 2009
(Cont'd from above)...

 

 




Dow 6300... I think it's not in the cards right now.

But, after such a big move in the Dow, the prudent part of my brain... is telling me that today's decline is indeed for real... and we could pause in the market's upward momentum, and have a lot of profit-taking into the end of the month, when we'll probably have markups.

Now, you don't want to be working with the clampdown. I would much rather have you working against the clampdown, or escaping it entirely.

Now, even after today's miserable action, you still can take something off the table, ring the register... or, in the parlance of Cramer, "schnitzel" some of your gains... You may still have enormous losses in your portfolio but, short term, we've just seen about a year's worth of gains in a couple of week's time... Remember, bulls make money, bears make money, hogs get slaughtered. We saw some of that today...

Really. I have to tell you... I'm starting to feel a little greedy if we don't take some profits...

We've all gotten way too familiar with the slaughterhouse over the last 18 months... so let me make the case for moving some more money onto the sidelines... I say this slowly, because I've liked this rally so much, I really don't want to part with it, but we've really got to put some money on the sidelines. We've got to wait for stocks to be truly viable again...

People have starting to freak out about inflation. Now, you know how I feel. I think it's a totally bogus worry now. I want inflation. I want reflation. But a lot of the big money guys feel different, with Bernanke essentially putting in a trillion dollars to get things back on track. You know how we feel about Ben Bernanke... We think he's dead right... we think he's learned so much... we think he's an unbelievably good Fed chairman now. We're backing him.

I say, let the temporary insanity about inflation pass. If Ben Bernanke's not worried, I'm not worried.

The bottom line...

▼   ▼   ▼   ▼   ▼

The Bottom Line!:      After today's pullback, I still think it's time to ring the register. I think the market remains too overbought, so take some overbought. So take some profits. Take some profits so that you'll have some cash when the market comes down, and we can do some buying all over again.

 

[verbatim recap]

[end of segment]


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